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The problem of contamination event detection in water distribution systems has become one of the most challenging research topics in water distribution systems analysis. Current attempts for event detection utilize a variety of approaches including statistical, heuristics, machine learning, and optimization methods. Several existing event detection systems share a common feature in which alarms are obtained separately for each of the water quality indicators. Unifying those single alarms from different indicators is usually performed by means of simple heuristics. A salient feature of the current developed approach is using a statistically oriented model for discrete choice prediction which is estimated using the maximum likelihood method for integrating the single alarms. The discrete choice model is jointly calibrated with other components of the event detection system framework in a training data set using genetic algorithms. The fusing process of each indicator probabilities, which is left out of focus in many existing event detection system models, is confirmed to be a crucial part of the system which could be modelled by exploiting a discrete choice model for improving its performance. The developed methodology is tested on real water quality data, showing improved performances in decreasing the number of false positive alarms and in its ability to detect events with higher probabilities, compared to previous studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A simple, straightforward, modified genetic algorithm scheme for contaminant source characterization using imperfect sensors is presented and demonstrated in this study. Previous work on this subject concentrated on developing source-inversion models using sensors that provide accurate, unbiased, contamination concentration measurements. The developed contamination source-detection model is implemented using three sensor types: (1) perfect sensors providing accurate, unbiased, contamination concentration measurements; (2) sensors transmitting fuzzy measured information (i.e., high, medium, and low contamination); and (3) '0-1' (Boolean) sensors indicating only a contamination presence. A comparison between the three sensor types is explored taking into consideration thesystem's response time (i.e., the time elapsed between a contaminant detection and a decision-maker's response action). The methodology capabilities are demonstrated using two example applications of increasing complexity, showing the trade-offs between the sensor types and the model abilities to receive a unique solution to the source-detection problem. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Placement of water quality sensors in a water distribution system is a common approach for minimizing contamination intrusion risks. This study incorporates detailed chemistry of organophosphate contaminations into the problem of sensor placement and links quantitative measures of the affected population as a result of such intrusions. The suggested methodology utilizes the stoichiometry and kinetics of the reactions between organophosphate contaminants and free chlorine for predicting the number of affected consumers. This is accomplished through linking a multi-species water quality model and a statistical dose–response model. Three organophosphates (chlorpyrifos, malathion, and parathion) are tested as possible contaminants. Their corresponding by-products were modeled and accounted for in the affected consumers impact calculations. The methodology incorporates a series of randomly generated intrusion events linked to a genetic algorithm for minimizing the contaminants impact through a sensors system. Three example applications are explored for demonstrating the model capabilities through base runs and sensitivity analyses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: In this study, a dynamic thresholds scheme is developed and demonstrated for contamination event detection in water distribution systems. The developed methodology is based on a recently published article of the authors (Perelman et al., 2012). Event detection in water supply systems is aimed at disclosing abnormal hydraulic or water quality events by exploring the time series behavior of routine hydraulic (e.g., flow, pressure) and water quality measurements (e.g., residual chlorine, pH, turbidity). While event detection raises alerts to the possibility of an event occurrence, it does not relate to origins, thus an event may be hydraulically-driven, as a consequence of problems like sudden leakages or pump/pipe malfunctions. Most events, however, are related to deliberate, accidental, or natural contamination intrusions. The developed methodology herein is based on off-line and on-line stages. During the off-line stage, a genetic algorithm (GA) is utilized for tuning five decision variables: positive and negative filters, positive and negative dynamic thresholds, and window size. During the on-line stage, a recursively Bayes'' rule is invoked, employing the five decision variables, for real time on-line event detection. Using the same database, the proposed methodology is compared to Perelman et al. (2012), showing considerably improved detection ability. Metadata and the computer code are provided as Supplementary material. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]