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Esophagectomy in elderly esophageal carcinoma patients is correlated with a high morbidity and even mortality. Studies on neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NT) in elderly patients are scarce. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of advanced age in combination with NT in esophageal carcinoma patients who underwent an esophagectomy. Patients who underwent NT prior to esophagectomy between 1993 and 2010 were divided into three groups: <70, 70-74, and ≥75 years. Toxicity of NT and postoperative morbidity were compared between groups. Primary endpoints were toxicity, complication rate, and survival. Two hundred thirteen patients underwent NT during the study period, 26 were aged 70-74 years, and 17 were ≥70 years. Toxicity of NT was comparable for younger and elderly patients (46% vs. 54% vs. 47%, P = 0.263). Overall complications occurred in 62% of younger patients versus 73% and 71% among patients aged 70-74 years and ≥75 years, respectively (P = 0.836). Cardiac complications occurred in 14% of younger patients versus 27% and 41% of elderly patients (P = 0.021). Three-year survival rates were 59% versus 44% versus 31% among patients aged <70, 70-74, and ≥75 years, respectively (P = 0.237). Higher age (odds ratio 1.750, P < 0.001) was an independent risk factor for development of cardiac complications. Toxicity of NT and postoperative complications are comparable for patients aged <70, 70-74, and ≥75 years, with the exception of cardiac complications. Therefore, we consider NT followed by esophagectomy in elderly patients a safe treatment modality in our center., (© 2012 Copyright the Authors. Journal compilation © 2012, Wiley Periodicals, Inc. and the International Society for Diseases of the Esophagus.)

Objective: To assess trends in patient characteristics and treatment outcomes in a large cohort of patients who underwent oesophagectomy for oesophageal carcinoma in a tertiary referral centre over a period of 16 years., Design: Retrospective cohort study., Methods: We carried out a trend analysis on collected data on demographic and clinico-pathological characteristics, complications and survival of patients who underwent oesophagectomy between January 1993 and December 2008 at the Academic Medical Center in Amsterdam (AMC), the Netherlands. Patients were subsequently divided into three comparably-sized groups according to the year of operation: group 1 (1993-1998; n = 332), group 2 (1999-2004; n = 312), and group 3 (2005-2008; n = 296)., Results: A total of 940 patients underwent oesophagectomy during the total study period. Transhiatal oesophagectomy was performed more often during the first two time periods (65 and 64%, respectively), while the transthoracic approach was used more often in the third period (53%). The proportion of patients who underwent a microscopically radical resection increased significantly over the three periods of time. In-hospital mortality in all three periods was low, between 3.2%-3.4%. The three-year survival rate improved significantly over the three periods (p = 0.018), from 42% and 48% to 53% in the most recent period., Conclusion: Over the past 16 years in-hospital mortality in patients undergoing oesophagectomy for a potentially curable oesophageal carcinoma at the AMC, has been stably low. The total number of complications increased during these periods. Long-term survival improved during this time to a three-year overall survival of more than 50% in the most recent period.

Introduction: Even after potentially curative esophagectomy, the majority of patients with adenocarcinoma of the esophagus or gastroesophageal junction die due to cancer recurrence. To predict individual disease-specific survival, a nomogram has been developed in a high-volume center in the Netherlands. The validity of this nomogram was externally tested in patients treated in another country at a different high-volume institution., Methods: Clinicopathological data from patients who underwent a macroscopically radical resection in a high-volume center in Leuven, Belgium, were used to validate the original nomogram based on a Cox regression model. Moreover, it was examined whether adjusting the value of the original coefficients of the predictors or adding new predictors would improve the fit of the nomogram in the validation cohort. Calibration was evaluated by comparing the observed survival with the expected survival as predicted by the original nomogram across patients with different risk profiles. The discriminatory ability of the nomogram was determined in the validation cohort, using the concordance index and compared with the original estimate., Results: A total of 382 patients were used in the validation study. The median esophageal cancer-specific survival was 38 months. None of the coefficients re-estimated in the validation cohort differed significantly from the values of the original nomogram. Observed and expected survival curves showed good calibration. Discrimination of the original nomogram was preserved in the validation cohort: the concordance index hardly decreased from 0.77 in the original cohort to 0.76 in the validation cohort., Conclusions: The nomogram model that was originally developed in a Dutch institute had good individual discriminatory properties and good overall calibration when applied to an independent series of patients. The nomogram was updated using the data from both cohorts to provide even more robust estimates of survival for individual patients. This tool is clinically helpful to supply more reliable prognostic information, to offer tailored follow-up schedules and/or novel therapeutic strategies in subgroups of patients with higher risk of recurrence.

Background: Tumour node metastasis (TNM) staging predicts survival on the basis of the pathological extent of a tumour. The aim of this study was to develop a prognostic model with improved survival prediction after oesophagectomy., Methods: Consecutive patients who had potentially curative oesophagectomy for adenocarcinoma of the oesophagus or gastro-oesophageal junction were included. Cox regression analyses were performed to examine the association between risk factors and time to death from oesophageal cancer. The concordance index, calculated after bootstrapping, was used to measure accuracy. A nomogram was designed for use in clinical practice., Results: Oesophageal cancer-specific survival rates for the 364 included patients who underwent oesophagectomy between 1993 and 2003 were 75.8, 54.9 and 39.2 per cent at 1, 2 and 5 years respectively. A prognostic model using all prognostic variables outperformed TNM staging (concordance index 0.79 versus 0.68 respectively; P < 0.001). A reduced model derived after backward elimination, containing only T stage, lymph node ratio and extracapsular lymph node involvement, also outperformed TNM staging (concordance index 0.77; P < 0.001)., Conclusion: A prognostic model developed to predict disease-specific survival after oesophagectomy was superior to TNM staging. More reliable prognostic information might lead to different approaches to patient follow-up., (Copyright (c) 2007 British Journal of Surgery Society Ltd.)