Search

The Rochester Epidemiology Project (REP) has maintained a comprehensive medical records linkage system for nearly half a century for almost all persons residing in Olmsted County, Minnesota. Herein, we provide a brief history of the REP before and after 1966, the year in which the REP was officially established. The key protagonists before 1966 were Henry Plummer, Mabel Root, and Joseph Berkson, who developed a medical records linkage system at Mayo Clinic. In 1966, Leonard Kurland established collaborative agreements with other local health care providers (hospitals, physician groups, and clinics [primarily Olmsted Medical Center]) to develop a medical records linkage system that covered the entire population of Olmsted County, and he obtained funding from the National Institutes of Health to support the new system. In 1997, L. Joseph Melton III addressed emerging concerns about the confidentiality of medical record information by introducing a broad patient research authorization as per Minnesota state law. We describe how the key protagonists of the REP have responded to challenges posed by evolving medical knowledge, information technology, and public expectation and policy. In addition, we provide a general description of the system; discuss issues of data quality, reliability, and validity; describe the research team structure; provide information about funding; and compare the REP with other medical information systems. The REP can serve as a model for the development of similar research infrastructures in the United States and worldwide., (Copyright © 2012 Mayo Foundation for Medical Education and Research. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

The Rochester Epidemiology Project is a unique medical records-linkage system that encompasses the care delivered to residents of Rochester and Olmsted County, Minnesota. It is the creation of Dr. Leonard T. Kurland, who envisioned the population-based data resource that would result from combining the clinical documentation developed by the Mayo Clinic with that obtained by other community providers, most notably the Olmsted Medical Group and its affiliated Olmsted Community Hospital. Kurland built on the Mayo unit medical record system that was designed by Dr. Henry S. Plummer in 1907 and on the medical and surgical indexing systems introduced by Dr. Joseph Berkson in 1935. By affording access to details of the medical care given to local residents, the Rochester Epidemiology Project is able to provide accurate incidence data for almost any serious condition and to support population-based analytic studies of disease causes and outcomes. Thus, epidemiologic studies of a wide array of disorders have been possible and have culminated in almost 900 publications since the system was organized in 1966. Olmsted County is one of the few places in the world where the occurrence and natural history of diseases can be accurately described and analyzed in a defined population for a half century or more.

ABSTRACT Although fractures in both the pediatric and, especially, the elderly populations have been extensively investigated, comparatively little attention has been given to the age group in between. Thus, we used the comprehensive (inpatient and outpatient) data resources of the Rochester Epidemiology Project to determine incidence rates for all fractures among young adult (age range, 18 to 49 years) residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota, in 2009 to 2011, and compared the distribution of fracture sites and causes in this young adult cohort with those for older residents aged 50 years or older. During the 3-year study period, 2482 Olmsted County residents aged 18 to 49 years experienced 1 or more fractures. There were 1730 fractures among 1447 men compared with 1164 among 1035 women, and the age-adjusted incidence of all fractures was 66% greater among the men (1882 [95% confidence interval 1793-1971] versus 1135 [95% CI 1069-1201] per 100,000 person-years; p < 0.001). Of all fractures, 80% resulted from severe trauma (eg, motor vehicle accidents) compared with 33% in Olmsted County residents age ≥50 years who sustained a fracture in 2009 to 2011. Younger residents (aged 18 to 49 years), when compared with older residents (aged ≥50 years), had a greater proportion of fractures of the hands and feet (40% versus 18%) with relatively few fractures observed at traditional osteoporotic fracture sites (14% versus 43%). Vertebral fractures were still more likely to be the result of moderate trauma than at other sites, especially in younger women. In conclusion, whereas pediatric and elderly populations often fracture from no more than moderate trauma, young adults, and more commonly men, suffer fractures primarily at non-osteoporotic sites due to more significant trauma. © 2017 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Population-based strategies to combat osteoporosis are urgently needed. The role of nutrition in such strategies has been particularly contentious. We examined the relationship among six key nutrients that are thought to affect bone metabolism and bone mineral density in the axial and appendicular skeleton using data from a population-based study in the northern United States. Data on the dietary intake of calcium, phosphorus, vitamin D, protein, fat, and total energy were obtained from a 7-day dietary record. Bone density measurements were made by dual photon absorptiometry in the lumbar spine and proximal femur, and by single photon absorptiometry in the distal and midradius. Among the 72 premenopausal women studied, there was a statistically significant positive association between protein intake and bone mineral in the distal radius and proximal femur, which was not altered by adjustment for age, weight, and physical activity. Among 218 postmenopausal women, no such relationship was found between protein intake and bone mineral, and the only significant findings in this group were negative associations between fat consumption and bone density in the lumbar spine and radius. Our results suggest that dietary protein intake may be a determinant of the peak bone mass attained by premenopausal white women. The relevance of this finding for the design of population strategies to maximize skeletal growth requires further investigation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Several studies suggest secular increases in hip fracture incidence through this century, but little is known about such trends for vertebral fracture. We have examined changes in the incidence of clinically ascertained vertebral fractures among Rochester, Minnesota residents aged 35-69 years, that were first diagnosed between 1950 and 1989. Our results indicate no overall increase in incidence over the 40-year period. Categorization of fractures according to the level of preceding trauma, however, revealed a significant increase in the incidence of fractures following moderate trauma among women aged 60-69 years. This increase occurred between 1950 and 1964, and leveled off thereafter. Rates for severe trauma fractures among postmenopausal women, and for vertebral fractures from any cause among younger men and women, remained stable. The rise in moderate trauma fractures in postmenopausal women paralleled that for hip fractures in Rochester and began to plateau at around the same time. It might have resulted from increased diagnosis of vertebral fractures, but the increase in hip fracture incidence is inconsistent with this explanation. An increase in the prevalence of osteoporosis, however, might account for the trend in both types of fractures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Although vertebral fractures are very common among elderly Caucasian women, no studies have compared the prevalence to that among Asian populations. Any observed differences in prevalence might lead to the identification of important environmental and/or genetic factors. We therefore compared the prevalence of vertebral fractures among US Caucasians to native Japanese and Japanese immigrants in Hawaii using a standardized approach.Methods: Spinal radiographs of women aged > 50 years were obtained from native Japanese in Hiroshima, Japanese-Americans in Hawaii, and North American Caucasians in Minnesota between 1982 and 1991. Fractures were defined as vertebral heights > 3 standard deviations (SD) below the vertebra-specific mean.Results: Compared to Japanese-Americans, odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for prevalent vertebral fractures were 1.8 (95% CI: 1.3-2.5) for native Japanese women and 1.5 (95% CI: 1.1-2.1) for Minnesota Caucasians. The OR tended to be higher when comparing the prevalence of two or more fractures per person: OR = 3.2 (95% CI: 2.0-5.3) for native Japanese and OR = 1.9 (95% CI: 1.2-3.2) for Minnesota Caucasians. Similar results were observed for native Japanese using a fracture definition of > or = 4 SD below the mean, but the OR for Caucasians was reduced to 1.2 (95% CI: 0.6-2.3).Conclusion: The observation that, among these three populations, hip fracture incidence is lowest but spine fracture prevalence is greatest among native Japanese suggests that different risk factors may be responsible. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

