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BackgroundWith no effective treatments for cognitive decline or dementia, improving the evidence base for modifiable risk factors is a research priority. This study investigated associations between risk factors and late-life cognitive decline on a global scale, including comparisons between ethno-regional groups.Methods and findingsWe harmonized longitudinal data from 20 population-based cohorts from 15 countries over 5 continents, including 48,522 individuals (58.4% women) aged 54-105 (mean = 72.7) years and without dementia at baseline. Studies had 2-15 years of follow-up. The risk factors investigated were age, sex, education, alcohol consumption, anxiety, apolipoprotein E ε4 allele (APOE*4) status, atrial fibrillation, blood pressure and pulse pressure, body mass index, cardiovascular disease, depression, diabetes, self-rated health, high cholesterol, hypertension, peripheral vascular disease, physical activity, smoking, and history of stroke. Associations with risk factors were determined for a global cognitive composite outcome (memory, language, processing speed, and executive functioning tests) and Mini-Mental State Examination score. Individual participant data meta-analyses of multivariable linear mixed model results pooled across cohorts revealed that for at least 1 cognitive outcome, age (B = -0.1, SE = 0.01), APOE*4 carriage (B = -0.31, SE = 0.11), depression (B = -0.11, SE = 0.06), diabetes (B = -0.23, SE = 0.10), current smoking (B = -0.20, SE = 0.08), and history of stroke (B = -0.22, SE = 0.09) were independently associated with poorer cognitive performance (p < 0.05 for all), and higher levels of education (B = 0.12, SE = 0.02) and vigorous physical activity (B = 0.17, SE = 0.06) were associated with better performance (p < 0.01 for both). Age (B = -0.07, SE = 0.01), APOE*4 carriage (B = -0.41, SE = 0.18), and diabetes (B = -0.18, SE = 0.10) were independently associated with faster cognitive decline (p < 0.05 for all). Different effects between Asian people and white people included stronger associations for Asian people between ever smoking and poorer cognition (group by risk factor interaction: B = -0.24, SE = 0.12), and between diabetes and cognitive decline (B = -0.66, SE = 0.27; p < 0.05 for both). Limitations of our study include a loss or distortion of risk factor data with harmonization, and not investigating factors at midlife.ConclusionsThese results suggest that education, smoking, physical activity, diabetes, and stroke are all modifiable factors associated with cognitive decline. If these factors are determined to be causal, controlling them could minimize worldwide levels of cognitive decline. However, any global prevention strategy may need to consider ethno-regional differences.

BACKGROUND: We investigated the potential impact of antihypertensive drugs for atrial fibrillation (AF) prevention through a drug target Mendelian randomization study to avoid the potential limitations of clinical studies. METHODS: Validated published single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that mimic the action of 12 antihypertensive drug classes, including alpha-adrenoceptor blockers, adrenergic neuron blockers, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin-II receptor blockers, beta-adrenoceptor blockers, centrally acting antihypertensive drugs, calcium channel blockers, loop diuretics, potassium-sparing diuretics and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, renin inhibitors, thiazides and related diuretic agents, and vasodilators were used. We estimated, via their corresponding gene and protein targets, the downstream effect of these drug classes to prevent AF via systolic blood pressure using 2-sample Mendelian randomization analyses. The SNPs were extracted from 2 European genome-wide association studies for the drug classes (n=317 754; n=757 601) and 1 European genome-wide association study for AF (n=1 030 836). RESULTS: Drug target Mendelian randomization analyses supported the significant preventive causal effects of lowering systolic blood pressure per 10 mm Hg via alpha-adrenoceptor blockers (n=11 SNPs; odds ratio [OR], 0.34 [95% CI, 0.21-0.56]; P=2.74×10-05), beta-adrenoceptor blockers (n=17 SNPs; OR, 0.52 [95% CI, 0.35-0.78]; P=1.62×10-03), calcium channel blockers (n=49 SNPs; OR, 0.50 [95% CI, 0.36-0.70]; P=4.51×10-05), vasodilators (n=19 SNPs; OR, 0.53 [95% CI, 0.34-0.84]; P=7.03×10-03), and all 12 antihypertensive drug classes combined (n=158 SNPs; OR, 0.64 [95% CI, 0.54-0.77]; P=8.50×10-07) on AF risk. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicated that lowering systolic blood pressure via protein targets of various antihypertensive drugs seems promising for AF prevention. Our findings inform future clinical trials and have implications for repurposing antihypertensive drugs for AF prevention. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BackgroundLow serum magnesium has been implicated in cardiovascular mortality, but results are conflicting and the pathway is unclear. We studied the association of serum magnesium with coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality and sudden cardiac death (SCD) within the prospective population‐based Rotterdam Study, with adjudicated end points and long‐term follow‐up. Methods and ResultsNine‐thousand eight‐hundred and twenty participants (mean age 65.1 years, 56.8% female) were included with a median follow‐up of 8.7 years. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazard models and found that a 0.1 mmol/L increase in serum magnesium level was associated with a lower risk for CHD mortality (hazard ratio: 0.82, 95% CI 0.70–0.96). Furthermore, we divided serum magnesium in quartiles, with the second and third quartile combined as reference group (0.81–0.88 mmol/L). Low serum magnesium (≤0.80 mmol/L) was associated with an increased risk of CHD mortality (N=431, hazard ratio: 1.36, 95% CI 1.09–1.69) and SCD (N=217, hazard ratio: 1.54, 95% CI 1.12–2.11). Low serum magnesium was associated with accelerated subclinical atherosclerosis (expressed as increased carotid intima‐media thickness: +0.013 mm, 95% CI 0.005–0.020) and increased QT‐interval, mainly through an effect on heart rate (RR‐interval: −7.1 ms, 95% CI −13.5 to −0.8). Additional adjustments for carotid intima‐media thickness and heart rate did not change the associations with CHD mortality and SCD. ConclusionsLow serum magnesium is associated with an increased risk of CHD mortality and SCD. Although low magnesium was associated with both carotid intima‐media thickness and heart rate, this did not explain the relationship between serum magnesium and CHD mortality or SCD. Future studies should focus on why magnesium associates with CHD mortality and SCD and whether intervention reduces these risks.

Background: Hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) is often associated with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD; Crohn's disease or ulcerative colitis). However, the prevalence of IBD in HS patients is unknown.Objective: To determine the prevalence of IBD in HS patients, and determine if patients with HS and IBD have a distinct HS phenotype.Methods: For this multicenter, cross-sectional study, HS patients were asked during their first consultation if they had IBD. The diagnosis of IBD was checked in the medical files, and clinical characteristics were collected.Results: IBD had a prevalence of 3.3% (95% CI 2.3-4.4) in 1076 HS patients. The prevalence of Crohn's disease was 2.5% (95% CI 1.6-3.4) and the prevalence of ulcerative colitis was 0.8% (95% CI 0.3-1.4). HS-IBD patients were less frequently obese (13.9% vs 31.2%, P = .04) than HS-only patients, but there were no differences in gender, family history of HS, disease severity, body areas affected by HS, or smoking status.Limitations: The prevalence might be underestimated since HS patients might still develop IBD.Conclusion: The prevalence of IBD in HS patients (3.3%) is 4-8 times higher than the prevalence in the general northern European population (0.41%-0.74%), however HS-IBD patients do not have a distinct HS phenotype. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Subclinical cardiac dysfunction has been associated with increased mortality, and heart failure increases the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD). Less well known is whether subclinical cardiac dysfunction is also a risk factor for SCD. Our objective was to assess the association between echocardiographic parameters and SCD in a community-dwelling population free of heart failure.Methods and Results: We computed hazard ratios (HRs) for left atrium diameter, left ventricular (LV) end-diastolic dimension, LV end-systolic dimension, LV mass, qualitative LV systolic function, LV fractional shortening, and diastolic function. During a median follow-up of 6.3 years in 4,686 participants, 68 participants died because of SCD. Significant associations with SCD were observed for qualitative LV systolic function and LV fractional shortening. For moderate/poor qualitative LV systolic function, the HR for SCD was 2.54 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10-5.87). Each standard deviation decrease in LV fractional shortening was associated with an HR of 1.36 (95% CI 1.09-1.70).Conclusions: Subclinical abnormalities in LV