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One of the applications of satellite‐derived precipitation datasets, such as Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) or Climate Prediction Centre Merged Analysis of Precipitation (CMAP), is to validate output from numerical models, either numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, Regional Climate Models (RCMs), Global Climate Models (GCMs) or Earth System Models (ESMs). A qualitative comparison of total annual precipitation and climatology is the first step in detecting model deficiencies and thus improving our understanding of the world's climate. However, spatial (or association) analysis of the precipitation fields offers new insights into model performance and their ability to provide realistic predictions of rain and snowfall in both current and future climates. Here we analyse the spatial structure of precipitation according to 40 GCMs for 20 years (January 1980 to December 1999), quantitatively comparing the modelled precipitation against five observational datasets: three land‐only (CRU, PRECL and GPCC) and two global (GPCP and CMAP). We found discrepancies between the GCMs' predictions and the observational datasets and noted that satellite‐derived datasets are essential for pinpointing areas that require attention. The analyses also revealed a consistent trend towards less spatially correlated fields. This trend is not apparent in aggregated, traditional validation exercises but arises when spatial association indices are applied. So long as the trend is not an artefact in the observational datasets, then we suggest the tendency could be attributed to changes in stratiform/convective partitioning or the result of increasingly intense convection. Numerical models are routinely compared with observations of precipitation in order to pinpoint areas that require attention or improvement. "Spatial structure metrics" can help identifying processes that are hidden to standard validation methods such as the analyses of aggregated mean climatological values. Here, drawing on 39 Global Climate Models and 5 observational databases, it was found that a process of spatial decorrelation of the global precipitation field features in the global satellite‐based observational data but not in the models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Major floods in Spain in September 9–13, 2019 resulted in seven casualties and massive losses to agriculture, property and infrastructure. This paper investigates the utility of satellite data to: (1) characterize the event when input into a hydrological model, and to provide an accurate picture of the evolution of the floods; and (2) inform meteorologists in real time in order to complement model forecasts. It is shown that the precipitation estimates from the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Core Observatory (GPM-CO, available since 2014) and the merged satellite estimates provide an extraordinary improvement over previous technologies to monitor severe hydrometeorological episodes in near real time. In spite of known biases and errors, these new satellite precipitation estimates can be of broad practical interest to deal with emergencies and long-term readiness, especially for semi-arid areas potentially affected by ongoing global warming. Comparisons of satellite data of the September event with model outputs and more direct observations such as rain gauges and ground radars reinforce the idea that satellites are fundamental for an appropriate management of hydrometeorological events. • The IMERG product is useful for monitoring severe storms in the Mediterranean. • Integration of satellite precipitation data into models can save lives and assists planning. • The integration of satellite estimates with numerical forecasts seems unavoidable. • More research on the effects of deep convection over land is required. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Evaluating satellite ability in capturing sudden natural disasters such as heavy snowstorms is a topic of societal interest. This paper presents a rapid qualitative analysis of an intense snowfall in Madrid using data from the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission, specifically the GPM IMERG (Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM) Late Precipitation L3 Half Hourly 0.1° × 0.1° V06 estimates of precipitation (IMERG-Late), and Sentinel-2 imagery. The main research question addressed is the consistency of ground observations, model outputs and satellite data, a topic of major interest for an appropriate and timely societal response to severe weather episodes. Indeed, the choice of the 'Late' product over the IMERG 'Final' or other GPM datasets was motivated by the availability of data for near real-time response to the storm. Additionally, the 30-min temporal resolution of the product would in principle allow for a detailed analysis of the dynamic processes involved in the snowstorm. Using several complementary data sources, it is shown that optical remote sensing sensors (Sentinel) add value to existing ground data and that is invaluable for rapid response to severe meteorological events such as Filomena. Regarding the GPM precipitation radar, the sampling of the GPM-core satellite was insufficient to provide the IMERG