1. Estimating the Benefit of an HIV-1 Vaccine That Reduces Viral Load Set Point.
- Author
-
Gupta, Swati B., Jacobson, Lisa P., Margolick, Joseph B., Rinaldo, Charles R., Phair, John P., Jamieson, Beth D., Mehrotra, Devan V., Robertson, Michael N., and Straus, Walter L.
- Subjects
- *
VACCINATION , *VACCINE research , *IMMUNOREGULATION , *HIV , *HIV seroconversion , *VIRAL mutation , *POINT mutation (Biology) - Abstract
Vaccines designed to induce cell-mediated immune responses against human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-1 are being developed. Such vaccines are unlikely to provide sterilizing immunity but may be associated with reduced viral set points-after infection. We modeled the potential impact of a vaccine that reduces viral set point after infection, using natural history data from 311 HIV-1 seroconverters. Log-normal parametric regression models were used to estimate the log median time to events of interest. Relative times were estimated for those with viral load set points of 30,000 copies/mL (reference group) versus those with lower viral set points. The time to key clinical events in the course of HIV-1 disease progression was significantly extended for those with viral set points 0.5-1.25 log10 copies/mL lower than the reference group. By quantifying the anticipated clinical benefits associated with a reduction in viral set point, these findings support the use of virologic end points in HIV-1 vaccine trials. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF