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Anal squamous cell carcinoma (ASCC) incidence is increasing globally. International consensus guidelines published in 2024 include HPV and/or cytology testing of anal swabs in those at greatest risk of ASCC. Self-collected anal swabs may be important for increasing screening uptake, but evidence is needed as to their equivalence to clinician-collected swabs. We searched Medline, Embase, Cochrane Library, and CINAHL databases for publications to 13 June 2023. Studies were included if reporting data on HPV testing, cytology testing, or acceptability, for both self- and clinician-collected anal swabs. Risk of bias was assessed using the QUADAS-2 assessment tool. The primary outcome was HPV and cytology sampling adequacy. Secondary outcomes were HPV and cytology results, and acceptability of collection methods. Thirteen papers describing 10 studies were eligible. Sample adequacy was comparable between self- and clinician-collected swabs for HPV testing (meta-adequacy ratio: 1.01 [95% CI 0.97-1.05]) but slightly lower for cytology by self-collection (meta-adequacy ratio: 0.91 [95% CI 0.88-0.95]). There was no significant difference in prevalence (meta-prevalence ratio: 0.83 (95% CI 0.65-1.07) for any HR-HPV, 0.98 (95% CI 0.84-1.14) for any HPV, and 0.68 (95% CI 0.33-1.37) for HPV16), or any cytological abnormality (meta-prevalence ratio 1.01 [95% CI 0.86-1.18]). Only three papers reported acceptability results. Findings indicate self-collection gives equivalent sample adequacy for HPV testing and ~ 10% inferior adequacy for cytological testing. Meta-prevalence was similar for HPV and cytology, but confidence intervals were wide. Larger studies are required to definitively assess use of self-collected swabs in anal cancer screening programs, including acceptability., (© 2024 UICC.)

The International Anal Neoplasia Society (IANS) developed consensus guidelines to inform anal cancer screening use among various high-risk groups. Anal cancer incidence estimates by age among risk groups provided the basis to identify risk thresholds to recommend screening. Guided by risk thresholds, screening initiation at age 35 years was recommended for men who have sex with men (MSM) and transgender women (TW) with HIV. For other people with HIV and MSM and TW not with HIV, screening initiation at age 45 years was recommended. For solid organ transplant recipients, screening initiation beginning from 10 years post-transplant was recommended. For persons with a history of vulvar precancer or cancer, screening initiation was recommended starting within 1 year of diagnosis of vulvar precancer or cancer. Persons aged ≥45 years with a history of cervical/vaginal HSIL or cancer, perianal warts, persistent (>1 year) cervical HPV16, or autoimmune conditions could be considered for screening with shared decision-making, provided there is adequate capacity to perform diagnostic procedures (high-resolution anoscopy [HRA]). Anal cytology, high-risk (hr) human papillomavirus (HPV) testing (including genotyping for HPV16), and hrHPV-cytology co-testing are different strategies currently used for anal cancer screening that show acceptable performance. Thresholds for referral for HRA or follow-up screening tests are delineated. These recommendations from IANS provide the basis to inform management of abnormal screening results, considering currently available screening tools. These guidelines provide a pivotal foundation to help generate consensus among providers and inform the introduction and implementation of risk-targeted screening for anal cancer prevention., (© 2024 The Authors. International Journal of Cancer published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of UICC.)

