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Background: Neoadjuvant therapy can lead to different tumor regression grades (TRG) in rectal cancer after neoadjuvant therapy. The purposes of this study are to investigate the relationships among TRG, pathologic complete response (pCR) and long-term survival, on the basis of reconstructed individual patient data (IPD)., Methods: The PubMed, Embase, Ovid and Cochrane CENTRAL databases were searched. The primary endpoint was to evaluate the survival landscape of different TRGs after neoadjuvant therapy and the secondary endpoint was to evaluate the associations between pCR and survival. IPD were reconstructed with Kaplan-Meier curves., Results: The 10-year overall survival (OS) and 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) were clearly higher in the pCR group than in the non-pCR (npCR) group (80.5% vs. 48.3, 90.1% vs. 69.8%). Furthermore, the OS and DFS increased with improvement in tumor regression after neoadjuvant therapy. According to the IPD, the pCR group had longer OS (HR = 0.240, 95% CI = 0.177-0.325, p < 0.001) and DFS (HR = 0.274, 95% CI = 0.205-0.367, p < 0.001) than the npCR group. Better tumor regression was associated with better survival outcomes (p < 0.005). Direct calculation of published HR values yielded similar results., Conclusions: Our results indicate a positive relationship between better tumor regressions and improved survival benefits among the npCR group and patients with rectal cancer achieving pCR had much longer OS and DFS than patients achieving npCR, presenting a survival landscape of different TRGs and pCR in rectal cancer after neoadjuvant therapy., (© 2021. The Author(s).)

Background: Neoadjuvant (chemo) radiotherapy is used as a standard treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), but there is no general consensus on either the efficacy of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with LARC after neoadjuvant treatment and surgery, or whether the addition of oxaliplatin to adjuvant chemotherapy provides survival benefits., Methods: We performed a meta-analysis of data from the PubMed and Embase databases. We included patients with LARC who received neoadjuvant (chemo) radiotherapy and curative surgery. Overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), toxicity, and compliance were analyzed in the oxaliplatin/fluorouracil- (OX/FU-) based group compared with the FU-based group, and in the chemotherapy group compared with the observation group., Results: Twenty studies were included in the analysis. Our results indicated that adjuvant chemotherapy prolonged OS (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.78, 95%CI = 0.67-0.91) in patients with LARC treated with neoadjuvant (chemo) radiotherapy and surgery compared with those in the observation group. Subgroup analysis showed the same results in both the ypStage II and ypStage III groups. Compared with those in the observation group, patients in the chemotherapy group also showed an increase in DFS (HR = 0.75, 95%CI = 0.60-0.93). No significant increase was observed in OS (HR = 1.04, 95%CI = 0.87-1.24) or DFS (HR = 0.98, 95%CI = 0.76-1.27) when oxaliplatin was added to FU-based adjuvant chemotherapy, as compared with the FU-based treatment, and subgroup analysis also indicated no survival benefits in the clinical stage II, clinical stage III, ypStage II, and ypStage III groups., Conclusions: For patients with LARC who have already received neoadjuvant (chemo) radiotherapy and curative surgery, adjuvant chemotherapy improves OS over that in the observation group. Adding oxaliplatin to FU-based adjuvant chemotherapy does not confer survival benefits beyond those from FU-based adjuvant chemotherapy., Competing Interests: The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest regarding the publication of this paper., (Copyright © 2021 Jia-yi Li et al.)