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Objective: Changing behaviour is an important method for preventing HIV infection. We examined why a community randomized trial of a behavioural intervention found no significant effect of this on HIV incidence in rural Uganda., Design: An individual-level analysis of a community randomized trial., Methods: All sexually active, initially HIV-seronegative individuals with data on sexual behaviour were included (1558 men and 1836 women). Uptake of the intervention was measured using self-reported attendance at meetings, videos, dramas, and interactions with community educators in the past year. Sexual behaviour was assessed using self-reported condom use and the number of sexual partners in the past year., Results: Overall, 81% of individuals in the intervention communities and 9% in the comparison communities reported attending at least one of the intervention activities in the past year. Attendance was lower in women, in those aged 55 years or older, and in the widowed. There was a lower HIV incidence in those who reported attending at least one intervention activity compared with those who attended none, and in women this effect was statistically significant (in women, adjusted rate ratio 0.41, 95% CI 0.19-0.89, P = 0.024; in men, adjusted rate ratio 0.66, 95% CI 0.25-1.79, P = 0.42). Reported behaviour change did not differ markedly between those who did and did not report attending any intervention activities., Conclusion: Although the intervention had no significant benefit in the communities as a whole, it resulted in a reduced risk of HIV acquisition in women who attended it. The methodological implications for future trials are discussed.

Objective: To describe study design, methods and baseline findings of a behavioural intervention alone and in combination with improved management of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) aimed at reducing HIV incidence and other STDs., Design: A three-arm community randomized controlled trial (RCT) of 18 rural communities (approximately 96 000 adults) in SW Uganda. A standardized behavioural intervention was implemented in 12 communities (arms A and B) through community-based education, meetings and information leaflets. Six of these communities in addition received improved STD management through government and private health units (arm B). Arm C communities received routine government health services. Impact assessment was through three questionnaire and serological surveys of 750-1000 adults in each community at 18-24-month intervals. The primary outcome measure was HIV incidence and secondary measures were syphilis and herpes simplex virus type 2 incidence, prevalence of Neisseria gonorrhoea and Chlamydia trachomatis and sexual behaviour changes., Results: Approximately 15 000 adults (72% of eligible population) were enrolled at baseline. HIV baseline prevalence rates were 9-10% in all arms and demographic and behavioural characteristics and STD prevalence were also similar. In intervention communities, there were 391 995 attendance at 81 502 activities (6.1 per target adult), 164 063 leaflets distributed (2.6 per person) and 1 586 270 condoms (16.5 condoms per adult). In the STD communities a total of 12 239 STD cases (65% women) were seen over a 5-year period (7.7 per 100 adults/year)., Conclusion: This is the first community RCT of its type with a behavioural component. There is fair baseline comparability between study arms and process data suggest that interventions were adequately implemented.

Objective: To assess whether sexually transmitted infections (STIs) and sexual behavior are independently associated with HIV-1 among adult women, men, and teenagers in rural Uganda., Design: Cross-sectional survey., Methods: All adults (13 years and older) residing in 18 communities were invited to participate. HIV status was determined from serum samples and data collected during confidential interview. Independent effects of risk factors for HIV were estimated using adjusted odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) from logistic regression., Results: Women reporting genital ulcers in the last 12 months were over twice as likely to be HIV positive after adjustment for sociodemographic factors and number of lifetime sexual partners (OR, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.9-3.4). Equivalent associations were stronger for men (OR, 3.2; 95% CI, 2.2-4.7) but weaker for teenagers (OR, 2.0, 95% CI, 0.5-8.7). Number of lifetime sexual partners was associated ( p <.05) with HIV status for women, men, and teenagers independently of reported genital ulcers. Teenagers reporting casual partners were over four times ( p <.001), and men reporting condom use almost twice ( p <.001), as likely to be HIV positive. Neither history of genital discharge nor other measures of sexual behavior were independently related to HIV status., Conclusion: Reported STIs and sexual behavior are independently associated with HIV in rural Uganda. Community-based interventions to reduce HIV should target both and should include teenagers.

Objective: Few studies have described levels and determinants of perceived risk of HIV-1 among African adults for whom the sero-status is known. This study describes HIV risk perception obtained from a large rural population in south-west Uganda which also underwent serological testing for HIV., Design: Cross-sectional survey., Methods: Information on risk perception and sexual behaviour was collected by interview. Sera were obtained from all consenting adults (13 years and above) in order to assess HIV-1 prevalence., Results: Of 14,818 adults with a definitive sero-status, 9.7% were HIV-1 positive and 51% considered themselves to be at risk of infection. Risk perception showed similar patterns as age- and sex-specific sero-prevalence and there was correspondence between risk factors for perceived risk and known HIV risk factors. Partner's sexual behaviour was the commonest reason for risk perception in women whereas men cited their own sexual behaviour. Abstinence from sex was much more commonly mentioned as a protective practice than condom use in men and women., Conclusion: Half of the adults we have studied already see infection with HIV as a real possibility in their lives and are aware of HIV risk behaviours. More efforts should be made to implement sustainable control measures rather than simply raising awareness. In addition to recommending abstinence, these include mutual faithfulness, condom use and better treatment for STDs.

