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The seasonal rainfall regime is a key factor control on local ecological and social processes and is commonly thought to be stable under long‐term climate changes. Here we present a unique high‐resolution rainfall record from the Thai‐Malay Peninsula, combined with a state‐of‐the‐art transient climate simulation, demonstrating a fundamental rainfall regime shift from summer to winter during the Holocene. Transient model simulation and new sensitivity experiments further reveal that westward migration of the boundary between summer and winter rainfall regimes results in a summer to winter rainfall regime shift forced by distinct changes in summer and winter monsoons. Our findings suggest that the seasonal rainfall regime could be unstable under climate change around the boundaries of rainfall regimes in the tropics and possibly worldwide, which might be more critical for shaping both past and future ecological environments. Plain Language Summary: The observed seasonal rainfall regime, which varies over time, challenges the assumption of stable seasonal patterns in reconstructions of paleorainfall, suggesting that a reappraisal of the understanding of past ecological‐social changes with respect to rainfall may be needed. In this study, we have used a high‐resolution rainfall record from the Thai–Malay Peninsula and a state‐of‐the‐art transient paleoclimate simulation to describe a novel summer to winter rainfall regime shift during the Holocene era in the tropics, which may apply to regime‐boundary regions worldwide and thus provide a new perspective on dramatic ecological and social changes recorded around regime boundary regions for both past and future studies. Key Points: A unique rainfall record in the Thai‐Malay and a transient simulation suggest a summer to winter rainfall regime shift during the HoloceneTransient paleoclimate simulation simulation reveals that this shift was caused by westward migration of the boundary between summer and winter rainfall regimesThis regime shift could occur in regions around the boundaries of rainfall regimes in the tropics and possibly worldwide [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Changes in tropical precipitation over the past millennia have usually been associated with latitudinal displacements of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). Recent studies provide new evidence that contraction and expansion of the tropical rainbelt may also have contributed to ITCZ variability on centennial time scales. Over tropical South America few records point to a similar interpretation, which prevents a clear diagnosis of ITCZ changes in the region. In order to improve our understanding of the equatorial rainbelt variability, our study presents a reconstruction of precipitation for the last 3200 years from the Northeast Brazil (NEB) region, an area solely influenced by ITCZ precipitation. We analyze oxygen isotopes in speleothems that serve as a faithful proxy for the past location of the southern margin of the ITCZ. Our results, in comparison with other ITCZ proxies, indicate that the range of seasonal migration, contraction and expansion of the ITCZ was not symmetrical around the equator. A new NEB ITCZ pattern emerged based on the comparison between two distinct proxies that characterize the ITCZ behavior during the last 2500 years, with an ITCZ zonal pattern between NEB and the eastern Amazon. In NEB, the period related to the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA) was characterized by an abrupt transition from wet to dry conditions. These drier conditions persisted until the onset of the period corresponding to the Little Ice Age (LIA), representing the longest dry period over the last 3200 years in NEB. The ITCZ was apparently forced by teleconnections between Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and Pacific Decadal Variability that controlled the position, intensity and width of Walker cell over South America changing the ITCZ zonally, and sea surface temperature changes in both the Pacific and Atlantic, stretching/weaking the ITCZ-related rainfall meridionally over NEB. Wetter conditions started around 1500 CE in NEB. During the last 500 years, our speleothems document the occurrence of some of the strongest drought events for the last millennia, which drastically affected population and environment of NEB during the Portuguese colonial period. The historical droughts were able to affect the karst system, and led to significant impacts over the entire NEB region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We present new high‐resolution oxygen isotope (δ18O) records from three NW African speleothems located at ~31°N. The present‐day rainfall patterns at 31°N in NW Africa are linked to negative winter North Atlantic Oscillation phases. However, on multimillennial time scales, our δ18O records, together with other hydroclimate records, provide new evidence of humid conditions during the mid‐Holocene, a period that was presumably characterized