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1. Disentangling the Association of Hydroxychloroquine Treatment with Mortality in Covid-19 Hospitalized Patients through Hierarchical Clustering.

Author

Di Castelnuovo A, Gialluisi A, Antinori A, Berselli N, Blandi L, Bonaccio M, Bruno R, Cauda R, Costanzo S, Guaraldi G, Menicanti L, Mennuni M, My I, Parruti G, Patti G, Perlini S, Santilli F, Signorelli C, Stefanini G, Vergori A, Ageno W, Agodi A, Agostoni P, Aiello L, Al Moghazi S, Arboretti R, Aucella F, Barbieri G, Barchitta M, Bonfanti P, Cacciatore F, Caiano L, Cannata F, Carrozzi L, Cascio A, Castiglione G, Ciccullo A, Cingolani A, Cipollone F, Colomba C, Colombo C, Crisetti A, Crosta F, Danzi GB, D'Ardes D, de Gaetano Donati K, Di Gennaro F, Di Tano G, D'Offizi G, Fusco FM, Gaudiosi C, Gentile I, Gianfagna F, Giuliano G, Graziani E, Guarnieri G, Langella V, Larizza G, Leone A, Maccagni G, Magni F, Maitan S, Mancarella S, Manuele R, Mapelli M, Maragna R, Marcucci R, Maresca G, Marongiu S, Marotta C, Marra L, Mastroianni F, Mengozzi A, Meschiari M, Milic J, Minutolo F, Mussinelli R, Mussini C, Musso M, Odone A, Olivieri M, Palimodde A, Pasi E, Pesavento R, Petri F, Pivato CA, Poletti V, Ravaglia C, Righetti G, Rognoni A, Rossato M, Rossi I, Rossi M, Sabena A, Salinaro F, Sangiovanni V, Sanrocco C, Schiano Moriello N, Scorzolini L, Sgariglia R, Simeone PG, Spinicci M, Tamburrini E, Torti C, Trecarichi EM, Vettor R, Vianello A, Vinceti M, Virdis A, De Caterina R, and Iacoviello L

Subjects
Aged, Aged, 80 and over, COVID-19 physiopathology, Cluster Analysis, Female, Humans, Italy, Male, Middle Aged, Retrospective Studies, SARS-CoV-2 drug effects, Severity of Illness Index, Treatment Outcome, Antimalarials adverse effects, Antimalarials therapeutic use, COVID-19 mortality, Hospital Mortality, Hydroxychloroquine adverse effects, Hydroxychloroquine therapeutic use, COVID-19 Drug Treatment
Abstract

The efficacy of hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) in treating SARS-CoV-2 infection is harshly debated, with observational and experimental studies reporting contrasting results. To clarify the role of HCQ in Covid-19 patients, we carried out a retrospective observational study of 4,396 unselected patients hospitalized for Covid-19 in Italy (February-May 2020). Patients' characteristics were collected at entry, including age, sex, obesity, smoking status, blood parameters, history of diabetes, cancer, cardiovascular and chronic pulmonary diseases, and medications in use. These were used to identify subtypes of patients with similar characteristics through hierarchical clustering based on Gower distance. Using multivariable Cox regressions, these clusters were then tested for association with mortality and modification of effect by treatment with HCQ. We identified two clusters, one of 3,913 younger patients with lower circulating inflammation levels and better renal function, and one of 483 generally older and more comorbid subjects, more prevalently men and smokers. The latter group was at increased death risk adjusted by HCQ (HR[CI95%] = 3.80[3.08-4.67]), while HCQ showed an independent inverse association (0.51[0.43-0.61]), as well as a significant influence of cluster∗HCQ interaction ( p < 0.001). This was driven by a differential association of HCQ with mortality between the high (0.89[0.65-1.22]) and the low risk cluster (0.46[0.39-0.54]). These effects survived adjustments for additional medications in use and were concordant with associations with disease severity and outcome. These findings suggest a particularly beneficial effect of HCQ within low risk Covid-19 patients and may contribute to clarifying the current controversy on HCQ efficacy in Covid-19 treatment., Competing Interests: The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest., (Copyright © 2021 Augusto Di Castelnuovo et al.)

Published
2021
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2. Common cardiovascular risk factors and in-hospital mortality in 3,894 patients with COVID-19: survival analysis and machine learning-based findings from the multicentre Italian CORIST Study.

Author

Di Castelnuovo A, Bonaccio M, Costanzo S, Gialluisi A, Antinori A, Berselli N, Blandi L, Bruno R, Cauda R, Guaraldi G, My I, Menicanti L, Parruti G, Patti G, Perlini S, Santilli F, Signorelli C, Stefanini GG, Vergori A, Abdeddaim A, Ageno W, Agodi A, Agostoni P, Aiello L, Al Moghazi S, Aucella F, Barbieri G, Bartoloni A, Bologna C, Bonfanti P, Brancati S, Cacciatore F, Caiano L, Cannata F, Carrozzi L, Cascio A, Cingolani A, Cipollone F, Colomba C, Crisetti A, Crosta F, Danzi GB, D'Ardes D, de Gaetano Donati K, Di Gennaro F, Di Palma G, Di Tano G, Fantoni M, Filippini T, Fioretto P, Fusco FM, Gentile I, Grisafi L, Guarnieri G, Landi F, Larizza G, Leone A, Maccagni G, Maccarella S, Mapelli M, Maragna R, Marcucci R, Maresca G, Marotta C, Marra L, Mastroianni F, Mengozzi A, Menichetti F, Milic J, Murri R, Montineri A, Mussinelli R, Mussini C, Musso M, Odone A, Olivieri M, Pasi E, Petri F, Pinchera B, Pivato CA, Pizzi R, Poletti V, Raffaelli F, Ravaglia C, Righetti G, Rognoni A, Rossato M, Rossi M, Sabena A, Salinaro F, Sangiovanni V, Sanrocco C, Scarafino A, Scorzolini L, Sgariglia R, Simeone PG, Spinoni E, Torti C, Trecarichi EM, Vezzani F, Veronesi G, Vettor R, Vianello A, Vinceti M, De Caterina R, and Iacoviello L

