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BackgroundSweden reached the UNAIDS 90-90-90 target in 2015. It is important to reassess the HIV epidemiological situation due to ever-changing migration patterns, the roll-out of PrEP and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.AimWe aimed to assess the progress towards the UNAIDS 95-95-95 targets in Sweden by estimating the proportion of undiagnosed people with HIV (PWHIV) and HIV incidence trends.MethodsWe used routine laboratory data to inform a biomarker model of time since infection. When available, we used previous negative test dates, arrival dates for PWHIV from abroad and transmission modes to inform our incidence model. We also used data collected from the Swedish InfCareHIV register on antiretroviral therapy (ART).ResultsThe yearly incidence of HIV in Sweden decreased after 2014. In part, this was because the fraction of undiagnosed PWHIV had decreased almost twofold since 2006. After 2015, three of four PWHIV in Sweden were diagnosed within 1.9 and 3.2 years after infection among men who have sex with men and in heterosexual groups, respectively. While 80% of new PWHIV in Sweden acquired HIV before immigration, they make up 50% of the current PWHIV in Sweden. By 2022, 96% of all PWHIV in Sweden had been diagnosed, and 99% of them were on ART, with 98% virally suppressed.ConclusionsBy 2022, about half of all PWHIV in Sweden acquired HIV abroad. Using our new biomarker model, we assess that Sweden has reached the UNAIDS goal at 96-99-98.

BackgroundThe global distribution of HIV-1 subtypes is evolving, which is reflected in the Swedish HIV cohort. The subtype HIV-1A6, which may be prone to developing resistance to cabotegravir, is the most common subtype in Ukraine.AimWe aimed to examine trends in HIV-1 subtype distribution in Sweden, with a special focus on HIV-1A6, and to describe the virology, demography and treatment of Ukrainian people living with HIV (PLWH) who migrated to Sweden in 2022.MethodsData about PLWH in Sweden are included in a national database (InfCareHIV). We used the online tool COMET to establish HIV-1 subtypes and the Stanford database to define drug resistance mutations. We investigated the relation between virological characteristics and demographic data.ResultsThe early epidemic was predominated by HIV-1 subtype B infections in people born in Sweden. After 1990, the majority of new PLWH in Sweden were PLWH migrating to Sweden, resulting in an increasingly diverse epidemic. In 2022, HIV-1A6 had become the sixth most common subtype in Sweden and 98 of the 431 new PLWH that were registered in Sweden came from Ukraine. We detected HIV RNA in plasma of 32 Ukrainian patients (34%), of whom 17 were previously undiagnosed, 10 had interrupted therapy and five were previously diagnosed but not treated. We found HIV-1A6 in 23 of 24 sequenced patients.ConclusionThe molecular HIV epidemiology in Sweden continues to diversify and PLWH unaware of their HIV status and predominance of HIV-1A6 should be considered when arranging care directed at PLWH from Ukraine.

Introduction: Data on safety and effectiveness of RPV from the real-world setting as well as comparisons with other NNRTIs such as efavirenz (EFV) remain scarce., Methods: Participants of EuroSIDA were included if they had started a RPV- or an EFV-containing regimen over November 2011-December 2017. Statistical testing was conducted using non-parametric Mann-Whitney U test and Chi-square test. A logistic regression model was used to compare participants' characteristics by treatment group. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to estimate the cumulative risk of virological failure (VF, two consecutive values > 50 copies/mL)., Results: 1,355 PLWH who started a RPV-based regimen (11% ART-naïve), as well as 333 initiating an EFV-containing regimen were included. Participants who started RPV differed from those starting EFV for demographics (age, geographical region) and immune-virological profiles (CD4 count, HIV RNA). The cumulative risk of VF for the RPV-based group was 4.5% (95% CI 3.3-5.7%) by 2 years from starting treatment (71 total VF events). Five out of 15 (33%) with resistance data available in the RPV group showed resistance-associated mutations vs. 3/13 (23%) among those in the EFV group. Discontinuations due to intolerance/toxicity were reported for 73 (15%) of RPV- vs. 45 (30%) of EFV-treated participants (p = 0.0001). The main difference was for toxicity of central nervous system (CNS, 3% vs. 22%, p < 0.001)., Conclusion: Our estimates of VF > 50 copies/mL and resistance in participants treated with RPV were similar to those reported by other studies. RPV safety profile was favourable with less frequent discontinuation due to toxicity than EFV (especially for CNS)., (© 2022. The Author(s).)

