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The list of standard abbreviations for JDS is available at adsa.org/jds-abbreviations-24. Nonstandard abbreviations are available in the Notes. Routine milk samples are commonly subjected to spectroscopic analysis within the mid-infrared (MIR) region of the electromagnetic spectrum to estimate macro-constituents of milk such as fat, protein, lactose, and urea content. These spectra, however, can also be used to predict other traits, such as daily BCS change (ΔBCS). The objective of the present study was to assess the transferability across countries of equations for predicting daily ΔBCS that were developed using milk MIR data collected in Ireland and in Canada. Body condition was scored on a scale from 1 (emaciated) to 5 (obese) in both countries. A total of 347,254 BCS records from 80,400 Canadian cows were available along with 73,193 BCS records from 6,572 Irish cows. Partial least squares regression and neural networks were separately used to predict daily ΔBCS. Two scenarios were studied: (1) using Canadian and Irish data combined as the calibration dataset to predict daily ΔBCS in Canada and in Ireland separately, and (2) Canadian and Irish data used separately to predict daily ΔBCS in each country separately. These prediction methods were applied to data with and without pretreatment (i.e., first derivative of the spectrum) as well as with and without standardizing daily ΔBCS across countries. For all the scenarios investigated, the correlation between actual and predicted daily ΔBCS when calibrated and validated (using cross-validation) in the same country ranged from 0.92 to 0.94, and from 0.85 to 0.87 for the Canadian and Irish datasets, respectively. When the data from Canada and Ireland were combined in the calibration process to predict daily ΔBCS, the correlations between actual and predicted ΔBCS were ≥0.90 and ≥0.80 for Canadian and Irish daily ΔBCS, respectively indicating no improvement in predictive ability. Predictive performance when calibrated using only Canadian data and validated using only Irish data was poor, and vice versa. Nonetheless, when developing equations for a country for which a limited database (i.e., 100 records) of gold standard and MIR data was available, predictive performance improved when the limited database was supplemented with the large dataset from the other country. In general, for some of the investigated scenarios, standardizing the daily ΔBCS data within country before undertaking the calibration improved prediction accuracy. Overall, the benefits of merging data from different countries, at least based on the trait (i.e., daily ΔBCS) and countries (i.e., Ireland and Canada) considered in the present study, were limited and, in some cases, counterproductive. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The list of standard abbreviations for JDS is available at adsa.org/jds-abbreviations-24. Nonstandard abbreviations are available in the Notes. Minimizing pollution from the dairy sector is paramount; one potential cause of such pollution is excess nitrogen. Nitrogen pollution contributes to a deterioration in water quality as well as an increase in both eutrophication and greenhouse gases. It is therefore essential to minimize the loss of nitrogen from the sector, including excretion from the cow. Breeding programs are one potential strategy to improve the efficiency with which nitrogen is used by dairy cows, but they rely on routine access to individual cow information on how efficiently each cow uses the nitrogen it ingests. A total of 3,497 test-day records for individual-cow nitrogen efficiency metrics along with milk yield and the associated milk spectra were used to investigate the ability of milk infrared spectral data to predict these nitrogen traits; both traditional partial least squares regression and neural networks were used in the prediction process. The data originated from 4 farms across 11 yr. The nitrogen traits investigated were nitrogen intake, nitrogen use efficiency, and nitrogen balance. Both nitrogen use efficiency and nitrogen balance were calculated considering nitrogen intake, nitrogen in milk, nitrogen in the conceptus, nitrogen used for the growth, nitrogen stored in body reserves, and nitrogen mobilized from body reserves. Irrespective of the nitrogen-related trait being investigated, the best predictions from 4-fold cross validation were achieved using neural networks that considered both the morning and evening milk spectra along with milk yield, parity, and DIM in the prediction process. The coefficient of determination in the cross validation was 0.61, 0.74, and 0.58 for nitrogen intake, nitrogen use efficiency, and nitrogen balance, respectively. In a separate series of validation approaches, the calibration and validation was stratified by herd (n = 4) and separately by year. For these scenarios, partial least squares regression generated more accurate predictions compared with neural networks; the coefficient of determination was always lower than 0.29 and 0.60 when validation was stratified by herd and year, respectively. Therefore, if the variability of the data being predicted in the validation datasets is similar to that in the data used to develop the predictions, then nitrogen-related traits can be predicted with reasonable accuracy. In contrast, where the variability of the data that exists in the validation dataset is poorly represented in the calibration dataset, then poor predictions will ensue. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The adoption of preventive management decisions is crucial to dealing with metabolic impairments in dairy cattle. Various serum metabolites are known to be useful indicators of the health status of cows. In this study, we used milk Fourier-transform mid-infrared (FTIR) spectra and various machine learning (ML) algorithms to develop prediction equations for a panel of 29 blood metabolites, including those related to energy metabolism, liver function/hepatic damage, oxidative stress, inflammation/innate immunity, and minerals. For most traits, the data set comprised observations from 1,204 Holstein-Friesian dairy cows belonging to 5 herds. An exception was represented by β-hydroxybutyrate prediction, which contained observations from 2,701 multibreed cows pertaining to 33 herds. The best predictive model was developed using an automatic ML algorithm that tested various methods, including elastic net, distributed random forest, gradient boosting machine, artificial neural network, and stacking ensemble. These ML predictions were compared with partial least squares regression, the most commonly used method for FTIR prediction of blood traits. Performance of each model was evaluated using 2 cross-validation (CV) scenarios: 5-fold random (CV r) and herd-out (CV h). We also tested the best model's ability to classify values precisely in the 2 extreme tails, namely, the 25th (Q25) and 75th (Q75) percentiles (true-positive prediction scenario). Compared with partial least squares regression, ML algorithms achieved more accurate performance. Specifically, elastic net increased the R2 value from 5% to 75% for CV r and 2% to 139% for CV h , whereas the stacking ensemble increased the R2 value from 4% to 70% for CV r and 4% to 150% for CV h. Considering the best model, with the CV r scenario, good prediction accuracies were obtained for glucose (R2 = 0.81), urea (R2 = 0.73), albumin (R2 = 0.75), total reactive oxygen metabolites (R2 = 0.79), total thiol groups (R2 = 0.76), ceruloplasmin (R2 = 0.74), total proteins (R2 = 0.81), globulins (R2 = 0.87), and Na (R2 = 0.72). Good prediction accuracy in classifying extreme values was achieved for glucose (Q25 = 70.8%, Q75 = 69.9%), albumin (Q25 = 72.3%), total reactive oxygen metabolites (Q25 = 75.1%, Q75 = 74%), thiol groups (Q75 = 70.4%), total proteins (Q25 = 72.4%, Q75 = 77.2.%), globulins (Q25 = 74.8%, Q75 = 81.5%), and haptoglobin (Q75 = 74.4%). In conclusion, our study shows that FTIR spectra can be used to predict blood metabolites with relatively good accuracy, depending on trait, and are a promising tool for large-scale monitoring. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Simple Summary: On livestock farms, measuring individual intake is difficult to assess, but is a very important value for evaluating the feed efficiency of livestock. Feed efficiency has an impact on farm efficiency and, thus, on the economic balance sheet. The purpose of this work was to predict the intake of lactating Sarda ewes from milk spectra using multivariate approaches. Individual intake was found to be moderately correlated with the wavenumbers of the milk spectra. The preliminary results of this study showed that individual intake and, thus, feeding efficiency can be routinely estimated from milk spectra. Further large-scale studies may allow for a rapid, low-cost indicator to be used to keep constant tabs on feeding and farm efficiency. Individual dry matter intake (DMI) is a relevant factor for evaluating feed efficiency in livestock. However, the measurement of this trait on a large scale is difficult and expensive. DMI, as well as other phenotypes, can be predicted from milk spectra. The aim of this work was to predict DMI from the milk spectra of 24 lactating Sarda dairy sheep ewes. Three models (Principal Component Regression, Partial Least Squares Regression, and Stepwise Regression) were iteratively applied to three validation schemes: records, ewes, and days. DMI was moderately correlated with the wavenumbers of the milk spectra: the largest correlations (around ±0.30) were observed at ~1100–1330 cm−1 and ~2800–3000 cm−1. The average correlations between real and predicted DMI were 0.33 (validation on records), 0.32 (validation on ewes), and 0.23 (validation on days). The results of this preliminary study, even if based on a small number of animals, demonstrate that DMI can be routinely estimated from the milk spectra. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Fourier-transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy is a powerful high-throughput phenotyping tool for predicting traits that are expensive and difficult to measure in dairy cattle. Calibration equations are often developed using standard methods, such as partial least squares (PLS) regression. Methods that employ penalization, rank-reduction, and variable selection, as well as being able to model the nonlinear relations between phenotype and FTIR, might offer improvements in predictive ability and model robustness. This study aimed to compare the predictive ability of 2 machine learning methods, namely random forest (RF) and gradient boosting machine (GBM), and penalized regression against PLS regression for predicting 3 phenotypes differing in terms of biological meaning and relationships with milk composition (i.e., phenotypes measurable directly and not directly in milk, reflecting different biological processes which can be captured using milk spectra) in Holstein-Friesian cattle under 2 cross-validation scenarios. The data set comprised phenotypic information from 471 Holstein-Friesian cows, and 3 target phenotypes were evaluated: (1) body condition score (BCS), (2) blood β-hydroxybutyrate (BHB, mmol/L), and (3) κ-casein expressed as a percentage of nitrogen (κ-CN, % N). The data set was split considering 2 cross-validation scenarios: samples-out random in which the population was randomly split into 10-folds (8-folds for training and 1-fold for validation and testing); and herd/date-out in which the population was randomly assigned to training (70% herd), validation (10%), and testing (20% herd) based on the herd and date in which the samples were collected. The random grid search was performed using the training subset for the hyperparameter optimization and the validation set was used for the generalization of prediction error. The trained model was then used to assess the final prediction in the testing subset. The grid search for penalized regression evidenced that the elastic net (EN) was the best regularization with increase in predictive ability