Subjects
Adolescent, Adult, Age Factors, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, C-Reactive Protein analysis, COVID-19, Female, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Pandemics, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, SARS-CoV-2, Survival Analysis, Young Adult, Betacoronavirus, Cardiovascular Diseases etiology, Coronavirus Infections mortality, Hospital Mortality, Machine Learning, Pneumonia, Viral mortality
Abstract

Background and Aims: There is poor knowledge on characteristics, comorbidities and laboratory measures associated with risk for adverse outcomes and in-hospital mortality in European Countries. We aimed at identifying baseline characteristics predisposing COVID-19 patients to in-hospital death., Methods and Results: Retrospective observational study on 3894 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalized from February 19th to May 23rd, 2020 and recruited in 30 clinical centres distributed throughout Italy. Machine learning (random forest)-based and Cox survival analysis. 61.7% of participants were men (median age 67 years), followed up for a median of 13 days. In-hospital mortality exhibited a geographical gradient, Northern Italian regions featuring more than twofold higher death rates as compared to Central/Southern areas (15.6% vs 6.4%, respectively). Machine learning analysis revealed that the most important features in death classification were impaired renal function, elevated C reactive protein and advanced age. These findings were confirmed by multivariable Cox survival analysis (hazard ratio (HR): 8.2; 95% confidence interval (CI) 4.6-14.7 for age ≥85 vs 18-44 y); HR = 4.7; 2.9-7.7 for estimated glomerular filtration rate levels <15 vs ≥ 90 mL/min/1.73 m 2 ; HR = 2.3; 1.5-3.6 for C-reactive protein levels ≥10 vs ≤ 3 mg/L). No relation was found with obesity, tobacco use, cardiovascular disease and related-comorbidities. The associations between these variables and mortality were substantially homogenous across all sub-groups analyses., Conclusions: Impaired renal function, elevated C-reactive protein and advanced age were major predictors of in-hospital death in a large cohort of unselected patients with COVID-19, admitted to 30 different clinical centres all over Italy., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest All Authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2020 The Italian Diabetes Society, the Italian Society for the Study of Atherosclerosis, the Italian Society of Human Nutrition and the Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, Federico II University. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Published
2020
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3. Heparin in COVID-19 patients is associated with reduced in-hospital mortality: the multicentre Italian CORIST Study