Background: Gay and bisexual men (GBM) are at increased risk of human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated anal high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSILs). Understanding the fractions of HSILs attributable to HPV genotypes is important to inform potential impacts of screening and vaccination strategies. However, multiple infections are common, making attribution of causative types difficult. Algorithms developed for predicting HSIL-causative genotype fractions have never been compared with a reference standard in GBM., Method: Samples were from the Study of the Prevention of Anal Cancer. Baseline HPV genotypes detected in anal swab samples (160 participants) were compared with HPV genotypes in anal HSILs (222 lesions) determined by laser capture microdissection (LCM). Five algorithms were compared: proportional, hierarchical, maximum, minimum, and maximum likelihood estimation., Results: All algorithms predicted HPV-16 as the most common HSIL-causative genotype, and proportions differed from LCM detection (37.8%) by algorithm (with differences of -6.1%, +20.9%, -20.4%, +2.9%, and +2.2% respectively). Fractions predicted using the proportional method showed a strong positive correlation with LCM, overall (R = 0.73 and P = .002), and by human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) status (HIV positive, R = 0.74 and P = .001; HIV-negative, R = 0.68 and P = .005)., Conclusions: Algorithms produced a range of inaccurate estimates of HSIL attribution, with the proportional algorithm performing best. The high occurrence of multiple HPV infections means that these algorithms may be of limited use in GBM., Competing Interests: Potential conflicts of interest. R. J. H. has received support from CSL Biotherapies and MSD. S. M. G. has received lecture fees from Merck for work performed in personal time, has received investigator-initiated grant funding from Merck through her institution for a study on human papillomavirus (HPV) in young women and is a member of the Merck Global Advisory Board on HPV. C. K. F. has received honoraria, travel funding and research funding from CSL and Merck and owns shares in CSL Biotherapies. A. E. G. has received honoraria and research funding from CSL Biotherapies and honoraria and travel funding from Merck. All other authors report no potential conflicts. All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Background: Understanding the natural history of anal high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) infection is key for designing anal cancer prevention programs but has not been systematically characterized., Methods: We reanalyzed data from 34 studies including 16 164 individuals in 6 risk groups defined by human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) status, sex, and male sexuality: men who have sex with men (MSM) and people with HIV (MSMWH), HIV-negative MSM, women with HIV (WWH), HIV-negative women, men who have sex with women (MSW) with HIV (MSWWH), and HIV-negative MSW. We used Markov models to estimate incidence and clearance of 13 hrHPV types and their determinants., Results: Human papillomavirus (HPV) 16 had the highest incidence-clearance ratio of the hrHPV types. MSMWH had the highest hrHPV incidence (eg, 15.5% newly HPV-16 infected within 2 years), followed by HIV-negative MSM (7.5%), WWH (6.6%), HIV-negative women (2.9%), MSWWH (1.7%), and HIV-negative MSW (0.7%). Determinants of HPV-16 incidence included HIV status and number of sexual partners for MSM, women, and MSW, and anal sex behavior for MSM only. HPV-16 clearance was lower for people with HIV (PWH) and lower for prevalent than incident infection. Among MSM, increasing age was associated with lower clearance of prevalent, but not incident, HPV-16 infection., Conclusions: This robust and unifying analysis of anal hrHPV natural history is essential to designing and predicting the impact of HPV vaccination and HPV-based screening programs on anal cancer prevention, particularly in MSM and PWH. Importantly, it demonstrates the higher carcinogenic potential of longstanding anal prevalent hrHPV infection than more recent incident infection., Competing Interests: Potential conflicts of interest. A. R. G. received support from Merck & Co and Moderna, outside the submitted work, and reports consulting fees from Merck & Co. G. D. received support to her institution from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) for this work. N. A. H. received a grant to her institution from NIH for this work. M. F. S. v. d. L. has served on an advisory board for Merck & Co. K. N. received a Miguel Servet II senior researcher grant contract (CPII18/00033) from the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (Madrid, Spain), outside the submitted work. J. B. received financial compensation for lectures, consultancy work, educational activities from Gilead Sciences, Janssen-Cilag, Merck Sharp & Dohme, and ViiV Healthcare and received support for attending meetings from Gilead Sciences, outside the submitted work. M. L. G. received support from National Institute of Dental and Craniofacial Research for and outside the submitted work; has received research