ABSTRACT To assess recent trends in fracture incidence from all causes at all skeletal sites, we used the comprehensive (inpatient and outpatient) data resources of the Rochester Epidemiology Project to estimate rates for Olmsted County, MN, USA, residents in 2009 to 2011 compared with similar data from 1989 to 1991. During the 3-year study period, 2009 to 2011, 3549 residents ≥50 years of age experienced 5244 separate fractures. The age- and sex-adjusted (to the 2010 US white population) incidence of any fracture was 2704 per 100,000 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI] 2614 to 2793) and that for all fractures was 4017 per 100,000 (95% CI 3908 to 4127). Fracture incidence increased with age in both sexes, but age-adjusted rates were 49% greater among the women. Overall, comparably adjusted fracture incidence rates increased by 11% (from 3627 to 4017 per 100,000 person-years; p = 0.008) between 1989 to 1991 and 2009 to 2011. This was mainly attributable to a substantial increase in vertebral fractures (+47% for both sexes combined), which was partially offset by a decline in hip fractures (−25%) among the women. There was also a 26% reduction in distal forearm fractures among the women; an increase in distal forearm fractures among men aged 50 years and over was not statistically significant. The dramatic increase in vertebral fractures, seen in both sexes and especially after age 75 years, was attributable in part to incidentally diagnosed vertebral fractures. However, the fall in hip fracture incidence, observed in most age groups, continues the steady decline observed among women in this community since 1950. More generally, these data indicate that the dramatic increases in the incidence of fractures at many skeletal sites that were observed decades ago have now stabilized. © 2014 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Summary: The effects of bariatric surgery on skeletal health are poorly understood. We found that bariatric surgery patients are more prone to fracture when compared to the general population. While further studies of fracture risk in this population are needed, bone health should be discussed in bariatric surgery clinics. Introduction: Bariatric surgery is an increasingly common treatment for medically complicated obesity. Adverse skeletal changes after bariatric surgery have been reported, but their clinical importance remains unknown. We hypothesized that bariatric surgery patients are at increased risk of fracture. Methods: We conducted a historical cohort study of fracture incidence among 258 Olmsted County, Minnesota, residents who underwent a first bariatric surgery in 1985-2004. Relative fracture risk was expressed as standardized incidence ratios (SIRs), while potential risk factors were evaluated by hazard ratios (HR) obtained from a time-to-fracture regression model. Results: The mean (±SD) body mass index at bariatric surgery was 49.0 ± 8.4 kg/m, with an average age of 44 ± 10 years and 82 % (212) females. Gastric bypass surgery was performed in 94 % of cases. Median follow-up was 7.7 years (range, 6 days to 25 years), during which 79 subjects experienced 132 fractures. Relative risk for any fracture was increased 2.3-fold (95 % confidence interval (CI), 1.8-2.8) and was elevated for a first fracture at the hip, spine, wrist, or humerus (SIR, 1.9; 95 % CI, 1.1-2.9), as well as for a first fracture at any other site (SIR, 2.5; 95 % CI, 2.0-3.2). Better preoperative activity status was associated with a lower age-adjusted risk (HR, 0.4; 95 % CI, 0.2-0.8) while prior fracture history was not associated with postoperative fracture risk. Conclusions: Bariatric surgery, which is accompanied by substantial biochemical, hormonal, and mechanical changes, is associated with an increased risk of fracture. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

ABSTRACT Distal forearm fractures are among the most common fractures during childhood, but it remains unclear whether they predict an increased fracture risk later in life. We studied a population-based cohort of 1776 children ≤18 years of age, from Olmsted County, MN, USA, who had a distal forearm fracture in 1935-1992. Incident fractures occurring at age ≥35 years were identified through review of complete medical records using the linkage system of the Rochester Epidemiology Project. Observed nonpathologic fractures resulting from no more than moderate trauma (fragility fractures) were compared with expected numbers estimated from fracture site-specific incidence rates, based on age, sex, and calendar year, for Olmsted County (standardized incidence ratios [SIR]). In 1086 boys (mean ± SD age; 11 ± 4 years) and 690 girls (10 ± 4 years) followed for 27,292 person-years after the age of 35 years, subsequent fragility fractures were observed in 144 (13%) men and 74 (11%) women. There was an increased risk for future fragility fractures in boys who had a distal forearm fracture (SIR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.6-2.3) but not girls (SIR, 1.0; 95% CI, 0.8-1.2). Fragility fractures at both major osteoporotic (hip, spine, wrist, and shoulder) sites (SIR, 2.6; 95% CI, 2.1-3.3) and remaining sites (SIR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.3-2.0) were increased in men, irrespective of age at distal forearm fracture as boys. A distal forearm fracture in boys, but not girls, is associated with an increased risk for fragility fractures as older adults. It is necessary to determine whether the increased fractures observed in men is due to persistent deficits of bone strength, continued high fracture risk activity, or both. Until then, men should be asked about a childhood distal forearm fracture and, if so, warrant further screening and counseling on measures to optimize bone health and prevent fractures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Summary: Adjusting for age, sex, and precipitating cause, the relative risk of death was increased following fractures at most skeletal sites. Introduction: This study aims to determine long-term survival following fractures due to any cause at each skeletal site. Methods: In a historical cohort study, 2,901 Olmsted County, MN, USA, residents ≥35 years old who experienced any fracture in 1989-1991 were followed passively for up to 22 years for death from any cause. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) compared observed to expected deaths. Results: During 38,818 person-years of follow-up, 1,420 deaths were observed when 1,191 were expected (SMR, 1.2; 95 % CI, 1.1-1.3). The overall SMR was greatest soon after fracture, especially among the men, but remained elevated for over a decade thereafter. Adjusting for age and sex, relative death rates were greater for pathological fractures and less for severe trauma fractures compared to the fractures due to no more than moderate trauma. In the latter group, long-term mortality was increased following fractures at many skeletal sites. After further adjustment for precipitating cause, overall SMRs were elevated not only following fractures at the traditional major osteoporotic sites (i.e., distal forearm, proximal humerus, thoracic/lumbar vertebrae, and proximal femur) combined (SMR, 1.2; 95 % CI, 1.1-1.3) but also following all other fracture types combined (SMR 1.2; 95 % CI, 1.1-1.4), excluding the hand and foot fractures not associated with any increased mortality. Conclusions: The persistence of increased mortality long after the occurrence of a fracture has generally been attributed to underlying comorbidity, but this needs to be defined in much greater detail if specific opportunities are to be identified for reducing the excess deaths observed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

