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IMPORTANCE The ultra high-risk (UHR) criteria were introduced to prospectively identify patients at high risk of psychotic disorder. Although the short-term outcome of UHR patients has been well researched, the long-term outcome is not known. OBJECTIVE To assess the rate and baseline predictors of transition to psychotic disorder in UHR patients up to 15 years after study entry. DESIGN Follow-up study of a cohort of UHR patients recruited to participate in research studies between 1993 and 2006. SETTING The Personal Assessment and Crisis Evaluation (PACE) clinic, a specialized service for UHR patients in Melbourne, Australia. PARTICIPANTS Four hundred sixteen UHR patients previously seen at the PACE clinic. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Transition to psychotic disorder, as measured usingthe Comprehensive Assessment of At-Risk Mental States, Brief Psychiatric Rating Scale/Comprehensive Assessment of Symptoms and History, or state public mental health records. RESULTS During the time to follow-up (2.4-14.9 years after presentation), 114 of the 416 participants were known to have developed a psychotic disorder. The highest risk for transition was within the first 2 years of entry into the service, but individuals continued to be at risk up to 10 years after initial referral. The overall rate of transition was estimated to be 34.9% over a 10-year period (95% CI, 28,7%-40.6%). Factors associated with transition included year of entry into the clinic, duration of symptoms before clinic entry, baseline functioning, negative symptoms, and disorders of thought content. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE The UHR patients are at long-term risk for psychotic disorder, with the highest risk in the first 2 years. Services should aim to follow up patients for at least this period, with the possibility to return for care after this time. Individuals with a long duration of symptoms and poor functioning at the time of referral may need closer monitoring. Interventions to improve functioning and detect help-seeking UHR patients earlier also may be indicated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: “Transition to psychosis” has been the outcome of interest in Ultra High Risk (UHR) and “prodromal” studies. However, the point at which an individual crosses the line from high risk or prodromal state to psychosis threshold is arbitrary. There have been few attempts to examine whether this threshold has any validity in terms of biological markers or course and outcome. More research is needed to determine if the current point at which a person is declared “psychotic” is valid. Indeed some persons labeled as having developed psychosis may quickly recover. In such a situation their transition could be seen as “trivial”. Others who do not make “transition” may have worse outcomes. Validation of the transition point is an important issue as “risk syndrome for psychosis” (psychosis prodrome) is being considered for inclusion in the DSMV. Further, much research attempts to distinguish markers for psychotic disorders by examining the differences between UHR individuals who do and do not develop psychosis. Thus it behooves us not just to have this risk syndrome validated, but to have the hypothetical endpoint of psychosis validated as well. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Objective: Physical activity (PA) improves health outcomes in people with schizophrenia. It is unclear how much PA people with schizophrenia undertake and what influences PA participation. We conducted a meta-analysis to investigate PA levels and predictors in people with schizophrenia.Method: Major databases were searched from inception till 02/2016 for articles measuring PA (self-report questionnaire (SRQ) or objective measure (e.g. accelerometer)) in people with schizophrenia, including first episode psychosis (FEP). A random effects meta-analysis and meta-regression analysis were conducted.Results: 35 studies representing 3453 individuals with schizophrenia (40.0years; 64.0% male) were included. Engagement in light PA was 80.44min (95% CI 68.32-92.52, n=2658), 47.1min moderate-vigorous PA (95% CI 31.5-62.8, n=559) and 1.05min (95% CI 0.48-1.62, n=2533) vigorous PA per day. People with schizophrenia engaged in significantly less moderate (hedges g=-0.45, 95% CI -0.79 to -0.1, p=0.01) and vigorous PA (g=-0.4, 95% CI -0.60 to -0.18) versus controls. Higher light to moderate, but lower vigorous PA levels were observed in outpatients and in studies utilizing objective measures versus SRQ. 56.6% (95% CI 45.8-66.8, studies=12) met the recommended 150min of moderate physical activity per week. Depressive symptoms and older age were associated with less vigorous PA in meta-regression analyses.Conclusions: Our data confirm that people with schizophrenia engage in significantly less moderate and vigorous PA versus controls. Interventions aiming to increase PA, regardless of intensity are indicated for people with schizophrenia, while specifically increasing moderate-vigorous PA should be a priority given the established health benefits. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Investigation of aberrant large-scale brain networks offers novel insight into the role these networks play in diverse psychiatric disorders such as schizophrenia. Although studies report altered functional brain connectivity in participants at ultra-high risk (UHR) for psychosis, it is unclear whether these alterations extend to structural brain networks. Methods Whole-brain structural covariance patterns of 133 participants at UHR for psychosis (51 of whom subsequently developed psychosis) and 65 healthy control (HC) subjects were studied. Following data preprocessing (using VBM8 toolbox), the mean signal in seed regions relating to specific networks (visual, auditory, motor, speech, semantic, executive control, salience, and default-mode) were extracted, and voxel-wise analyses of covariance were conducted to compare the association between whole-brain signal