Author

Walter Ageno, Raffaele Pesavento, Marinella Astuto, Katleen de Gaetano Donati, Francesca Santilli, Filippo Aucella, Eleonora Taddei, Marianna Meschiari, Laura Scorzolini, Biagio Pinchera, Giustino Parruti, Licia Iacoviello, Andrea Vianello, Gabriella Guarnieri, Arturo Montineri, Crizia Colombo, Carlo Signorelli, Lorenzo Blandi, Raffaele De Caterina, Maria Musso, Francesco Petri, Stefano Maitan, Anna Odone, Lucia Caiano, Francesca Crosta, Lorenzo Marra, Giuseppe Patti, Emanuela Pasi, Jovana Milic, Marco Olivieri, Claudia Colomba, Francesco Maria Fusco, Claudia Ravaglia, Alexandra Virano, Carlo Torti, Samir Al Moghazi, Venerino Poletti, Riccardo Maragna, Carlo Sanrocco, Sandro Mancarella, Greta Barbieri, Arturo Ciccullo, Leonardo Grisafi, Paola Simeone, Lorenzo Menicanti, Antonella Palimodde, Gloria Maccagni, Alessandra Vergori, Daniela Niola, Marco G. Mennuni, Gianpiero D'Offizi, Claudia Marotta, Damiano D'Ardes, Vincenzo Sangiovanni, Paolo Bonfanti, Giovanni Larizza, Francesco Di Gennaro, Alessandro Mengozzi, Massimo Mapelli, Giuseppe Di Tano, Laura Carrozzi, Antonella Agodi, Francesco Menichetti, Marialaura Bonaccio, Andrea Antinori, Marco Vinceti, Armando Leone, Franco Mastroianni, Silvia Marongiu, Filippo Minutolo, Giulio Maresca, Beatrice Molena, Nausicaa Berselli, Francesco Cipollone, Massimo Fantoni, Antonella Cingolani, Giovanni Guaraldi, Raffaella Sgariglia, Piergiuseppe Agostoni, Antonio Cascio, Maria Mazzitelli, Roberta Parisi, Augusto Di Castelnuovo, Gian Battista Danzi, Luca Aiello, Roberto Vettor, Elvira Grandone, Laura Vocciante, Emauele Graziani, Cristina Mussini, Marianna Rossi, Marco Rossato, Roberto Cauda, Rosa Arboretti, Alessandro Bartoloni, Simona Costanzo, Francesco Gianfagna, Andrea Rognoni, Ferruccio Madaro, Rossella Marcucci, Pasquale Abete, Francesco Cacciatore, Ivan Gentile, Di Castelnuovo, A, Costanzo, S, Antinori, A, Berselli, N, Blandi, L, Bonaccio, M, Cauda, R, Guaraldi, G, Menicanti, L, Mennuni, M, Parruti, G, Patti, G, Santilli, F, Signorelli, C, Vergori, A, Abete, P, Ageno, W, Agodi, A, Agostoni, P, Aiello, L, Al Moghazi, S, Arboretti, R, Astuto, M, Aucella, F, Barbieri, G, Bartoloni, A, Bonfanti, P, Cacciatore, F, Caiano, L, Carrozzi, L, Cascio, A, Ciccullo, A, Cingolani, A, Cipollone, F, Colomba, C, Colombo, C, Crosta, F, Danzi, G, D'Ardes, D, de Gaetano Donati, K, Di Gennaro, F, Di Tano, G, D'Offizi, G, Fantoni, M, Fusco, F, Gentile, I, Gianfagna, F, Grandone, E, Graziani, E, Grisafi, L, Guarnieri, G, Larizza, G, Leone, A, Maccagni, G, Madaro, F, Maitan, S, Mancarella, S, Mapelli, M, Maragna, R, Marcucci, R, Maresca, G, Marongiu, S, Marotta, C, Marra, L, Mastroianni, F, Mazzitelli, M, Mengozzi, A, Menichetti, F, Meschiari, M, Milic, J, Minutolo, F, Molena, B, Montineri, A, Mussini, C, Musso, M, Niola, D, Odone, A, Olivieri, M, Palimodde, A, Parisi, R, Pasi, E, Pesavento, R, Petri, F, Pinchera, B, Poletti, V, Ravaglia, C, Rognoni, A, Rossato, M, Rossi, M, Sangiovanni, V, Sanrocco, C, Scorzolini, L, Sgariglia, R, Simeone, P, Taddei, E, Torti, C, Vettor, R, Vianello, A, Vinceti, M, Virano, A, Vocciante, L, De Caterina, R, Iacoviello, L, Danzi, G. B, De Gaetano Donati, K, Fusco, F. M, Simeone, P. G, Iacoviello, L., Di Castelnuovo, Augusto, Costanzo, Simona, Antinori, Andrea, Berselli, Nausicaa, Blandi, Lorenzo, Bonaccio, Marialaura, Cauda, Roberto, Guaraldi, Giovanni, Menicanti, Lorenzo, Mennuni, Marco, Parruti, Giustino, Patti, Giuseppe, Santilli, Francesca, Signorelli, Carlo, Vergori, Alessandra, Abete, Pasquale, Ageno, Walter, Agodi, Antonella, Agostoni, Piergiuseppe, Aiello, Luca, Al Moghazi, Samir, Arboretti, Rosa, Astuto, Marinella, Aucella, Filippo, Barbieri, Greta, Bartoloni, Alessandro, Bonfanti, Paolo, Cacciatore, Francesco, Caiano, Lucia, Carrozzi, Laura, Cascio, Antonio, Ciccullo, Arturo, Cingolani, Antonella, Cipollone, Francesco, Colomba, Claudia, Colombo, Crizia, Crosta, Francesca, Danzi, Gian Battista, D'Ardes, Damiano, de Gaetano Donati, Katleen, Di Gennaro, Francesco, Di Tano, Giuseppe, D'Offizi, Gianpiero, Fantoni, Massimo, Fusco, Francesco Maria, Gentile, Ivan, Gianfagna, Francesco, Grandone, Elvira, Graziani, Emauele, Grisafi, Leonardo, Guarnieri, Gabriella, Larizza, Giovanni, Leone, Armando, Maccagni, Gloria, Madaro, Ferruccio, Maitan, Stefano, Mancarella, Sandro, Mapelli, Massimo, Maragna, Riccardo, Marcucci, Rossella, Maresca, Giulio, Marongiu, Silvia, Marotta, Claudia, Marra, Lorenzo, Mastroianni, Franco, Mazzitelli, Maria, Mengozzi, Alessandro, Menichetti, Francesco, Meschiari, Marianna, Milic, Jovana, Minutolo, Filippo, Molena, Beatrice, Montineri, Arturo, Mussini, Cristina, Musso, Maria, Niola, Daniela, Odone, Anna, Olivieri, Marco, Palimodde, Antonella, Parisi, Roberta, Pasi, Emanuela, Pesavento, Raffaele, Petri, Francesco, Pinchera, Biagio, Poletti, Venerino, Ravaglia, Claudia, Rognoni, Andrea, Rossato, Marco, Rossi, Marianna, Sangiovanni, Vincenzo, Sanrocco, Carlo, Scorzolini, Laura, Sgariglia, Raffaella, Simeone, Paola Giustina, Taddei, Eleonora, Torti, Carlo, Vettor, Roberto, Vianello, Andrea, Vinceti, Marco, Virano, Alexandra, Vocciante, Laura, De Caterina, Raffaele, Iacoviello, Licia, Di Castelnuovo A., Costanzo S., Antinori A., Berselli N., Blandi L., Bonaccio M., Cauda R., Guaraldi G., Menicanti L., Mennuni M., Parruti G., Patti G., Santilli F., Signorelli C., Vergori A., Abete P., Ageno W., Agodi A., Agostoni P., Aiello L., Al Moghazi S., Arboretti R., Astuto M., Aucella F., Barbieri G., Bartoloni A., Bonfanti P., Cacciatore F., Caiano L., Carrozzi L., Cascio A., Ciccullo A., Cingolani A., Cipollone F., Colomba C., Colombo C., Crosta F., Danzi G.B., D'Ardes D., De Gaetano Donati K., Di Gennaro F., Di Tano G., D'Offizi G., Fantoni M., Fusco F.M., Gentile I., Gianfagna F., Grandone E., Graziani E., Grisafi L., Guarnieri G., Larizza G., Leone A., MacCagni G., Madaro F., Maitan S., Mancarella S., Mapelli M., Maragna R., Marcucci R., Maresca G., Marongiu S., Marotta C., Marra L., Mastroianni F., Mazzitelli M., Mengozzi A., Menichetti F., Meschiari M., Milic J., Minutolo F., Molena B., Montineri A., Mussini C., Musso M., Niola D., Odone A., Olivieri M., Palimodde A., Parisi R., Pasi E., Pesavento R., Petri F., Pinchera B., Poletti V., Ravaglia C., Rognoni A., Rossato M., Rossi M., Sangiovanni V., Sanrocco C., Scorzolini L., Sgariglia R., Simeone P.G., Taddei E., Torti C., Vettor R., Vianello A., Vinceti M., Virano A., Vocciante L., De Caterina R., and Iacoviello L.