OBJECTIVES:The prevalence of celiac disease (CD) varies greatly, potentially because of incomplete ascertainment of cases and small study samples with limited statistical power. Previous reports indicate that the incidence of CD is increasing. We examined the prevalence of CD in a well-defined US county.METHODS:Population-based study in Olmsted County, Minnesota, USA. Using the infrastructure of the Rochester Epidemiology Project, medical, histopathology, and CD serology records were used to identify all new cases of CD in Olmsted County since 2000. Age- and sex-specific and adjusted (to the US white 2000 population) incidence rates for CD were estimated. Clinical presentation at diagnosis was also assessed.RESULTS:Between 2000 and 2010, 249 individuals (157 female or 63%, median age 37.9 years) were diagnosed with CD in Olmsted County. The overall age- and sex-adjusted incidence of CD in the study period was 17.4 (95% confidence interval (CI)=15.2-19.6) per 100,000 person-years, increasing from 11.1 (95% CI=6.8-15.5) in 2000-2001 to 17.3 (95% CI=13.3-21.3) in 2008-2010. The temporal trend in incidence rates was modeled as a two-slope pattern, with the incidence leveling off after 2004. Based on the two classic CD symptoms of diarrhea and weight loss, the relative frequency of classical CD among incident cases decreased over time between 2000 and 2010 (P=0.044).CONCLUSIONS:The incidence of CD has continued to increase in the past decade in a North-American population. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: We characterized variation in the clinical presentation between older and younger first time symptomatic stone formers in the general population. Materials and Methods: We studied a random sample of Olmsted County, Minnesota residents with their first diagnostic code for urolithiasis between 1984 and 2003. Chart validated symptomatic stone formers had a confirmed stone by imaging or stone passage. Clinical presentation characteristics were compared between age groups. Results: Among the 3,473 charts reviewed there were 1,590 validated incident symptomatic stone formers (mean age 43 years, range 18 to 96). Older individuals were more likely to present with atypical or no pain, fever, diarrhea, pyuria, urinary tract infections and bacteremia (p <0.001). Stone size and location did not differ by patient age. Calcium phosphate stone disease was associated with younger age, while uric acid stone and atypical stone composition was associated with older age (p <0.001). Older individuals were less likely to pass the stone spontaneously and were more likely to require surgical intervention (p <0.001). Surgical intervention was required in 516 (32.5%) individuals. Younger individuals were more likely to undergo ureteroscopy while older individuals were more likely to undergo shock wave lithotripsy, temporizing stent placement and percutaneous nephrolithotomy. Conclusions: The detection of stone disease in older individuals can be challenging due to atypical pain or absence of pain, as well as the presence of other comorbid conditions such as urinary tract infections and diarrhea. A higher index of suspicion for urolithiasis may be needed in the elderly for a more timely diagnosis and intervention to prevent morbidity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Summary: We used a microsimulation model to estimate the threshold body weights at which screening bone densitometry is cost-effective. Among women aged 55-65 years and men aged 55-75 years without a prior fracture, body weight can be used to identify those for whom bone densitometry is cost-effective. Introduction: Bone densitometry may be more cost-effective for those with lower body weight since the prevalence of osteoporosis is higher for those with low body weight. Our purpose was to estimate weight thresholds below which bone densitometry is cost-effective for women and men without a prior clinical fracture at ages 55, 60, 65, 75, and 80 years. Methods: We used a microsimulation model to estimate the costs and health benefits of bone densitometry and 5 years of fracture prevention therapy for those without prior fracture but with femoral neck osteoporosis (T-score ≤ −2.5) and a 10-year hip fracture risk of ≥3%. Threshold pre-test probabilities of low BMD warranting drug therapy at which bone densitometry is cost-effective were calculated. Corresponding body weight thresholds were estimated using data from the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (SOF), the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) study, and the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) for 2005-2006. Results: Assuming a willingness to pay of $75,000 per quality adjusted life year (QALY) and drug cost of $500/year, body weight thresholds below which bone densitometry is cost-effective for those without a prior fracture were 74, 90, and 100 kg, respectively, for women aged 55, 65, and 80 years; and were 67, 101, and 108 kg, respectively, for men aged 55, 75, and 80 years. Conclusions: For women aged 55-65 years and men aged 55-75 years without a prior fracture, body weight can be used to select those for whom bone densitometry is cost-effective. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Rochester Epidemiology Project (REP) medical records-linkage system was established in 1966 to capture health care information for the entire population of Olmsted County, MN, USA. The REP includes a dynamic cohort of 502 820 unique individuals who resided in Olmsted County at some point between 1966 and 2010, and received health care for any reason at a health care provider within the system. The data available electronically (electronic REP indexes) include demographic characteristics, medical diagnostic codes, surgical procedure codes and death information (including causes of death). In addition, for each resident, the system keeps a complete list of all paper records, electronic records and scanned documents that are available in full text for in-depth review and abstraction. The REP serves as the research infrastructure for studies of virtually all diseases that come to medical attention, and has supported over 2000 peer-reviewed publications since 1966. The system covers residents of all ages and both sexes, regardless of socio-economic status, ethnicity or insurance status. For further information regarding the use of the REP for a specific study, please visit our website at www.rochesterproject.org or contact us at info@rochesterproject.org. Our website also provides access to an introductory video in English and Spanish. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

A positive association has been reported between greater bone density and higher breast cancer risk, suggesting that these women could be at reduced risk of fracture. To estimate fracture risk among unselected community women with breast cancer and to systematically assess associations with various risk factors including breast cancer treatments, we conducted a population-based historical cohort study of 608 Olmsted County, MN, USA, women with invasive breast cancer first diagnosed in 1990 to 1999 (mean age 61.6 ± 14.8 years), who were followed for 5776 person-years. Altogether, 568 fractures were observed in 270 women (98 per 1000 person-years). Overall fracture risk was elevated 1.8-fold, but the absolute increase in risk was only 9%, and 56% of the women did not experience a fracture during follow-up. Excluding pathologic fractures (15%) and those found incidentally (24%), to allow for ascertainment bias, the standardized incidence ratio was 1.2 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.99 to 1.3) for total fracture risk and 0.9 (95% CI 0.7 to 1.2) for osteoporotic fracture risk alone. Various breast cancer treatments were associated with an increased risk of fracture, but those associations were strongest for pathologic fractures, which were relatively more common among the women who were premenopausal when their breast cancer was diagnosed. Moreover, underlying clinical characteristics prompting different treatments may have been partially responsible for the associated fracture outcomes (indication bias). These data thus demonstrate that breast cancer patients in general are not at greatly increased risk of fracture but neither are they protected from fractures despite any determinants that breast cancer and high bone density may have in common. © 2012 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Summary: Bone strength at the ultradistal radius, quantified by micro-finite element modeling, can be predicted