Objective: To assess the impact of HIV-1 infection on mortality over five years in a rural Ugandan population., Design: Longitudinal cohort study followed up annually by a house to house census and medical survey., Setting: Rural population in south west Uganda., Subjects: About 10,000 people from 15 villages who were enrolled in 1989-90 or later., Main Outcome Measures: Number of deaths from all causes, death rates, mortality fraction attributable to HIV-1 infection., Results: Of 9777 people resident in the study area in 1989-90, 8833 (90%) had an unambiguous result on testing for HIV-1 antibody; throughout the period of follow up adult seroprevalence was about 8%. During 35,083 person years of follow up, 459 deaths occurred, 273 in seronegative subjects and 186 in seropositive subjects, corresponding to standardised death rates of 8.1 and 129.3 per 1000 person years. Standardised death rates for adults were 10.4 (95% confidence interval 9.0 to 11.8) and 114.0 (93.2 to 134.8) per 1000 person years respectively. The mortality fraction attributable to HIV-1 infection was 41% for adults and was in excess of 70% for men aged 25-44 and women aged 20-44 years. Median survival from time of enrollment was less than three years in subjects aged 55 years or more who were infected with HIV-1. Life expectancy from birth in the total population resident at any time was estimated to be 42.5 years (41.4 years in men; 43.5 years in women), which compares with 58.3 years (56.5 years in men; 60.5 years in women) in people known to be seronegative., Conclusions: These data confirm that in a rural African population HIV-1 infection is associated with high death rates and a substantial reduction in life expectancy.

Background: To evaluate HIV-1 incidence among adults and socio-demographic risk factors in a rural population in Uganda, a prospective cohort study was carried out., Methods: All consenting adult residents in a cluster of 15 neighbouring villages of the Masaka District of south-west Uganda have been participating in annual socio-demographic and serological surveys since November 1989. Those who had a negative serostatus when they were first tested and had at least one serostatus assessment during the 4 years of follow-up (1990-1994) have been evaluated for HIV-1 seroconversion. Incidence rates have been calculated per 1000 person-years of observation and socio-demographic characteristics assessed for association with recent seroconversion., Results: At the baseline survey, of 4175 adults with assessable serostatus (79% of all censused adults), 342 (8.2%) were seropositive. During 12588.2 person-years of follow-up 89 seroconversions were identified corresponding to an incidence rate of 7.1 (95% CI: 5.6-8.5). Overall rates were highest in females aged 20-24 years (15.2) and in males aged 20-44 years (11.6). There was a significant interaction between age and sex; the ratio of the rate in females to that in males decreased from 3.3:1 to 0.5:1 with increasing age. Rates for males aged > or = 20 years were four times higher than those for younger males. Other significant socio-demographic correlates with risk included not belonging to the majority tribe, non-Muslim religion and length of stay on compound of less than 10 years. Incidence rates did not show any clear trends with time., Conclusion: These findings further emphasize the need for targeted interventions.

Background: In general, information on the causes of adult deaths in developing countries is scarce. More specifically, relatively little is known about the effect of HIV-1 associated disease on adult mortality in general populations. In this study we have used a verbal autopsy technique to ascertain whether adult deaths were associated with HIV-1 in a rural population with a prevalence of HIV-1 infection of 8%, and used HIV-1 antibody status to validate the verbal autopsy findings., Methods: All adult deaths in the population cohort that occurred between December 1990 and November 1993 were identified through a monthly death registration system. Approximately 2 months after death, a relative of the deceased was interviewed by a trained nurse, and questionnaires were assessed by at least two independent clinicians; all were unaware of the HIV serostatus of the deceased., Results: A total of 155 adult deaths was assessed, i.e. 53% of all recorded adult deaths. Of those assessed half were HIV-1 positive. In all 47% of deaths were classified as HIV-related. The overall specificity and positive predictive value of the verbal autopsy tool were both 92%; in those aged 13-44 years (83 adults) the corresponding values were 85% and 95% respectively. The verbal autopsy estimated HIV-1 attributable mortality fraction was similar to the calculated fraction based on prospective data., Conclusions: The results of this study suggest that verbal autopsy studies may assist in providing data on HIV-associated mortality in general populations and may be useful as surveillance tools.

