1. Serial Fibroblast Growth Factor 23 Measurements and Risk of Requirement for Kidney Replacement Therapy: The CRIC (Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort) Study
- Author
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Mehta, Rupal, Cai, Xuan, Lee, Jungwha, Xie, Dawei, Wang, Xue, Scialla, Julia, Anderson, Amanda H, Taliercio, Jon, Dobre, Mirela, Chen, Jing, Fischer, Michael, Leonard, Mary, Lash, James, Hsu, Chi-yuan, de Boer, Ian H, Feldman, Harold I, Wolf, Myles, Isakova, Tamara, Investigators, CRIC Study, Appel, Lawrence J, Go, Alan S, He, Jiang, Rao, Panduranga S, Rahman, Mahboob, and Townsend, Raymond R
- Subjects
Biomedical and Clinical Sciences ,Clinical Sciences ,Prevention ,Kidney Disease ,Clinical Research ,Renal and urogenital ,Biomarkers ,Cohort Studies ,Disease Progression ,Female ,Fibroblast Growth Factor-23 ,Fibroblast Growth Factors ,Humans ,Kaplan-Meier Estimate ,Kidney Failure ,Chronic ,Kidney Transplantation ,Male ,Middle Aged ,Proportional Hazards Models ,Renal Insufficiency ,Chronic ,Renal Replacement Therapy ,Risk Assessment ,Risk Factors ,United States ,CRIC Study Investigators ,CKD progression ,Chronic kidney disease ,biomarker ,dialysis ,disease trajectory ,end-stage renal disease ,fibroblast growth factor 23 ,kidney failure ,kidney function decline ,renal replacement therapy ,transplant ,Public Health and Health Services ,Urology & Nephrology ,Clinical sciences - Abstract
Rationale & objectiveStudies using a single measurement of fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF-23) suggest that elevated FGF-23 levels are associated with increased risk for requirement for kidney replacement therapy (KRT) in patients with chronic kidney disease. However, the data do not account for changes in FGF-23 levels as kidney disease progresses.Study designCase-cohort study.Setting & participantsTo evaluate the association between serial FGF-23 levels and risk for requiring KRT, our primary analysis included 1,597 individuals in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study who had up to 5 annual measurements of carboxy-terminal FGF-23. There were 1,135 randomly selected individuals, of whom 266 initiated KRT, and 462 individuals who initiated KRT outside the random subcohort.ExposureSerial FGF-23 measurements and FGF-23 trajectory group membership.OutcomesIncident KRT.Analytical approachTo handle time-dependent confounding, our primary analysis of time-updated FGF-23 levels used time-varying inverse probability weighting in a discrete time failure model. To compare our results with prior data, we used baseline and time-updated FGF-23 values in weighted Cox regression models. To examine the association of FGF-23 trajectory subgroups with risk for incident KRT, we used weighted Cox models with FGF-23 trajectory groups derived from group-based trajectory modeling as the exposure.ResultsIn our primary analysis, the HR for the KRT outcome per 1 SD increase in the mean of natural log-transformed (ln)FGF-23 in the past was 1.94 (95% CI, 1.51-2.49). In weighted Cox models using baseline and time-updated values, elevated FGF-23 level was associated with increased risk for incident KRT (HRs per 1 SD ln[FGF-23] of 1.18 [95% CI, 1.02-1.37] for baseline and 1.66 [95% CI, 1.49-1.86] for time-updated). Membership in the slowly and rapidly increasing FGF-23 trajectory groups was associated with ∼3- and ∼21-fold higher risk for incident KRT compared to membership in the stable FGF-23 trajectory group.LimitationsResidual confounding and lack of intact FGF-23 values.ConclusionsIncreasing FGF-23 levels are independently associated with increased risk for incident KRT.
- Published
- 2020