by variables obtained from high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography scans. The specific formula for this bone strength surrogate (−555.2 + 8.1 × [trabecular vBMD] + 19.6 × [cortical area] + 4.2 × [total cross-sectional area]) should be validated and tested in fracture risk assessment. Introduction: The purpose of this study was to identify key determinants of ultradistal radius (UDR) strength and evaluate their relationships with age, sex steroid levels, and measures of habitual skeletal loading. Methods: UDR failure load (~strength) was assessed by micro-finite element (μFE) modeling in 105 postmenopausal controls from an earlier forearm fracture case-control study. Predictors of bone strength obtained by high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HRpQCT) in this group were then evaluated in a population-based cohort of 214 postmenopausal women. Sex steroids were measured by mass spectrometry. Results: A surrogate variable (−555.2 + 8.1 × [trabecular vBMD] + 19.6 × [cortical area] + 4.2 × [total cross-sectional area]) predicted UDR strength modeled by μFE ( R = 0.81), and all parameters except total cross-sectional area declined with age. Evaluated cross-sectionally, the 21% fall in predicted bone strength between ages 40-49 years and 80+ years more resembled the change in trabecular volumetric bone mineral density (vBMD) (−15%) than that in cortical area (−41%). In multivariable analyses, measures of body composition and physical activity were stronger predictors of UDR trabecular vBMD, cortical area, total cross-sectional area, and predicted bone strength than were sex steroid levels, but bio-available estradiol and testosterone were correlated with body mass. Conclusions: Bone strength at the UDR, as quantified by μFE, can be predicted from variables obtained by HRpQCT. Predicted bone strength declines with age with changes in UDR trabecular vBMD and cortical area, related in turn to reduced skeletal loading and sex steroid levels. The predicted bone strength formula should be validated and tested in fracture risk assessment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: Purpose: Recent findings suggest a role for heart failure in the etiology of osteoporotic fractures, yet the temporal sequence of occurrence of the 2 conditions needs clarification. Methods: Using the Rochester Epidemiology Project, the authors conducted a 2-phase study: a case-control study compared osteoporotic fracture history among Olmsted County, Minnesota, residents newly diagnosed with heart failure in 1979-2002 with age- and sex-matched community controls without heart failure (961 pairs; mean age 76 years; 54% women). Both groups were then followed to July 2009 to evaluate their subsequent fracture risk in a cohort study. Results: Prior fractures were more frequent in heart failure cases than controls (23.1% vs. 18.8%, P =.02). The adjusted odds ratio (OR) for heart failure associated with prior fracture was 1.39 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07-1.81), mainly driven by hip fractures (OR 1.82; 95% CI, 1.25-2.66) with little or no association with other fractures. Over a mean follow-up of 7.5 years, 444 individuals developed subsequent osteoporotic fractures. The adjusted fracture risk was marginally elevated in heart failure patients compared with controls (hazard ratio [HR] 1.32; 95% CI, 0.98-1.79), again largely attributable to hip fractures (HR 1.58; 95% CI, 1.03-2.41). Conclusions: In this community, the association with fracture risk was about as strong before as after the diagnosis of heart failure and was nearly entirely attributable to hip fractures. Additional work is needed to identify common underlying mechanisms for heart failure and hip fracture, which may define prevention opportunities. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Background & Aims: Age, diarrhea, and certain chronic illnesses are risk factors for fecal incontinence (FI). However, the contribution of obstetric injury to the development of FI later in life is unclear. We sought to better understand the risk factors for FI. Methods: Through the Rochester Epidemiology Project, a nested case-control study of 176 randomly selected women with FI (cases; mean age, 58 years) and 176 age-matched community controls was conducted in a population-based cohort from Olmsted County, Minnesota. Risk factors for FI were evaluated by reviewing inpatient and outpatient medical (including original obstetric) records. Analyses focused on conditions that preceded the index date (incidence date of FI for case in each matched pair). Results: In 88% of cases, FI began at age ≥40 years; severity was mild (37%), moderate (58%), or severe (5%). By multivariable analysis, current smoking (odds ratio [OR], 4.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.4–15), body mass index (OR per unit, 1.1; 95% CI, 1.004-1.1), diarrhea (OR, 53; 95% CI, 6.1-471), irritable bowel syndrome (OR, 4.8; 95% CI, 1.6-14), cholecystectomy (OR, 4.2; 95% CI, 1.2-15), rectocele (OR, 4.9; 95% CI, 1.3-19), and stress urinary incontinence (OR, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.4-6.5), but not obstetric events, were independent risk factors for FI. Conclusions: Bowel disturbances rather than prior obstetric injury are the main risk factors for FI. Measures to ameliorate bowel disturbances and other potentially reversible risk factors should be implemented before anal imaging is performed on women with FI. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The role of venous stasis syndrome (VSS) mechanisms (i.e. venous outflow obstruction [VOO] and venous valvular incompetence [VVI]) on quality of life (QoL) and activities of daily living (ADL) is unknown. The objective of this study was to test the hypotheses that venous thromboembolism (VTE),VSS,VOO and VVI are associated with reduced QoL and ADL. This study is a follow-up of an incident VTE case-control study nested within a population-based inception cohort of residents from Olmsted County, MN, USA, between 1966 and 1990. The study comprised 232 Olmsted County residents with a first lifetime VTE and 133 residents without VTE. Methods included a questionnaire and physical examination for VSS; vascular laboratory testing for VOO and VVI; assessment of QoL by SF36 and of ADL by pertinent sections from the Older Americans Resources and Services (OARS) and Arthritis Impact Measurement Scales (AIMS2) questionnaires. Of the 365 study participants, 232 (64%), 161 (44%), 43 (12%) and 136 (37%) had VTE, VSS, VOO and VVI, respectively. Prior VTE was associated with reduced ADL and increased pain, VSS with reduced physical QoL and increased pain, and VOO with reduced physical QoL and ADL.VVI was not associated with QoL or ADL. In conclusion,VSS and VOO are associated with worse physical QoL and increased pain. VOO and VTE are associated with impaired ADL. We hypothesize that rapid clearance of venous outflow obstruction in individuals with acute VTE will improve their QoL and ADL. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

Background & Aims: Outcomes of undiagnosed celiac disease (CD) are unclear. We evaluated the morbidity and mortality of undiagnosed CD in a population-based sample of individuals 50 years of age and older. Methods: Stored sera from a population-based sample of 16,886 Olmsted County, Minnesota, residents 50 years of age and older were tested for CD based on analysis of tissue transglutaminase and endomysial antibodies. A nested case-control study compared serologically defined subjects with CD with age- and sex-matched, seronegative controls. Medical records were reviewed for comorbid conditions. Results: We identified 129 (0.8%) subjects with undiagnosed CD in a cohort of 16,847 older adults. A total of 127 undiagnosed cases (49% men; median age, 63.0 y) and 254 matched controls were included in a systematic evaluation for more than 100 potentially coexisting conditions. Subjects with undiagnosed CD had increased rates of osteoporosis and hypothyroidism, as well as lower body mass index and levels of cholesterol and ferritin. Overall survival was not associated with CD status. During a median follow-up period of 10.3 years after serum samples were collected, 20 cases but no controls were diagnosed with CD (15.2% Kaplan–Meier estimate at 10 years). Conclusions: With the exception of reduced bone health, older adults with undiagnosed CD had limited comorbidity and no increase in mortality compared with controls. Some subjects were diagnosed with CD within a decade of serum collection, indicating that although most cases of undiagnosed CD are clinically silent, some result in symptoms. Undiagnosed CD can confer benefits and liabilities to older individuals. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

