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Cyanobacterial blooms increasingly impair inland waters, with the potential for a concurrent increase in cyanotoxins that have been linked to animal and human mortalities. Microcystins (MCs) are among the most commonly detected cyanotoxins, but little is known about the distribution of different MC congeners despite large differences in their biomagnification, persistence, and toxicity. Using raw-water intake data from sites around the Great Lakes basin, we applied multivariate canonical analyses and regression tree analyses to identify how different congeners (MC-LA, -LR, -RR, and -YR) varied with changes in meteorological and nutrient conditions over time (10 years) and space (longitude range: 77°2'60 to 94°29'23 W). We found that MC-LR was associated with strong winds, warm temperatures, and nutrient-rich conditions, whereas the equally toxic yet less commonly studied MC-LA tended to dominate under intermediate winds, wetter, and nutrient-poor conditions. A global synthesis of lake data in the peer-reviewed literature showed that the composition of MC congeners differs among regions, with MC-LA more commonly reported in North America than Europe. Global patterns of MC congeners tended to vary with lake nutrient conditions and lake morphometry. Ultimately, knowledge of the environmental factors leading to the formation of different MC congeners in freshwaters is necessary to assess the duration and degree of toxin exposure under future global change.

Based on an analysis of sediment cores from Baptiste Lake (Alberta, Canada), we quantified century-scale trends in cyanobacteria and cyanotoxins, and identified possible drivers of toxigenic cyanobacteria. We measured concentrations of microcystins and pigments preserved in the sediment as proxies of toxigenic cyanobacteria and phytoplankton communities, respectively, while fossil diatom assemblages were used to infer past nutrient concentrations. Microcystins were detected in older sediments (ca. 1800s), pre-dating any significant alteration to the watershed. This demonstrates that toxigenic cyanobacteria may not be a recent phenomenon in eutrophic ecosystems. The dominant variants of microcystin throughout the sediment core were microcystin-LA and microcystin-LR. Other congeners including -LY, -7dmLR, -WR, -LF, -YR, and -LW (-RR was not detected) were mainly found in the upper layers of sediment (post 1980s). Starting in the 1990s, concentrations of microcystins both in the water column and in the sediment record increased in parallel. Total sediment microcystins were strongly correlated with historical nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations inferred from diatom assemblages (r=0.80-0.81, p<0.001, n=22); both nutrients increased over the past two decades coincident with the intensification of agriculture. Microcystins also tracked the rise in cyanobacterial pigments present throughout the core. In contrast, we found no relationship between climate-related variables and sediment microcystin concentrations, although such relationships were detected over the monitoring record with respect to water column concentrations. Overall, the rise in sediment microcystins was much greater than the rise in sediment cyanobacteria and diatom inferred nutrient concentrations. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the reconstruction of the microcystin sediment record can provide important insight for the development of realistic lake management goals. Applying this analytical approach to different lakes and regions of the world, where both natural and anthropogenic gradients vary, has the potential to markedly improve our understanding of long-term drivers of cyanotoxin production., (Copyright © 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)