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Upcoming wide-field surveys will discover thousands of new strongly lensed quasars which will be monitored with unprecedented cadence by the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST). Many of these quasars will undergo caustic-crossing events over the 10-yr LSST survey, during which the quasar's inner accretion disc crosses a caustic feature produced by an ensemble of microlenses. Such caustic-crossing events offer the unique opportunity to probe the vicinity of the central supermassive black hole, especially when combined with high cadence, multi-instrument follow-up triggered by LSST monitoring. To simulate the high-cadence optical monitoring of caustic-crossing events, we use relativistic accretion disc models which leads to strong asymmetric features. We develop analysis methods to measure the innermost stable circular orbit (ISCO) crossing time of isolated caustic-crossing events and benchmark their performance on our simulations. We also use our simulations to train a convolutional neural network (CNN) to infer the black hole mass, inclination angle, and impact angle directly from these light curves. As a pilot application of our methods, we used archival caustic-crossings of QSO 2237+0305 to estimate the black hole mass and inclination angle. From these data, two of these methods called the second derivative and wavelet methods measure an ISCO crossing time of 48.5 and 49.5 d, corresponding to a Kerr black hole mass of M BH = (1.5 ± 1.2) × 109 and (1.5 ± 1.3) × 109  M⊙, respectively. The CNN inferred log10(M BH/M⊙) = 8.35 ± 0.30 when trained on Schwarzschild black hole simulations, and a moderate inclination of i  = 45 ± 23°. These measurements are found to be consistent with previous estimates. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We introduce a deep machine learning approach to studying quasar microlensing light curves for the first time by analysing hundreds of thousands of simulated light curves with respect to the accretion disc size and temperature profile. Our results indicate that it is possible to successfully classify very large numbers of diverse light-curve data and measure the accretion disc structure. The detailed shape of the accretion disc brightness profile is found to play a negligible role. The speed and efficiency of our deep machine learning approach is ideal for quantifying physical properties in a 'big-data' problem set-up. This proposed approach looks promising for analysing decade-long light curves for thousands of microlensed quasars, expected to be provided by the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We present a tool to generate mock quasar microlensing light curves and sample them according to any observing strategy. An updated treatment of the fixed and random velocity components of observer, lens, and source is used, together with a proper alignment with the external shear defining the magnification map caustic orientation. Our tool produces quantitative results on high magnification events and caustic crossings, which we use to study three lensed quasars known to display microlensing, viz. RX J1131–1231, HE 0230–2130, and Q 2237+0305, as they would be monitored by The Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST). We conclude that depending on the location on the sky, the lens and source redshift, and the caustic network density, the microlensing variability may deviate significantly than the expected ∼20-yr average time-scale (Mosquera & Kochanek 2011). We estimate that ∼300 high magnification events with Δmag>1 mag could potentially be observed by LSST each year. The duration of the majority of high magnification events is between 10 and 100 d, requiring a very high cadence to capture and resolve them. Uniform LSST observing strategies perform the best in recovering microlensing high magnification events. Our web tool can be extended to any instrument and observing strategy, and is freely available as a service at http://gerlumph.swin.edu.au/tools/lsst%5fgenerator/ , along with all the related code. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]