A diverse array of bone density, structure, and strength parameters were significantly associated with distal forearm fractures in postmenopausal women, but most of them were also correlated with femoral neck areal bone mineral density (aBMD), which provides an adequate measure of bone fragility at the wrist for routine clinical purposes. This study seeks to test the clinical utility of approaches for assessing forearm fracture risk. Among 100 postmenopausal women with a distal forearm fracture (cases) and 105 with no osteoporotic fracture (controls), we measured aBMD and assessed radius volumetric bone mineral density, geometry, and microstructure; ultradistal radius failure load was evaluated in microfinite element (μFE) models. Fracture cases had inferior bone density, geometry, microstructure, and strength. The most significant determinant of fracture in five categories were bone density (femoral neck aBMD; odds ratio (OR) per standard deviation (SD), 2.0; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.4–2.8), geometry (cortical thickness; OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1–2.1), microstructure (structure model index (SMI); OR, 0.5; 95% CI, 0.4–0.7), and strength (µFE failure load; OR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.3–2.5); the factor-of-risk (applied load in a forward fall ÷ μFE failure load) was 15% worse in cases (OR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.4–2.6). Areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) ranged from 0.62 to 0.68. The predictors of forearm fracture risk that entered a multivariable model were femoral neck aBMD and SMI (combined AUC, 0.71). Detailed bone structure and strength measurements provide insight into forearm fracture pathogenesis, but femoral neck aBMD performs adequately for routine clinical risk assessment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A revision (version 3.0) of the fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX®) is developed based on an update of epidemiological information for the USA. With the revised tool, there were strong correlations ( r > 0.99) between versions 2.0 and 3.0 for FRAX® estimates of fracture probability, but the revised models gave lower probability estimates. The aim of this study was to determine the effects of a revision of the epidemiological data used to compute fracture probabilities in the USA with FRAX®. Models were constructed to compute fracture probabilities based on updated fracture incidence and mortality rates in the USA. The models comprised the ten-year probability of hip fracture and the ten-year probability of a major osteoporotic fracture, both including femoral neck bone mineral density (BMD). For each model, fracture and death hazards were computed as continuous functions. The effect of the revised rates on fracture probability was examined by piecewise linear regression using multiple combinations of clinical risk factors and BMD. At all ages, there was a strong correlation ( r > 0.99) between version 2.0 and revised FRAX® estimates of fracture probability. For a major osteoporotic fracture, the revised model gave lower median probabilities by 13% to 24% in men, depending on age, and by 19% to 24% in women. For hip fracture probability, the revised model gave lower median fracture probabilities by 40% and 27% at the ages of 50 and 60 years in men and by 43% and 30%, respectively, in women. At the ages of 70 years and older the revised model gave similar hip fracture probabilities as version 2.0 in both men and women. The revised FRAX® model for the USA (version 3.0) does not alter the ranking of fracture probabilities but provides lower probability estimates than version 2.0, particularly, in younger women and men. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Osteoporosis is common among the growing population of older men: almost 20% of men > or = 50 years old have osteoporosis of the hip, spine, or wrist. However, the exact estimate depends on the approach taken to normalize for bone size, the specific skeletal site assessed, and the diagnostic criteria used. Bone mineral density (BMD, g/cm2) by DXA is 12-25% greater in men than women, but bone mineral apparent density (g/cm3) is similar in the two sexes. This correction for skeletal size largely eliminates apparent differences in areal BMD between the races and also reduces the apparent effects on BMD of age. The particular skeletal site that is assessed has an important influence on the prevalence of osteoporosis (sex-specific BMD T-score less than -2.5) in men which varies from 0 to 36%, depending on the site, and from 2% to 45% in postmenopausal women. The discrepancies relate mainly to different patterns of bone loss at the various sites, but estimates are also affected by the specific young normal means and standard deviations (SD) used to calculate the T-scores. A greater mean and smaller SD among normal young men in Rochester, MN produced a higher prevalence of osteoporosis at the femoral neck (22% vs 7%) compared with estimates for white men from the Third National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey; use of female normal values further reduced osteoporosis prevalence at the hip in white, Hispanic, and African-American men to 4%, 2%, and 3%, respectively, compared with 20% for white women in the United States. By contrast, fracture risk is similar for men and women at any given level of BMD. These observations reinforce current efforts to move away from osteoporosis prevalence and toward absolute fracture risk as the main basis for clinical treatment decisions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background The incidence rates of gastric and oesophageal adenocarcinoma are changing significantly, but little is known about specific sub-sites. Aim To use a population-based approach to describe the trends in the site-specific incidence of oesophageal and gastric adenocarcinoma. Methods Using the Rochester Epidemiology Project, all cases of gastric and oesophageal adenocarcinoma among Olmsted County, Minnesota, residents first diagnosed between 1971 and 2000 were identified ( n = 186). Complete in-patient and out-patient records were reviewed and site determined from pathological, surgical, endoscopic and radiological reports. Results Between the decades of 1971–1980 and 1991–2000, the incidence of oesophageal adenocarcinoma increased significantly from 0.4 to 2.5 per 100 000 person-years. The incidence of adenocarcinoma of the oesophagogastric junction also increased from a rate of 0.6 to 2.2 per 100 000 person-years. The incidence rate of cancer involving the gastric cardia was stable but the incidence of adenocarcinoma involving distal gastric sites declined. Combined oesophageal and oesophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma (4.7 per 1 000 000 person-years) was as common as gastric adenocarcinoma (3.4 per 100 000 person-years) in 1991–2000. Conclusions The incidence rates of adenocarcinoma involving proximal gastric sub-sites do not appear to be increasing in a manner similar to those involving oesophageal sub-sites. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: To determine whether women with pelvic endometriosis are at increased fracture risk. Design: Historical cohort study. Setting: Population-based investigation using the data resources of the Rochester Epidemiology Project. Patient(s): From Olmsted County, Minnesota, 987 women with endometriosis that was first surgically visualized or histologically proven in 1970–1989. Intervention(s): None, observational study. Main Outcome Measure(s): Follow-up for fractures through complete inpatient and outpatient community medical records. Result(s): In 17,408 person-years of follow-up, 256 women experienced 449 different fractures. The cumulative incidence after 20 years (30.8%) was not elevated relative to that expected (30.6%). The independent predictors of any fracture included age (hazard ratio [HR] per 10 years: 1.61; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.42–1.84]), corticosteroid use (HR: 2.78; 95% CI 1.48–5.24), prior hip, spine, or forearm fracture (HR: 1.82; 95% CI 1.10–3.02), and use of the selective estrogen receptor modulators, tamoxifen or raloxifene (HR: 4.34; 95% CI 2.14–8.81); physical activity was protective (HR: 0.40; 95% CI 0.18–0.88). There was no significant influence on fracture risk of surgery or other medical treatments for endometriosis. Conclusion(s): Despite reported adverse effects of treatment on bone density, there was no overall increase in long-term fracture risk in this unselected cohort of women with proven endometriosis. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Introduction: Approaches for recognizing vertebral fractures remain controversial. Methods: An age-stratified population sample of 512 postmenopausal women was followed with serial radiographs for up to 12 years (4455 person-years). Results: 112 women experienced a new vertebral fracture (20% reduction in any vertebral height from baseline) within this study period, for an annual age-adjusted (to US white women ≥50 years of age in 2000) incidence of 23 per 1000. Depending on the morphometric definition used, the prevalence of vertebral deformities at baseline ranged from 3 to 90%. A recent method to standardize vertebral heights produced the best agreement with a qualitative clinical reading of the films [kappa (κ), 0.53]. Almost all of the different baseline definitions predicted future vertebral fractures, but most of the predictive power was attributable to the severe (e.g., 4 SD) deformities included within more generous (e.g., 3 SD) classifications. Whereas the generous definitions were more sensitive, and the restrictive ones more specific, their overall abilities to predict a new vertebral fracture were roughly comparable as evaluated by the c-index (analogous to the area under an ROC curve). Conclusion: This result suggests that the choice of a morphometry definition depends on the particular application and, in particular, on whether it is more important to maximize sensitivity or specificity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background With the introduction of new therapies, the subgrouping of patients based on bowel pattern has become important. However, the appropriate definition of an alternating bowel pattern remains unclear. Aim To determine if specific symptoms are reported by people with an alternating bowel pattern. Methods Using the Rochester Epidemiology Project, a series of population-based surveys were undertaken in which valid self-report gastrointestinal symptom questionnaires were mailed to 4029 randomly selected members of the community. One question asked was ‘How would you describe your usual bowel pattern in the last year'? Results 3022 subjects (74%) provided questionnaire data and 2718 were eligible for this analysis, the mean age was 57 years, with a range of 20–98 years (median = 61). Of these, 9.2%, 2.5% and 7.6% reported their usual bowel pattern as being constipated, diarrhoea, or alternating respectively. At least 50% of those reporting alternating bowel pattern reported incomplete evacuation (63%), urgency (57%), straining (55%) and loose stool (50%). The proportion of alternators reporting each individual symptom was between that of diarrhoea and constipation except for mucus and incomplete evacuation; however, no symptom was unique to alternators. Conclusion People who self-report an alternating bowel pattern appear to represent a blend of constipation and diarrhoea symptoms, rather than a distinct subgroup. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To put vertebral augmentation (eg, vertebroplasty) into perspective, the etiology and outcomes of vertebral fractures are reviewed. There is considerable debate about which criteria should be used to define a vertebral fracture because there is no consistent relation between symptoms and the degree of vertebral deformity. However, it is the more significant vertebral body deformities that are most closely associated with frequent or severe back pain, and the referrals for vertebral augmentation come mainly from this subset of patients. In addition to their vertebral fractures, these patients typically have osteoporosis or elevated bone turnover, and they are at greatly increased risk of subsequent fractures as a result of falling or, more often, excessive spinal loads from activities of everyday living. Additional risk factors for new vertebral fractures include the number and severity of vertebral deformities at baseline. Moreover, new fractures are most likely in nearby vertebrae, and they occur more frequently in the mid-thoracic or thoracolumbar regions of the spine. Interestingly, these are also the characteristics of the subsequent fractures of contiguous vertebrae considered by some to represent a complication of vertebral augmentation, yet they characterize vertebral fracture risk even in untreated patients. Vertebral fractures are very common among older men and postmenopausal women; they are associated with substantial morbidity and mortality; and they may have a devastating impact on the patient’s quality of life. Vertebral augmentation may be able to help many of these patients, although opportunities exist to optimize management strategies with respect to the other factors that influence long-term outcomes in this patient population. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Background & Aims: The risk for colorectal cancer in Crohn’s disease and ulcerative colitis patients from the United States currently is unknown. We estimated the risk for small-bowel and colorectal cancer in a population-based cohort of 692 inflammatory bowel disease patients from Olmsted County, Minnesota, from 1940 to 2001. Methods: The Rochester Epidemiology Project was used to identify cohort patients with colorectal and small-bowel cancer. The cumulative probability of cancer and standardized incidence ratios (SIR) were estimated using expected rates from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results, white patients from Iowa, from 1973 to 2000, and Olmsted County, from 1980 to 1999. Results: Colorectal cancer was observed in 6 ulcerative colitis patients vs 5.38 expected (SIR, 1.1; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.4–2.4), but 4 of these occurred among those with extensive colitis or pancolitis (SIR, 2.4; 95% CI, 0.6–6.0). Six Crohn’s disease patients (vs 3.2 expected) developed colorectal cancer (SIR, 1.9; 95% CI, 0.7–4.1). Three Crohn’s disease patients developed small-bowel cancer vs 0.07 expected (SIR, 40.6; 95% CI, 8.4–118). Conclusions: The risk for colorectal cancer was not increased among ulcerative colitis patients overall, but appeared to be increased among those with extensive colitis. The colorectal cancer risk was increased slightly among Crohn’s disease patients, who also had a 40-fold excess risk for small-bowel cancer. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

The ability of regional data from whole body scans to provide an accurate assessment of site-specific BMD, osteoporosis prevalence and fracture risk has not been fully explored. To address these issues, we measured total body (TBBD) and site-specific BMD in an age-stratified population sample of 351 women (21–93 years) and 348 men (22–90 years). We found an excellent correlation between AP lumbar spine and total body lumbar spine subregion BMD ( r 2=0.92), but weaker ones for total hip compared to pelvis region ( r 2=0.72) or between total wrist and left arm subregion from the whole body scan ( r 2=0.83). The error in estimating site-specific BMD from total body regions ranged from 4.3% (lumbar spine) to 11.2% (femoral neck) in women and from 4.9 to 11.1%, respectively, in men. Site-specific versus regional measurements at the lumbar spine and total hip/pelvis provided comparable overall estimates of osteoporosis prevalence, but disagreed on the status of individuals; measurements at whole body regions underestimated osteoporosis as assessed at the femoral neck or total wrist. All measurements were associated with a history of various fractures [age adjusted odds ratios (OR), 1.3 to 2.1 in women and 1.2 to 1.5 in men] and were generally interchangeable, but femoral neck BMD provided the best estimate of osteoporotic fracture risk in women (OR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.7–5.0). Although there are strong correlations between BMD from dedicated scans of the hip, spine and distal forearm and corresponding regions on the whole body scan, the measurements provide somewhat different estimates of osteoporosis prevalence and fracture risk. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background & Aims: The epidemiology of fecal incontinence (FI) is incompletely understood. We report the prevalence, clinical spectrum, health care-seeking behavior, and quality of life (QOL) in community women with FI. Methods: A questionnaire was mailed to an age-stratified random sample of 5300 Olmsted County, Minnesota, women identified by the Rochester Epidemiology Project. Symptom severity was assessed by a validated scale, and impact on QOL was evaluated for subjects who had any FI during the past year. The prevalence of FI was calculated with direct age adjustment to the 2000 US white female population. Results: Altogether, 2800 of 5300 women (53%) responded to the survey. The overall age-adjusted prevalence of FI in the past year was 12.1 per 100 (95% confidence interval, 11.0–13.1). The prevalence increased with age from 7 (third decade) to 22 (sixth decade) per 100 and was steady thereafter. Symptoms were mild (45%), moderate (50%), or severe (5%), and symptom severity was related to the impact of FI on QOL and physician-consulting behavior. Moderate to severe impact on ≥1 domain of QOL was reported by 6% with mild, 35% with moderate, and 82% with severe symptoms, whereas 5% with mild, 10% with moderate, and 48% with severe FI had consulted a physician for FI in the past year. Conclusions: More than 1 of 10 adult women in the population have FI; almost 1 of 15 have moderate to severe FI. FI significantly impacts QOL and prompts health care utilization predominantly in women with moderate to severe symptoms. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Background & Aims: Colorectal cancer (CRC) screening has been advocated increasingly during the past 2 decades, but there is little direct evidence that it has affected cancer incidence or presentation at the population level. This study assessed concurrent trends in CRC incidence, presentation, survival, mortality, and polypectomies in Olmsted County, Minnesota. Methods: Longitudinal observational study was conducted of all Olmsted County residents with colorectal adenocarcinoma first diagnosed in 1980–1999. Results: Altogether, 889 invasive CRCs were diagnosed among Olmsted County residents from 1980 through 1999. Annual age- and sex-adjusted CRC incidence rates decreased significantly during this period (P = .02) with a 23% decline from 60 per 100,000 in 1980–1984 to 46 per 100,000 in 1995–1999. This was primarily accounted for by a 40% reduction in left-sided CRC (P < .001). The incidence of right-sided CRC remained unchanged, but the proportion of right-sided CRC increased from 46% to 58%. Cancer stage shifted downward, and survival improved over time. The overall proportion of screen-detected CRC rose from 8% to 17%. Annual adjusted adenomatous polypectomy rates increased dramatically from 86 to 320 per 100,000 (P < .001). Conclusions: The incidence of CRC in Olmsted County has declined in recent years. An impact of screening is suggested by the observed upward trend in screen-detected cases, a favorable stage shift, and a concurrent rise in polypectomy rates. However, the incidence of right-sided cancer remains unaltered and might be less affected by historically used screening interventions. Most CRCs still present symptomatically, and more effective population screening is needed. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abnormal bone metabolism is a recognized complication of end-stage renal disease, but fracture risk following renal transplantation has not been well quantified. We followed the 86 Olmsted County, Minnesota, residents who underwent initial renal transplantation in 1965–1995 for 911 person-years (median, 10.6 years per subject) in a retrospective cohort study. Fractures, and possible risk factors, were assessed through review of each subject’s complete community medical records. Altogether, 117 fractures were observed during follow-up extending to 33 years. The cumulative incidence of any fracture at 15 years was 60% versus 20% expected (P<0.001). There was a significantly increased risk of fractures generally [standardized incidence ratio (SIR), 4.8; 95% CI, 3.6–6.4] and vertebral (SIR, 23.1; 95% CI, 12.3–39.6) and foot fractures (SIR, 8.4; 95% CI, 5.1–12.9) especially. Age at first transplantation, renal failure due to diabetes, pancreas transplantation, peripheral neuropathy, peripheral vascular disease and blindness were all associated with overall fracture risk. In a multivariate analysis, however, only age and diabetic nephropathy were independent predictors of fracture risk generally, while higher activity status was protective. Diabetes was the only independent predictor of lower limb fractures, whereas age and osteoporosis history predicted vertebral fractures. Cumulative corticosteroid dosage was not associated with increased fracture risk in this analysis. Despite the fact that our patients had few risk factors for preexisting bone disease attendant to postmenopausal osteoporosis, prior corticosteroid use or renal osteodystrophy, these data indicate that renal transplantation is associated with a significant increase in fracture risk among unselected patients in the community. Diabetic patients, particularly, experience excess lower limb fractures. Patients and their care providers should be aware of this elevated fracture risk, which continues long-term. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

AbstractBackground: Although surgery has been used widely for treating peptic ulcer disease, there is conflicting evidence with respect to subsequent life expectancy and the determinants of mortality. Our aim was to compare long-term survival in a large, population-based cohort of operated patients with that expected in the general population. Methods: We followed 471 Rochester, Minnesota residents who had surgery for peptic ulcer at the Mayo Clinic during 1956–85 for a total of 6174 person-years. Patients were followed through their complete (inpatient and outpatient) medical records in the community until death or last clinical contact and death certificates were obtained for all who succumbed. We compared observed survival and cause-specific death rates in this cohort with expected values and identified the determinants of short (30 day) and long-term mortality. Results and Conclusions: Survival was worse than expected, but excess deaths were confined to those with perforated ulcers (42 deaths observed; 18.8 expected). Independent predictors of death included age, male gender, emergency operation, gastric ulcer and cigarette smoking. Most deaths were due to heart disease and cancer, but only those due to digestive diseases (standardized mortality ratio (SMR) 3.8, 95% CI 2.4–5.7) and respiratory diseases (SMR 1.9, 95% CI 1.3–2.7) were increased compared to expected figures. Overall survival was reduced in this cohort but was normal among those whose ulcers were not perforated. However, the data suggest an adverse role for alcohol and smoking in these patients. © 1999 Blackwell Science Asia Pty Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Clinical spectrum, treatment and short-term outcomes were assessed among the 131 Rochester, Minnesota, men who contracted an initial hip fracture due to moderate trauma during 1978-89. Three-fourths of falls leading to hip fracture occurred indoors with little seasonality, and 91% of fractures were in men 65 years of age or older. The ratio of cervical to intertro-chanteric femur fractures was 1.4:1, and there was a tendency toward more neurological conditions among the patients with cervical fractures. Hemiarthroplasty and total hip replacement were mostly performed for cervical fractures, while internal fixation was preferred for intertrochanteric fractures. In-hospital mortality was 11.5%, and the 30-day case fatality rate was 16.0%. Age and postoperative deterioration of mental status significantly increased the risk of early death, the latter even after adjustment in a multivariate model, while comorbidity had a suggestive but not statistically significant influence on mortality. More than half the men were discharged to nursing homes, and 79% of the patients who survived at 1 year resided in nursing homes or intermediate care facilities or were attended by home care. Only 41% of survivors recovered their prefracture level of functioning and nearly 60% of patients limped and required a cane or walker. After implementation of the prospective payment system in 1984, the length of hospital stay was reduced, but there was no change in early mortality rates, in the duration of physical therapy following fracture or in attendance at nursing homes. The results of this population-based study demonstrate the strong impact of hip fractures on short-term outcomes in men. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

