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We sought to evaluate the predictive accuracy of four bypass surgery mortality clinical risk models and to examine the extent to which hospitals' risk-adjusted surgical outcomes vary depending on which risk-adjustment method is applied.Cardiovascular "report cards" often compare risk-adjusted surgical outcomes; however, it is unclear to what extent the risk-adjustment process itself may affect these metrics.As part of the Cooperative Cardiovascular Project's Pilot Revascularization Study, we compared the predictive accuracy of four bypass clinical risk models among 3,654 Medicare patients undergoing surgery at 28 hospitals in Alabama and Iowa. We also compared the agreement in hospital-level risk-adjusted bypass outcome performance ratings depending on which of the four risk models was applied.Although the four risk models had similar discriminatory abilities (C-index, 0.71 to 0.74), certain models tended to overpredict mortality in higher-risk patients. There was high correlation between a hospital's risk-adjusted mortality rates regardless of which of the four models was used (correlation between risk-adjusted rating, 0.93 to 0.97). In contrast, there was limited agreement in which hospitals were identified as "performance outliers" depending on which risk-adjustment model was used and how outlier status was defined.A hospital's risk-adjusted bypass surgery mortality rating, relative to its peers, was consistent regardless of the risk-adjustment model applied, supporting their use as a means of provider performance feedback. Designation of performance outliers, however, can vary significantly depending on the benchmark and methods used for this determination.

Health care financing is changing rapidly in the United States. We investigated whether and how health care access is changing concurrently with changes in financing, with special attention to a minority population.We examined a longitudinal biracial (half African-American, half White) urban cohort of 3,565 individuals, aged 25-37 years old, in 1992-93 and again in 1995-96. We measured access by self-reported (1) health insurance status, (2) regular source of medical care, and (3) lack of care due to financial problems.In 1992-93, 30.3% of the cohort experienced at least one access barrier, with a decline to 26.8% in 1995-96 (P.005). However, access improved more for Whites than for African Americans; and access improved for higher, but not for lower, income groups (7% improvement for high income, vs 2% deterioration for lower income, P.01). In addition, there was an 11% to 19% absolute increase in individuals making co-payments for health care utilization across all race/sex groups, with African Americans having markedly higher proportions of cost-sharing. African-American, low income, and unemployed individuals reported more acute care, but fewer outpatient visits. Income and employment explained racial differences.While access has improved or stabilized for higher income groups, there is a widening gap according to income, accompanied by an acute care pattern for low income groups that may be both inadequate and cost inefficient.

The prevalence of obesity increased in the United States through the 1980s. The authors examined 10-year aging and secular (time-related) trends in the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) cohort for indications of whether these trends are continuing and for ages of peak weight gain in young adults. CARDIA is a population-based, prospective study of 5,115 African-American and White men and women aged 18-30 years at baseline. Body weight and overweight prevalence were measured at five time points from 1985-1986 to 1995-1996. Linear, mixed-model regression was used to partition weight gain into that due to secular trends and that due to aging. Prevalence of overweight (body mass index (BMI)or = 25.0 kg/m2) increased markedly, and prevalence of severe obesity (BMIor = 40.0 kg/m2) doubled in all race-sex groups. Each race-sex group experienced significant secular weight gains, ranging from 0.96 kg/year (95% confidence interval: 79, 1.13) in African-American women to 0.55 kg/year (95% confidence interval: 0.41, 0.69) in White women. Significant secular gains were present during each follow-up period. Each race-sex group also experienced significant weight increases related to aging during their early to midtwenties. Secular trends for weight gain are continuing in CARDIA, but the magnitude of weight gain differed among the four race-sex groups.

