1. Lung Cancer Screening in the Randomized Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer Screening Trial
- Author
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Ping Hu, Thomas L. Riley, David A. Lynch, Lawrence R. Ragard, Mona N. Fouad, Christine D. Berg, Lance A. Yokochi, Philip C. Prorok, Paul F. Pinsky, Saundra S. Buys, John K. Gohagan, Stephen D. Winslow, Gerald L. Andriole, William G. Hocking, Claudine Isaacs, Martin M. Oken, John Commins, Paul A. Kvale, and Carl R. Fuhrman
- Subjects
Male ,Oncology ,Cancer Research ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Lung Neoplasms ,law.invention ,Randomized controlled trial ,law ,Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung ,Internal medicine ,Cancer screening ,medicine ,Humans ,Lung cancer ,Early Detection of Cancer ,Aged ,Neoplasm Staging ,Ovarian Neoplasms ,Last Screening ,medicine.diagnostic_test ,business.industry ,Mortality rate ,Smoking ,Prostatic Neoplasms ,Cancer ,Articles ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Mass Chest X-Ray ,United States ,Logistic Models ,Patient Compliance ,Female ,Colorectal Neoplasms ,business ,Chest radiograph ,Lung cancer screening - Abstract
Background The 5-year overall survival rate of lung cancer patients is approximately 15%. Most patients are diagnosed with advanced-stage disease and have shorter survival rates than patients with early-stage disease. Although screening for lung cancer has the potential to increase early diagnosis, it has not been shown to reduce lung cancer mortality rates. In 1993, the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer Screening Trial was initiated specifically to determine whether screening would reduce mortality rates from PLCO cancers. Methods A total of 77 464 participants, aged 55–74 years, were randomly assigned to the intervention arm of the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial between November 8, 1993, and July 2, 2001. Participants received a baseline chest radiograph (CXR), followed by three annual single-view CXRs at the 10 US screening centers. Cancers were classified as screen detected and nonscreen detected (interval or never screened) and according to tumor histology. The positivity rates of screen-detected cancers and positive predictive values (PPVs) were calculated. Because 51.6% of the participants were current or former smokers, logistic regression analysis was performed to control for smoking status. All statistical tests were two-sided. Results Compliance with screening decreased from 86.6% at baseline to 78.9% at the last screening. Overall positivity rates were 8.9% at baseline and 6.6%–7.1% at subsequent screenings; positivity rates increased modestly with smoking risk categories (Ptrend < .001). The PPVs for all participants were 2.0% at baseline and 1.1%, 1.5%, and 2.4% at years 1, 2, and 3, respectively; PPVs in current smokers were 5.9% at baseline and 3.3%, 4.2%, and 5.6% at years 1, 2, and 3, respectively. A total of 564 lung cancers were diagnosed, of which 306 (54%) were screendetected cancers and 87% were non–small cell lung cancers. Among non–small cell lung cancers, 59.6% of screen-detected cancers and 33.3% of interval cancers were early (I–II) stage. Conclusions The PLCO Cancer Screening Trial demonstrated the ability to recruit, retain, and screen a large population over multiple years at multiple centers. A higher proportion of screen-detected lung cancers were early stage, but a conclusion on the effectiveness of CXR screening must await final PLCO results, which are anticipated at the end of 2015.
- Published
- 2010