by arid climate. Thus, the apparent increase in moisture during the mid‐Holocene is interpreted better as an increase in summer rainfall. This is most likely linked to the expansion of the West African summer monsoon fringe during the African Humid Period, which terminated in our record abruptly around 4 Kyr BP. The temporospatial difference with speleothem records from N Morocco suggests that the High‐Atlas Mountains might have been a topographic barrier to further expansion of the West African summer monsoon fringe into higher latitudes. Plain Language Summary: The Holocene African Humid Period in North Africa, characterized by the expansion of vegetation into the Green Sahara, has been linked to the intensification of the West African summer monsoon (WASM). However, the temporospatial pattern of the African Humid Period, especially the northernmost expansion of the WASM, remain a matter of controversy, largely owing to the lack of precisely dated and high‐resolution paleoclimatic records. This study presents new high‐resolution paleoclimate data based on speleothem oxygen isotope records from a key site at ~31°N in NW Africa. Our data suggest that the WASM expanded to 31°N in NW Africa during the mid‐Holocene and terminated abruptly at 4 Kyr BP. Key Points: Holocene rainfall variability in NW Africa is inferred from precisely dated and high‐resolution speleothem δ18O recordsThe West African summer monsoon expanded to 31°N in NW Africa during the mid‐HoloceneThe African Humid Period ended with an abrupt interval of megadrought around 4 Kyr BP in NW Africa [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Conflicting reconstructions of Holocene variability of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) from speleothem versus other types of proxy records have yielded widely divergent estimates of its phase relationship with the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) and Northern Hemisphere summer insolation (NHSI). This apparent discrepancy has been partly attributed to the uncertainties in the climatic representation of Chinese speleothem oxygen isotope (δ18O) records. Here we present a composite speleothem δ18O record of the last ∼14 kyr from Shennong Cave in southeastern China and model-simulated data of rainfall and meteoric δ18O over eastern China. Our synthesis of the proxy-model data suggests that the spatial patterns in both speleothem δ18O and paleo-rainfall over eastern China during the Holocene are diverse at orbital and multi-millennial scales. Our findings imply that: 1) speleothem δ18O in the EASM regime is largely controlled by the large-scale circulation and concomitant latitudinal shifts of the monsoon rain belt; notwithstanding the heterogeneous spatiotemporal pattern of Holocene rainfall as inferred from various proxy records, a coherent orbital-scale speleothem δ18O variability across most Asian monsoon regions (except southeastern China) indeed stems from the NHSI-forced changes in overall monsoon intensity; overall monsoon intensity is not equivalent to monsoon rainfall amount but a manifestation of the large-scale atmospheric circulation; 2) divergent phase relationships with NHSI between speleothem δ18O and other proxy records are consistent with—rather than contradictory to—the NHSI forcing mechanism. Speleothem δ18O and rainfall records reflect two different aspects of the monsoon dynamics. These results may thus, largely help to reconcile the divergent views of the Holocene Asian monsoon variability. • Holocene speleothem δ18O and rainfall show heterogeneous pattern in eastern China. • East Asian speleothem δ18O reflects large-scale circulation and monsoon rain belt shift. • Divergent phases between speleothem and other proxy records are not contradictory. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The upper Hanjiang River region is the recharge area of the middle route of South-to-North Water Transfer Project. The region is under construction of the Hanjiang-Weihe River Water Transfer Project in China. Monsoon precipitation variations in this region are critical to water resource and security of China. In this study, high-resolution monsoon precipitation variations were reconstructed in the upper Hanjiang River region over the past 6650 years from δ 18 O and δ 13 C records of four stalagmites in Xianglong cave. The long term increasing trend of stalagmite δ 18 O record since the middle Holocene is consistent with other speleothem records from monsoonal China. This trend follows the gradually decreasing Northern Hemisphere summer insolation, which indicates that solar insolation may control the orbital-scale East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) variations. Despite the declined EASM intensity since the middle Holocene, local precipitation may not have decreased remarkably, as revealed by the δ 13 C records. A series of centennial- to decadal-scale cyclicity was observed, with quasi-millennium-, quasi-century-, 57-, 36- and 22-year cycles by removing the long-term trend of stalagmite δ 18 O record. Increased