and each seed region for UHR and HC individuals. The UHR participants who transitioned to psychosis were compared with the UHR participants who did not. Results Significantly reduced structural covariance was observed in the UHR sample compared with the HC sample for the default-mode network, and increased covariance was observed for the motor and executive control networks. When the UHR participants who transitioned to psychosis were compared with the UHR participants who did not, aberrant structural covariance was observed in the salience, executive control, auditory, and motor networks. Conclusions Whole-brain structural covariance analyses revealed subtle changes of connectivity of the default-mode, executive control, salience, motor, and auditory networks in UHR individuals for psychosis. Although we found significant differences, these are small changes and tend to reflect largely intact structural networks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Transition to psychotic disorder has been the traditional outcome of interest for research in the at-risk mental state (ARMS). However, there is growing recognition that individuals with ARMS may function poorly regardless of whether they develop psychosis. We aimed to review the literature to determine whether there are specific factors associated with, or predictive of, functional impairment in the ARMS population. Method An electronic database search of MEDLINE, PsycINFO and Embase from inception until May 2014 was conducted using keyword search terms synonymous with the at-risk mental state and functioning. Eligible studies were original peer-reviewed English language research articles with populations that met validated at-risk diagnostic criteria and examined the cross-sectional or longitudinal association between any variable and a measure of functioning. Results Seventy-two eligible studies were identified. Negative symptoms and neurocognitive impairment were associated with poor functioning in cross-sectional studies. Negative and disorganised symptoms, neurocognitive deficits and poor functioning at baseline were predictive of poor functional outcome in longitudinal studies. Positive symptoms were unrelated to functioning in both cross-sectional and longitudinal studies. Functional disability was persistent and resistant to current treatments. Conclusions Negative and disorganised symptoms and cognitive deficits pre-date frank psychotic symptoms and are risk factors for poor functioning. This is consistent with a subgroup of ARMS individuals potentially having neurodevelopmental schizophrenia. Treatments aimed at improving functioning must be considered a priority on par with preventing transition to psychosis in the development of future interventions in the ARMS group. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: Background: Baseline functioning has been found to be a strong predictor of transition to psychosis in ultra high risk populations. However, the time course of functioning may enhance prediction. We investigated whether there were different patterns of functioning over time and whether particular temporal patterns were related to baseline characteristics and psychosis outcome. Method: Functional data was assessed at baseline and after 3 to 6year follow-up in an ultra high risk sample (n=158; 92 female, mean age=19.28 (SD=3.33), range=14–29). Using the median score of the GAF and the QLS scale, a ‘High’ and ‘Low’ group (comprising of subjects functioning above or below median at both baseline and follow-up) and a ‘Deterioration’ group and ‘Improving’ group were created. Results: Chi-square analyses showed that the Low and Deteriorating functioning groups were the most likely to develop first-episode psychosis (FEP). Importantly, UHR individuals with deteriorating functioning were at higher risk of transition than those whose functioning was low at baseline but improved over time (GAF: X 2 =5.10, df=1, p=.02; QLS: X 2 =9.13, df=1, p=.003). Binary logistic regression analyses showed that a decline in functioning was more strongly associated with FEP (GAF: p=<.0001; QLS: p<.0001) than the level of baseline functioning (GAF: p=.005; QLS: p=.09). The deteriorating group could not be distinguished from the High group in terms of baseline symptomatology. Discussion: With the addition of the ‘low functioning’ criterion to the UHR criteria, we may miss out on some true positive cases. Limiting our attention to baseline poor functioning may therefore distort the picture in terms of risk for psychosis. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: Individuals at “ultra high risk” (UHR) for psychosis have been found to experience high rates of sexual trauma. An aetiological role for sexual trauma has been proposed for psychotic disorders and may influence psychotic symptom content. We aimed to investigate the relationship between previous sexual trauma and reported psychotic-like experiences, in particular psychotic symptoms with a sexual content in a UHR sample. We investigated the prevalence of “attenuated” or “subthreshold” psychotic symptoms with a sexual content in a consecutive series of patients recruited to a specialist UHR clinic. Patient''s experience of general and sexual trauma was rated separately using a trauma questionnaire based on the list of events qualifying as traumas under DSM IV. The sample consisted of 92 patients, 14 (15.2%) had experienced an attenuated psychotic symptom with sexual content. The most common symptom was overvalued ideas/delusions of being watched in the shower/toilet or undressing. A considerable proportion of the sample (36.2%) had experienced sexual trauma (sexually molested or raped). Presence of attenuated psychotic symptoms with sexual content was related to history of previous sexual trauma (OR 7.17, P <0.01). This relationship remained significant when other traumatic experiences, PTSD diagnosis, age and sex were adjusted for. Further research into this relationship with regard to outcome and treatment is warranted. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]