of 5%. The performance of PLS (standard model) was compared against 2 machine learning techniques and penalized regression using 2 cross-validation scenarios. Machine learning methods showed a greater predictive ability for BCS (0.63 for GBM and 0.61 for RF), BHB (0.80 for GBM and 0.79 for RF), and κ-CN (0.81 for GBM and 0.80 for RF) in samples-out cross-validation. Considering a herd/date-out cross-validation these values were 0.58 (GBM and RF) for BCS, 0.73 (GBM and RF) for BHB, and 0.77 (GBM and RF) for κ-CN. The GBM model tended to outperform other methods in predictive ability around 4%, 1%, and 7% for EN, RF, and PLS, respectively. The prediction accuracies of the GBM and RF models were similar, and differed statistically from the PLS model in samples-out random cross-validation. Although, machine learning techniques outperformed PLS in herd/date-out cross-validation, no significant differences were observed in terms of predictive ability due to the large standard deviation observed for predictions. Overall, GBM achieved the highest accuracy of FTIR-based prediction of the different phenotypic traits across the cross-validation scenarios. These results indicate that GBM is a promising method for obtaining more accurate FTIR-based predictions for different phenotypes in dairy cattle. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Transformation of feed energy ingested by ruminants into milk is accompanied by energy losses via fecal and urine excretions, fermentation gases and heat. Heat production may differ among dairy cows despite comparable milk yield and body weight. Therefore, heat production can be considered an indicator of metabolic efficiency and directly measured in respiration chambers. The latter is an accurate but time-consuming technique. In contrast, milk Fourier transform mid-infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy is an inexpensive high-throughput method and used to estimate different physiological traits in cows. Thus, this study aimed to develop a heat production prediction model using heat production measurements in respiration chambers, milk FTIR spectra and milk yield measurements from dairy cows. Methods: Heat production was computed based on the animal's consumed oxygen, and produced carbon dioxide and methane in respiration chambers. Heat production data included 168 24-h-observations from 64 German Holstein and 20 dual-purpose Simmental cows. Animals were milked twice daily at 07:00 and 16:30 h in the respiration chambers. Milk yield was determined to predict heat production using a linear regression. Milk samples were collected from each milking and FTIR spectra were obtained with MilkoScan FT 6000. The average or milk yield-weighted average of the absorption spectra from the morning and afternoon milking were calculated to obtain a computed spectrum. A total of 288 wavenumbers per spectrum and the corresponding milk yield were used to develop the heat production model using partial least squares (PLS) regression. Results: Measured heat production of studied animals ranged between 712 and 1470 kJ/kg BW0.75. The coefficient of determination for the linear regression between milk yield and heat production was 0.46, whereas it was 0.23 for the FTIR spectra-based PLS model. The PLS prediction model using weighted average spectra and milk yield resulted in a cross-validation variance of 57% and a root mean square error of prediction of 86.5 kJ/kg BW0.75. The ratio of performance to deviation (RPD) was 1.56. Conclusion: The PLS model using weighted average FTIR spectra and milk yield has higher potential to predict heat production of dairy cows than models applying FTIR spectra or milk yield only. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The objective of this study was to evaluate the ability of milk infrared spectra to predict cow lameness score (LMS) for use as an indicator of cow health on Australian dairy farms, or as an indicator trait for genetic evaluation purposes. The study involved 3,771 cows from 10 farms in Australia. Milk infrared spectra collected during the monthly herd testing were available in all the farms involved in the study. Lameness score was measured once in each herd, within 72 h from a test day, and merged to the closest spectra records. Lameness score was expressed on a scale from 0 to 3, where 0 is assigned to sound cows and scores 1 to 3 are assigned to cows with increased lameness severity. Partial least squares discriminant analysis was used to develop prediction models for classifying sound (score 0) and not-sound cows (i.e., cows walking unevenly, score greater than 0). Discriminant models were tested in a 10-fold random cross-validation process. Milk infrared spectra correctly classified only 57% of the cows walking unevenly and only 59% of the sound cows. When additional predictors (parity, age at calving, days in milk, and milk yield) were included in the prediction model, the model correctly classified 57% of the cows walking unevenly and 62% of the sound cows. The same model applied only to the cows in the first third of lactation correctly classified 66% of the cows walking unevenly and 57% of the sound cows. When the prediction model was used to identify lame cows (scores 2 and 3), only 49% of them were classified as such. These results are considered to be too poor to envisage a practical application of these models in the near future as on-farm tools to provide an indication of LMS. To investigate whether, at this stage, predictions of the LMS could be useful as large-scale phenotypes for animal breeding purposes, we estimated (co)variance components for actual and predicted LMS using 2,670 and 24,560 records, respectively. As the genetic correlation between actual and predicted LMS was not significantly different from zero, predictions of lameness from milk spectra and additional on-farm variables cannot be used, at this stage, as an indicator trait for actual LMS. More research is needed to find better strategies to predict lameness. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]