1. Risk prediction for severe disease and better diagnostic accuracy in early dengue infection; the Colombo dengue study
- Author
-
Sumadhya Deepika Fernando, Praveen Weeratunga, Saroj Jayasinghe, Ranmalee Amarasekara, Senaka Rajapakse, Ponsuge Chathurani Sigera, ChunHong Huang, Chaturaka Rodrigo, Dylan R. Pillai, Malaya K. Sahoo, Hasitha Tissera, Benjamin A. Pinsky, Nipun Lakshita De Silva, and Shiroma M. Handunnetti
- Subjects
Adult ,Male ,0301 basic medicine ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Fever ,030106 microbiology ,NS1 ,Severe disease ,Diagnostic accuracy ,Immunologic Tests ,Hematocrit ,Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction ,Diagnostic tools ,Risk Assessment ,Sensitivity and Specificity ,Dengue virus ,Dengue fever ,lcsh:Infectious and parasitic diseases ,Cohort Studies ,Dengue ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,LAMP ,Internal medicine ,Humans ,Medicine ,lcsh:RC109-216 ,Aspartate Aminotransferases ,Lymphocyte Count ,Prospective Studies ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Prospective cohort study ,Sri Lanka ,Severe dengue ,medicine.diagnostic_test ,business.industry ,RT-qPCR ,Bayes Theorem ,Dengue diagnostics ,Gold standard (test) ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Infectious Diseases ,Female ,Sri lanka ,business ,Nucleic Acid Amplification Techniques ,Biomarkers ,Research Article - Abstract
Background A major challenge in dengue management in resource limited settings is the confirmation of diagnosis. Clinical features of dengue often overlap with other infections and molecular diagnostic tools are not readily accessible to clinicians at hospitals. In addition, the prediction of plasma leakage in dengue is also difficult. Hematocrit level and ultrasound scans (combined with clinical parameters) are helpful to detect plasma leakage once it has happened, not before. Methods Colombo Dengue Study (CDS) is a prospective cohort study of clinically suspected adult dengue patients recruited from the National hospital of Sri Lanka (within the first 3 days of fever) that aimed to a) identify clinical and basic laboratory test parameters to differentiate dengue from non-dengue fever, b) evaluate the comparative efficacy of loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) for dengue diagnosis (vs. NS1 antigen test and RT-qPCR) and c) identify early associations that are predictive of plasma leakage or severe dengue. The basic laboratory tests considered here included hematological parameters, serum biochemistry and inflammatory markers. Results Only 70% of clinically suspected patients were confirmed as having dengue by either the NS1 antigen test or RT-qPCR. On a Bayesian latent class model which assumes no “gold standard”, LAMP performed equally or better than RT-qPCR and NS1 antigen test respectively. When confirmed dengue patients were compared with others, the earlier group had significantly lower lymphocyte counts and higher aspartate aminotransferase levels (AST) within the first 3 days of fever. Confirmed dengue patients with plasma leakage had a lower mean age and a higher median baseline AST level compared to those without plasma leakage (p
- Published
- 2019