Subjects
Male, medicine.medical_specialty, Settore MED/17 - Malattie Infettive, coronavirus, heparin, 030204 cardiovascular system & hematology, Lower risk, law.invention, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Randomized controlled trial, law, Internal medicine, Clinical endpoint, medicine, Humans, Thrombophilia, 030212 general & internal medicine, Hospital Mortality, Blood Coagulation, Survival analysis, Aged, Retrospective Studies, treatment, business.industry, Heparin, Mortality rate, COVID-19,mortality, Low-Molecular-Weight, Anticoagulants, COVID-19, Retrospective cohort study, Hematology, Heparin, Low-Molecular-Weight, Middle Aged, mortality, Survival Analysis, COVID-19 Drug Treatment, coagulation activation, coronaviru, Italy, treatments, Propensity score matching, Female, business, medicine.drug
Abstract

Introduction A hypercoagulable condition was described in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and proposed as a possible pathogenic mechanism contributing to disease progression and lethality. Aim We evaluated if in-hospital administration of heparin improved survival in a large cohort of Italian COVID-19 patients. Methods In a retrospective observational study, 2,574 unselected patients hospitalized in 30 clinical centers in Italy from February 19, 2020 to June 5, 2020 with laboratory-confirmed severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 infection were analyzed. The primary endpoint in a time-to event analysis was in-hospital death, comparing patients who received heparin (low-molecular-weight heparin [LMWH] or unfractionated heparin [UFH]) with patients who did not. We used multivariable Cox proportional-hazards regression models with inverse probability for treatment weighting by propensity scores. Results Out of 2,574 COVID-19 patients, 70.1% received heparin. LMWH was largely the most used formulation (99.5%). Death rates for patients receiving heparin or not were 7.4 and 14.0 per 1,000 person-days, respectively. After adjustment for propensity scores, we found a 40% lower risk of death in patients receiving heparin (hazard ratio = 0.60; 95% confidence interval: 0.49–0.74; E-value = 2.04). This association was particularly evident in patients with a higher severity of disease or strong coagulation activation. Conclusion In-hospital heparin treatment was associated with a lower mortality, particularly in severely ill COVID-19 patients and in those with strong coagulation activation. The results from randomized clinical trials are eagerly awaited to provide clear-cut recommendations.

Published
2021

4. Common cardiovascular risk factors and in-hospital mortality in 3,894 patients with COVID-19: survival analysis and machine learning-based findings from the multicentre Italian CORIST Study

