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Global warming associated with climate change is one of the greatest challenges of today’s world. Increasing emissions of the greenhouse gas CO 2 are considered as a major contributing factor to global warming. One regulating factor of CO 2 exchange between atmosphere and land surface is vegetation. Measurements of land cover changes in combination with modelling the Gross Primary Productivity (GPP) can contribute to determine important sources and sinks of CO 2 . The aim of this study is to accurately model the GPP for a region in West Africa with a spatial resolution of 250 m, and the differentiation of GPP based on woody and herbaceous vegetation. For this purpose, the Regional Biomass Model (RBM) was applied, which is based on a Light Use Efficiency (LUE) approach. The focus was on the spatial enhancement of the RBM from the original 1000–250 m spatial resolution (RBM+). The adaptation to the 250 m scale included the modification of two main input parameters: (1) the fraction of absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation (FPAR) based on the 1000 m MODIS MOD15A2 FPAR product which was downscaled to 250 m using MODIS NDVI time series; (2) the fractional cover of woody and herbaceous vegetation, which was improved by using a multi-scale approach. For validation and regional adjustments of GPP and the input parameters, in situ data from a climate station and eddy covariance measurements were integrated. The results of this approach show that the input parameters could be improved significantly: downscaling considerably reduces data gaps of the original FPAR product and the improved dataset differed less than 5.0% from the original data for cloud free regions. The RMSE of the fractional vegetation cover varied between 5.1 and 12.7%. Modelled GPP showed a slight overestimation in comparison to eddy covariance measurements. The in situ data was exceeded by 8.8% for 2005 and by 2.0% for 2006. The model results were converted to NPP and also agreed well with previous NPP measurements reported from different studies. Altogether a high accuracy and suitability of the regionally adjusted and downscaled model RBM+ can be concluded. The differentiation between vegetation growth forms allows a separation of long-term and short-term carbon storage based on woody and herbaceous vegetation, respectively.

Strategies for reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD) could become an important part of a new agreement for climate change mitigation under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. We constructed a system dynamics model for a cocoa agroforest landscape in southwestern Ghana to explore whether REDD payments are likely to promote forest conservation and what socio-economic implications would be. Scenarios were constructed for business as usual (cocoa production at the expense of forest), for payments for avoided deforestation of old-growth forest only and for payments for avoided deforestation of all forests, including degraded forest. The results indicate that in the short term, REDD is likely to be preferred by farmers when the policy focuses on payments that halt the destruction of old-growth forests only. However, there is the risk that REDD contracts may be abandoned in the short term. The likeliness of farmers to opt for REDD is much lower when also avoiding deforestation of degraded forest since this land is needed for the expansion of cocoa production. Given that it is mainly the wealthier households that control the remaining forest outside the reserves, REDD payments may increase community differentiation, with negative consequences for REDD policies.

This study focuses on the generation of reliable data for improving land and water use in Central Asia. An object-based remote sensing classification is applied and combined with the CropWat model developed by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) to determine crop distribution and water requirements for irrigation of cotton and winter-wheat in Fergana Valley, Uzbekistan. The crop classification is conducted on RapidEye and Landsat data acquired before the onset of the main summer irrigation phases in July using a random forest algorithm. The ClimWat database of FAO is utilized for calculating crop water requirements (CWR) and crop irrigation requirements (CIR). Classification reveals an overall accuracy of 86.2% and exceeds a producer's (user's) accuracy of 95% (89%) for both, cotton and wheat. In 2010, cotton and winter-wheat are planted on 66.7% of the agricultural area under investigation, whereas orchard areas amount to 15.5%. The CWR modelled for winter-wheat and cotton cultivation revealed 5443 m 3 ha − 1 and 9278 m 3 ha − 1 , respectively. Subtracting effective precipitation leads to CIR of 4133 m 3 ha − 1 and 8813 m 3 ha − 1 . Comparisons of CWR and CIR for the area dominating crops with the total of water officially allocated for irrigation underline the pressure on the water resources in the entire Syr Darya catchment and suggest modifications of the cropping system towards more winter crops. The early season crop maps can be used for water saving as they enable modifications of water allocation plans within the different irrigation subsystems of the valley. The method for mapping spatially distributed CWR and CIR can be transferred to other irrigated areas in Central Asia and beyond.

