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The multivariate autoregressive (MVAR) model is widely used in describing the dynamics of nonlinear systems, in which the estimates of model parameters and underlying states can be achieved by dual extended Kalman filter (DEKF). However, when the measurements are corrupted by complicated non-Gaussian noises, the DEKF based on the minimum mean-square error (MMSE) criterion may provide biased estimates. In the present article, we develop a novel dual Kalman-type filter, referred to as DEKF under minimum error entropy (MEE) with fiducial points (MEEFs-DEKF) to deal with the non-Gaussian noises. First, the equivalent state-space model and parameter-space model are presented based on the MVAR model. Then, an optimality criterion based on MEE with fiducial points (MEEFs) is applied in the batch-mode regression equation to improve the robustness. Finally, a fixed-point iteration algorithm gives the posterior estimates of state and parameter. Simulation results confirm that the proposed MEEF-DEKF can achieve excellent performance in various noises with different distributions, especially in heavy-tailed and multimodal noises. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To date, most linear and nonlinear Kalman filters (KFs) have been developed under the Gaussian assumption and the well-known minimum mean square error (MMSE) criterion. In order to improve the robustness with respect to impulsive (or heavy-tailed) non-Gaussian noises, the maximum correntropy criterion (MCC) has recently been used to replace the MMSE criterion in developing several robust Kalman-type filters. To deal with more complicated non-Gaussian noises such as noises from multimodal distributions, in this article, we develop a new Kalman-type filter, called minimum error entropy KF (MEE-KF), by using the minimum error entropy (MEE) criterion instead of the MMSE or MCC. Similar to the MCC-based KFs, the proposed filter is also an online algorithm with the recursive process, in which the propagation equations are used to give prior estimates of the state and covariance matrix, and a fixed-point algorithm is used to update the posterior estimates. In addition, the MEE extended KF (MEE-EKF) is also developed for performance improvement in the nonlinear situations. The high accuracy and strong robustness of MEE-KF and MEE-EKF are confirmed by experimental results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The unscented Kalman filter (UKF) provides a powerful tool for power system forecasting-aided state estimation (FASE). However, when the power systems are affected by the abnormal operating situations, i.e., the non-Gaussian communication noises, sudden loads or state changes, and instrument failures, the original UKF based on the minimum mean square error (MMSE) criterion may suffer from performance degradation. In contrast to the MMSE criterion, the minimum error entropy (MEE) exhibits the robustness with respect to complex non-Gaussian disturbances. In this article, we develop a new unscented Kalman-type filter based on the MEE criterion, termed MEE-UKF. To derive the MEE-UKF, a statistical linearization approach is adopted in the augmented model such that the state and measurement errors are combined in the MEE cost function simultaneously. Then, a fixed-point iteration algorithm is used to recursively update the posterior estimates and covariance matrix. Apart from the impulsive noises, the MEE-UKF can deal with complex multimodal distribution noises in both process and measurement. The high accuracy and strong robustness of MEE-UKF are confirmed by the simulation results on IEEE 14, 30, and 57 bus test systems under different non-Gaussian disturbances. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]