funding from Genocea Biosciences, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Genentech, Kur, Cullinan Labs, and Agenus; served as a consultant for Istari Oncology, LLX Solutions, Kura Oncology, Mirati Therapeutics, BioNtech, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Bicara Therapeutics, Bayer Healthcare Pharmaceutics, Genocea Biosciences, Shattucks Labs, EMD Serono, Debiopharm, Merck & Co, Ipsen Biopharmaceuticals, Gilead Sciences, and Coherus; served a speaker/preceptorship role for OncLive and Roche Scientific; received support for attending meetings from American Association for Cancer Research (AACR); has an issued patent as sponsor-investigator for pNGVL4a-Sig/E7(detox)/HSP70 plasmid DNA for a clinical protocol entitled “An open-label phase one study of the safety with stage III or IV HPV16-positive head and neck squamous cell carcinoma”; has pending patents for “Oral HPV infection detection for oral cancer screening and diagnosis” and “HPV mRNA detection on oral cytology specimens for diagnosis and screening for oral cancer”; served on advisory committees for Seagen, Sensei Biotherapeutics, SQZBiotech, BioMimetix and Kura; and has stock options for Sensei. A. G. N. received grants from National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) and the National Cancer Institute (NCI), NIH, and Merck & Co, awarded to his institution and related to the submitted work; received grants from NCI, NIH, awarded to his institution, outside the submitted work; received support for attending meetings (payment for hotel at conference) from the European Research Organisation on Genital Infection and Neoplasia; and received donated swabs and vials for research from COPAN Diagnostics. R. G. N. received funding from NCI, NIH (grant K07CA225403), paid to her institution. E. Y. received to her institution, for this work, in support from subawards from amfAR, The Foundation for AIDS Research (grants 108520-52-IGTA and 108893-55-IPTA), with funds provided by Life Ball and Verein Aids Life (AIDS LIFE). The Asia Pacific HIV Research Collaboration is an initiative of TREAT Asia, a program of amfAR, The Foundation for AIDS Research, with support from the NIAID, NIH, as part of the International Epidemiologic Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA). These subgrants were supported with funds provided by NIH cooperative agreement 5U01AI0699007-07 and a supplement to NIH cooperative agreement 5U01AI0699007-08. J. M. M. received research grants from Gilead to his institution for the present work and personal consulting fees from Gilead, Merck & Co, and ViiV. JJO received funds both to himself and to his institution from Australian National Health and Medical Research Council, outside the submitted work; served as Board Director of Australian Society of HIV, viral hepatitis and sexual heath medicine (ASHM), Australian Federation of AIDS Organizations (AFAO). N. S. received personal consulting fees from ViiV Healthcare and honoraria from Gilead Sciences. D. J. W. received funding from the NCI, NIH (R01CA169508-01A1 [principal investigator (PI), D. J. W.] and 5UM1AI035043-23 (PI, G. D.; site PI, D. J. W.; both studies: data collection, specimen processing, laboratory tests). J. M. P. reports grants or contracts paid to the institution from Merck and Co, outside the submitted work; consulting fees paid to self from Vir Biotechnologies and Antiva Biosciences; payment or honoraria from Merck and Co; support for attending meetings and/or travel paid to self from Merck and Co; and stock or stock options from Virion Therapeutics and Vir Biotechnology. All other authors report no potential conflicts. All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Objective: Anal cancer is preceded by high-risk human papillomavirus (HRHPV) infection, predominantly HPV16. No HPV assay is licenced for use in anal screening. We aimed to determine the sensitivity and specificity of four anal canal swab HPV assays to predict high-grade squamous epithelial lesions (HSIL)., Methods: In a cohort of Australian HIV-positive and negative gay and bisexual men, we compared the sensitivity and specificity of detection of 13 anal HRHPV genotypes by Linear Array (LA), Cobas 4800, EuroArray, and Anyplex II HPV28 (+ and ++ cut offs), compared their ability to predict prevalent anal HSIL, and compared anal canal HRHPV detection with HRHPV isolated from HSIL using laser capture microdissection (LCM)., Results: A total of 475 participants had baseline results available for all four assays (166, 35.0% HIV positive), and 169 participants had a diagnosis of cytological and/or histological HSIL. The HPV16 and any HRHPV detection were highest with Anyplex II HPV28 (+) (156, 32.8% 95% CI 28.6-37.2 and 359, 75.6%, 95% CI 71.5-79.4, respectively). For detection of concurrent HSIL and HPV16, the assay sensitivity was similar, ranging from 49.1%, 95% CI 41.4-56.9 (Anyplex II HPV28 ++) to 55.0%, 95% CI 47.2-62.7 (Anyplex II HPV28 +). For concurrent HSIL and any HRHPV detection, EuroArray was more specific than Anyplex II HPV28 (+) (45.9% 95% CI 40.2-51.7 vs 36.7%, 95% CI 31.3-42.4, p = 0.021) and had comparable specificity with Anyplex II HPV28 (++) (45.9% vs 47.2%, 95% CI 