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Background Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is a devastating disease with high mortality rate. This study aimed to predict hematoma expansion in spontaneous ICH from routinely available variables by using support vector machine (SVM) method. Methods We retrospectively reviewed 1157 patients with spontaneous ICH who underwent initial computed tomography (CT) scan within 6 h and follow-up CT scan within 72 h from symptom onset in our hospital between September 2013 and August 2018. Hematoma region was manually segmented at each slice to guarantee the measurement accuracy of hematoma volume. Hematoma expansion was defined as a proportional increase of hematoma volume > 33% or an absolute growth of hematoma volume > 6 mL from initial CT scan to follow-up CT scan. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to assess the association between clinical variables and hematoma expansion. SVM machine learning model was developed to predict hematoma expansion. Findings 246 of 1157 (21.3%) patients experienced hematoma expansion. Multivariate analyses revealed the following 6 independent factors associated with hematoma expansion: male patient (odds ratio [OR] = 1.82), time to initial CT scan (OR = 0.73), Glasgow Coma Scale (OR = 0.86), fibrinogen level (OR = 0.72), black hole sign (OR = 2.52), and blend sign (OR = 4.03). The SVM model achieved a mean sensitivity of 81.3%, specificity of 84.8%, overall accuracy of 83.3%, and area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.89 in prediction of hematoma expansion. Interpretation The designed SVM model presented good performance in predicting hematoma expansion from routinely available variables. Fund This work was supported by Health Foundation for Creative Talents in Zhejiang Province , China, Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province , China ( LQ15H180002 ), the Science and Technology Planning Projects of Wenzhou , China ( Y20180112 ), Scientific Research Staring Foundation for the Returned Overseas Chinese Scholars of Ministry of Education of China , and Project Foundation for the College Young and Middle-aged Academic Leader of Zhejiang Province , China. The funders had no role in study design, data collection, data analysis, interpretation, writing of the report.

Objective We aimed to investigate the risk factors of invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma, especially to report and validate the use of our newly identified arc concave sign in predicting invasiveness of pure ground-glass nodules (pGGNs). Methods From January 2015 to August 2018, we retrospectively enrolled 302 patients with 306 pGGNs ≤ 20 mm pathologically confirmed (141 preinvasive lesions and 165 invasive lesions). Arc concave sign was defined as smooth and sunken part of the edge of the lesion on thin-section computed tomography (TSCT). The degree of arc concave sign was expressed by the arc chord distance to chord length ratio (AC-R); deep arc concave sign was defined as AC-R larger than the optimal cut-off value. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the independent risk factors of invasiveness. Results Arc concave sign was observed in 65 of 306 pGGNs (21.2 %), and deep arc concave sign (AC-R > 0.25) were more common in invasive lesions (P = 0.008). Under microscope, interlobular septal displacements were found at tumour surface. Multivariate analysis indicated that irregular shape (OR, 3.558; CI: 1.374–9.214), presence of deep arc concave sign (OR, 3.336; CI: 1.013–10.986), the largest diameter > 10.1 mm (OR, 4.607; CI: 2.584–8.212) and maximum density > -502 HU (OR, 6.301; CI: 3.562–11.148) were significant independent risk factors of invasive lesions. Conclusions Arc concave sign on TSCT is caused by interlobular septal displacement. The degree of arc concave sign can reflect the invasiveness of pGGNs. Invasive lesions can be effectively distinguished from preinvasive lesions by the presence of deep arc concave sign, irregular shape, the largest diameter > 10.1 mm and maximum density > -502 HU in pGGNs ≤ 20 mm.

Purpose We aim to investigate the risk factors influencing the growth of residual nodule (RN) in surgical patients with adenocarcinoma presenting as multifocal ground-glass nodules (GGNs). Method From January 2014 to June 2018, we enrolled 238 patients with multiple GGNs in a retrospective review. Patients were categorized into growth group 63 (26.5%), and non-growth group 175 (73.5%). The median follow-up time was 28.2 months (range, 6.3-73.0 months). To obtain the time of RN growth and find the risk factors for growth, data such as age, gender, history of smoking, history of malignancy, type of surgery, pathology and radiological characteristics were analyzed to use Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test and Cox regression analysis. Results The median growth time of RN was 56.0 months (95% CI, 45.0-67.0 months) in all 238 patients. Roundness (HR 4.62, 95% CI 2.20-9.68), part-solid nodule (CTR ≥ 50%) (HR 4.39, 95% CI 2.29-8.45), vascular convergence sign (HR 2.32, 95% CI 1.36-3.96) of RN, and age (HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.07) were independent predictors of further nodule growth. However, radiological characteristics and pathology of domain tumour (DT) cannot be used as indicators to predict RN growth. Conclusions RN showed an indolent growth pattern in surgical patients with multifocal GGNs. RN with a higher roundness, presence of vascular convergence sign, more solid component, and in the elder was likely to grow. However, the growth of RN showed no association with the radiological features and pathology of DT.