12 results on '"Xu, Bolun"'
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2. Arbitraging Variable Efficiency Energy Storage Using Analytical Stochastic Dynamic Programming.
- Author
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Zheng, Ningkun, Jaworski, Joshua, and Xu, Bolun
- Subjects
DYNAMIC programming ,STOCHASTIC programming ,ENERGY consumption ,ENERGY storage ,PIECEWISE linear approximation ,INDEPENDENT system operators - Abstract
This paper presents a computation-efficient stochastic dynamic programming algorithm for solving energy storage price arbitrage considering variable charge and discharge efficiencies. We formulate the price arbitrage problem using stochastic dynamic programming and model real-time prices as a Markov process. Then we propose an analytical solution algorithm using a piecewise linear approximation of the value-to-go function. Our solution algorithm achieves extreme computation performance and solves the proposed arbitrage problem for one operating day in less than one second on a personal computer. We demonstrate our approach using historical price data from four price zones in New York Independent System Operator, with case studies comparing the performance of different stochastic models and storage settings. Our results show that the proposed method captures 50% to 90% of arbitrage profit compared to perfect price forecasts. In particular, our method captures more than 80% of arbitrage profit in three out of the four price zones when considering batteries with more than two-hour duration and realistic degradation cost. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Optimal Battery Participation in Frequency Regulation Markets.
- Author
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Xu, Bolun, Shi, Yuanyuan, Kirschen, Daniel S., and Zhang, Baosen
- Subjects
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ENERGY storage , *BATTERY storage plants , *ELECTRIC transients , *ELECTRIC power systems , *ENERGY consumption - Abstract
Battery participants in performance-based frequency regulation markets must consider the cost of battery aging in their operating strategies to maximize market profits. In this paper, we solve this problem by proposing an optimal control policy and an optimal bidding policy based on realistic market settings and an accurate battery aging model. The proposed control policy has a threshold structure and achieves near-optimal performance with respect to an offline controller that has complete future information. The proposed bidding policy considers the optimal control policy to maximize market profits while satisfying the market performance requirement through a chance-constraint. It factors the value of performance and supports a tradeoff between higher profits and a lower risk of violating performance requirements. We demonstrate the optimality of both policies using simulations. A case study based on the PJM Interconnection LLC (PJM) regulation market shows that the approach is effective at maximizing operating profits. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. Factoring the Cycle Aging Cost of Batteries Participating in Electricity Markets.
- Author
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Xu, Bolun, Zhao, Jinye, Zheng, Tongxin, Litvinov, Eugene, and Kirschen, Daniel S.
- Subjects
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ELECTRIC batteries , *COST effectiveness , *DETERIORATION of materials , *COST functions , *ARBITRAGE pricing theory , *PRICES - Abstract
When participating in electricity markets, owners of battery energy storage systems must bid in such a way that their revenues will at least cover their true cost of operation. Since cycle aging of battery cells represents a substantial part of this operating cost, the cost of battery degradation must be factored in these bids. However, existing models of battery degradation either do not fit market clearing software or do not reflect the actual battery aging mechanism. In this paper we model battery cycle aging using a piecewise linear cost function, an approach that provides a close approximation of the cycle aging mechanism of electrochemical batteries and can be incorporated easily into existing market dispatch programs. By defining the marginal aging cost of each battery cycle, we can assess the actual operating profitability of batteries. A case study demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed model in maximizing the operating profit of a battery energy storage system taking part in the ISO New England energy and reserve markets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
5. Modeling of Lithium-Ion Battery Degradation for Cell Life Assessment.
- Author
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Xu, Bolun, Oudalov, Alexandre, Ulbig, Andreas, Andersson, Goran, and Kirschen, Daniel S.
- Abstract
Rechargeable lithium-ion batteries are promising candidates for building grid-level storage systems because of their high energy and power density, low discharge rate, and decreasing cost. A vital aspect in energy storage planning and operations is to accurately model the aging cost of battery cells, especially in irregular cycling operations. This paper proposes a semi-empirical lithium-ion battery degradation model that assesses battery cell life loss from operating profiles. We formulate the model by combining fundamental theories of battery degradation and our observations in battery aging test results. The model is adaptable to different types of lithium-ion batteries, and methods for tuning the model coefficients based on manufacturer’s data are presented. A cycle-counting method is incorporated to identify stress cycles from irregular operations, allowing the degradation model to be applied to any battery energy storage (BES) applications. The usefulness of this model is demonstrated through an assessment of the degradation that a BES would incur by providing frequency control in the PJM regulation market. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
6. Co-Planning of Investments in Transmission and Merchant Energy Storage.
- Author
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Dvorkin, Yury, Fernandez-Blanco, Ricardo, Wang, Yishen, Xu, Bolun, Kirschen, Daniel S., Pandzic, Hrvoje, Watson, Jean-Paul, and Silva-Monroy, Cesar A.