41.5-53.0, p = 0.75). All assays had high sensitivities for predicting HPV16 detected on LCM (92.5-97.5%). Anyplex II HPV28 and EuroArray were significantly more sensitive than LA for lesions caused by non-HPV16 HRHPV types on LCM., Discussion: Anyplex II HPV28 and EuroArray detected more non-16 HRHPV genotypes than LA. Increasing the Anyplex II HPV28 cutoff improved specificity without compromising sensitivity for detection of concurrent HSIL., (Copyright © 2022 European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background: It is unknown whether reactivation of human papillomavirus (HPV) after latency occurs in the anus. We measured incidence and predictors of incident anal HPV in sexually inactive gay and bisexual men (GBM) as a surrogate of HPV reactivation., Methods: The Study of the Prevention of Anal Cancer collected data on sexual behavior, anal cytology, HPV DNA, histology and HPV serology. HPV incidence during periods when zero sexual partners were reported in the last six months at both the current and previous annual visit ("no sexual activity") was analyzed by Cox regression using the Wei-Lin-Weissfeld method to determine univariable predictors., Results: Of 617 men enrolled, 525 had results for ≥2 visits, of whom 58 (11%) had ≥ one period of "no sexual activity". During sexually inactive periods, there were 29 incident high risk HPV infections in 20 men, which occurred more commonly in older men (Ptrend = 0.010), HIV-positive men (HR = 3.12; 95% CI, 0.91-16.65), longer duration of HIV (Ptrend = 0.028), history of AIDS defining illness (P = 0.010), lower current (P = 0.010) and nadir CD4 count (P = 0.014). For 18 of 29 infections with available results, 12 men remained type-specific HRHPV L1 seronegative. None were consistently seropositive. A new diagnosis of HSIL occurred in only two men, caused by an HPV type other than the incident type., Conclusions: Our findings suggest that in sexually inactive GBM, anal HRHPV incidence is relatively common, and is associated with increasing age and immune dysfunction, a pattern consistent with HPV reactivation., Impact: Reactivation of anal HPV may occur., (©2022 American Association for Cancer Research.)

Human papillomavirus (HPV) is detected in up to 96% of anal squamous cell cancers, where screening programs needed. However, the best methodology is still undetermined. Host DNA methylation markers CADM1, MAL and miR124 have been identified in cervical disease, but not anal disease. Anal swabs varying by disease grade were assessed for DNA methylation of CADM1, MAL and miR124-2. Each marker was compared across disease grades, stratified by HPV and HIV status. Receiver operating characteristic curves identified the predictive value of significant gene candidates. CADM1 methylation was significantly higher in high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL) compared with low-grade (LSIL) (p = 0.005) or normal (p < 0.001) samples with 67.2% correctly identified as HSIL. MAL methylation was significantly (p = 0.002) increased in HSIL compared with LSIL in HIV positive participants with 79.8% correctly indicated as HSIL. Gene miR124-2, showed no difference between disease grades. Biomarkers with established diagnostic value in cervical disease have limited utility in the prediction of anal disease, with CADM1 identified as a marker with screening potential in a gay and bisexual men (GBM) population and MAL in HIV positive GBM population. New markers specific to the anal mucosa are required to improve triage of high-risk individuals., (© 2022. The Author(s).)

Background: Robust age-specific estimates of anal human papillomavirus (HPV) and high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL) in men can inform anal cancer prevention efforts. We aimed to evaluate the age-specific prevalence of anal HPV, HSIL, and their combination, in men, stratified by HIV status and sexuality., Methods: We did a systematic review for studies on anal HPV infection in men and a pooled analysis of individual-level data from eligible studies across four groups: HIV-positive men who have sex with men (MSM), HIV-negative MSM, HIV-positive men who have sex with women (MSW), and HIV-negative MSW. Studies were required to inform on type-specific HPV infection (at least HPV16), detected by use of a PCR-based test from anal swabs, HIV status, sexuality (MSM, including those who have sex with men only or also with women, or MSW), and age. Authors of eligible studies with a sample size of 200 participants or more were invited to share deidentified individual-level data on the above four variables. Authors of studies including 40 or more HIV-positive MSW or 40 or more men from Africa (irrespective of HIV status and sexuality) were also invited to share these data. Pooled estimates of anal high-risk HPV (HR-HPV, including HPV16, 18, 31, 33, 35, 39, 45, 51, 52, 56, 58, 59, and 68), and HSIL or worse (HSIL+), were compared by use of adjusted prevalence ratios (aPRs) from generalised linear models., Findings: The systematic review identified 93 eligible studies, of which 64 contributed data on 29 900 men to the pooled analysis. Among HIV-negative MSW anal HPV16 prevalence was 1·8% (91 