Author

Augusto Di Castelnuovo, Marialaura Bonaccio, Simona Costanzo, Alessandro Gialluisi, Andrea Antinori, Nausicaa Berselli, Lorenzo Blandi, Raffaele Bruno, Roberto Cauda, Giovanni Guaraldi, Ilaria My, Lorenzo Menicanti, Giustino Parruti, Giuseppe Patti, Stefano Perlini, Francesca Santilli, Carlo Signorelli, Giulio G. Stefanini, Alessandra Vergori, Amina Abdeddaim, Walter Ageno, Antonella Agodi, Piergiuseppe Agostoni, Luca Aiello, Samir Al Moghazi, Filippo Aucella, Greta Barbieri, Alessandro Bartoloni, Carolina Bologna, Paolo Bonfanti, Serena Brancati, Francesco Cacciatore, Lucia Caiano, Francesco Cannata, Laura Carrozzi, Antonio Cascio, Antonella Cingolani, Francesco Cipollone, Claudia Colomba, Annalisa Crisetti, Francesca Crosta, Gian B. Danzi, Damiano D'Ardes, Katleen de Gaetano Donati, Francesco Di Gennaro, Gisella Di Palma, Giuseppe Di Tano, Massimo Fantoni, Tommaso Filippini, Paola Fioretto, Francesco M. Fusco, Ivan Gentile, Leonardo Grisafi, Gabriella Guarnieri, Francesco Landi, Giovanni Larizza, Armando Leone, Gloria Maccagni, Sandro Maccarella, Massimo Mapelli, Riccardo Maragna, Rossella Marcucci, Giulio Maresca, Claudia Marotta, Lorenzo Marra, Franco Mastroianni, Alessandro Mengozzi, Francesco Menichetti, Jovana Milic, Rita Murri, Arturo Montineri, Roberta Mussinelli, Cristina Mussini, Maria Musso, Anna Odone, Marco Olivieri, Emanuela Pasi, Francesco Petri, Biagio Pinchera, Carlo A. Pivato, Roberto Pizzi, Venerino Poletti, Francesca Raffaelli, Claudia Ravaglia, Giulia Righetti, Andrea Rognoni, Marco Rossato, Marianna Rossi, Anna Sabena, Francesco Salinaro, Vincenzo Sangiovanni, Carlo Sanrocco, Antonio Scarafino, Laura Scorzolini, Raffaella Sgariglia, Paola G. Simeone, Enrico Spinoni, Carlo Torti, Enrico M. Trecarichi, Francesca Vezzani, Giovanni Veronesi, Roberto Vettor, Andrea Vianello, Marco Vinceti, Raffaele De Caterina, Licia Iacoviello, Di Castelnuovo, A., Bonaccio, M., Costanzo, S., Gialluisi, A., Antinori, A., Berselli, N., Blandi, L., Bruno, R., Cauda, R., Guaraldi, G., My, I., Menicanti, L., Parruti, G., Patti, G., Perlini, S., Santilli, F., Signorelli, C., Stefanini, G. G., Vergori, A., Abdeddaim, A., Ageno, W., Agodi, A., Agostoni, P., Aiello, L., Al Moghazi, S., Aucella, F., Barbieri, G., Bartoloni, A., Bologna, C., Bonfanti, P., Brancati, S., Cacciatore, F., Caiano, L., Cannata, F., Carrozzi, L., Cascio, A., Cingolani, A., Cipollone, F., Colomba, C., Crisetti, A., Crosta, F., Danzi, G. B., D'Ardes, D., de Gaetano Donati, K., Di Gennaro, F., Di Palma, G., Di Tano, G., Fantoni, M., Filippini, T., Fioretto, P., Fusco, F. M., Gentile, I., Grisafi, L., Guarnieri, G., Landi, F., Larizza, G., Leone, A., Maccagni, G., Maccarella, S., Mapelli, M., Maragna, R., Marcucci, R., Maresca, G., Marotta, C., Marra, L., Mastroianni, F., Mengozzi, A., Menichetti, F., Milic, J., Murri, R., Montineri, A., Mussinelli, R., Mussini, C., Musso, M., Odone, A., Olivieri, M., Pasi, E., Petri, F., Pinchera, B., Pivato, C. A., Pizzi, R., Poletti, V., Raffaelli, F., Ravaglia, C., Righetti, G., Rognoni, A., Rossato, M., Rossi, M., Sabena, A., Salinaro, F., Sangiovanni, V., Sanrocco, C., Scarafino, A., Scorzolini, L., Sgariglia, R., Simeone, P. G., Spinoni, E., Torti, C., Trecarichi, E. M., Vezzani, F., Veronesi, G., Vettor, R., Vianello, A., Vinceti, M., De Caterina, R., Iacoviello, L., Di Castelnuovo, Augusto, Bonaccio, Marialaura, Costanzo, Simona, Gialluisi, Alessandro, Antinori, Andrea, Berselli, Nausicaa, Blandi, Lorenzo, Bruno, Raffaele, Cauda, Roberto, Guaraldi, Giovanni, My, Ilaria, Menicanti, Lorenzo, Parruti, Giustino, Patti, Giuseppe, Perlini, Stefano, Santilli, Francesca, Signorelli, Carlo, Stefanini, Giulio G, Vergori, Alessandra, Abdeddaim, Amina, Ageno, Walter, Agodi, Antonella, Agostoni, Piergiuseppe, Aiello, Luca, Al Moghazi, Samir, Aucella, Filippo, Barbieri, Greta, Bartoloni, Alessandro, Bologna, Carolina, Bonfanti, Paolo, Brancati, Serena, Cacciatore, Francesco, Caiano, Lucia, Cannata, Francesco, Carrozzi, Laura, Cascio, Antonio, Cingolani, Antonella, Cipollone, Francesco, Colomba, Claudia, Crisetti, Annalisa, Crosta, Francesca, Danzi, Gian B, D'Ardes, Damiano, de Gaetano Donati, Katleen, Di Gennaro, Francesco, Di Palma, Gisella, Di Tano, Giuseppe, Fantoni, Massimo, Filippini, Tommaso, Fioretto, Paola, Fusco, Francesco M, Gentile, Ivan, Grisafi, Leonardo, Guarnieri, Gabriella, Landi, Francesco, Larizza, Giovanni, Leone, Armando, Maccagni, Gloria, Maccarella, Sandro, Mapelli, Massimo, Maragna, Riccardo, Marcucci, Rossella, Maresca, Giulio, Marotta, Claudia, Marra, Lorenzo, Mastroianni, Franco, Mengozzi, Alessandro, Menichetti, Francesco, Milic, Jovana, Murri, Rita, Montineri, Arturo, Mussinelli, Roberta, Mussini, Cristina, Musso, Maria, Odone, Anna, Olivieri, Marco, Pasi, Emanuela, Petri, Francesco, Pinchera, Biagio, Pivato, Carlo A, Pizzi, Roberto, Poletti, Venerino, Raffaelli, Francesca, Ravaglia, Claudia, Righetti, Giulia, Rognoni, Andrea, Rossato, Marco, Rossi, Marianna, Sabena, Anna, Salinaro, Francesco, Sangiovanni, Vincenzo, Sanrocco, Carlo, Scarafino, Antonio, Scorzolini, Laura, Sgariglia, Raffaella, Simeone, Paola G, Spinoni, Enrico, Torti, Carlo, Trecarichi, Enrico M, Vezzani, Francesca, Veronesi, Giovanni, Vettor, Roberto, Vianello, Andrea, Vinceti, Marco, De Caterina, Raffaele, Iacoviello, Licia, Di Castelnuovo, A, Bonaccio, M, Costanzo, S, Gialluisi, A, Antinori, A, Berselli, N, Blandi, L, Bruno, R, Cauda, R, Guaraldi, G, My, I, Menicanti, L, Parruti, A, Patti, G, Perlini, S, Santilli, F, Signorelli, C, Stefanini, G, Vergori, A, Abdeddaim, A, Ageno, W, Agodi, A, Agostoni, P, Aiello, L, Al Moghazi, S, Aucella, F, Barbieri, G, Bartoloni, A, Bologna, C, Bonfanti, P, Brancati, S, Cacciatore, F, Caiano, L, Cannata, F, Carrozzi, L, Cascio, A, Cingolani, A, Cipollone, F, Colomba, C, Crisetti, A, Crosta, F, Danzi, G, D'Ardes, D, de Gaetano Donati, K, Di Gennaro, F, Di Palma, G, Di Tano, G, Fantoni, M, Filippini, T, Fioretto, P, Fusco, F, Gentile, I, Grisafi, L, Guarnieri, G, Landi, F, Larizza, G, Leone, A, Maccagni, G, Maccarella, S, Mapelli, M, Maragna, R, Marcucci, R, Maresca, G, Marotta, C, Marra, L, Mastroianni, F, Mengozzi, A, Menichetti, F, Milic, J, Miurri, R, Montineri, A, Mussinelli, R, Mussini, C, Musso, M, Odone, A, Olivieri, M, Pasi, E, Petri, F, Pinchera, B, Pivato, C, Pizzi, R, Poletti, V, Raffaelli, F, Ravaglia, C, Righetti, G, Rognoni, A, Rossato, M, Rossi, M, Sabena, A, Salinaro, F, Sangiovanni, V, Sanrocco, C, Scarafino, A, Scorzolini, L, Sgariglia, R, Simeone, P, Spinoni, E, Torti, C, Trecarichi, E, Vezzani, F, Veronesi, G, Vettor, R, Vianello, A, Vinceti, M, De Caterina, R, and Iacoviello, L

