1. Ten-year trends in non-surgical patients requiring intensive care: Long-term prognostic differences by year of admission.
- Author
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Shigihara S, Shirakabe A, Matsushita M, Nishigoori S, Sawatani T, Tani K, Kiuchi K, Toguchi R, Kawakami S, Michiura Y, Sawahata M, Kobayashi N, and Asai K
- Subjects
- Humans, Male, Aged, Female, Prognosis, Middle Aged, Time Factors, Aged, 80 and over, Japan epidemiology, Length of Stay, Survival Rate, APACHE, Proportional Hazards Models, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Hospitalization, Retrospective Studies, Patient Admission trends, Patient Admission statistics & numerical data, Hospital Mortality, Critical Care trends, Intensive Care Units
- Abstract
Background: The aim of the present study is to elucidate prognostic impact of temporal trends of non-surgical patients requiring intensive care over a 10-year period., Methods and Results: A total of 4276 non-surgical patients requiring intensive care from 2012 to 2021 were enrolled. Patients' backgrounds, in-hospital management, and prognoses were compared between five groups [2012-2013 (n = 825), 2014-2015 (n = 784), 2016-2017 (n = 864), 2018-2019 (n = 939), and 2020-2021 (n = 867)]. During the study period, mean age significantly increased from 69 years in 2012-2013 to 72 years in 2020-2021. Mean Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation scores significantly increased from 10 points in 2012-2013 to 12 points in 2020-2021. The median duration of intensive care unit stays increased from 3 to 4 days. Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed that survival rates during 30- and 365-days were significantly lower in 2020-2021 than in 2012-2013, but it was not significantly different by a Cox proportional hazards regression model in 30 days. A Cox proportional hazards regression model revealed that the risks of 365-day all-cause death were significantly higher in patients enrolled in 2016-2017 (HR: 1.324, 95 % CI: 1.042-1.680, p = 0.021), in 2018-2019 (HR: 1.329, 95 % CI: 1.044-1.691, p = 0.021), and in 2020-2021 (HR: 1.409, 95 % CI: 1.115-1.779, p = 0.004)., Conclusion: The condition of patients requiring intensive care is becoming more critical year by year, leading to poorer long-term prognoses despite improvements in treatment strategies. These findings emphasize the importance of additional care management after admission into non-surgical intensive care units, particularly for the aging society of Japan., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2024
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