1. Effect of provincial spending on social services and health care on health outcomes in Canada: an observational longitudinal study.
- Author
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Dutton, Daniel J., Forest, Pierre-Gerlier, Kneebone, Ronald D., and Zwicker, Jennifer D.
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SOCIAL services , *MEDICAL care , *MEDICAL care financing , *PUBLIC spending , *LIFE expectancy , *INFANT mortality , *SCIENTIFIC observation , *MEDICAL care cost statistics , *HEALTH status indicators , *LONGITUDINAL method , *MEDICAL care costs , *POPULATION , *REGRESSION analysis , *SOCIAL case work , *RETROSPECTIVE studies - Abstract
Background: Escalating health care spending is a concern in Western countries, given the lack of evidence of a direct connection between spending and improvements in health. We aimed to determine the association between spending on health care and social programs and health outcomes in Canada.Methods: We used retrospective data from Canadian provincial expenditure reports, for the period 1981 to 2011, to model the effects of social and health spending (as a ratio, social/health) on potentially avoidable mortality, infant mortality and life expectancy. We used linear regressions, accounting for provincial fixed effects and time, and controlling for confounding variables at the provincial level.Results: A 1-cent increase in social spending per dollar spent on health was associated with a 0.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.04% to 0.16%) decrease in potentially avoidable mortality and a 0.01% (95% CI 0.01% to 0.02%) increase in life expectancy. The ratio had a statistically nonsignificant relationship with infant mortality (p = 0.2).Interpretation: Population-level health outcomes could benefit from a reallocation of government dollars from health to social spending, even if total government spending were left unchanged. This result is consistent with other findings from Canada and the United States. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2018
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