Subjects
Male, Epidemiology, Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism, Medicine (miscellaneous), 030204 cardiovascular system & hematology, computer.software_genre, Machine Learning, 0302 clinical medicine, Retrospective Studie, Risk Factors, Cardiovascular Disease, 80 and over, Medicine, Age Factor, Viral, Hospital Mortality, Betacoronavirus Hospital Mortality, Young adult, Aged, 80 and over, Nutrition and Dietetics, COVID-19, In-hospital mortality, Risk factors, Mortality rate, Hazard ratio, Age Factors, Middle Aged, C-Reactive Protein, Cardiovascular Diseases, Female, Survival Analysi, Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine, Coronavirus Infections, Human, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Adult, medicine.medical_specialty, Adolescent, Pneumonia, Viral, 030209 endocrinology & metabolism, Settore MED/17 - MALATTIE INFETTIVE, Machine learning, Aged, Humans, Pandemics, Retrospective Studies, SARS-CoV-2, Survival Analysis, Young Adult, Betacoronavirus, Article, 03 medical and health sciences, Risk factor, Survival analysis, Pandemic, Betacoronaviru, business.industry, Coronavirus Infection, Risk Factor, Retrospective cohort study, Pneumonia, Confidence interval, Artificial intelligence, business, computer
Abstract

Background and aims There is poor knowledge on characteristics, comorbidities and laboratory measures associated with risk for adverse outcomes and in-hospital mortality in European Countries. We aimed at identifying baseline characteristics predisposing COVID-19 patients to in-hospital death. Methods and results Retrospective observational study on 3894 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalized from February 19th to May 23rd, 2020 and recruited in 30 clinical centres distributed throughout Italy. Machine learning (random forest)-based and Cox survival analysis. 61.7% of participants were men (median age 67 years), followed up for a median of 13 days. In-hospital mortality exhibited a geographical gradient, Northern Italian regions featuring more than twofold higher death rates as compared to Central/Southern areas (15.6% vs 6.4%, respectively). Machine learning analysis revealed that the most important features in death classification were impaired renal function, elevated C reactive protein and advanced age. These findings were confirmed by multivariable Cox survival analysis (hazard ratio (HR): 8.2; 95% confidence interval (CI) 4.6–14.7 for age ≥85 vs 18–44 y); HR = 4.7; 2.9–7.7 for estimated glomerular filtration rate levels, Highlights • Impaired renal function, elevated C-reactive protein and advanced age were major indicators of death in COVID-19 patients. • These associations were substantially homogenous across all sub-groups analysed. • No relation was found with obesity, tobacco use, cardiovascular disease and related-comorbidities. • Death rates were higher in the Northern as opposed to Central-Southern Italian regions.

Published
2020

5. RAAS inhibitors are not associated with mortality in COVID-19 patients: Findings from an observational multicenter study in Italy and a meta-analysis of 19 studies