systolic function were associated with SCD risk in this general population. Although prediction of SCD remains difficult and traditional cardiovascular risk factors are of greatest importance, this knowledge might guide future directions to prevent SCD in persons with subclinical cardiac dysfunction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: A prolonged heart rate-corrected QT (QTc) interval is a well-known risk indicator for sudden cardiac death (SCD) and a contraindication for drugs with potentially arrhythmogenic adverse effects.Objective: We aimed to study the consistency of QTc interval prolongation and whether a consistent QTc interval prolongation correlates differently with SCD than does an inconsistently prolonged QTc interval.Methods: We used a population-based cohort study of persons 55 years and older. We excluded participants using QTc-prolonging drugs or with bundle branch block. The QT interval was corrected for heart rate using Bazett and Fridericia formulas. Using a Cox regression model, we assessed the association between QTc interval prolongation consistency and the occurrence of SCD.Results: A total of 3484 participants had electrocardiograms (ECGs) recorded on 2 consecutive visits. In 96%-98% of participants with a normal QTc interval on the first ECG, the QTc interval remained normal, but only in 27%-35% of those with a prolonged QTc interval, the QTc interval was prolonged on the second ECG after a median of 1.8 years. A consistently prolonged QTc interval was associated with an increased risk of SCD as compared with a consistently normal QTc interval (Bazett: hazard ratio 2.23; 95% confidence interval 1.17-4.24, Fridericia: hazard ratio 6.67; 95% confidence interval 2.96-15.06). A prolonged QTc interval preceded or followed by a normal QTc interval was not significantly associated with an increased risk of SCD.Conclusion: Persons with an inconsistently prolonged QTc interval did not have a higher risk of SCD than those with a consistently normal QTc interval. Persons with a consistently prolonged QTc interval did have a higher risk of SCD. Our results suggest that repeated measurements of the QTc interval could enhance risk stratification. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Although sudden cardiac death (SCD) is relatively common, contemporary data on its incidence are lacking. Objective The purpose of this study was to investigate the current incidence of SCD and its trend over the past 2 decades in a general middle-aged and elderly population. Methods This study was performed within the Rotterdam Study, a prospective population-based cohort study of persons aged 45 years and older. Age-standardized incidence rates of SCD were calculated. To study trends in incidence, we compared 2 subcohorts within the total study population, 1 followed from 1990–2000 and the other from 2001–2010. Results From 1990–2010, 5512 of 14,628 participants died, of whom 583 (4.0%) were classified as SCD. The overall incidence was 4.2 per 1000 person-years. The incidence was higher in men (5.2 per 1000 person-years) than in women (3.6 per 1000 person-years). Age-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.84 (95% confidence [CI] 1.56–2.17) and risk of SCD increased with age (HR 1.10 per year; 95% CI 1.09–1.11). The incidence rate from 1990–2000 was 4.7 per 1000 person-years vs 2.1 per 1000 person-years from 2001–2010 (age- and sex-adjusted HR of SCD 0.60, 95% CI 0.44–0.80). To check for cohort effects, we also analyzed the incidence of total mortality and found an age- and sex-adjusted HR of total mortality of 0.82 (95% CI 0.75–0.90) for the second compared to the first subcohort, which was significantly higher than the decline in SCD incidence. Conclusion We found an incidence of SCD of 4.2 per 1000 person-years. The incidence decreased from 1990–2010, a period during which the diagnosis and treatment of heart disease greatly improved. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Few comprehensive studies exist on the epidemiology of hidradenitis suppurativa, a very distressing skin disease. Objective We sought to identify disease-related factors associated with severity, sex, and family history. Methods Ordinal logistic regression was used in 846 consecutive Dutch patients with hidradenitis suppurativa to calculate odds ratios (ORs) for severity according to Hurley. Sex and family history were compared using Student t test and χ² test. Results In total, 45.5% of the patients had Hurley I, 41.5% had Hurley II, and 13.0% had Hurley III. Severity was associated with male sex (OR 2.11; P < .001), disease duration (OR 1.03; P < .001), body mass index (OR 1.03; P = .01), smoking pack-years (OR 1.02; P = .001), and axillary (OR 2.24; P < .001), perianal (OR 1.92; P < .001), and mammary lesions (OR 1.48; P = .03). Women had earlier onset, more inguinal and mammary lesions, and more frequent family history for hidradenitis suppurativa. Men more commonly had gluteal, perianal, and atypical lesions, and a history of severe acne. Patients with a family history had earlier onset, longer disease duration, a history of severe acne, more extensive disease, and were more often smokers. Limitations Some parameters were patient-reported. Conclusion The severity risk factors identified in this study could help physicians to select patients who need close monitoring and who would benefit from early, aggressive therapy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Low serum magnesium has been implicated in cardiovascular mortality, but results are conflicting and the pathway is unclear. We studied the association of serum magnesium with coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality and sudden cardiac death (SCD) within the prospective population‐based Rotterdam Study, with adjudicated end points and long‐term follow‐up. Methods and Results: Nine‐thousand eight‐hundred and twenty participants (mean age 65.1 years, 56.8% female) were included with a median follow‐up of 8.7 years. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazard models and found that a 0.1 mmol/L increase in serum magnesium level was associated with a lower risk for CHD mortality (hazard ratio: 0.82, 95% CI 0.70–0.96). Furthermore, we divided serum magnesium in quartiles, with the second and third quartile combined as reference group (0.81–0.88 mmol/L). Low serum magnesium (≤0.80 mmol/L) was associated with an increased risk of CHD mortality (N=431, hazard ratio: 1.36, 95% CI 1.09–1.69) and SCD (N=217, hazard ratio: 1.54, 95% CI 1.12–2.11). Low serum magnesium was associated with accelerated subclinical atherosclerosis (expressed as increased carotid intima‐media thickness: +0.013 mm, 95% CI 0.005–0.020) and increased QT‐interval, mainly through an effect on heart rate (RR‐interval: −7.1 ms, 95% CI −13.5 to −0.8). Additional adjustments for carotid intima‐media thickness and heart rate did not change the associations with CHD mortality and SCD. Conclusions: Low serum magnesium is associated with an increased risk of CHD mortality and SCD. Although low magnesium was associated with both carotid intima‐media thickness and heart rate, this did not explain the relationship between serum magnesium and CHD mortality or SCD. Future studies should focus on why magnesium associates with CHD mortality and SCD and whether intervention reduces these risks.

Objectives: The purpose of this study was to determine the association of coronary artery calcification (CAC) with incident heart failure in the elderly and examine its independence of overt coronary heart disease (CHD). Background: Heart failure is often observed as a first manifestation of coronary atherosclerosis rather than a sequela of overt CHD. Although numerous studies have shown that CAC, an established measure of coronary atherosclerosis, is a strong predictor of CHD, the association between CAC and future heart failure has not been studied prospectively. Methods: In the Rotterdam Study, a population-based cohort, 1,897 asymptomatic participants (mean age, 69.9 years; 58% women) underwent CAC scoring and were followed for the occurrence of heart failure and CHD. Results: During a median follow-up of 6.8 years, there were 78 cases of heart failure and 76 cases of nonfatal CHD. After adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, increasing CAC scores were associated with heart failure (p for trend = 0.001), with a hazard ratio of 4.1 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.7 to 10.1) for CAC scores >400 compared with CAC scores of 0 to 10. After censoring participants for incident nonfatal CHD, increasing extent of CAC remained associated with heart failure (p for trend = 0.046), with a hazard ratio of 2.9 (95% CI: 1.1 to 7.4) for CAC scores >400. Moreover, adding CAC to cardiovascular risk factors resulted in an optimism-corrected increase in the c-statistic by 0.030 (95% CI: 0.001 to 0.050) to 0.734 (95% CI: 0.698 to 0.770) and substantially improved the risk classification of subjects (continuous net reclassification index = 34.0%). Conclusions: CAC has a clear association with the risk of heart failure, independent of overt CHD. Because heart failure is highly prevalent in the elderly, it might be worthwhile to include heart failure as an outcome in future risk assessment programs incorporating CAC. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]