algorithm with enough quality data to correctly represent the actual sequence of precipitation. Without corrections, the total precipitation differs from observations by a factor of two. The difficulties of retrieving precipitation with radiometers over snow-covered surfaces was a major factor for the mismatch. Thus, the calibrated precipitation product did not fully capture the historic storm, and neither did the IR-based element of the IMERG-Late product, which is a neural network merging of microwave and infrared data. It follows that increased temporal resolution of spaceborne microwave sensors and improved retrieval of precipitation from radiometers are critical in order to provide a complete account of these sorts of extreme, significant, short-duration cases. Otherwise, the high-quality, radar and radiometer data feeding the high temporal resolution algorithms simply slip through the grasp of the ascending and descending orbits, leaving little quality data to be interpolated into successive overpasses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper describes the Passive microwave Neural network Precipitation Retrieval algorithm for climate applications (PNPR-CLIM), developed with funding from the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), implemented by ECMWF on behalf of the European Union. The algorithm has been designed and developed to exploit the two cross-track scanning microwave radiometers, AMSU-B and MHS, towards the creation of a long-term (2000–2017) global precipitation climate data record (CDR) for the ECMWF Climate Data Store (CDS). The algorithm has been trained on an observational dataset built from one year of MHS and GPM-CO Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR) coincident observations. The dataset includes the Fundamental Climate Data Record (FCDR) of AMSU-B and MHS brightness temperatures, provided by the Fidelity and Uncertainty in Climate data records from Earth Observation (FIDUCEO) project, and the DPR-based surface precipitation rate estimates used as reference. The combined use of high quality, calibrated and harmonized long-term input data (provided by the FIDUCEO microwave brightness temperature Fundamental Climate Data Record) with the exploitation of the potential of neural networks (ability to learn and generalize) has made it possible to limit the use of ancillary model-derived environmental variables, thus reducing the model uncertainties' influence on the PNPR-CLIM, which could compromise the accuracy of the estimates. The PNPR-CLIM estimated precipitation distribution is in good agreement with independent DPR-based estimates. A multiscale assessment of the algorithm's performance is presented against high quality regional ground-based radar products and global precipitation datasets. The regional and global three-year (2015–2017) verification analysis shows that, despite the simplicity of the algorithm in terms of input variables and processing performance, the quality of PNPR-CLIM outperforms NASA GPROF in terms of rainfall detection, while in terms of rainfall quantification they are comparable. The global analysis evidences weaknesses at higher latitudes and in the winter at mid latitudes, mainly linked to the poorer quality of the precipitation retrieval in cold/dry conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Precipitation science is a growing research field. It is concerned with the study of the water cycle from a broad perspective, from tropical to polar research and from solid precipitation to humidity and microphysics. It includes both modeling and observations. Drawing on the results of several meetings within the International Collaborative Experiments for the PyeongChang 2018 Olympics and Paralympic Winter Games (ICE-POP 2018), and on two Special Issues hosted by Remote Sensing starting with "Winter weather research in complex terrain during ICE-POP 2018", this paper completes the "Precipitation and Water Cycle" Special Issue by providing a perspective on the future research directions in the field. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper evaluates Integrated Multi-Satellite Retrievals from GPM (IMERG-F) over Europe for the period 2014–2018 in order to evaluate application of the retrievals to hydrology. IMERG-F is compared with a large pan-European precipitation dataset built on rain gauge stations, i.e., the ENSEMBLES OBServation (E-OBS) gridded dataset. Although there is overall agreement in the spatial distribution of mean precipitation (R2 = 0.8), important discrepancies are revealed in mountainous regions, specifically the Alps, Pyrenees, west coast of the British Isles, Scandinavia, the Iberian and Italian peninsulas, and the Adriatic coastline. The results show that the strongest contributors to poor performance are pixels where IMERG-F has no gauges available for adjustment. If rain gauges are available, IMERG-F yields results similar to those of the surface observations, although the performance varies by region. However, even accounting for gauge adjustment, IMERG-F systematically underestimates precipitation in the Alps and Scandinavian mountains. Conversely, IMERG-F overestimates precipitation in the British Isles, Italian Peninsula, Adriatic coastline, and eastern European plains. Additionally, the research shows that gauge adjustment