Search

Discusses the views of some analysts who believe that the United States stock markets may reach a time when they are 'unable to move.'

Offers the author's opinion on the tax cut proposed by United States President George W. Bush and how the plan could possibly help the economy grow.

Reports on economic conditions in the United States as of December 18, 2000. Pressure on the U.S. Federal Reserve Board to lower interest rates in order to stave off inflation; Prediction of some economic analysts that the U.S. may be heading towards a recession; Relationship between Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan and U.S. politicians; Expected approach of U.S. President-elect George W. Bush to the economy.

Considers the likelihood that the United States may be headed for an economic downturn as of November 24, 2000. Comments from economists; Possible effect of an economic downturn on the administration of the winner of the contested U.S. 2000 presidential election; Information on U.S. economic conditions.

Presents reasons that the United States Federal Reserve may be considering a cut in interest rates. Number of interest rate increases made by Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan in an attempt to control the US economy; Information on aspects of the US economy as of September 19, 2000 including inflation, retail sales and consumer prices.

Analyzes the intentions of United States presidential candidates Al Gore and George W. Bush in regards to the use of a budget surplus. Information on budget economics and different ten-year projected forecasts of the surplus amount; Implications for tax cuts; Lack of a clear commitment by the candidates in regard to their plans.

Discusses the prospects for the continued health of the United States economy. Success of Alan Greenspan, the chairman of the US Federal Reserve Board; Possibility that the US economy will continue to experience growth; Inflation; Consumer prices; Effect of the high technology industry and the declining cost of communications and computer technology.

Examines the predictions for United States federal budget surplus and the opinion of analysts with the Schwab Washington Research Group that the Congressional Budget Office and the White House's Office of Management are estimating conservatively.

Explains how the impeachment of United States President Bill Clinton saved the Social Security system. Threats against Clinton forcing him to keep today's system basically intact; Details about Clinton's proposals; Clinton's appeal to Democrats and organized labor; Clinton's suggestion of optional individual Universal Service Accounts; How conservatives view Clinton's plan; Dependency of his plan on stock market success; System's solvency.

Explains why there are few concerns among economists about the effects of the Asian economic crisis on the United States. Forecasts about national economic output and gross domestic product; Expected growth in the US for 1999; Role of the Federal Reserve in the economy's stability; Impact of interest rate cuts; Effects of the Asian crisis on the US; Low oil prices and their benefits for the US; Money supply in the US; Stock investments.

Focuses on the White House plan for Social Security known as the `Two Percent Solution.' How the plan promises to make the system solvent without cuts in pension benefits or higher taxes; The problem of the transition period for any privatization plan; Details of some proposed plans.

Focuses on the debate between Democrats and Republicans in the United States over Social Security. The issue of privatization of Social Security; Details of the Cato Institute's multi-million dollar project on Social Security privatization; The plans of William Shipman, a co-director of the Cato project. INSET: Hidden costs of privatization.

Focuses on the expectations for sales at retail stores in the United States during the 1998 holiday season. Why the National Retail Federation thinks sales will increase by five to six percent; Changing consumer attitudes; The consumer price index; Interest rate cuts and their impact on retail sales; When retail stores experience the most shoppers.

Reports that Wall Street expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates November 17, 1998. The prediction that the stock market will take a serious dive if the Fed refuses to cut rates; The risk of global credit crunch; The comments of some economists; The effect that interest rate cuts could have on companies and profits; Forecasting.

Speculates that the United States budget surplus may erode if the global financial crisis continues to slow down US economic growth. Amount of the surplus; Surplus allowing the US to fight recession; Role of interest rates; Expectation that tax cuts and spending will become important political topics; How surpluses are viewed in Europe; Unemployment in Europe; Steps taken by Japan's government to aid the economy there.

Analyzes the reasons some economists are concerned about a United States recession. Disappointing corporate profits; Interest rates; Vague remedies for the problem; Expected US economic growth in 1999; Use of mathematical models for economic forecasting; Views of the Economic Strategy Institute, Washington, D.C.; Role of Federal Reserve Board Chairman Alan Greenspan; Impact of the stock market decline; Specific reasons for concern.

Reveals that economic analysts in the United States in 1998 are concerned that cheap exports from overseas may drive down the US economy and possible cause a recession. The continuing financial crises in Asia, and how they are impacting the US; Why many analysts feel that growth will continue through 1999; Predictions from Standard & Poor's DRI, an economic consulting firm; Concerns about inflation and possible deflation; The widening US trade deficit.

Focuses on the potential impact of the increasing trade deficit in the United States as of October 22, 1999, and how it could affect the economy.

Focuses on the United States tax cuts in the summer of 1999. Introduction of a bill by US House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Bill Archer, cutting taxes over ten years; How the House and Senate may pass these bills, but President Bill Clinton will veto any such bill; Details of the Archer plan; Role of the 2000 presidential election; Criticism of Republican tax cuts as being too large; Comments of Fred Ross of the Washington Research Group.