of 5190) and HR-HPV prevalence was 6·9% (345 of 5003); among HIV-positive MSW the prevalences were 8·7% (59 of 682) and 26·9% (179 of 666); among HIV-negative MSM they were 13·7% (1455 of 10 617) and 41·2% (3798 of 9215), and among HIV-positive MSM 28·5% (3819 of 13 411) and 74·3% (8765 of 11 803). In HIV-positive MSM, HPV16 prevalence was 5·6% (two of 36) among those age 15-18 years and 28·8% (141 of 490) among those age 23-24 years (p trend =0·0091); prevalence was 31·7% (1057 of 3337) among those age 25-34 years and 22·8% (451 of 1979) among those age 55 and older (p trend <0·0001). HPV16 prevalence in HIV-negative MSM was 6·7% (15 of 223) among those age 15-18 and 13·9% (166 of 1192) among those age 23-24 years (p trend =0·0076); the prevalence plateaued thereafter (p trend =0·72). Similar age-specific patterns were observed for HR-HPV. No significant differences for HPV16 or HR-HPV were found by age for either HIV-positive or HIV-negative MSW. HSIL+ detection ranged from 7·5% (12 of 160) to 54·5% (61 of 112) in HIV-positive MSM; after adjustment for heterogeneity, HIV was a significant predictor of HSIL+ (aPR 1·54, 95% CI 1·36-1·73), HPV16-positive HSIL+ (1·66, 1·36-2·03), and HSIL+ in HPV16-positive MSM (1·19, 1·04-1·37). Among HPV16-positive MSM, HSIL+ prevalence increased with age., Interpretation: High anal HPV prevalence among young HIV-positive and HIV-negative MSM highlights the benefits of gender-neutral HPV vaccination before sexual activity over catch-up vaccination. HIV-positive MSM are a priority for anal cancer screening research and initiatives targeting HPV16-positive HSIL+., Funding: International Agency for Research on Cancer., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests ARG received travel fees from Merck & Co to participate in scientific advisory board meetings, and her institution has received grants for research from Merck & Co. SEH is funded by the US National Institutes of Health and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation outside the submitted work; and is a consultant for In Bios and a grant reviewer for US National Institutes of Health Study Section outside the submitted work. SEG received an investigator-initiated grant from Merck & Co, Inovio, and Medtronic outside the submitted work; consulting fees from THD America outside the submitted work; and payment as a speaker and financial support for attending meetings from Merck & Co outside the submitted work. MFSvdL received funds awarded to his institution from the AidsFonds charity and from Merck Sharpe & Dohme for participation on a data safety monitoring board or advisory board. KN is the recipient of a Miguel Servet research grant (CPII18/00033) from the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (Madrid, Spain) outside the submitted work. AGN received an investigator-initiated grant from Merck & Co in 2010–11 awarded to his institution at the time (Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, FL, USA) to assess the prevalence and incidence of anal HPV among men, allowing genotyping of samples (these data are included in the current Article); received travel fees from EUROGIN to present at their conferences; and received donated swabs and vials from COPAN. UW received grant support from the German Federal Ministry of Health for a study included in this report. EPFC is supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Emerging Leadership Investigator Grant (GNT1172873) outside the submitted work. YC received financial support from the Canadian Institutes of Health Research scholarship/studentship (CGS-D) outside the submitted work. YH received funding from the Natural Science Foundation of China International/Regional Research Collaboration Project (72061137007) and the Natural Science Foundation of China (81673232 and 82073574) outside the submitted work. GM received funding from US National Institutes of Health/National Cancer Institute outside the submitted work. APO received funds awarded to her institution from Aids Malignancy Consortium (2UM1CA121947–14) outside the submitted work; funds awarded to her institution from California-Mexico-Puerto Rico Partnership Center for Prevention of HPV-related Cancer in HIV-positive Populations (5U54CA242646–02) and from UPR/MDACC: Partnership for Excellence in Cancer Research (5U54-CA096297–17 and 5R21DE027226–02) outside the submitted work; and consulting fees and payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing, and educational events from Merck & Co outside the submitted work. HZ received funding awarded to Sun Yat-sen University from the Natural Science Foundation of China Excellent Young Scientists Fund (82022064), the Natural Science Foundation of China International/Regional Research Collaboration Project (72061137001), and the Precision Targeted Intervention Studies among High Risk Groups for HIV Prevention in China, National Science and Technology Major Project of China (2018ZX10721102) outside the submitted work. All other authors declare no competing interests., (© 2021 World Health Organization; licensee Elsevier. This is an Open Access article published under the CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO license.)