Objectives: HIV-1 pretreatment drug resistance (PDR) is a global concern. Our aim was to evaluate high-throughput sequencing (HTS) for HIV-1 resistance testing and describe PDR in Sweden, where 75% of diagnosed individuals are foreign-born., Design: Cross-sectional study., Methods: Individuals entering HIV-1 care in Sweden 2017 to March 2019 (n = 400) were included if a viremic sample was available (n = 220). HTS was performed using an in-house assay. Drug resistance mutations (DRMs) (based on Stanford HIV DB vs. 8.7) at levels 1-5%, 5-19% and at least 20% of the viral population were described. Results from HTS and routine Sanger sequencing were compared., Results: HTS was successful in 88% of patients, 92% when viral load was at least 1000 copies/ml. DRMs at any level in protease and/or reverse transcriptase were detected in 95 individuals (49%), whereas DRMs at least 20% in 35 (18%) individuals. DRMs at least 20% correlated well to findings in routine Sanger sequencing. Protease/reverse transcriptase (PR/RT) DRMs at least 20% were predicted by treatment exposure; adjusted OR 9.28 (95% CI 2.24-38.43; P = 0.002) and origin in Asia; adjusted OR 20.65 (95% CI 1.66-256.24; P = 0.02). Nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI) DRMs at least 20% were common (16%) and over-represented in individuals originating from sub-Saharan Africa or Asia. Low-level integrase strand transfer inhibitor (INSTI) DRMs less than 20% were detected in 15 individuals (8%) with no association with INSTI exposure., Conclusion: Our HTS can efficiently detect PDR and findings of DRMs at least 20% compare well to routine Sanger sequencing. The high prevalence of PDR was because of NNRTI DRMs and associated with migration from areas with emerging PDR., (Copyright © 2020 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Effective antiretroviral treatment of HIV-1, defined as continuously undetectable virus in blood, has substantial effects on the infectiousness and spread of HIV., Aim: This paper outlines the assessment of the Swedish Reference Group for Antiviral Therapy (RAV) and Public Health Agency of Sweden regarding contagiousness of HIV-infected persons on antiretroviral therapy (ART). Results and Conclusion: The expert group concludes that there is no risk of transmission of HIV during vaginal or anal intercourse if the HIV-infected person fulfils the criteria for effective ART. Summary: The effective antiretroviral therapy (ART) for HIV-1 infection has dramatically reduced the morbidity and mortality among people who live with HIV. ART also has a noticeable effect on the infectiousness and on the spread of the disease in society. Knowledge about this has grown gradually. For ART to be regarded effective, the level of the HIV RNA in the plasma should be repeatedly and continuously undetectable and the patient should be assessed as continually having high adherence to treatment. Based on available knowledge the Swedish Reference Group for Antiviral Therapy (RAV) and the Public Health Agency of Sweden make the following assessment: There is no risk of HIV transmission during vaginal or anal intercourse if the HIV positive person fulfils the criteria for effective treatment. This includes intercourse where a condom is not used. However, there are a number of other reasons for recommending the use of condoms, primarily to protect against the transmission of other STIs (sexually transmitted infections) and hepatitis, as well as unwanted pregnancy. The occurrence of other STIs does not affect the risk of HIV transmission in persons on effective ART. It is plausible that the risk for transmission of HIV infection between people who inject drugs and share injection equipment is reduced if the individual with HIV is on effective ART, but there are no studies that directly show this. The risk of transmission from mother to child during pregnancy, labour and delivery is very low if the mother's treatment is initiated well before delivery and if the treatment aim of undetectable virus levels is attained. This is dependent on healthcare services being aware of the mother's HIV infection at an early stage. In most contacts with health and medical care, including dental care, the risk of transmission is not significant if the patient is on effective treatment, but the risk may remain, although considerably reduced, in more advanced interventions such as surgery. When an incident with risk of transmission occurs, the patient must always inform those potentially exposed about his or her HIV infection.

Objectives: There is a lack of knowledge about the extent to which migrants become HIV-1 infected after arrival in European countries. The objective of this study was to assess the extent to which migrants to Sweden become HIV-1 infected post immigration using a CD4 T-cell decline trajectory model., Methods: All migrants (n = 2268) who were ≥ 15 years old, were diagnosed with HIV-1 infection in the period 1983-2013, had a known year of arrival in Sweden, did not have primary HIV infection and were not infected via mother-to-child transmission were included in the study. The CD4 T-cell decline trajectory model was applied and estimates of HIV acquisition were compared to the clinical reports. Phylogenetic analysis was performed in a subset of patients to explore whether this would favour the model or the doctor's estimate., Results: The model estimated 19% of individuals to have been infected after arrival in Sweden, whereas the physician's estimate was 12%. In 79% of cases the estimates agreed. Discordance was predominantly seen when the doctor estimated HIV acquisition to have occurred before arrival in Sweden, while the model estimated it to have occurred after arrival in Sweden, and this type of discordance was seen in 10% of all patients. The probability of a discordance was greater for older patients, those with a high first CD4 T-cell count and those infected via heterosexual transmission. The phylogenetic analysis showed a higher concordance with the CD4 model than with the clinical reports (36 vs. 13%, respectively)., Conclusions: The model indicated that a substantially higher proportion of migrants are infected after arrival in Sweden than estimated using clinical routine reports. It is therefore important to further emphasize primary preventive measures among migrants who have established themselves in their new country., (© 2017 British HIV Association.)

Neither the number of HIV-1 proviruses within individual infected cells in HIV-1-infected patients nor their genetic relatedness within individual infected cells and between cells and plasma virus are well defined. To address these issues we developed a technique to quantify and genetically characterize HIV-1 DNA from single infected cells in vivo. Analysis of peripheral blood CD4(+) T cells from nine patients revealed that the majority of infected cells contain only one copy of HIV-1 DNA, implying a limited potential for recombination in virus produced by these cells. The genetic similarity between HIV populations in CD4(+) T cells and plasma implies ongoing exchange between these compartments both early and late after infection.