1. Sudden cardiac death in childhood hypertrophic cardiomyopathy is best predicted by a combination of electrocardiogram risk‐score and HCMRisk‐Kids score
- Author
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Gunnar Sjöberg, Ingegerd Östman-Smith, Eva Fernlund, Jenny Alenius Dahlqvist, and Per Larsson
- Subjects
Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,medicine.drug_class ,sudden death ,Pediatrics ,Sudden death ,Sudden cardiac death ,Electrocardiography ,Risk Factors ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,Noonan syndrome ,risk factors ,Cardiac and Cardiovascular Systems ,cardiovascular diseases ,Child ,Beta blocker ,Rheumatology and Autoimmunity ,Reumatologi och inflammation ,Kardiologi ,Framingham Risk Score ,beta-blocker ,hypertrophic cardiomyopathy ,Receiver operating characteristic ,business.industry ,Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy ,Pediatrik ,General Medicine ,Cardiomyopathy, Hypertrophic ,medicine.disease ,Death, Sudden, Cardiac ,ROC Curve ,Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health ,Cohort ,cardiovascular system ,Cardiology ,Female ,business - Abstract
Aim To compare risk algorithms (HCMRisk-Kids, ECG Risk-score) in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) without syndrome association (ns-HCM) and with Noonan-like syndromes (RAS-HCM). Methods A national paediatric HCM cohort (n = 151), presenting = 6% at diagnosis had C-statistic of 0.69 for predicting SCD/CA during first 5 years of follow-up and positive predictive value (PPV) of 22%. After 7 years of age (HCMRisk-Kids7plus), C-statistic was 0.76. ECG Risk-score >= 6 at diagnosis had C-statistic 0.87 and PPV of 31%. Independent risk factors for SCD/CA were HCMRisk-Kids7plus score (p = 0.005) and ECG risk-score (p < 0.001), whereas early beta-blocker dose (p = 0.001) and myectomy (p = 0.004) reduced risk. The sum of HCMRisk-Kids7yplus and ECG Risk-score7yplus >= 14 best predicted SCD/CA within 5 years in ns-HCM with C-statistic of 0.90 [0.83-0.96], sensitivity 100% and PPV 38%. Conclusion Combining the ECG Risk-score with HCMRisk-Kids improves risk stratification in ns-HCM and shows promise in RAS-HCM. Funding Agencies|Swedish Heart-and Lung FoundationSwedish Heart-Lung Foundation [20080510]; Swedish government; ALF agreement [ALFgbg-544981]; Region Ostergotland (ALF); Strategic Research Area in Forensic Science; FORSS (Medical Research Council of Southeast Sweden)
- Published
- 2021
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