Background: Incidence of anal cancer is highest in gay and bisexual men (GBM). Better understanding of the natural history of anal high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) infection is needed for anal cancer prevention., Methods: The Study of the Prevention of Anal Cancer was a 3-year study of Australian GBM, aged 35 years or older. We examined incidence, clearance, and risk factors for 13 hrHPV types at baseline and 3 annual visits., Results: In 525 men with ≥ 2 visits, 348 (66.3%) acquired ≥ 1 incident hrHPV infection. HPV16 incidence rates were similar, but non-16 hrHPV incidence was higher in HIV-positive (51.8/100 person years [PY]) than HIV-negative men (36.5/100 PY, P < .001). Annual clearance rates of HPV16 (13.21/100 PY, 95% confidence interval, 10.53-16.56) were lower than for other hrHPV types. hrHPV clearance rates were not associated with HIV overall but were significantly lower in those with a lower nadir CD4 (<200 cells/µL) for HPV16 (P = .015) and other hrHPV types (P = .007)., Conclusions: Higher incidence of non-16 hrHPV types, coupled with lower clearance of non-16 hrHPV types in those with past impaired immune function, is consistent with the greater role of non-16 hrHPV in anal cancer in HIV-positive people., Australia New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry: ANZCTR365383., (© The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Background: Gay and bisexual men (GBM) are disproportionately affected by anal cancer. Prevention is hindered by incomplete understanding of the natural history of its precursor, anal high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL)., Methods: The Study of the Prevention of Anal Cancer, conducted between 2010 and 2018, enrolled human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-positive and HIV-negative GBM aged ≥35 years. Anal cytology and high-resolution anoscopy (HRA) were performed at baseline and 3 annual visits. A composite HSIL diagnosis (cytology ± histology) was used. Cytological high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (cHSIL) incidence and clearance rates were calculated with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Predictors were calculated using Cox regression with hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs., Results: Among 617 men, 220 (35.7%) were HIV-positive, median age 49 years. And 124 incident cHSIL cases occurred over 1097.3 person-years (PY) follow-up (11.3, 95% CI 9.5-13.5 per 100 PY). Significant bivariate predictors of higher incidence included age <45 years (HR 1.64, 95% CI 1.11-2.41), HIV positivity (HR 1.43, 95% CI .99-2.06), prior SIL diagnosis (P-trend < .001) and human papillomavirus (HPV)16 (HR 3.39, 2.38-4.84). Over 695.3 PY follow-up, 153 HSIL cleared (clearance 22.0, 95% CI 18.8-25.8 per 100 PY). Predictors were age < 45 years (HR 1.52, 1.08-2.16), anal intraepithelial neoplasia (AIN)2 rather than AIN3 (HR 1.79, 1.29-2.49), smaller lesions (HR 1.62, 1.11-2.36) and no persistent HPV16 (HR 1.72, 1.23-2.41). There was 1 progression to cancer (incidence 0.224, 95% CI .006-1.25 per 100 PY)., Conclusion: These data strongly suggest that not all anal HSIL detected in screening requires treatment. Men with persistent HPV16 were less likely to clear HSIL and are more likely to benefit from effective HSIL treatments., Clinical Trials Registration: Australia New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ANZCTR365383)., (© The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Background: In a cytology-based screening program intended to prevent anal cancer, the anal transformation zone (TZ) should be adequately sampled because it is the site most susceptible to the development of the cancer precursor, high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL). An adequate TZ component is defined as comprising at least 10 rectal columnar or squamous metaplastic cells. In the current study, the authors examined whether the presence of a TZ component in anal cytology correlated with the detection of histological HSIL., Methods: In a natural history study of anal human papillomavirus infection in homosexual men, all participants underwent liquid-based cytology and high-resolution anoscopy (HRA) with or without biopsy at each visit. True-negative cytology (negative cytology with non-HSIL biopsy or negative HRA), false-negative cytology (negative cytology with HSIL biopsy), and true-positive cytology (abnormal cytology with HSIL biopsy) were compared with regard to the presence or absence of a TZ component., Results: Of 617 participants, baseline results included 155 true-positive results, 191 true-negative results, and 31 false-negative results. The absence of an adequate TZ component was found to be significantly higher for false-negative (32.3%) than for either true-positive (11.0%; P = .0034) or true-negative (13.1%; P = .0089) results., Conclusions: Significantly more false-negative cases lacked a TZ component compared with either true-positive or true-negative cases. TZ cells may be an important indicator of sample quality for anal cytology because, unlike cervical sampling, the anal canal is not visualized during cytology sampling. Cancer Cytopathol 2016;124:596-601. © 2016 American Cancer Society., (© 2016 American Cancer Society.)