Author

Francesca Santilli, Marianna Meschiari, Gabriella Guarnieri, Francesco Petri, Anna Sabena, Gloria Maccagni, Giovanni Larizza, Massimo Mapelli, Maria Mazzitelli, Gian Battista Danzi, Katleen de Gaetano Donati, Annalisa Crisetti, Jovana Milic, Raffaele Pesavento, Biagio Pinchera, Riccardo Maragna, Carlo Andrea Pivato, Lorenzo Menicanti, Francesco Maria Fusco, Luca Aiello, Sandro Mancarella, Carlo Sanrocco, Alessandra Vergori, Greta Barbieri, Filippo Aucella, Silvia Marongiu, Giulio Maresca, Marianna Rossi, Andrea Antinori, Venerino Poletti, Francesco Cacciatore, Giacomo Castiglione, Enrico Maria Trecarichi, Lucia Caiano, Francesca Crosta, Roberto Vettor, Francesco Menichetti, Maria Musso, Francesco Salinaro, Marco Olivieri, Stefano Perlini, Claudia Colomba, Crizia Colombo, Ottavia Cozzi, Stefano Maitan, Marialaura Bonaccio, Ilaria My, Alexandra Virano, Paola Simeone, Marco Vinceti, Antonella Cingolani, Gianpiero D'Offizi, Damiano D'Ardes, Claudia Marotta, M. B. Lucia, Carlo Signorelli, Lorenzo Marra, Giuseppe Patti, Raffaele De Caterina, Armando Leone, Veronica Lio, Beatrice Molena, Giustino Parruti, Giulio G. Stefanini, Licia Iacoviello, Laura Vocciante, Franco Mastroianni, Raffaella Sgariglia, Cristina Mussini, Francesco Cipollone, Marco Rossato, Lorenzo Blandi, Emanuela Pasi, Samir Al Moghazi, Andrea Vianello, Filippo Minutolo, Ivan Gentile, Giovanni Guaraldi, Rosa Manuele, Pasquale Abete, Arturo Ciccullo, Antonella Palimodde, Giancarlo Scoppettuolo, Walter Ageno, Marco G. Mennuni, Roberta Mussinelli, Vincenzo Sangiovanni, Roberto Cauda, Laura Scorzolini, Paolo Bonfanti, Alessandro Gialluisi, Stefania Cianfrone, Piergiuseppe Agostoni, Antonio Cascio, Simona Costanzo, Augusto Di Castelnuovo, Nausicaa Berselli, Rosa Arboretti, Emauele Graziani, Martina Barchitta, Anna Odone, Francesco Di Gennaro, Alessandro Mengozzi, Alessandro Bartoloni, Giuseppe Di Tano, Laura Carrozzi, Ferruccio Madaro, Rossella Marcucci, Claudia Ravaglia, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto, Costanzo, Simona, Antinori, Andrea, Berselli, Nausicaa, Blandi, Lorenzo, Bonaccio, Marialaura, Cauda, Roberto, Gialluisi, Alessandro, Guaraldi, Giovanni, Menicanti, Lorenzo, Mennuni, Marco, Mussinelli, Roberta, My, Ilaria, Parruti, Giustino, Patti, Giuseppe, Perlini, Stefano, Santilli, Francesca, Signorelli, Carlo, Stefanini, Giulio G., Vergori, Alessandra, Abete, Pasquale, Ageno, Walter, Agostoni, Piergiuseppe, Aiello, Luca, Al Moghazi, Samir, Arboretti, Rosa, Aucella, Filippo, Barbieri, Greta, Barchitta, Martina, Bartoloni, Alessandro, Bonfanti, Paolo, Cacciatore, Francesco, Caiano, Lucia, Carrozzi, Laura, Cascio, Antonio, Castiglione, Giacomo, Cianfrone, Stefania, Ciccullo, Arturo, Cingolani, Antonella, Cipollone, Francesco, Colomba, Claudia, Colombo, Crizia, Cozzi, Ottavia, Crisetti, Annalisa, Crosta, Francesca, Danzi, Gian Battista, D'Ardes, Damiano, de Gaetano Donati, Katleen, Di Gennaro, Francesco, Di Tano, Giuseppe, D'Offizi, Gianpiero, Fusco, Francesco Maria, Gentile, Ivan, Graziani, Emauele, Guarnieri, Gabriella, Larizza, Giovanni, Leone, Armando, Lio, Veronica, Lucia, Mothanje Barbara, Maccagni, Gloria, Madaro, Ferruccio, Maitan, Stefano, Mancarella, Sandro, Manuele, Rosa, Mapelli, Massimo, Maragna, Riccardo, Marcucci, Rossella, Maresca, Giulio, Marongiu, Silvia, Marotta, Claudia, Marra, Lorenzo, Mastroianni, Franco, Mazzitelli, Maria, Mengozzi, Alessandro, Menichetti, Francesco, Meschiari, Marianna, Milic, Jovana, Minutolo, Filippo, Molena, Beatrice, Mussini, Cristina, Musso, Maria, Odone, Anna, Olivieri, Marco, Palimodde, Antonella, Pasi, Emanuela, Pesavento, Raffaele, Petri, Francesco, Pinchera, Biagio, Pivato, Carlo A., Poletti, Venerino, Ravaglia, Claudia, Rossato, Marco, Rossi, Marianna, Sabena, Anna, Salinaro, Francesco, Sangiovanni, Vincenzo, Sanrocco, Carlo, Scoppettuolo, Giancarlo, Scorzolini, Laura, Sgariglia, Raffaella, Simeone, Paola Giustina, Trecarichi, Enrico Maria, Vettor, Roberto, Vianello, Andrea, Vinceti, Marco, Virano, Alexandra, Vocciante, Laura, De Caterina, Raffaele, Iacoviello, Licia, Di Castelnuovo, A., Costanzo, S., Antinori, A., Berselli, N., Bl, I, L., Bonaccio, M., Cauda, R., Gialluisi, A., Guaraldi, G., Menicanti, L., Mennuni, M., Mussinelli, R., My, I., Parruti, G., Patti, G., Perlini, S., Santilli, F., Signorelli, C., Stefanini, G. G., Vergori, A., Abete, P., Ageno, W., Agostoni, P., Aiello, L., Al Moghazi, S., Arboretti, R., Aucella, F., Barbieri, G., Barchitta, M., Bartoloni, A., Bonfanti, P., Cacciatore, F., Caiano, L., Carrozzi, L., Cascio, A., Castiglione, G., Cianfrone, S., Ciccullo, A., Cingolani, A., Cipollone, F., Colomba, C., Colombo, C., Cozzi, O., Crisetti, A., Crosta, F., Danzi, G. B., D'Ardes, D., de Gaetano Donati, K., Di Gennaro, F., Di Tano, G., D'Offizi, G., Fusco, F. M., Gentile, I., Graziani, E., Guarnieri, G., Larizza, G., Leone, A., Lio, V., Lucia, M. B., Maccagni, G., Madaro, F., Maitan, S., Mancarella, S., Manuele, R., Mapelli, M., Maragna, R., Marcucci, R., Maresca, G., Marongiu, S., Marotta, C., Marra, L., Mastroianni, F., Mazzitelli, M., Mengozzi, A., Menichetti, F., Meschiari, M., Milic, J., Minutolo, F., Molena, B., Mussini, C., Musso, M., Odone, A., Olivieri, M., Palimodde, A., Pasi, E., Pesavento, R., Petri, F., Pinchera, B., Pivato, C. A., Poletti, V., Ravaglia, C., Rossato, M., Rossi, M., Sabena, A., Salinaro, F., Sangiovanni, V., Sanrocco, C., Scoppettuolo, G., Scorzolini, L., Sgariglia, R., Simeone, P. G., Trecarichi, E. M., Vettor, R., Vianello, A., Vinceti, M., Virano, A., Vocciante, L., De Caterina, R., Iacoviello, L., Blandi, L., Di Castelnuovo, A, Costanzo, S, Antinori, A, Berselli, N, Blandi, L, Bonaccio, M, Cauda, R, Gialluisi, A, Guaraldi, G, Menicanti, L, Mennuni, M, Mussinelli, R, My, I, Parruti, G, Patti, G, Perlini, S, Santilli, F, Signorelli, C, Stefanini, G, Vergori, A, Abete, P, Ageno, W, Agostoni, P, Aiello, L, Al Moghazi, S, Arboretti, R, Aucella, F, Barbieri, G, Barchitta, M, Bartoloni, A, Bonfanti, P, Cacciatore, F, Caiano, L, Carrozzi, L, Cascio, A, Castiglione, G, Cianfrone, S, Ciccullo, A, Cingolani, A, Cipollone, F, Colomba, C, Colombo, C, Cozzi, O, Crisetti, A, Crosta, F, Danzi, G, D'Ardes, D, de Gaetano Donati, K, Di Gennaro, F, Di Tano, G, D'Offizi, G, Fusco, F, Gentile, I, Graziani, E, Guarnieri, G, Larizza, G, Leone, A, Lio, V, Lucia, M, Maccagni, G, Madaro, F, Maitan, S, Mancarella, S, Manuele, R, Mapelli, M, Maragna, R, Marcucci, R, Maresca, G, Marongiu, S, Marotta, C, Marra, L, Mastroianni, F, Mazzitelli, M, Mengozzi, A, Menichetti, F, Meschiari, M, Milic, J, Minutolo, F, Molena, B, Mussini, C, Musso, M, Odone, A, Olivieri, M, Palimodde, A, Pasi, E, Pesavento, R, Petri, F, Pinchera, B, Pivato, C, Poletti, V, Ravaglia, C, Rossato, M, Rossi, M, Sabena, A, Salinaro, F, Sangiovanni, V, Sanrocco, C, Scoppettuolo, G, Scorzolini, L, Sgariglia, R, Simeone, P, Trecarichi, E, Vettor, R, Vianello, A, Vinceti, M, Virano, A, Vocciante, L, Iacoviello, L, and De Caterina, R

