1. Incidence and Clearance of Anal Human Papillomavirus Infection in 16 164 Individuals, According to Human Immunodeficiency Virus Status, Sex, and Male Sexuality: An International Pooled Analysis of 34 Longitudinal Studies.
- Author
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Wei F, Goodman MT, Xia N, Zhang J, Giuliano AR, D'Souza G, Hessol NA, Schim van der Loeff MF, Dai J, Neukam K, de Pokomandy A, Poynten IM, Geskus RB, Burgos J, Etienney I, Moscicki AB, Donà MG, Gillison ML, Nyitray AG, Nowak RG, Yunihastuti E, Zou H, Hidalgo-Tenorio C, Phanuphak N, Molina JM, Schofield AM, Kerr S, Fan S, Lu Y, Ong JJ, Chikandiwa AT, Teeraananchai S, Squillace N, Wiley DJ, Palefsky JM, Georges D, Alberts CJ, and Clifford GM
- Subjects
- Male, Humans, Female, Homosexuality, Male, Human Papillomavirus Viruses, Incidence, Sexual Behavior, Anal Canal, Longitudinal Studies, Human papillomavirus 16 genetics, HIV, Papillomaviridae genetics, Papillomavirus Infections, HIV Infections complications, HIV Infections epidemiology, Sexual and Gender Minorities, Anus Diseases diagnosis, Anus Neoplasms complications
- Abstract
Background: Understanding the natural history of anal high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) infection is key for designing anal cancer prevention programs but has not been systematically characterized., Methods: We reanalyzed data from 34 studies including 16 164 individuals in 6 risk groups defined by human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) status, sex, and male sexuality: men who have sex with men (MSM) and people with HIV (MSMWH), HIV-negative MSM, women with HIV (WWH), HIV-negative women, men who have sex with women (MSW) with HIV (MSWWH), and HIV-negative MSW. We used Markov models to estimate incidence and clearance of 13 hrHPV types and their determinants., Results: Human papillomavirus (HPV) 16 had the highest incidence-clearance ratio of the hrHPV types. MSMWH had the highest hrHPV incidence (eg, 15.5% newly HPV-16 infected within 2 years), followed by HIV-negative MSM (7.5%), WWH (6.6%), HIV-negative women (2.9%), MSWWH (1.7%), and HIV-negative MSW (0.7%). Determinants of HPV-16 incidence included HIV status and number of sexual partners for MSM, women, and MSW, and anal sex behavior for MSM only. HPV-16 clearance was lower for people with HIV (PWH) and lower for prevalent than incident infection. Among MSM, increasing age was associated with lower clearance of prevalent, but not incident, HPV-16 infection., Conclusions: This robust and unifying analysis of anal hrHPV natural history is essential to designing and predicting the impact of HPV vaccination and HPV-based screening programs on anal cancer prevention, particularly in MSM and PWH. Importantly, it demonstrates the higher carcinogenic potential of longstanding anal prevalent hrHPV infection than more recent incident infection., Competing Interests: Potential conflicts of interest. A. R. G. received support from Merck & Co and Moderna, outside the submitted work, and reports consulting fees from Merck & Co. G. D. received support to her institution from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) for this work. N. A. H. received a grant to her institution from NIH for this work. M. F. S. v. d. L. has served on an advisory board for Merck & Co. K. N. received a Miguel Servet II senior researcher grant contract (CPII18/00033) from the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (Madrid, Spain), outside the submitted work. J. B. received financial compensation for lectures, consultancy work, educational activities from Gilead Sciences, Janssen-Cilag, Merck Sharp & Dohme, and ViiV Healthcare and received support for attending meetings from Gilead Sciences, outside the submitted work. M. L. G. received support from National Institute of Dental and Craniofacial Research for and outside the submitted work; has received research funding from Genocea Biosciences, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Genentech, Kur, Cullinan Labs, and Agenus; served as a consultant for Istari Oncology, LLX Solutions, Kura Oncology, Mirati Therapeutics, BioNtech, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Bicara Therapeutics, Bayer Healthcare Pharmaceutics, Genocea Biosciences, Shattucks Labs, EMD Serono, Debiopharm, Merck & Co, Ipsen Biopharmaceuticals, Gilead Sciences, and Coherus; served a speaker/preceptorship role for OncLive and Roche Scientific; received support for attending meetings from American Association for Cancer Research (AACR); has an issued patent as sponsor-investigator for pNGVL4a-Sig/E7(detox)/HSP70 plasmid DNA for a clinical protocol entitled “An open-label phase one study of the safety with stage III or IV HPV16-positive head and neck squamous cell carcinoma”; has pending patents for “Oral HPV infection detection for oral cancer screening and diagnosis” and “HPV mRNA detection on oral cytology specimens for diagnosis and screening for oral cancer”; served on advisory committees for Seagen, Sensei Biotherapeutics, SQZBiotech, BioMimetix and Kura; and has stock options for Sensei. A. G. N. received grants from National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) and the National Cancer Institute (NCI), NIH, and Merck & Co, awarded to his institution and related to the submitted work; received grants from NCI, NIH, awarded to his institution, outside the submitted work; received support for attending meetings (payment for hotel at conference) from the European Research Organisation on Genital Infection and Neoplasia; and received donated swabs and vials for research from COPAN Diagnostics. R. G. N. received funding from NCI, NIH (grant K07CA225403), paid to her institution. E. Y. received to her institution, for this work, in support from subawards from amfAR, The Foundation for AIDS Research (grants 108520-52-IGTA and 108893-55-IPTA), with funds provided by Life Ball and Verein Aids Life (AIDS LIFE). The Asia Pacific HIV Research Collaboration is an initiative of TREAT Asia, a program of amfAR, The Foundation for AIDS Research, with support from the NIAID, NIH, as part of the International Epidemiologic Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA). These subgrants were supported with funds provided by NIH cooperative agreement 5U01AI0699007-07 and a supplement to NIH cooperative agreement 5U01AI0699007-08. J. M. M. received research grants from Gilead to his institution for the present work and personal consulting fees from Gilead, Merck & Co, and ViiV. JJO received funds both to himself and to his institution from Australian National Health and Medical Research Council, outside the submitted work; served as Board Director of Australian Society of HIV, viral hepatitis and sexual heath medicine (ASHM), Australian Federation of AIDS Organizations (AFAO). N. S. received personal consulting fees from ViiV Healthcare and honoraria from Gilead Sciences. D. J. W. received funding from the NCI, NIH (R01CA169508-01A1 [principal investigator (PI), D. J. W.] and 5UM1AI035043-23 (PI, G. D.; site PI, D. J. W.; both studies: data collection, specimen processing, laboratory tests). J. M. P. reports grants or contracts paid to the institution from Merck and Co, outside the submitted work; consulting fees paid to self from Vir Biotechnologies and Antiva Biosciences; payment or honoraria from Merck and Co; support for attending meetings and/or travel paid to self from Merck and Co; and stock or stock options from Virion Therapeutics and Vir Biotechnology. All other authors report no potential conflicts. All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. 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- Published
- 2023
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