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Objective: This study aimed to construct a model based on 23 enrolled molecules to evaluate prognoses of pT2/3N0M0 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients with up to 20 years of follow-up. Methods: The lasso-Cox model was used to identify the candidate molecule. A nomogram was conducted to develop the survival model (molecular score, MS) based on the molecular features. Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analysis were used in this study. The concordance index (C-index) was measured to compare the predicted ability between different models. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Results: A total of 226 patients and 23 proteins were enrolled in this study. Patients were classified into high-risk (MS-H) and low-risk (MS-L) groups based on the MS score of 227. The survival curves showed that the MS-L cohort had better 5-year and 10-year survival rates than the MS-H group (5-year OS: 51.0% vs. 8.0%; 10-year OS: 45.0% vs. 5.0%, all p < 0.001). Furthermore, multivariable analysis confirmed MS as an independent prognostic factor after eliminating the confounding factors (Hazard ratio 3.220, p < 0.001). The pT classification was confirmed to differentiate ESCC patients' prognosis (Log-rank: p = 0.029). However, the combination of pT and MS could classify survival curves evidently (overall p < 0.001), which showed that the prognostic prediction efficiency was improved significantly by the combination of the pT and MS than by the classical pT classification (C-index: 0.656 vs. 0.539, p < 0.001). Conclusions: Our study suggested an MS for significant clinical stratification of T2/3N0M0 ESCC patients to screen out subgroups with poor prognoses. Besides, the combination of pT staging and MS could predict survival more accurately for this cohort than the pT staging system alone. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives: To construct a simplified prognostic risk model to predict overall survival after adjuvant radiotherapy for parotid gland carcinoma patients with stage T1-4aN1-3M0. Materials and Methods: We evaluated 879 patients who were pathological diagnosed as stage T1-4aN1-3M0 parotid gland cancer. Those eligible patients treated with parotidectomy and neck lymph node dissection between 2004 and 2015 in the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results database. All cases received adjuvant radiotherapy. Independent prognostic factors included in the original model were identified by Cox regression analysis. The primary endpoint was overall survival. The model's prediction power was evaluated by the concordance index. The entire cohort was categorized into new low- and high-risk groups using X-tile software according to the results of prognostic model. Kaplan-Meier method was used to depict the survival curves. And the statistical significance was determined by log-rank test. Besides, a heat map was visually described the association between the survival time and 2 most significant prognostic factors. Results: In the univariable and multivariate analyses, 4 independent factors for overall survival were age, tumor size, pTNM stage, and the number of positive lymph nodes, which were all selected in the parsimonious prognostic model. The concordance indices of the prognostic model and pTNM stage were 0.652 and 0.565, respectively. Patients in the low-risk group had better overall survival over patients in the high-risk group [unadjusted hazard ratio = 2.578, 95% confidence interval 2.095-3.172, P < 0.001]. The results of the heat map revealed that patients with smaller tumor size and fewer positive lymph nodes had much longer survival time. Conclusions: This parsimonious prognostic model could estimate the long-term survival after adjuvant radiotherapy for parotid gland carcinoma with stage T1-4aN1-3N0M0. The tools may be valuable to guide multidisciplinary team in making treatment decisions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]