1. Prognostic Score and Benefit from Abiraterone in First-line Metastatic, Castration-resistant Prostate Cancer
- Author
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David Olmos, Miguel Rodrigo, Carlos Di Capua, Guillermo Velasco, Carlos Ferrer, David Lorente, Rebeca Lozano, Ángel Sánchez-Iglesias, Elena Castro, Nuria Romero-Laorden, Casilda Llácer, Alfredo Sanchez-Hernandez, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, and Ministerio de Economía, Industria y Competitividad (España)
- Subjects
Male ,Quality of life ,Oncology ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Survival ,Urology ,Population ,Disease-Free Survival ,nomogram ,Prostate cancer ,Internal medicine ,Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols ,Post-hoc analysis ,Enzalutamide ,Humans ,Medicine ,predictive ,Abiraterone ,education ,education.field_of_study ,Framingham Risk Score ,business.industry ,Proportional hazards model ,Hazard ratio ,Middle Aged ,Nomogram ,Prognosis ,Metastasic castration-resistant prostate cancer ,medicine.disease ,Confidence interval ,Prostatic Neoplasms, Castration-Resistant ,Treatment Outcome ,Hormone Therapy ,Androstenes ,business ,prognostic - Abstract
Most available prognostic nomograms in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) are derived from datasets not representative of the current treatment landscape. A prognostic nomogram for first-line mCRPC treatment was developed from patients treated in the PREVAIL study. To validate the Armstrong model in the COU-AA-302 trial. A post hoc analysis of mCRPC patients treated in the COU-AA-302 trial was carried out (NCT00887198). The Armstrong prognostic model was applied to patients treated in COU-AA-302. A continuous risk score was derived from coefficients from the original model. Time-dependent area under the curve (tAUC) was used to evaluate the overall predictive ability of the model. Patients were categorized according to the number of risk factors present into those at a low (three or fewer risk factors), intermediate (four to six risk factors), and high (seven to ten risk factors) risk. The association with survival was assessed with Cox regression models. Interaction tests were used to assess the impact of treatment arm in each of the prognostic groups. A total of 1088 patients were analyzed. The risk score was associated with overall survival (OS; tAUC 0.733). Most patients were at a low (49%) or intermediate (41%) risk. Risk category was significantly associated with OS (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.3; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.9-2.4; p
- Published
- 2021
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