1. Economic Growth in Egypt : Impediments and Constraints (1974-2004)
- Author
-
El Beblawi, Hazem
- Subjects
MIGRANT ,GROWTH RATES ,SOCIALISM ,SMALL SAVERS ,DECISION-MAKING ,INFLATION ,BLACK MARKET ,FEMALE EDUCATION ,ILLITERATE POPULATION ,EMERGING MARKET ,FOREIGN EXCHANGES ,MULTILATERAL INSTITUTIONS ,PRIVATE SECTOR PARTICIPATION ,POLICY MAKERS ,FUTURE GENERATIONS ,INCOME ,MINISTRY OF INFORMATION ,GOVERNMENT DEPARTMENTS ,LACK OF TRANSPARENCY ,FOREIGN POLICY ,ERADICATION OF ILLITERACY ,SOCIAL COMMISSION ,FRAUD ,FOREIGN COMPETITION ,RATE OF GROWTH ,SECONDARY SCHOOLS ,TRANSPARENCY ,REAL EXCHANGE RATE ,PRIME MINISTER ,GOVERNANCE DEFICIT ,HOLDING ,PUBLIC SERVICES ,DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS ,ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES ,EXPLOITATION ,PROPERTY RIGHTS ,MODERNIZATION ,INDEBTEDNESS ,ADULT LITERACY ,INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION ,INDUSTRIALIZATION ,LIQUIDITY ,PUBLIC DEBT ,PUBLIC SECTOR BANKS ,DICTATORS ,WORKING CAPITAL ,PARLIAMENT ,COLONIES ,CONSENSUS ,BUDGET DEFICIT ,POLITICAL INSTABILITY ,RATIONALIZATION ,NATIONAL PRIORITIES ,CLIMATE CHANGE ,HOST COUNTRIES ,RECIPIENT COUNTRY ,PORTFOLIO ,LIFE EXPECTANCY ,REPUBLICS ,FREE PRESS ,POLITICAL SYSTEM ,ENERGY CONSUMPTION ,TAXATION ,HUMAN DEVELOPMENT ,OPEN DOOR ,JUDICIARY ,INTERNATIONAL TRADE ,CREDITWORTHINESS ,FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ,EQUIPMENT ,NUTRITION ,RESPECT ,SECONDARY SCHOOL ,RESOURCE CURSE ,GOOD GOVERNANCE ,EXCHANGE OF INFORMATION ,COMMODITY PRICES ,POOR PERFORMANCE ,CENTRAL PLANNING ,DEVELOPING COUNTRIES ,LEGAL STATUS ,SECURITIES ,FINANCIAL RESOURCES ,JUDICIAL SYSTEM ,PRIVATE SCHOOLS ,GLOBALIZATION ,EMERGING MARKET ECONOMIES ,DEVELOPMENT BANK ,IMPACT OF EDUCATION ,TRADING ,CORRUPTION ,POLITICIANS ,CASH TRANSFERS ,FOREIGN DEBT ,POLITICAL PARTIES ,DIMINISHING RETURNS ,LOCAL CURRENCY ,MARKET ECONOMY ,ACCOUNTABILITY ,IMPERIALISM ,FOREIGN TRADE ,ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ,PRODUCERS ,INTERNATIONAL POLITICS ,CAPITAL FLOWS ,FOREIGN INVESTORS ,ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR ,ECONOMIC GROWTH ,TRADE UNIONS ,AGRICULTURE PRODUCTION ,LIQUID MONEY ,QUALITY OF EDUCATION ,ECONOMIC REFORMS ,BAD GOVERNANCE ,MARKET ECONOMIES ,POPULATION GROWTH ,BENEFICIARIES ,CIVIL SOCIETY ,DECISION-MAKING PROCESS ,BOTH SEXES ,CIVIL WAR ,RULE OF LAW ,FINANCIAL CRISIS ,TERRORIST ,POLITICAL POWER ,OIL ,CONSTITUTION ,POLITICAL ELITE ,POLITICAL STABILITY ,QUANTITATIVE INDICATORS ,RESERVES ,MILITARY REGIME ,POPULATION PROBLEM ,REGULATORY QUALITY ,BLACK MARKETS ,GOVERNMENTAL DEPARTMENTS ,OPEC ,REPRESENTATIVES ,TELEVISION ,FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE ,FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT ,DEMOCRACY ,LAND OWNERSHIP ,ECONOMIC FREEDOM ,DROPOUT ,GOVERNANCE INDICATORS ,FINANCIAL STATEMENTS ,PROGRESS ,RATES OF GROWTH ,EXPORTER ,NATURAL RESOURCE ,SOCIAL STATUS ,PUBLIC SECTOR ,DEBT ,POPULATION DENSITIES ,HUMAN RIGHTS ,LEVEL OF EDUCATION ,PUBLIC OPINION ,ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ,NEWBORN ,PROPAGANDA ,CENTRAL BANK ,FINANCIAL INFORMATION ,PUBLIC DEBTS ,AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT ,MINISTERS ,ECONOMIC PROGRESS ,NATIONALIZATION ,SCHOOL ENROLMENT ,CREDIBILITY ,FOREIGN EXCHANGE ,FLOW OF INFORMATION ,ACCOUNTING ,PUBLIC WELFARE ,GOVERNANCE INDICATOR ,GOVERNMENT EFFECTIVENESS ,OIL RESOURCES ,ACCESS TO EDUCATION ,POPULAR SUPPORT ,REMITTANCES ,INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ,MONARCHY ,OIL PRICES ,APPROPRIATE TECHNOLOGY ,INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ,INSURANCE ,SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC GROWTH ,SEX ,ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS ,POLITICAL DECISION ,MIGRATION ,BUREAUCRACY ,IMMUNITY ,FINANCIAL BENEFITS ,INTERNATIONAL BANK ,NATURAL GAS ,SOVEREIGNTY ,SOCIOECONOMIC STATUS ,LOCAL AUTHORITIES ,MONETARY FUND ,FISCAL POLICIES ,OIL PRICE ,PRIMARY SCHOOL ,QUALITY EDUCATION ,HEAD OF STATE ,DEMOCRATIZATION ,RADIO ,ECONOMIC LIBERALIZATION ,FOREIGN AID ,NATIONAL SECURITY ,DECISION MAKERS ,NATURAL RESOURCES ,POLITICAL ACCOUNTABILITY ,FINANCIAL SUPPORT ,CIVIL CODE ,CONSUMER GOODS ,GOVERNMENT MANAGEMENT ,LEGITIMACY ,PRACTITIONERS ,TRUST FUNDS ,ILLITERACY ,SPOT MARKETS ,MALTHUSIAN TRAP - Abstract
The paper focuses its analysis on the last three decades of the twentieth century. The basic assumption is that Egypt's economic performance during this period was less than satisfactory compared with the most successful examples in the far East and elsewhere. The paper also assumes that Egypt's initial conditions at midcentury compared favorably with the winners in the development race at the end of the century. Egypt has achieved positive progress, no doubt, yet compared with the higher performers in Asia, and given its favorable good initial conditions, the record seems quite mediocre. By mid-twentieth century, Egypt's agriculture had almost reached its limits. Egypt, therefore, faced a new challenge: a need to transform itself into an industrial society. This objective was only partially achieved. The paper identifies three interrelated factors that helped hinder Egypt's accession to a new industrial society. The first factor is a strong state and a weak society. An authoritarian state that in its endeavor to preserve its prerogatives had to give up good governance practices and limit the creative initiative of the individuals. The second factor is a semi-rentier economy. The availability of windfall revenues not only reduced the pressure for change but also promoted a new rentier mentality that undermined the emergence of an industrial spirit. The third factor is an inadequate education system. This system failed to provide the proper skills and values required for the industrial society. These factors, moreover, are interdependent and reinforce each other.
- Published
- 2008