- Subjects
ELECTRIC power transmission ,ENERGY storage ,SPATIOTEMPORAL processes ,ENERGY economics ,ELECTRIC industries - Abstract
Suitably located energy storage systems are able to collect significant revenue through spatiotemporal arbitrage in congested transmission networks. However, transmission capacity expansion can significantly reduce or eliminate this source of revenue. Investment decisions by merchant storage operators must, therefore, account for the consequences of potential investments in transmission capacity by central planners. This paper presents a tri-level model to co-optimize merchant electrochemical storage siting and sizing with centralized transmission expansion planning. The upper level takes the merchant storage owner's perspective and aims to maximize the lifetime profits of the storage, while ensuring a given rate of return on investments. The middle level optimizes centralized decisions about transmission expansion. The lower level simulates market clearing. The proposed model is recast as a bi-level equivalent, which is solved using the column-and-constraint generation technique. A case study based on a 240-bus, 448-line testbed of the Western Electricity Coordinating Council interconnection demonstrates the usefulness of the proposed tri-level model. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
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7. Optimal Battery Control Under Cycle Aging Mechanisms in Pay for Performance Settings.
- Author
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Shi, Yuanyuan, Xu, Bolun, Tan, Yushi, Kirschen, Daniel, and Zhang, Baosen
- Subjects
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OPTIMAL control theory , *BATTERY storage plants , *ENERGY storage , *ELECTRIC power systems , *STORAGE batteries - Abstract
We study the optimal control of battery energy storage under a general “pay-for-performance” setup such as providing frequency regulation and renewable integration. In these settings, batteries need to carefully balance the tradeoff between following the instruction signals and their degradation costs in real-time. Existing battery control strategies either do not consider the uncertainty of future signals, or cannot accurately account for battery cycle aging mechanism during operation. In this paper, we take a different approach to the optimal battery control problem. Instead of attacking the complexity of a battery degradation function or the lack of future information one at a time, we address these two challenges together in a joint fashion. In particular, we present an electrochemically accurate and trackable battery degradation model called the rainflow cycle-based model. We prove that the degradation cost is convex. Then, we propose an online control policy with a simple threshold structure and show that it achieves near-optimal performance with respect to an offline controller that has complete future information. We explicitly characterize the optimality gap and show that it is independent to the duration of operation. Simulation results with both synthetic and real regulation traces are conducted to illustrate the theoretical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
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8. Look-Ahead Bidding Strategy for Energy Storage.
- Author
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Wang, Yishen, Dvorkin, Yury, Fernandez-Blanco, Ricardo, Xu, Bolun, Qiu, Ting, and Kirschen, Daniel S.
- Abstract
As the cost of battery energy storage continues to decline, we are likely to see the emergence of merchant energy storage operators. These entities will seek to maximize their operating profits through strategic bidding in the day-ahead electricity market. One important parameter in any storage bidding strategy is the state-of-charge at the end of the trading day. Because this final state-of-charge is the initial state-of-charge for the next trading day, it has a strong impact on the profitability of storage for this next day. This paper proposes a look-ahead technique to optimize a merchant energy storage operator's bidding strategy considering both the day-ahead and the following day. Taking into account the discounted profit opportunities that could be achieved during the following day allows us to optimize the state-of-charge at the end of the first day. We formulate this problem as a bilevel optimization. The lower-level problem clears a ramp-constrained multiperiod market and passes the results to the upper-level problem that optimizes the storage bids. Linearization techniques and Karush–Kuhn–Tucker conditions are used to transform the original problem into an equivalent single-level mixed-integer linear program. Numerical results obtained with the IEEE Reliability Test System demonstrate the benefits of the proposed look-ahead bidding strategy and the importance of considering ramping and network constraints. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
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9. Optimal Energy Storage Siting and Sizing: A WECC Case Study.
- Author
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Fernandez-Blanco, Ricardo, Dvorkin, Yury, Xu, Bolun, Wang, Yishen, and Kirschen, Daniel S.
- Abstract
The large-scale integration of a grid-scale energy storage and the increasing penetration of renewable resources motivate the development of techniques for determining the optimal ratings and locations of storage devices. This paper proposes a method for identifying the sites where energy storage systems should be located to perform spatio-temporal energy arbitrage most effectively and the optimal size of these systems. This method takes a centralized perspective where the objective is to minimize the sum of the expected operating cost and the investment cost of energy storage. It has been tested on a realistic 240-bus 448-line model of the Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) interconnection. The influence on the results of the following parameters is analyzed: Maximum number of storage locations, maximum size of storage systems, capital cost of deploying storage, value assigned to spillage of renewable energy, marginal cost of conventional generation, and renewable generation capacity. These numerical results are used to characterize the benefits that energy storage can provide in prospective large-scale power systems with renewable generation. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
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10. Stochastic Multistage Coplanning of Transmission Expansion and Energy Storage.