All adult residents (aged 13 years or more) of 154 randomly selected households in 3 urban and one semi-rural ward of a town in South West Uganda on the trans-African highway were invited to participate in a socio-demographic, behavioural and medical survey. An unambiguous HIV-1 serostatus was obtained for 389 (80%) adults. The overall sero-prevalence rate was 40.4%; all age groups except males aged 13-19 years had infection rates in excess of 20%. Rates above 50% were found in females aged 20-34 years and males aged 35-44 years. For females seropositivity rates increased steeply with increasing numbers of lifetime sexual partners up to a maximum of 3; in contrast, for males rates continued to increase with increasing numbers of partners. The risk of infection amongst those with only one reported partner was 17%. A high proportion of males (14%) and females (18%) reported a history of genital ulcer disease within the previous 6 months; on examination genital lesions were observed in 12% of all participants. Interventions with a single focus are unlikely to have much impact in such a situation and a strategy is suggested which includes 3 components, namely improved STD control, a reduction in partner change and an increase in condom utilization.

We conducted a prospective cohort study to determine the post-natal incidence of and possible transmission routes for HIV-I infection in rural Ugandan children. The cohort consisted of the population of a cluster of 15 villages in Masaka District, south-west Uganda, and was enrolled in 1989-1990 through a demographic and serological survey. During the period 1991-1993 the population was resurveyed annually. A total of 5492 children aged 0-12 years were enrolled; of these, 41 (0.7%) were seropositive infants. A total of 3941 (72%) children were HIV-negative on enrolment and had at least one follow-up specimen. During 8596 person-years of observation only I seroconversion was observed, an incidence rate of 0.12 (95% CI 0.00-0.35) per 1000 years of observation. The transmission of HIV was most probably through breast milk. The case corresponds to a rate of 1.1 per 1000 in households with one or more HIV-positive adults (874 years of observation); no incident case was observed in households with only seronegative adults (6423 years of observation). Thus, HIV infection among children aged 0-12 years in this population is virtually exclusively the result of mother-to-child transmission. No infections were observed attributable to parenteral exposure, non-sexual casual or household contact, or insects.

The mortality in 15 villages in South-West Uganda was studied in relation to HIV infection. After a population census, serum samples were tested for antibodies to HIV-1. Deaths were ascertained over 2 years. Unequivocal HIV-1 serology results were available for 9389 individuals. The prevalence of infection was 4.8% for all ages and 8.2% for adults (aged 13 or more). 198 deaths were recorded during 15,725 person years of observation. Mortality among seronegative adults was 7.7 per 1000 and among seropositive adults 115.9 per 1000. The excess annual death rate associated with HIV-1 infection was 5.3 per 1000 and in adults 7.9 per 1000. Highest excess mortality was 16.9 per 1000 in the age group 25-34. Among adults, half of all deaths and among those aged 13-44 over 80% of deaths were attributable to HIV-1 infection. These results show the strong impact that HIV-1 infection is having on mortality in a rural area of Uganda where the overall HIV-1 adult prevalence rate is below 10%--a rate lower than in many other parts of East Africa.

Objective: To study in depth sexual history and sexual behaviour variables as risk factors for HIV-1 infection in a rural Ugandan population., Methods: Following a socioeconomic and serological survey of a rural population in Masaka District, south-west Uganda, 233 randomly selected HIV-1-positive cases and 233 negative controls matched on age and village of residence, were invited in October 1990 to participate in a case-control study. A total of 132 cases and 161 controls attended for in-depth investigation including an interview about sexual behaviour., Results: The factor most strongly associated with increased risk of infection was a greater number of lifetime sexual partners, with odds ratios (OR) of 2.1 and 4.9 for those reporting 4-10 and 11 or more partners, respectively, compared with those reporting less than four partners. Having only one sexual partner did not provide complete protection, a total of seven (one male, six female) subjects reporting only one sexual partner were HIV-1-positive. Other significant factors were a history of genital ulcers [OR, 2.9; 95% confidence intervals (CI), 1.0-9.1) and not being a Muslim (OR, 5.4; 95% CI, 1.8-16.5) suggesting a possible protective effect of circumcision. There was a suggestion that those who married within the last 7 years (OR, 2.4; 95% CI, 0.9-6.1) and men exposed to menstrual blood (OR, 5.7; 95% CI, 0.7-49.8) were at an increased risk of HIV-1 infection., Conclusions: These results confirm the predominant role of sexual behaviour in the HIV-1 epidemic. Of particular concern is the observation of HIV-1 infection among those reporting only one partner. Where HIV-1 infection is widely distributed in the general population, risk reduction strategies should, in addition to the promotion of partner reduction, place strong emphasis on safe-sex techniques.

