1. Rhetoric vs. Reality: ‘Rogue States’ in International Conflict, 1980-2001.
- Author
-
Caprioli, Mary and Trumbore, Peter F.
- Subjects
- *
INTERSTATE controversies , *INTERNATIONAL relations , *CULTURAL policy , *SOCIAL conflict , *INTERSTATE relations - Abstract
While the rogue state label is a familiar one in the popular media and the public foreign policy debate, there has been little systematic study of these states’ actual international conduct. In this paper we seek to test one of the fundamental assumptions about so-called ‘rogue states,’ that they are fundamentally aggressive and therefore represent a serious threat to international peace and stability. We will begin by combing through official policy statements, media reports, and the popular and academic foreign policy literatures of the past two decades to create as comprehensive a list as possible of those states that have been branded rogues. Having identified such states, we will test those states’ interstate conflict behavior during the period 1980-2001 using the recently released MID 3 data set. Specifically, we will test whether rogue states are more likely to become involved in militarized interstate disputes than are states that have not been identified as rogues, and whether they are more likely to use force when involved in such disputes than are non-rogues. In short, we seek to test whether the rogue state formula represents reality or, as critics commonly charge, empty rhetoric. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2004