- Author
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Qiu, Ting, Xu, Bolun, Wang, Yishen, Dvorkin, Yury, and Kirschen, Daniel S.
- Subjects
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POWER transmission , *ENERGY storage , *STOCHASTIC control theory , *SENSITIVITY analysis - Abstract
Transmission expansion and energy storage increase the flexibility of power systems and, hence, their ability to deal with uncertainty. Transmission lines have a longer lifetime and a more predictable performance than energy storage, but they require a very large initial investment. While battery energy storage systems (BESS) can be built faster and their capacity can be increased gradually, their useful life is shorter because their energy capacity degrades with time and each charge and discharge cycle. Additional factors, such as the expected profiles of load and renewable generation significantly affect planning decisions. This paper proposes a stochastic, multistage, coplanning model of transmission expansion, and BESS that considers both the delays in transmission expansion and the degradation in storage capacity under different renewable generation and load increase scenarios. The proposed model is tested using a modified version of the IEEE-RTS. Sensitivity analyses are performed to assess how factors such as the planning method, the storage chemistry characteristics, the current transmission capacity, and the uncertainty on future renewable generation and load profiles affect the investment decisions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
11. Technoeconomic model of second-life batteries for utility-scale solar considering calendar and cycle aging.
- Author
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Mathews, Ian, Xu, Bolun, He, Wei, Barreto, Vanessa, Buonassisi, Tonio, and Peters, Ian Marius
- Subjects
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SOLAR batteries , *ELECTRIC vehicle batteries , *LITHIUM-ion batteries , *COBALT oxides , *MAINTENANCE costs , *MANGANESE oxides - Abstract
• Techno-economic model of a solar-plus-second-life battery project in California. • Uses data-based model of lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide battery degradation. • State-of-charge limits in 65–15% range, extends the project life to over 16 years. • Break-even and profitability for second-life battery costs that are <60% of new. The rapid proliferation of electric vehicles is creating a fleet of millions of lithium-ion batteries that will be deemed unsuitable for the transportation industry once they reach 80% of their original capacity. The repurposing and deployment of these batteries as stationary energy storage provides an opportunity to reduce the cost of solar-plus-storage systems, if the economics can be proven. We present a techno-economic model of a solar-plus-second-life energy storage project in California, including a data-based model of lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide battery degradation, to predict its capacity fade over time, and compare it to a project that uses a new lithium-ion battery. By setting certain control policy limits, to minimize cycle aging, we show that a system with state-of-charge limits in a 65–15% range, extends the project life to over 16 years, assuming a battery reaches its end-of-life at 60% of its original capacity. Under these conditions, a second-life project is more economically favorable than a project that uses a new battery and 85–20% state-of-charge limits, for second-life battery costs that are <80% of the new battery. The same system reaches break-even and profitability for second-life battery costs that are <60% of the new battery. Our model shows that using current benchmarked data for the capital and operations and maintenance costs of solar-plus-storage systems, and a semi-empirical data-based degradation model, it is possible for electric vehicle manufacturers to sell second-life batteries for <60% of their original price to developers of profitable solar-plus-storage projects. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
12. Energy storage arbitrage in two-settlement markets: A transformer-based approach.
- Author
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Alghumayjan, Saud, Han, Jiajun, Zheng, Ningkun, Yi, Ming, and Xu, Bolun
- Subjects
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REAL-time bidding (Internet advertising) , *BIDS , *REAL-time programming , *ELECTRICITY markets , *PRICES - Abstract
This paper presents an integrated model for bidding energy storage in day-ahead and real-time markets to maximize profits. We show that in integrated two-stage bidding, the real-time bids are independent of day-ahead settlements, while the day-ahead bids should be based on predicted real-time prices. We utilize a transformer-based model for real-time price prediction, which captures complex dynamical patterns of real-time prices, and use the result for day-ahead bidding design. For real-time bidding, we utilize a long short-term memory-dynamic programming hybrid real-time bidding model. We train and test our model with historical data from New York State, and our results showed that the integrated system achieved promising results of almost a 20% increase in profit compared to only bidding in real-time markets, and at the same time reducing the risk in terms of the number of days with negative profits. • Joint bidding can boost profits by 29% over sole real-time market participation. • A reduction of up to 34% on negative profits can be achieved with joint bidding. • Virtual bidding is promising with perfect foresight but very risky in practice. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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