1. Prognostic Significance of Recurrence and Timing of Recurrence on Survival Among Patients with Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma in U.S. Clinical Practice.
- Author
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Maithel SK, Wang R, Harton J, Yopp A, Shah SA, Rocha FG, Hernandez S, Cheng S, Ogale S, and Tan R
- Subjects
- Humans, Male, Female, Retrospective Studies, Aged, Survival Rate, Prognosis, United States epidemiology, Follow-Up Studies, Neoplasm Staging, SEER Program, Time Factors, Aged, 80 and over, Liver Neoplasms mortality, Liver Neoplasms pathology, Liver Neoplasms surgery, Liver Neoplasms therapy, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular mortality, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular pathology, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular surgery, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular therapy, Neoplasm Recurrence, Local pathology, Neoplasm Recurrence, Local mortality, Hepatectomy mortality
- Abstract
Background: Many patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) experience recurrence after curative-intent resection or ablation, with a poor prognosis. Real-world patterns of recurrence and the prognostic significance of early recurrence in U.S. clinical practice have not been well characterized., Methods: This retrospective observational study was designed to evaluate the impact of recurrence on overall survival (OS) among patients with HCC following initial curative-intent resection or ablation. We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results cancer registry linked with Medicare claims (January 1, 2010-December 31, 2019). Eligible patients (≥66 years) diagnosed with HCC (2010-2017) had liver resection or ablation within 180 days of diagnosis. Patients were stratified by recurrence status using diagnosis- and treatment-based definitions of recurrence. Early or late recurrence was defined as within 1 year or after 1 year, respectively. Adjusted OS analyses used multivariable Cox regression models., Results: A total of 1,146 patients were included. During a median overall follow-up of 35.2 months, 736 (64%) patients had a recurrence, of whom 380 (52%) had early recurrence (within 1 year). In the adjusted analysis, patients with recurrence had a 2.24-fold higher risk of death (95% confidence interval 1.85, 2.71; P < 0.001). Patients with early recurrence had a 1.39-fold higher risk of death (95% confidence interval 1.14, 1.68; P < 0.001) than those with late recurrence., Conclusions: Recurrence and the timing of recurrence are significant predictors of increased mortality risk for patients with HCC following initial curative-intent resection or ablation, highlighting the need for effective adjuvant therapies that may delay or avoid recurrences., Competing Interests: Disclosure: This study was funded by Genentech Inc. SKM reports clinical trial grant funding from Bristol Myers Squibb; advisory board participation for Genentech and AstraZeneca. RW, SH, SO, and RT are employees and stockholders of Genentech, the study sponsor. SC is a post-doctoral fellow at Genentech, funded by Genentech, the study sponsor. JH is an employee of Genesis Research Group, which received funding from the study sponsor. AY reports advisory board participation for Genentech. SAS reports employment by Genesis Research Group, which received funding from the study sponsor; grants from Organ recovery Systems and Care Dx. FGR reports consulting fees from AstraZeneca and Medtronic., (© 2024. Society of Surgical Oncology.)
- Published
- 2025
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