1. HIV co-infection is associated with reduced Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmissibility in sub-Saharan Africa.
- Author
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Windels EM, Wampande EM, Joloba ML, Boom WH, Goig GA, Cox H, Hella J, Borrell S, Gagneux S, Brites D, and Stadler T
- Subjects
- Humans, Africa South of the Sahara epidemiology, Male, CD4 Lymphocyte Count, Female, Bayes Theorem, Adult, Risk Factors, Mycobacterium tuberculosis, HIV Infections complications, HIV Infections transmission, HIV Infections epidemiology, Coinfection microbiology, Coinfection epidemiology, Tuberculosis epidemiology, Tuberculosis transmission, Tuberculosis microbiology
- Abstract
Persons living with HIV are known to be at increased risk of developing tuberculosis (TB) disease upon infection with Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb). However, it has remained unclear how HIV co-infection affects subsequent Mtb transmission from these patients. Here, we customized a Bayesian phylodynamic framework to estimate the effects of HIV co-infection on the Mtb transmission dynamics from sequence data. We applied our model to four Mtb genomic datasets collected in sub-Saharan African countries with a generalized HIV epidemic. Our results confirm that HIV co-infection is a strong risk factor for developing active TB. Additionally, we demonstrate that HIV co-infection is associated with a reduced effective reproductive number for TB. Stratifying the population by CD4+ T-cell count yielded similar results, suggesting that, in this context, CD4+ T-cell count is not a better predictor of Mtb transmissibility than HIV infection status alone. Together, our genome-based analyses complement observational household contact studies, and more firmly establish the negative association between HIV co-infection and Mtb transmissibility., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2024 Windels et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
- Published
- 2024
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