1. Establishing M1 subdivision for de novo nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients receiving immuno-chemotherapy: A multicenter, retrospective cohort study.
- Author
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He SQ, Liu GY, Yu YH, Wang L, Zhang GY, Peng DS, Bei WX, Chen CL, Lv SH, Zhao ZY, Huang Y, and Xiang YQ
- Subjects
- Humans, Male, Female, Middle Aged, Retrospective Studies, Nomograms, Adult, Aged, Prognosis, Immunotherapy methods, Bone Neoplasms secondary, Bone Neoplasms drug therapy, Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma drug therapy, Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma mortality, Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma pathology, Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma therapy, Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms drug therapy, Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms pathology, Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms mortality, Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms therapy
- Abstract
Objectives: This study aims to better manage de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients receiving palliative immuno-chemotherapy (PICT), thereby easily determining individual survival outcomes., Materials and Methods: Patients with de novo metastatic NPC from four centers who received first-line PICT were included. We developed a nomogram for the pretherapy overall survival (OS) prediction using a logistic regression model in the training cohort (n = 296). We assessed the performance of this nomogram in a validation cohort., Results: A total of 592 patients were included. The median follow-up time was 29.83 months. Bone metastasis (HR, 2.46; 95 % CI, 1.01-6.21; p = 0.049) and the number of metastatic lesions > 3 (HR, 2.78; 95 % CI, 1.24-6.24; p = 0.013) were independent prognostic indicators. A new two-category M1 subdivision was generated: M1a, defined by the absence of co-existing bone metastasis and the presence of more than three metastatic lesions; and M1b, characterized by the presence of co-existing bone metastasis and the presence of more than three metastatic lesions. The 3-year OS rates of patients with M1a vs. M1b were 87.1 % vs. 60.3 % (p < 0.001). The C-indexes were 0.652 and 0.581 in the training and validation cohorts. The 1-, 2-, and 3-year areas under the curve (AUC) were 0.69, 0.68, 0.68 in the training cohort and 0.64, 0.6, 0.6 in the validation cohort. DCA curves also indicated that the nomogram has good clinical utility., Conclusion: The proposed M1 subdivision provides good OS segregation for patients receiving PICT., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2024
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