monsoon precipitation during periods of 4390–3800 a BP, 3590–2960 a BP, 2050–1670 a BP and 1110–790 a BP had caused four super-floods in the upper reach of Hanjiang River. Dramatically dry climate existed in this region during the 5.0 ka and 2.8 ka events, coinciding with notable droughts in other regions of monsoonal China. Remarkably intensified and southward Westerly jet, together with weakened summer monsoon, may delay the onset of rainy seasons, resulting in synchronous decreasing of monsoon precipitation in China during the two events. During the 4.2 ka event and the Little Ice Age, the upper Hanjiang River region was wet, which was similar to the climate conditions in central and southern China, but was the opposite of drought observed in northern China. We propose that weakened summer monsoon and less strengthened or normal Westerly jet may cause rain belt stay longer in the southward region, which reduced rainfall in northern China but enhanced it in central and southern China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Few high-resolution paleoclimate proxy records exist in the region located under the direct influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) in South America and most of them were retrieved from the Cariaco Basin off the coast of Venezuela. Here we present new ẟ18O and ẟ13C records of Venezuelan speleothems collected in caves adjacent to Cariaco, covering the mid- and late-Holocene. We document previously undetected secular-to multidecadal-scale climate variability in the core region of the ITCZ, which is compared to other high-resolution records from the North Atlantic, Caribbean and tropical South America. Over the mid-Holocene our record exhibits broad swings between periods of reduced (8.3–8.0, 6.5–5.0, 4.1–3.6 ka BP) and increased (8.5, 8.0–6.5, 4.9–4.2 ka BP) rainfall. In particular, between 5.5 and 5.0 ka BP, increases in polar and subpolar North Atlantic ice rafted debris and a reduction in North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) formation might have contributed to the southward displacement of the North Atlantic Subtropical High (NASH) and the ITCZ, which led to severe dry conditions in north central Venezuela and an enhancement of the South American Monsoon System (SAMS). During the late-Holocene, contrary to data from Cariaco reported in previous studies, our results point to drier conditions during the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA, 900–1100 CE), which were further amplified during positive Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) phases. Wet conditions, however, prevailed during the first part of the Little Ice Age (LIA, 1400–1500 CE). No speleothem deposition occurred during the main LIA period, which might be related to drier conditions in response to a southward displacement of the ITCZ that led to major moisture convergence over the SASM domain. Our new records from Venezuela provide a reliable proxy for ITCZ behavior over the Atlantic – South America domain and document past dynamics in relation to other climate systems (NASH and SAMS), while providing new evidence of ITCZ – North Atlantic teleconnections during the Holocene. • ẟ18O and ẟ13C speleothem records from northern Venezuela for mid- and late- Holocene. • ITCZ meridional migration proxy nearby Cariaco Basin. • Evidence of IRD and NADW forcings on ITCZ rainfall between 6000 and 5000 years BP. • Northern Venezuela presents dry MCA and wet first part of the LIA. • MCA dry conditions further amplified during positive AMO phases. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The paleoclimatic and paleoenvironmental history of the Amazon basin over the last millennia and the behavior of the South American Monsoon System (SAMS) throughout the lowlands have not yet been thoroughly examined due to a lack of records from more central portions of the basin. Here we discuss these past changes based on new high-resolution δ18O and δ13C records from speleothems collected in the southwestern Amazon Basin, at the core region of the convective activity of the SAMS. We demonstrate that the δ18O from these new records is representative of SAMS variations and that this convective system provides distinct precipitation patterns over the basin. The SAMS was in a neutral phase with homogeneous precipitation between 1000 BCE and 300 CE, whereas drier conditions prevailed over the western side of the basin between 700 and 1200 CE and an east-west climatic dipole was established over the Amazon Basin after 1450 CE when wetter conditions prevailed over our study site. The speleothem δ13C record indicates an overall tendency toward a more humid tropical forest during the studied period, except for a drier period which correlates with the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA). The dynamics of pre-Columbian cultures from southwestern Amazonia seem to have been related to paleoclimatic and environmental changes reported for the region. • δ18O and δ13C speleothem records from lowland Amazon basin for late-Holocene. • Southwestern Amazonia present dry MCA and wet LIA periods documented by δ18O record. • Amazonia precipitation dipole due to enhanced SAMS activity reinforced by δ18O record. • Rainforest expansion over the last 3000 years documented by the δ13C record. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• A ∼4-yrs resolution Holocene stalagmite δ 18 O record from central China was studied. • The variability of 100-500- and 500-3000-yrs were diminished from 8.5 to 4.9 ka BP. • Changes in tropical SST likely caused the mid-Holocene weak monsoon events. • Climate change has impacts on the evolution of ancient cultures in central China. Monsoon precipitation in East China shows distinct spatial distribution and its variability is closely linked with the changes of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM). Located in the transition zone between the southern subtropical humid climate and the northern warm temperate semi-humid climate, central China is a core region for recognizing and understanding the spatio-temporal variability of the EASM. Using U-series dating and stable isotope analysis on five stalagmites (MG-1, MG-2, MG-7, MG-40 and MG-64) from Magou Cave, Henan Province, Central China, we construct a high-resolution and precisely dated composite stalagmite δ 18 O time series covering most of the Holocene. This composite record reveals variations in precipitation δ 18 O between 11.7 and 1.1 ka BP with average resolution of ∼4 yrs. The Magou composite record demonstrates that EASM intensity dominates long-term changes in precipitation δ 18 O, which generally follows the northern hemisphere summer insolation (NHSI) trend. Both, Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) and wavelet filtering analyses real that the amplitudes of long-term (100-500 and 500-3000 yrs) components were slightly reduced between 8.5 and 4.9 ka BP, implying a weakened influence of climatic forcings on centennial and even millennial timescales during this warm period. Variance on 1-30-yr timescales is relatively low and ascribed to sampling resolution. Fourteen weak EASM intervals, including the 8.2 ka event, were identified within the period corresponding broadly with the Holocene Megathermal. Since no cold excursions other than the 8.2 ka event are found in the Greenland ice core records, we tentatively propose that oscillations in tropical sea surface temperature (SST) likely play an important role in steering other weak monsoon events. Aligning the Magou composite record and other moisture records with archaeological records from the study region, it seems that climate change influenced both the spatial distribution and agricultural practices of ancient cultures. However, overall moderate climatic changes in this region, most likely characterized by shifts between subtropical humid climate and warm temperate semi-humid climate, supported a generally consecutive development of ancient cultures without major hiatuses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Changes in insolation driven by precession and obliquity are considered the major driver of tropical precipitation on orbital time scales, and responsible for vegetation and physical landscape changes during the Late Holocene over tropical South America. Here we investigate the environmental changes in the karst region of Chapada do Apodi - Northeastern Brazil (NEB), using a multi-proxy approach including carbon (δ13C), oxygen (δ18O) and strontium (87Sr/86Sr) isotopic analyses on speleothems from different caves, carbonate bedrock, and clastic cave deposits. This approach reveals that the balance between soil formation and erosion and their alternating impact on vegetation and precipitation changes occurred in response to variations in the position and intensity of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) over the region. The high δ13C and δ18O and low 87Sr/86Sr values at 4,200 yrs BP indicate a massive episode of soil erosion, resulting in the exposure of carbonate bedrocks over a large area of the karst terrain. This event marks the beginning of the Meghalayan chronozone, characterized as the aridification of this region, decline in soil production, drying out of underground drainages, and increased dominance of dry-adapted flora species, characteristic of a more open vegetation (caatinga). We investigated if the Holocene climatic changes affected human occupation in the NEB and found that the overall demographic course is virtually identical to the well-established curve characterized by population deflation during Middle Holocene. • The combined use of speleothem δ18O, δ13C and 87Sr/86Sr records for paleoenvironmental reconstruction. • Relative changes in soil turnover in response to ITCZ rainfall in Northeastern Brazil. • Evidences of hydrological changes in the ITCZ region from multiproxy cave records. • Increased aridification in Northeastern Brazil coincident with Meghalayan chronozone. • The 4.2 event as marker of abrupt changes in climate and its impact in human population. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]