To determine associations among health care access, cigarette smoking, and change in cigarette smoking status over 7 years.A cohort of 4,086 healthy young adults was followed from 1985-1986 through 1992-1993. Participants were recruited from four urban sites balanced on gender, race (African Americans and whites), education (high school or less, and more than high school), and age (18-23 and 24-30). Outcome measures were smoking status at Year 7, as well as 7-year rates of smoking cessation and initiation.For each of three access barriers reported at Year 7 (lack of health insurance, lack of regular source of medical care, and expense), participants experiencing the barrier had a higher prevalence of smoking, quit smoking less frequently, and started smoking more frequently; e.g., only 15% of participants with health insurance lapses quit smoking over the 7-year period, compared with 26% of those with insurance (P0.001). Results were similar for each race/gender stratum, and persisted after adjustment for usual markers of socioeconomic status: education, income, employment, and marital status.Health care access was associated with lower prevalence of smoking and beneficial 7-year changes in smoking, independent of socioeconomic status. The possibility that this is a causal relationship has implications in the prevention of cardiovascular disease, cancer and multiple other smoking-related diseases, and deserves further exploration.

A comprehensive worksite health promotion program designed to reduce risk factors for cardiovascular disease among 4000 city of Birmingham employees was used to develop and implement a tailored antihypertensive educational intervention. The mean age of the underlying population was 36 years, 89% were blue-collar or unskilled workers, 50% were African Americans and 20% were female.First, we identified barriers to hypertension control: low literacy, difficulty understanding the need for treatment of asymptomatic disease, and wide variability of health beliefs and priorities. We then tailored an educational program, which offered employees health education sessions on a variety of different topics, including heart disease, cancer, sleep disorders and back injury. All program materials focused on lifestyle changes and the need to seek medical care. This program was offered to all hypertensive workers; 130 chose to enroll, and 81 completed the program. These 81 participants were matched by age, sex, race and baseline BP with nonparticipating hypertensive workers (controls). Changes in SBP and DBP from before to after the educational program were used to evaluate the program.Overall, intervention participants had a decrease of 4.5 mm Hg in mean SBP (different from zero, [p = 0.03]). African American participants showed a significant decrease (7.4 mm Hg, [p = 0.004]), as did unskilled intervention participants (SBP changes = 7.7 mm Hg, [p = 0.004]). Although not statistically significant, controls showed decreases in BP in the same direction.An educational intervention tailored to the specific health perceptions and working conditions of a low literacy population is feasible, and may have a significant effect on hypertension control.

To examine community differences in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors among black and white young adults by combining data from two large epidemiologic studies.Data are from participants aged 20-31 years in the Coronary Artery Risk Development In Young Adults (CARDIA) study (1987-1988; N = 4129) and the Bogalusa Heart study (1988-1991; N = 1884), adjusting for data collection differences prior to analysis. CARDIA includes four urban sites: Birmingham, Alabama; Chicago, Illinois; Minneapolis, Minnesota; and Oakland, California. Bogalusa is a semi-rural town in Southeastern Louisiana. CVD risk factors examined were smoking status, body habitus, and blood pressure.In Birmingham and Bogalusa, more white than black women were current smokers; no ethnic differences were observed among men. In Chicago, Minneapolis, and Oakland, more blacks were current smokers than were whites. For all sites, educational level was strongly inversely related to current smoking status; ethnic differences were more apparent among those with up to a high school education. Among white men and women, prevalence of obesity (body mass index31.1 kg/m2 in men and 32.3 kg/m2 in women) was greater in Birmingham and Bogalusa than in Chicago. Minneapolis, and Oakland. Mean systolic blood pressures were highest in Bogalusa, and the proportion of black men with elevated blood pressure (or = 130/85 mmHg) was higher in Bogalusa and Birmingham.Community and ethnic differences in CVD risk factors were observed among young adults in two large epidemiologic studies. Further studies may enhance our understanding of the relationship of geographic differences in CVD risk to subsequent disease.

Associations of parents' education and smoking with young adults' smoking were examined in participants aged 18-30 years at baseline (1985-1986) in the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults study. Significant (p0.05) inverse age-adjusted associations of father's education with participant smoking status among black men, white men, and white women disappeared after adjustment for participant's education. Parental smoking status was directly related to participant smoking status for all race/sex groups. Participant education was strongly inversely related to participant smoking. Public health campaigns should consider influences of parental behaviors on children's behaviors and associations of limited education with adverse lifestyles.