There is a need to identify vertebral fractures from radiographs taken at a single point in time, but considerable controversy surrounds the methods to be used. We extended a data set to comprise baseline radiographs of the thoracic and lumbar spine on an age-stratified random sample of 762 Rochester, Minnesota, women and used revised methods to define vertebral deformities morphometrically. Changes in the method of measuring vertebral heights, changes in the source of normal values for vertebral measurements and changes in the criteria for assessing vertebral deformity had little impact on estimated prevalence and incidence in this population. The prevalence of any vertebral deformity was estimated at 25.3 per 100 Rochester women aged 50 years and over (95% CI, 22.3-28.2), while the incidence of a new deformity in this group was estimated at 17.8 per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 16.0-19.7). Projected nationally, these data suggest that over 500 000 white women in the United States develop vertebral deformities for the first time each year and that over 7 million white women aged 50 years and over might be affected at any given time. These estimates are limited by the absence of a reliable 'gold standard' with which to determine false positive and false negative rates associated with this or any other morphometric method. Information on the health consequences of vertebral deformities of various sorts would be most helpful in choosing between alternative approaches to defining them. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Hip fractures are recognized to be a major public health problem in many Western nations, most notably those in North America, Europe and Oceania. Incidence rates for hip fracture in other parts of the world are generally lower than those reported for these predominantly Caucasian populations, and this has led to the belief that osteoporosis represents less of a problem to the nations of Asia, South American and Africa. Demographic changes in the next 60 years, however, will lead to huge increases in the elderly populations of those countries. We have applied available incidence rates for hip fracture from various parts of the world to projected populations in 1990, 2025 and 2050 in order to estimate the numbers of hip fractures which might occur in each of the major continental regions. The projections indicate that the number of hip fractures occurring in the world each year will rise from 1.66 million in 1990 to 6.26 million by 2050. While Europe and North America account for about half of all hip fractures among elderly people today, this proportion will fall to around one quarter in 2050, by which time steep increases will be observed throughout Asia and Latin America. The results suggest that osteoporosis will truly become a global problem over the next half century, and that preventive strategies will be required in parts of the world where they are not currently felt to be necessary. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The introduction of routine measurement of serum calcium levels led to a sharp increase in the incidence of primary hyperparathyroidism in the early 1970s.Objective: To evaluate the trends in the incidence of primary hyperparathyroidism since the mid-1970s.Setting: Rochester and Olmsted County, Minnesota.Design: Population-based descriptive study.Patients: All residents of Rochester, Minnesota, who received an initial diagnosis of primary hyperparathyroidism between 1965 and 1992 were identified through the medical records linkage system of the Rochester Epidemiology Project. Included as persons having definite cases (92% of the total) were patients with pathologically confirmed hyperparathyroidism, hypercalcemia with inappropriately elevated parathyroid hormone levels, or hypercalcemia that had lasted for more than a year and had no cause other than primary hyperparathyroidism.Measurements: Incidence rates were calculated and directly standardized to the population structure of white persons in the United States in 1990.Results: From 1965 to June 1974 (the prescreening era), the age- and sex-adjusted incidence of primary hyperparathyroidism in Rochester was 15 cases per 100,000 person-years. After measurement of calcium levels was added to the automated serum chemistry panel in July 1974, the incidence increased to 112 per 100,000 person-years in 1975 and then decreased somewhat, reflecting a sweeping effect. Despite improved case ascertainment, however, the incidence rate has continued to decrease; in 1992, the incidence was 4 per 100,000 person-years. A few patients had complications that might have been caused by hyperparathyroidism (22% between 1965 and June 1974 and 6% thereafter), and survival was not impaired in either period. The maximum serum calcium levels did not change (P = 0.15).Conclusions: The progressive decrease in the incidence of primary hyperparathyroidism is unexpected and suggests a significant change in the epidemiology of this disease. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this article the author discusses the innovation of an epidemiologic approach to fracture risk prediction, fostered by Pierre D. Delmas. He claims that the research of Delmas suggests that the fracture risk could be assessed in individual patients by use of a variety of bone densitometers. Moreover, he mentions that the innovation have led to new insights into fracture pathogenesis and reveals that high bone turnover is a direct determinant of fracture risk.

Abstract: Background: There is growing awareness of an association between cardiovascular disease and fractures, and a temporal increase in fracture risk after myocardial infarction has been identified. To further explore the nature of this relationship, we systematically examined the association of hip fracture with all disease categories and assessed related secular trends. Methods: By using resources of the Rochester Epidemiology Project, a population-based incident case-control study was conducted. Disease history was compared among all Olmsted County, Minnesota, residents aged 50 years or more with a first radiographically confirmed hip fracture in 1985-2006 and community control subjects individually matched (1:1) to cases on age, sex, and index year (n = 3808; mean age, 82 years; standard deviation, 9 years; 76% were women). Results: All cardiovascular and numerous non-cardiovascular disease categories (eg, infectious diseases, nutritional and metabolic diseases, mental disorders, diseases of the nervous system and sense organs, and diseases of the respiratory system) were associated with fracture risk. However, increasing temporal trends were detected almost exclusively in cardiovascular disease categories. The largest increases in association were observed for ischemic heart disease, other forms of heart disease (including heart failure), hypertension, and diabetes, and were more pronounced among elderly women than other demographic subgroups. Conclusions: Although the association with hip fracture was not specific to cardiovascular disease, temporal increases were mainly detected in cardiometabolic diseases, all of which have been linked previously to frailty. This mechanism and others warrant further investigation. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Objective: The objective of the study was to assess the incidence of and risk factors for pelvic floor repair (PFR) procedures after hysterectomy. Study design: Using the Rochester Epidemiology Project database, we tracked the incidence of PFRs through June 2006 among 8220 Olmsted County, MN, women who had a hysterectomy for benign indications between 1965 and 2002. Results: The cumulative incidence of PFR after hysterectomy was 5.1% by 30 years. This risk was not influenced by age at hysterectomy or calendar period. Future PFR was more frequently required in women who had prolapse, whether they underwent a hysterectomy alone (eg, vaginal [hazard ratio (HR) 4.3; 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.5 to 7.3], abdominal [HR 3.9; 95% CI 1.9 to 8.0]) or a hysterectomy and PFR (ie, vaginal [HR 1.9; 95% CI 1.3 to 2.7] or abdominal [HR 2.9; 95% CI 1.5 to 5.5]). Conclusion: Compared with women without prolapse, women who had a hysterectomy for prolapse were at increased risk for subsequent PFR. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]