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In recent years, extreme droughts have been frequent and widespread, and understanding the spatiotemporal variations in drought events in China plays an important role in drought risk management. In this study, using monthly meteorological data at 618 stations, we computed the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index with potential evapotranspiration based on the Penman–Monteith equation (SPEI_PM) for drought assessment. Furthermore, we analysed the trend, affected area, frequency and duration of drought in China over the period of 1960–2014 by the piecewise linear regression method (LRM) and Mann–Kendall (MK) method. The results showed that (a) the slight wetting trend reflected during 1960–2014 by the SPEI_PM (0.03/10a (p >.05). This trend was allocated to most parts of northern and southeastern China and was prone to arrive in winter. In contrast, the most significant drying trend was in the Loess Plateau and Yunnan–Kweichow Plateau. (b) The turning point (TP) year of drought trend was 1993. The SPEI_PM was increased in most parts of northern China before 1993 according to the LRM and MK method. However, it decreased after 1993, especially in the south and northwest of China; (c) Over the past 55 years, the areas affected by drought decreased at a rate of −1.23%/10a (p <.05). In detail, these areas decreased at a rate of −3.41%/10a before 1993 (p <.05) and increased at a rate of 2.71%/10a after 1993 (p >.05). (d) The drought frequency in most parts of China was between 15 and 20 during 1960–2014. Furthermore, compared with that in 1960–1977, the drought frequency was decreased in 1978–1995 and then increased in 1996–2014. These findings suggested that the long‐term trend in drought events during 1960–2014 was not significant in China. However, the severity, affected area and frequency of droughts increase after 1993. These results allowed us to understand the changes in the drought across China over the last 55 years, which is important for guiding relevant agricultural activities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

[Display omitted] • Developed a multiple evapotranspiration (ET) model integration framework to calculate ET. • High accuracy meteorological driven datasets were developed to reduce the uncertainties. • Eddy covariance (EC) observation and water balance method proved the quality of ET estimates. • Regional and spatial–temporal variations of ET in Haihe River Basin (HRB) were analysed. • The increasing ET in HRB was mainly attributed to the increase of the leaf area index. Evapotranspiration (ET) is a key component of the water and carbon cycles. Because it cannot be observed directly on large regional scales at present, many satellite-based ET datasets have been widely used for different purposes. However, their use has been limited at regional and field scales because of their coarse spatial and temporal resolution. In this study, the Bayesian model averaging (BMA) method was used to simulate daily ET values with 500 m spatial resolution in the Haihe River Basin (HRB) from 2000 to 2019. Validation performed with the in-situ observations showed that the BMA ET values had higher accuracy (R2 = 0.69, RMSE = 1.15 mm/day) than those found with individual models. The BMA ET values also had higher accuracy and more credibility based on a water balance equation validation in the HRB. We used interpolated meteorological datasets, reanalysis net radiation products, and remote-sensing datasets to drive the BMA ET model. The mean annual BMA ET in the HRB from 2000 to 2019 was about 601.8 mm/year. The monthly change characteristics of this BMA ET product reflected water consumption characteristics and irrigation regularity of the winter wheat and summer maize rotation system. The BMA ET in the HRB showed a significant increasing trend from 2000 to 2019 of 3.39 mm/y2. The BMA ET values showed a strong positive trend at 80 % of HRB areas. The increasing trend of the BMA ET values was mainly attributed to an increase in the leaf area index. The high spatiotemporal resolution product showed variations in ET trends more accurately than the coarse resolution products. This high spatiotemporal product has great potential for applications in studies of regional microclimate change, interactions between human activities and climate change, drought disaster monitoring, agricultural policy making, and water security. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Droughts have destructive impacts on crop yields and water supplies, and researching droughts is vital for societal stability and human life. This work aimed to assess the spatiotemporal evolution of droughts in mainland China over 1961–2013 using four drought indices. These indices were the percentage of precipitation anomaly (Pa), standard precipitation index (SPI), standard precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and evaporative demand drought index (EDDI) at multiple timescales ranging from 1-week to 24-month. The variations of the SPI, SPEI and EDDI were compared with historical severe or extreme droughts. The general increases of the Pa, SPI and SPEI, and general decrease of the EDDI, consistently implied an overall relief of drought conditions over 1961–2013. The different drought indices revealed historical drought conditions, including the national extreme droughts in 1961, 1965, 1972, 1978, 1986, 1988, 1992, 1994, 1997, 1999 and 2000, but various drought severity levels were classified for each drought event since the classification standards differed. Although the SPI and SPEI performed better than the EDDI and there were higher correlations between the SPI and the SPEI, all the indices were regional- or station-specific and have identified historical severe or extreme drought events. At shorter timescales, the EDDI revealed earlier onsets and ends of flash droughts, unlike those indicated by the SPI and SPEI. The comparison of the different indices based on the historical drought events confirmed the uses of the Pa, SPI and SPEI for determining continuous droughts and that of the EDDI for identifying flash droughts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To identify the world's severely drought-prone areas, given that the corresponding ground area for a 0.5-degree grid in different latitudes is different, we proposed a more precise spherical area-based statistical method. The corresponding ground area per 0.5-degree grid is obtained by integral calculation in latitude and longitude directions. The analysis of the drought based on the global Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index dataset from 1902 to 2008, where global, Northern Hemisphere, Southern Hemisphere, and major crop-planting regions from six continents are treated as statistical units. The interannual variability characteristics of the severe drought area for each statistical unit are investigated. To study the spatial distribution characteristics of the global frequency of severe drought, the drought frequency was calculated based on drought events identified by continuous drought months on a grid level. Six major crops (wheat, maize, rice, soybean, barley, and sorghum) were chosen to study the impact of drought events on agriculture. The results suggested that severe droughts in global, Northern Hemisphere, and Southern Hemisphere areas have indicated a downward trend since 1990, but an upward trend overall in all continents except Oceania. The identified drought-prone areas show a patchy distribution and frequently drought-prone areas (with 10–20% occurrence probability of drought) were distributed in regions surrounding chronically drought-prone areas (with more than 20% probability). Global chronically drought-prone areas have increased significantly, from 16.19% in 1902–1949 to 41.09% in 1950–2008. Chronically drought-prone areas of agriculture are located in the center of southern Europe, South America, and eastern Asia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]