Subjects
0301 basic medicine, Male, Physiology, Middle Aged, Renin-Angiotensin System, Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors, 030204 cardiovascular system & hematology, ACE-I, ARB, COVID-19, angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, mortality, sartans, Severity of Illness Index, Renin-Angiotensin System, 0302 clinical medicine, Risk Factors, 80 and over, Medicine, Hospital Mortality, Sartan, Aged, 80 and over, Incidence (epidemiology), Incidence, Hazard ratio, Angiotensin Receptor Antagonist, Middle Aged, Hospitalization, Antihypertensive Agent, Italy, Meta-analysis, Hypertension, Sartans, Molecular Medicine, Female, Risk assessment, Human, medicine.medical_specialty, Angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors, Angiotensin receptor blockers, Mortality, Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), Risk Assessment, Article, COVID−19, 03 medical and health sciences, Angiotensin Receptor Antagonists, Meta-Analysis as Topic, Internal medicine, Severity of illness, Humans, Angiotensin receptor blocker, Antihypertensive Agents, Aged, Pharmacology, business.industry, Risk Factor, Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitor, Confidence interval, 030104 developmental biology, COVID-19, angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, mortality, sartans, Observational study, Angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor, business
Abstract

Objective The hypothesis that been set forward that use of Renin Angiotensin Aldosterone System (RAAS) inhibitors is associated with COVID−19 severity. We set-up a multicenter Italian collaboration (CORIST Project, ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT04318418 ) to retrospectively investigate the relationship between RAAS inhibitors and COVID−19 in-hospital mortality. We also carried out an updated meta-analysis on the relevant studies. Methods We analyzed 4069 unselected patients with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection and hospitalized in 34 clinical centers in Italy from February 19, 2020 to May 23, 2020. The primary end-point in a time-to event analysis was in-hospital death, comparing patients who received angiotensin-converting–enzyme inhibitors (ACE I) or angiotensin-receptor blockers (ARB) with patients who did not. Articles for the meta-analysis were retrieved until July 13th, 2020 by searching in web-based libraries, and data were combined using the general variance-based method. Results Out of 4069 COVID−19 patients, 13.5% and 13.3% received ACE-I or ARB, respectively. Use of neither ACE-I nor ARB was associated with mortality (multivariable hazard ratio (HR) adjusted also for COVID−19 treatments: 0.96, 95% confidence interval 0.77–1.20 and HR = 0.89, 0.67–1.19 for ACE-I and ARB, respectively). Findings were similar restricting the analysis to hypertensive (N = 2057) patients (HR = 1.00, 0.78–1.26 and HR = 0.88, 0.65–1.20) or when ACE-I or ARB were considered as a single group. Results from the meta-analysis (19 studies, 29,057 COVID−19 adult patients, 9700 with hypertension) confirmed the absence of association. Conclusions In this observational study and meta-analysis of the literature, ACE-I or ARB use was not associated with severity or in-hospital mortality in COVID−19 patients.

Published
2020

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