Evaluations of existing land cover maps have revealed that high landscape heterogeneity and small patch sizes are a major reason for misclassification. These problems globally occur in biomes of mixed vegetation structure and are particularly relevant for African savannas. This paper presents a multi-resolution approach to derive fractional cover of vegetation growth forms at sub-pixel level, aiming at an improved mapping of land cover in the African grassland, savanna and shrubland biome. Fractional cover is delineated for woody growth forms (trees and shrubs), herbaceous growth forms, and bare surface. The approach incorporates very high resolution (QuickBird/IKONOS, 0.6–1 m), high resolution (Landsat TM/ETM+, 30 m), and medium resolution data (MODIS, 250 m). While QuickBird/IKONOS data are classified into discrete classes, at Landsat and MODIS resolutions, sub-pixel cover is delineated using non-parametric ensemble regression trees from the random forest family. The propagation of errors in the hierarchical multi-resolution approach is assessed with Monte Carlos simulations. The multi-resolution approach allows the adequate description of the heterogeneous vegetation structure in selected study regions of Southern Africa. The RMSE of the delineated fractional cover values range between 3.1% and 8.2% when compared with higher resolution data and between 4.4% and 9.9% when compared with field surveys. Errors at the Landsat resolution show minor influence on the accuracy of the MODIS results. Regarding the inter-resolution error propagation, for 90% of the Monte Carlo simulations, errors at the Landsat resolution resulted in RMSEs for MODIS increased by less than 4% (woody vegetation), 3.5% (herbaceous vegetation) and 2% (bare surface).

The Moderate Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) provides operational products of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), and the fraction of photosynthetic active radiation (fPAR). FPAR can be used in productivity models, but agricultural applications depend on sub-pixel heterogeneity. Examples for heterogeneous areas are the irrigation systems of the inner Aral Sea Basin, where the 1 km fPAR product proved less suited. An alternative can be to upscale fPAR to the 250 m scale, but there are few studies evaluating this approach. In this study, the use of MODIS 250 m NDVI and EVI for this approach was investigated in an irrigation system in western Uzbekistan. The analysis was based on high resolution fPAR maps and a crop map for the growing season 2009, derived from ground measurements and multitemporal RapidEye data. The data was used to explore statistical relationships between RapidEye fPAR and MODIS NDVI/EVI with respect to spatial heterogeneity. The correlations varied between products (daily NDVI, 8-day NDVI, 16-day NDVI/EVI), with results suggesting that 8-day NDVI performed best. The analyses and the compiled fPAR maps show that, compared to 1 km MODIS fPAR, the 250 m scale is more homogeneous, allows for crop-specific analyses, and better captures the spatial patterns in the study region.

In Central Asia, more than eight Million ha of agricultural land are under irrigation. But severe degradation problems and unreliable water distribution have caused declining yields during the past decades. Reliable and area-wide information about crops can be seen as important step to elaborate options for sustainable land and water management. Experiences from RapidEye classifications of crop in Central Asia are exemplarily shown during a classification of eight crop classes including three rotations with winter wheat, cotton, rice, and fallow land in the Khorezm region of Uzbekistan covering 230,000 ha of irrigated land. A random forest generated by using 1215 field samples was applied to multitemporal RapidEye data acquired during the vegetation period 2010. But RapidEye coverage varied and did not allow for generating temporally consistent mosaics covering the entire region. To classify all 55,188 agricultural parcels in the region three classification zones were classified separately. The zoning allowed for including at least three observation periods into classification. Overall accuracy exceeded 85 % for all classification zones. Highest accuracies of 87.4 % were achieved by including five spatiotemporal composites of RapidEye. Class-wise accuracy assessments showed the usefulness of selecting time steps which represent relevant phenological phases of the vegetation period. The presented approach can support regional crop inventory. Accurate classification results in early stages of the cropping season permit recalculation of crop water demands and reallocation of irrigation water. The high temporal and spatial resolution of RapidEye can be concluded highly beneficial for agricultural land use classifications in entire Central Asia.

Quantifying the regional effects of land cover change is imperative to improve future hydrological budget estimates within large river basins. In this study we aim to utilize binary logistic regressions models within a cellular automation (CA) modeling environment to find causalities for satellite remote sensing measured land cover change (LCC). We used 30-meter Landsat and 250-meter MODIS time-series observations to map LCC for different time trajectories in two large study areas in Burkina Faso and Ghana. We used the FAO land cover classification system (LCCS) legend to map LCC processes from the satellite trajectories. Socio-economic data on population density, distances to roads, and biophysical data sets were processed in the CA model. The neighborhood effect of the change predictors were accounted for by using an enrichment factor. The relationship between the satellite derived LCC and the major biophysical and socio-economic drivers showed that population density, and the increase of cropland areas are responsible for the conversion of forests and woodlands. This was observed for both study areas.

Land cover information is an essential parameter for many earth system models and studies. However, especially in Africa, rigorous, regional standardized and geometrical spatially explicit land cover data on medium scale is missing, or often inconsistent and outdated. In this study we employed well corrected 250-meter MODIS time-series observations from 2006 and 2007 to map land cover rigorously over the Volta Basin in West Africa, with focus on the Burkina Faso and Ghana respectively. We used the FAO land cover classification system (LCCS) standard [8] for the legend codes and 15-30 ASTER imagery as reference data to train the classification tree algorithm. Primary aim is to contribute to a continental African and standardized medium scale land over data base, with improved mapping accuracies. Therefore, the dataset presented here can be deemed interoperable that is between local scale studies, at finer resolutions, and 1-kilometer global land cover products.