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The sustainability of energy systems is increasingly assessed for development of more resilient, greener district heating (DH) systems. That requires compiling technological, environmental, and economic indicators in a social, political, and institutional context. This work investigates DH system sustainability analysis by five frequently applied multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) methods—WSM, TOPSIS, PROMETHEE, ELECTRE and DEA. To compare the sustainability assessment results, a selection of 8 criteria describing 12 DH companies (DHC) was examined. Sensitivity analysis was performed to determine the most credible MCDA method. Criteria weights were changed: (1) individually for evaluation of the range of stability for alternatives (score of DHC performance); (2) individually by a fixed value to compare how each criterion weight change affected the average score of a result; and (3) to compare the AHP weighting method to an equal weight scenario. The results of sensitivity analysis along with literature investigation shows that all methods are suitable for sustainability analyses of DH systems while also having differences in the calculation process and in the interpretation of results. The generalized algorithm for sustainability analysis in the energy sector outlined in this study along with the documented features of the main MCDA methods can be used as a guide for future assessment of energy systems by researchers and industry professionals. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The study introduces a hybrid model that integrates system dynamics modeling and multi-criteria analysis. Through the system dynamics model, the study examines energy, economic, and environmental indicators of a District Heating (DH) company, assessing its dynamics until 2050. Various decarbonization scenarios are explored, involving the transition of the DH system to a 4th generation DH (4GDH) system based on four strategies: utilizing at least (a) 50% Renewable Energy Sources (RES), (b) 50% waste heat, (c) 75% cogenerated heat, or (d) 50% of the combined aforementioned energy and heat. Additionally, development scenarios incorporate measures to enhance energy efficiency on the consumer side and within the heating networks. The sustainability of each scenario is evaluated using the multi-criteria analysis method TOPSIS. The hybrid model establishes a ranking of the transition pathways based on their sustainability scores and benchmarks the results of the developed scenarios against a carbon-neutral DH system. This model serves as a valuable guide for DH system developers and decision-makers. The study focuses on Riga as a practical case study. • Equal weights and calculated entropy weights methods show similar resulting sustainability rankings • Provided methodology couples the system dynamic approach with multi-criteria analysis. • The waste heat development scenarios are viable strategies for a path to a sustainable DH system [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]