worsens the spatial gradient of precipitation because of the coarse resolution of Global Precipitation Climatology Centre data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper presents a consensus estimate of the changes in oceanic precipitation off the coast of Europe under increasing greenhouse gas emissions. An ensemble of regional climate models (RCMs) and three gauge and satellite-derived observational precipitation datasets are compared. While the fit between the RCMs’ simulation of current climate and the observations shows the consistency of the future-climate projections, uncertainties in both the models and the measurements need to be considered to generate a consensus estimate of the potential changes. Since oceanic precipitation is one of the factors affecting the thermohaline circulation, the feedback mechanisms of the changes in the net influx of freshwater from precipitation are relevant not only for improving oceanic-atmospheric coupled models but also to ascertain the climate signal in a global warming scenario. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

While it has been proved that multiple scattering in the microwave frequencies has to be accounted for in precipitation retrieval algorithms, the effects of the random arrangements of drops in space has seldom been investigated. The fact is, a single rain drop size distribution (RDSD) corresponds with many actual 3D distributions of those rain drops and each of those may a priori absorb and scatter radiation in a different way. Each spatial configuration is equivalent to any other in terms of the RDSD function, but not in terms of radiometric characteristics, both near and far from field, because of changes in the relative phases among the particles. Here, using the T-matrix formalism, we investigate the radiometric variability of two ensembles of 50 different 3D, stochastically-derived configurations from two consecutive measured RDSDs with 30 and 31 drops, respectively. The results show that the random distribution of drops in space has a measurable but apparently small effect in the scattering calculations with the exception of the asymmetry factor. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Precise estimates of precipitation are required for many environmental tasks, including water resources management, improvement of numerical model outputs, nowcasting and evaluation of anthropogenic impacts on global climate. Nonetheless, the availability of such estimates is hindered by technical limitations. Rain gauge and ground radar measurements are limited to land, and the retrieval of quantitative precipitation estimates from satellite has several problems including the indirectness of infrared-based geostationary estimates, and the low orbit of those microwave instruments capable of providing a more precise measurement but suffering from poor temporal sampling. To overcome such problems, data fusion methods have been devised to take advantage of synergisms between available data, but these methods also present issues and limitations. Future improvements in satellite technology are likely to follow two strategies. One is to develop geostationary millimeter-submillimeter wave soundings, and the other is to deploy a constellation of improved polar microwave sensors. Here, we compare both strategies using a simulated precipitation field. Our results show that spatial correlation and RMSE would be little affected at the monthly scale in the constellation, but that the precise location of the maximum of precipitation could be compromised; depending on the application, this may be an issue. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A gridded precipitation dataset derived from the high-density rain gauge network of the Ebro River Basin Authority is used to evaluate the performance of Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) level-3 estimates. Although aggregated values compare well, several differences are found between climate regions. The research investigates the role of orography and gauge density on IMERG performance. There are important discrepancies over un-instrumented areas in the Pyrenees (R2 = 0.31) but the correlation dramatically increases (R2 > 0.71) when at least one rain gauge is available for calibration, even in complex, high-altitude terrain (>1500 m). IMERG overestimates precipitation at both lower altitudes (<500 m), especially in summer and autumn because of convective activity, and mid-altitudes (600–1200 m) in the northwestern study area, where weather is dominated by the advection of wet maritime air masses. The main conclusion is that IMERG performance strongly depends on altitude and the precipitation regime. IMERG is nonetheless a suitable alternative to gridded gauge-derived only products for hydrologic operations, especially in areas with a sparse rain gauge network. • The performance of IMERG precipitation product in complex terrain areas is evaluated. • Seasonal variability and altitude play a key role in product performance. • IMERG compares well at aggregated level but underestimates precipitation maxima. • Best scores are at mid-elevations and the worst are at low and high elevations. • IMERG is useful in areas where rain gauges are sparse, even in complex regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]