Questions whether the optimal national debt is no debt at all. United States Treasury securities; How US President Bill Clinton's budget surplus probably will not happen; Reasons it won't happen; Important uses of federal debt; Comments of Gene Sperling of the National Economic Council.

Reports a decision by the United States Federal Reserve to increase interest rates at the end of June 1999. Criticism of the move by economists; What the expected rise will be; Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan's argument for raising interest rates.

Discusses reasons to be concerned about the duration of the current economic expansion in the United States. Duration of the expansion; Prospects for recession, according to Victor Zarnowitz of the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research in New York City; Performance of the leading economic indicators; Research on business cycles; Factors that can halt economic success.

Reports that according to economist James Smith, the next recession in the United States will begin on May 16, 2002. Prediction reflecting a change in how economists view unemployment and inflation; Views of Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan; Prediction that George W. Bush will win the 2000 presidential election; Factors restraining inflation.

Examines ideas about how the United States government should spend anticipated budget surpluses. Views of President Bill Clinton that the surplus should pay back the federal debt; Further use of surpluses to buy private assets for the government; Short-term goals; Views of some Republicans about how to spend the funds; Tax cuts and spending for the Social Security Trust Fund; Uncertainty of long-term surplus projections.

Notes that economists are predicting that the booming economy experienced by the United States in the 1990s may continue into the twenty first century. How the boom is expected to impact the average household in the US; Economic indicators which are fueling optimism; How the economy compares to other booms; The impact of the low inflation monetary policy of the Federal Reserve; What businesses feel is the most important issue.

Reports that President Clinton is considering strategies for shoring up Social Security. Problem presented to the system by the retirement of baby boomers; Basic issue of how that retirement will be financed; Proposal of a `personal security account' and how it would work; Necessity of any new system increasing productivity; Dangers of investing solely in stocks.

Focuses on the budget issue in the United States, and on Washington Research Group consultant Fred Ross' predictions on the federal deficit for 1997. House Speaker Newt Gingrich's idea of focusing on balancing the budget first and tackling the cuts later; President Bill Clinton's willingness to forgo his tax-cut proposal.

Reports that for fiscal 1997, the budget deficit in the United States should decrease as a result of economic growth and soaring stock prices, which will generate higher tax revenues and lower welfare costs. Projections of Joel Prakken, chief economist at Macroeconomic Advisers in Saint Louis, Missouri; Comments from Robert Greenstein, director of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities; Expectations of the American economy for 1997.

Reports that the surging growth of the United States stock market during 1998 may be slowing down. Unemployment statistics; The decrease of manufacturing; Slumping construction spending; Likelihood that the Federal Reserve Board will not hike interest rates; Fund categories; How the slowdown affects stock prices.

Suggests that future recession in the United States will be less severe than any since World War II. The conclusions drawn from monetary history; The economic thinking of the late Dr. Arthur Burns, a modern economist; Ways that economic policy has changed since Burns presided over the Federal Reserve from 1970 to 1977.

Reports on the claim from the Shadow Open Market Committee that the disinflationary progress experienced by the United States in the late 1990s is in jeopardy in 1998 because of the growth in the money supply. The history of the committee, and its often successful predictions; Why inflation and economic growth both reflect the growth rate of the money supply; The different ways of measuring money supply and how that can change predictions.

Comments on the gist of Federal Chairman Alan Greenspan's testimony before Congress on February 22, 1995. Possibility of a cut in interest rates according to economists; Excerpt from Greenspan's testimony; Impact of a Fed policy change on the financial community; Speculation over the achievement of the Fed's goal; Views of economists; Details of the present state of the economy as of February 24, 1995.

Projects the effect of an impending increase of interest rates by the Federal Reserve on the unemployment rate in the United States. Speculations on job creation; Comments of economists on the impact of tightening the monetary policy; Analysis of the problem by the Federal Reserve Governor John LaWare.

Reports on the projected real federal budget deficit in the United States for 1996. Economist Robert Eisner's claim that the real budget deficit is getting lose to zero; Budget deficit in 1995; Factors contributing to the decrease in federal deficit; Tax measures implemented to raise revenues.

Focuses on the expected deal between the Congress and the White House over the federal budget cuts. Comments of Charles Gabriel Jr., a Prudential Securities analyst, on the budget plans; Expected job cuts in the bureaucracy; Related details.

Presents the comments of several economists on the question of Index of Leading Economic Indicators. Forecast for the future economic trends; Comments of Leonard Lempert on the economic trends; Expectation of a modest growth of the economy during the third quarter of 1995; Suggestions given by economist Arnold Moskowitz to the Federal Reserve for improvements in the economy.

Reflects on the forecast about the US budget deficit by 2002 as reported on September 8, 1995. Anticipated budget deficit and its accuracy; Stand and situation of Washington on the budget deficit; Comments of economist Robert Eisner on the same.