Objective: To determine the incidence of HIV-1 infection and HIV-1-associated mortality in a rural Ugandan population., Design: A prospective cohort study., Methods: A cohort consisting of the population (de jure census 9820) of a cluster of 15 villages in Masaka District, south-west Uganda was enrolled between 1989 and 1990 through a demographic and medical survey. The HIV-1 seroprevalence rate was 4.8% for all ages combined and 8.2% for those aged 13 years or more. The survey was repeated after 1 year., Results: The 1-year HIV-1 incidence rate among adults was 1% [9.2 per 1000 person-years of observation; 95% confidence interval (CI), 5.5-12.9). A total of 84 deaths were observed. In adults, half of all deaths (31 out of 60) were in HIV-1-seropositive individuals. The age-adjusted overall mortality rate ratio for HIV-positive adults compared with HIV-negatives was 20.8 (95% CI, 12.0-35.7). In the 13-44 age group the corresponding rate ratios for men, women and both sexes combined were 16.3, 108.9 and 58.7, respectively. The HIV-attributable mortality fractions, i.e., the proportion of deaths that would have been avoided in the absence of HIV, were 44, 50 and 89% for adult men, adult women and adults aged 25-34 years (both sexes combined), respectively. The 1-year progression to death among HIV-1-seropositive adults was 10.3%., Conclusion: These results demonstrate the profound impact that the HIV-1 epidemic has on adult mortality in a rural area of Uganda where the HIV-1 prevalence and incidence rates in adults are 8 and 1%, respectively.

Objective: To determine sociodemographic risk factors associated with HIV-1 infection in a rural Ugandan population., Design: A population-based survey., Methods: All adult residents (aged > or = 13 years) in a cluster of 15 neighbouring villages of the Masaka District of south-west Uganda were invited to participate in a sociodemographic and serological survey. Questions relating to sexual behaviour were asked separately in an accompanying case-control study. Socioeconomic data and an unambiguous HIV-1 serostatus were obtained by house-to-house survey for 3809 (72%) of the adult population. The association between serostatus and the following variables were analysed: age, sex, marital status, tribe, religion, education, occupational group, place and frequency of travel and recent history of sexually transmitted disease., Results: Women aged 13-21 years were at a much higher risk than men of the same age [odds ratio (OR), 8.6; 95% confidence interval (CI), 3.0-24.5]. Married people aged < 25 years were twice as likely to be infected as those who were not currently married (OR, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.5-3.7). In contrast, in those aged > or = 25 years, women were at a lower risk than men (OR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.52-0.98) as were those who were currently married compared with those who were not (OR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.34-0.64). In both age groups those with a history of a recent genital ulcer were approximately three times more likely to be infected. Muslims had lower risks than non-Muslims (OR, 0.58 for both age groups)., Conclusions: The people most at risk of HIV-1 infection in this rural Ugandan population are young married women who had, presumably, commenced sexual activity recently.

Objectives: The AIDS epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa affects whole communities, adding to the already high burden of morbidity. Reports of AIDS cases are usually from hospital attenders, often diagnosed using the World Health Organization (WHO) clinical case definition. Little is known about the extent of HIV-associated morbidity in the general population. The objectives of this study were to describe the prevalence of (1) markers of general morbidity and (2) the criteria of the WHO clinical case definition for AIDS and (3) to determine the association between these markers and HIV-1 serostatus in a rural Ugandan community., Methods: A survey was conducted among the adult population (aged > or = 13 years) of 15 neighbouring villages in Masaka District, south-west Uganda. The survey included medical history, physical examination and testing for HIV-1 antibodies., Results: The HIV-1 seroprevalence among 4175 out of 5278 (79%) eligible adults was 8.2%. Current health problems were reported by 57.6% of adults, with increased rates in HIV-1-positive subjects, women and older people. Five of the 10 most common complaints showed significant associations with HIV-1 status, as did reported genital ulcer and vaginal discharge. The crude HIV-1 attributable disease burden in the population was 1.2% for current illness, 4.3% for previous serious illness and 9.9% for illness leading to hospital admission. Overall, 11 (3.3%) of the HIV-1-positive and nine (0.2%) of the HIV-1-negative subjects had AIDS as defined by the clinical case definition. The positive and negative predictive values and specificity were 55.0, 92.0%, and 99.8%, respectively., Conclusions: Against a background of high general morbidity, we observed a relatively small population attribution of HIV-1-associated morbidity. The results indicate that the clinical AIDS case definition may provide a useful tool for population surveys.