Background: There is debate about the accuracy of anal cytology and high-resolution anoscopy (HRA), in the diagnosis of anal human papillomavirus (HPV)-related squamous intraepithelial lesions (SIL). Few studies have performed both simultaneously in a large sample of high-risk individuals., Methods: At baseline in a community-based cohort of HIV-infected and uninfected homosexual men ages ≥35 years in Sydney, Australia, all men underwent anal swabbing for cytology and HPV genotyping, and HRA-guided biopsy. We evaluated the separate and combined diagnostic accuracy of cytology and histology, based on a comparison with the prevalence of HPV16 and other high-risk (HR) HPV. We examined trends in HPV prevalence across cytology-histology combinations., Results: Anal swab, HRA, and HPV genotyping results were available for 605 of 617 participants. The prevalence of cytologically predicted high-grade SIL (HSIL, 17.9%) was lower than histologically diagnosed HSIL (31.7%, P < 0.001). The prevalence of composite-HSIL (detected by either method) was 37.7%. HPV16 prevalence was similar in men with HSIL by cytology (59.3%), HSIL by histology (51.0%), and composite-HSIL (50.0%). HPV16 prevalence was 31.1% in men with composite-atypical squamous cells suggestive of HSIL, to 18.5% in men with composite-low-grade SIL, to 12.1% in men with composite-negative results (Ptrend < 0.001)., Conclusions: Significantly more HSIL was detected when a composite cytology-histology endpoint was used. Increasing grade of composite endpoint was associated with increasing HPV16 prevalence., Impact: These data suggest that a composite cytology-histology endpoint reflects meaningful disease categories and is likely to be an important biomarker in anal cancer prevention. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 25(7); 1134-43. ©2016 AACR., (©2016 American Association for Cancer Research.)

Background: Studies regarding the performance of anal cytology in which both the screening test (cytology) and the diagnostic test (high-resolution anoscopy [HRA]) are performed in all members of a screening population are rare. The authors evaluated the performance of liquid-based anal cytology in a cohort of homosexual men in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia., Methods: The Study of the Prevention of Anal Cancer (SPANC) is a 3-year prospective study of the natural history of anal human papillomavirus infection in homosexual men aged ≥35 years. At baseline, all participants underwent a liquid-based anal cytology test and HRA at the same clinical visit. Biopsies were obtained for histological assessment if lesions suspicious for human papillomavirus infection were visible during HRA. Using any cytological abnormality as the threshold, the sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were calculated against histologically diagnosed high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSILs)., Results: Among 617 men recruited, the median age was 49 years (range, 35-79 years) and 35.7% were positive for the human immunodeficiency virus. Overall, the sensitivity of cytology was 83.2%, the specificity was 52.6%, the positive predictive value was 45.8%, and the negative predictive value was 86.7%. Specificity improved with increasing age (P for trend =.041). Sensitivity was significantly higher in men with >1 anal octant of biopsy-confirmed HSIL (92.9% vs 77.7%; P = .010), and in those who had ≥10 metaplastic cells present on their cytology slides (87.5% vs 70.2%; P = .007)., Conclusions: Anal cytology was found to have a higher specificity in older men while maintaining sensitivity. Sensitivity was higher among those with more extensive HSILs and men with metaplastic cells present on cytology. Cancer Cytopathol 2016;124:415-24. © 2016 American Cancer Society., (© 2016 American Cancer Society.)

