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Despite eastern Africa being a key location in the emergence of Homo sapiens and their subsequent dispersal out of Africa, there is a paucity of long, well-dated climate records in the region to contextualize this history. To address this issue, we dated a ∼293 m long composite sediment core from Chew Bahir, south Ethiopia, using three independent chronometers (radiocarbon, 40Ar/39Ar, and optically stimulated luminescence) combined with geochemical correlation to a known-age tephra. The site is located in a climatically sensitive region, and is close to Omo Kibish, the earliest documented Homo sapiens fossil site in eastern Africa, and to the proposed dispersal routes for H. sapiens out of Africa. The 30 ages generated by the various techniques are internally consistent, stratigraphically coherent, and span the full range of the core depth. A Bayesian age-depth model developed using these ages results in a chronology that forms one of the longest independently dated, high-resolution lacustrine sediment records from eastern Africa. The chronology illustrates that any record of environmental change preserved in the composite sediment core from Chew Bahir would span the entire timescale of modern human evolution and dispersal, encompassing the time period of the transition from Acheulean to Middle Stone Age (MSA), and subsequently to Later Stone Age (LSA) technology, making the core well-placed to address questions regarding environmental change and hominin evolutionary adaptation. The benefits to such studies of direct dating and the use of multiple independent chronometers are discussed. • Four independent dating methods applied to ∼293 m lake core from southern Ethiopia. • Reveals 620 ka high-resolution sedimentary record near key fossil hominin sites. • Mean accumulation rate of 0.47 mm/a comparable to other African lacustrine sediments. • Accumulation rate fell to 0.1 mm/a during MIS 2, likely due to reduced sediment supply. • Use of multiple independent chronometers is a powerful approach in lake settings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Chew Bahir Drilling Project (CBDP) aims to test hypothesized linkages between climate and human evolution, dispersal and technological innovation by the acquisition and analysis of long (~280 m) sediment cores that have recorded environmental change in the Chew Bahir basin, southern Ethiopia. In this time-series analysis project, we consider the Chew Bahir palaeolake to be a dynamical system consisting of interactions between its different components, such as the waterbody, the sediment beneath lake, and the organisms living within and around the lake, and humans within the lake catchment. Recurrence is a common feature of such dynamical systems, with recurring patterns in the state of the system reflecting typical influences. Identifying and defining these influences contributes significantly to our understanding of the dynamics of the system.We use methods of linear and nonlinear time series analysis, such as change point detection, semblance analysis and recurrence plots, to identify and classify recurring types of variability and transitions on the time scales of human life spans. For example, we investigate the rapidness of transitions, possible precursor events, and tipping points in our palaeoenvironmental data and discuss their possible impact on the living conditions of humans in the region. First results of the analysis show that we indeed find, as an example, recurring threshold-type transitions, when the Chew Bahir system switched from one stable mode to another, such as from stable wet to dry conditions. Such a rapid change of climate in response to a relatively modest change in forcing appears to be typical of tipping points in complex systems such as the Chew Bahir. If this is the case then the 14 dry events idenfified at the end of the African Humid Period (15–5 kyr BP) could represent precursors of an imminent tipping point that, if properly interpreted, would allow predictions to be made of future climate change in the Chew Bahir basin. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cores from terrestrial archives, such as the lacustrine sediments from the Chew Bahir basin in southern Ethiopia, which cover the last ~600 ka, often reflect both local, regional and global climate influences. In our analysis we were able to identify several time windows in which the Chew Bahir climate is in resonance with regional and global climate change.As a contribution to understanding and differentiating these connections recorded in the Chew Bahir sediments, we have correlated the 2nd principal component of the MSCL based color reflectance values representing wet conditions in the Chew Bahir basin, with the wetness index from ocean core ODP 967 from the eastern Mediterranean Sea. The correlation between these two time series was calculated using the Spearman correlation coefficient in a sliding window. Episodes with high correlation between the two records of wetness could indicate a strong link between both regions, possibly through an increased outflow of the river Nile into the eastern Mediterranean Sea due to higher precipitation values on the Ethiopian plateau.Our preliminary results show that when correlating the two records, two distinct temporal units can be distinguished. Between ~570 ka and ~350 ka the correlation is dominated by cycles that correspond with orbital precession whereas the second unit (after 350 ka) reveals a strong influence of atmospheric CO2. This observation suggests that both orbital precession and atmospheric CO2. may cause a synchronization of different regions in the African climate system, possibly depending on boundary conditions which are still to be identified.As a next step we'll investigate the nonlinear relationships between the two records by focusing on the transition between the two main observed phases. The transition around ~350 kyrs however, is not only highly interesting from a climatic perspective, but it is also a noteworthy period for human cultural evolution as a transition from Acheulean to Middle Stone Age (MSA) technologies takes place at this time. So far our results outline that during this climatically and evolutionary relevant episode a relatively stable, long-lasting, pan-African wet phase may have existed, with possible green corridors connecting the habitats of hominins, and ample resources supporting large population sizes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]