Introduction: Anal squamous cell carcinoma is preceded by persistent infection with high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) and the cancer precursor, high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL). Detection of specific HPV genotypes and HPV-related biomarkers may be an option for primary anal screening. However, more data on the natural history of HPV-related anal lesions are required. The outcomes from this study will enhance our understanding of the clinical and biological behaviour of HPV-related anal lesions and inform the development of future HPV genotype and/or biomarker screening tests., Methods and Analysis: HIV-negative and HIV-positive men who have sex with men, aged 35 years and over, recruited from community-based settings in Sydney, Australia, attend 6 clinic visits over 3 years. At the first 5 visits, participants undergo a digital anorectal examination, an anal swab for HPV genotyping and anal cytology, and high-resolution anoscopy with directed biopsy of any visible abnormalities that are suggestive of any abnormality suspicious of SIL. Tissue sections from participants diagnosed with histologically confirmed HSIL at the baseline clinic visit will undergo laser capture microdissection, HPV detection and genotyping, and quantitation of CpG methylation in baseline and follow-up biopsies. Histological and cytological findings in combination with HPV genotyping data will be used to identify persistent HSIL. HSIL will be stratified as non-persistent and persistent based on their status at 12 months. The performance of HPV genotype and methylation status in predicting disease persistence at 12 months will be assessed, along with associations with HIV status and other covariates such as age., Ethics and Dissemination: The St Vincent's Hospital Ethics Committee granted ethics approval for the study. Written informed consent is obtained from all individuals before any study-specific procedures are performed. Findings from this study will be disseminated to participants and the community through study newsletters, and through peer-reviewed publications and international conferences., (Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://group.bmj.com/group/rights-licensing/permissions.)

Background: Most anal cancers are attributable to persistent human papillomavirus type 16 (HPV-16) infection. The anal cancer precursor, high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL), frequently regresses spontaneously. We hypothesized that T-cell responses are associated with HSIL regression., Methods: In men who have sex with men undergoing anal cytology and high-resolution anoscopy, we measured responses to HPV-16 oncogenic proteins E6 and E7, using the CD25/CD134 assay for CD4(+) antigen-specific T cells and intracellular cytokine staining for CD4(+) and CD8(+) antigen-specific T cells., Results: Of 134 participants (mean [SD] age, 51 [9.3] years; 31 [23.1%] infected with human immunodeficiency virus), 51 (38.1%) had HSIL. E6- and E7-specific CD4(+) T-cell responses were detected in 80 (59.7%) and 40 (29.9%) of the participants, respectively, and E6- and E7-specific CD8(+) T-cell responses were each detected in 25 (18.7%). HSIL was significantly associated with E7-specific CD8(+) T-cell responses (odds ratio, 4.09 [95% confidence interval, 1.55-10.77], P = .004), but not with any CD4(+) T-cell response (P ≥ .09). Twenty-six participants had HSIL a mean of 1 year before measurement of T-cell responses, and 6 (23%) of them were regressors. Five regressors (83%) had E6-specific CD4(+) T-cell responses vs 7 of 20 (35%) nonregressors (Pexact = .065)., Conclusions: Systemic HPV-16 E6- and E7-specific T-cell responses were common in men who have sex with men. E6-specific CD4(+) T-cell responses may be associated with recent HSIL regression., Clinical Trials Registration: NCT02007421., (© The Author 2014. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Anal cancer comprises malignancies of the anal canal principally of two morphologic variants: squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and adenocarcinoma. In most settings, SCC compromises more than 70% of cases. In the general population, anal cancer is uncommon, with age-standardised incidence rates mostly between 1 and 2 per 100000 per year. However, incidence of anal SCC is increasing by 1-3% per year in developed country settings. High-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) types can be detected in 80-90% of all anal SCC cases, making it second only to cervical cancer in the closeness of its association with this virus. HPV-16 can be detected in ~90% of HPV-positive cases of anal SCC. Case-control studies have demonstrated that sexual risk factors (homosexuality in men and multiple sexual partners in women) are strongly associated with anal cancer risk. Other risk factors include immune deficiency and tobacco exposure. Anal cancer rates are highest in homosexual men, particularly in those who are HIV-positive, in whom anal cancer is among the most common of all cancers. Vaccination against HPV holds great promise for anal cancer prevention for those not already HPV-infected. For the current generation of adult high-risk populations, screening programs to allow early detection and treatment are under investigation.

Studies on the epidemiology and natural history of anal human papillomavirus (HPV) infection are essential to understand the significance of this virus in the aetiology of anal cancer in men who have sex with men (MSM). This paper presents a review of studies on anal HPV in MSM. For this review, a Medline search was performed to identify English-language articles published in peer-reviewed journals on the epidemiology, natural history and risk factors for anal HPV infection in MSM. Anal HPV prevalence is high in MSM and infection with multiple HPV types is common. The available prospective data suggest detection of new anal HPV infections may also be common. However, with limited epidemiological data available on infection dynamics and associated behavioural risk factors, it is difficult to draw conclusions on how persistent anal HPV infection is in this population.