114 results on '"Ashcroft, Darren"'
Search Results
2. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the treatment of common infections in primary care and the change to antibiotic prescribing in England
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Yang, Ya-Ting, Zhong, Xiaomin, Fahmi, Ali, Watts, Simon, Ashcroft, Darren M., Massey, Jon, Fisher, Louis, MacKenna, Brian, Mehrkar, Amir, Bacon, Sebastian C. J., Goldacre, Ben, Hand, Kieran, van Staa, Tjeerd, and Palin, Victoria
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- 2023
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3. Identifying individuals at high risk for dementia in primary care: Development and validation of the DemRisk risk prediction model using routinely collected patient data.
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Reeves, David, Morgan, Catharine, Stamate, Daniel, Ford, Elizabeth, Ashcroft, Darren M., Kontopantelis, Evangelos, Van Marwijk, Harm, and McMillan, Brian
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DISEASE risk factors ,ELECTRONIC health records ,MEDICAL research ,PRIMARY care ,DEMENTIA - Abstract
Introduction: Health policy in the UK and globally regarding dementia, emphasises prevention and risk reduction. These goals could be facilitated by automated assessment of dementia risk in primary care using routinely collected patient data. However, existing applicable tools are weak at identifying patients at high risk for dementia. We set out to develop improved risk prediction models deployable in primary care. Methods: Electronic health records (EHRs) for patients aged 60–89 from 393 English general practices were extracted from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD database. 235 and 158 practices respectively were randomly assigned to development and validation cohorts. Separate dementia risk models were developed for patients aged 60–79 (development cohort n = 616,366; validation cohort n = 419,126) and 80–89 (n = 175,131 and n = 118,717). The outcome was incident dementia within 5 years and more than 60 evidence-based risk factors were evaluated. Risk models were developed and validated using multivariable Cox regression. Results: The age 60–79 development cohort included 10,841 incident cases of dementia (6.3 per 1,000 person-years) and the age 80–89 development cohort included 15,994 (40.2 per 1,000 person-years). Discrimination and calibration for the resulting age 60–79 model were good (Harrell's C 0.78 (95% CI: 0.78 to 0.79); Royston's D 1.74 (1.70 to 1.78); calibration slope 0.98 (0.96 to 1.01)), with 37% of patients in the top 1% of risk scores receiving a dementia diagnosis within 5 years. Fit statistics were lower for the age 80–89 model but dementia incidence was higher and 79% of those in the top 1% of risk scores subsequently developed dementia. Conclusion: Our models can identify individuals at higher risk of dementia using routinely collected information from their primary care record, and outperform an existing EHR-based tool. Discriminative ability was greatest for those aged 60–79, but the model for those aged 80–89 may also be clinical useful. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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4. Exploring Prior Antibiotic Exposure Characteristics for COVID-19 Hospital Admission Patients: OpenSAFELY.
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Yang, Ya-Ting, Wong, David, Zhong, Xiaomin, Fahmi, Ali, Ashcroft, Darren M., Hand, Kieran, Massey, Jon, Mackenna, Brian, Mehrkar, Amir, Bacon, Sebastian, Goldacre, Ben, Palin, Victoria, and van Staa, Tjeerd
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MACHINE learning ,HOSPITAL admission & discharge ,HOSPITAL patients ,ANTIBIOTICS ,COVID-19 - Abstract
Previous studies have demonstrated the association between antibiotic use and severe COVID-19 outcomes. This study aimed to explore detailed antibiotic exposure characteristics among COVID-19 patients. Using the OpenSAFELY platform, which integrates extensive health data and covers 40% of the population in England, the study analysed 3.16 million COVID-19 patients with at least two prior antibiotic prescriptions. These patients were compared to up to six matched controls without hospitalisation records. A machine learning model categorised patients into ten groups based on their antibiotic exposure history over the three years before their COVID-19 diagnosis. The study found that for COVID-19 patients, the total number of prior antibiotic prescriptions, diversity of antibiotic types, broad-spectrum antibiotic prescriptions, time between first and last antibiotics, and recent antibiotic use were associated with an increased risk of severe COVID-19 outcomes. Patients in the highest decile of antibiotic exposure had an adjusted odds ratio of 4.8 for severe outcomes compared to those in the lowest decile. These findings suggest a potential link between extensive antibiotic use and the risk of severe COVID-19. This highlights the need for more judicious antibiotic prescribing in primary care, primarily for patients with higher risks of infection-related complications, which may better offset the potential adverse effects of repeated antibiotic use. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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5. Exploring the experiences of changes to support access to primary health care services and the impact on the quality and safety of care for homeless people during the COVID-19 pandemic: a study protocol for a qualitative mixed methods approach
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Howells, Kelly, Burrows, Martin, Amp, Mat, Brennan, Rachel, Yeung, Wan-Ley, Jackson, Shaun, Dickinson, Joanne, Draper, Julie, Campbell, Stephen, Ashcroft, Darren, Blakeman, Tom, and Sanders, Caroline
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- 2021
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6. The influence of maternal mental illness on vaccination uptake in children: a UK population-based cohort study
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Osam, Cemre Su, Pierce, Matthias, Hope, Holly, Ashcroft, Darren M., and Abel, Kathryn M.
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- 2020
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7. Comparing the clinical practice and prescribing safety of locum and permanent doctors: observational study of primary care consultations in England.
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Grigoroglou, Christos, Walshe, Kieran, Kontopantelis, Evangelos, Ferguson, Jane, Stringer, Gemma, Ashcroft, Darren M., and Allen, Thomas
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DRUG prescribing ,PHYSICIANS ,PRIMARY care ,ELECTRONIC health records ,OUTPATIENT medical care ,NURSE prescribing ,GENERAL practitioners - Abstract
Background: Temporary doctors, known as locums, are a key component of the medical workforce in the NHS but evidence on differences in quality and safety between locum and permanent doctors is limited. We aimed to examine differences in the clinical practice, and prescribing safety for locum and permanent doctors working in primary care in England. Methods: We accessed electronic health care records (EHRs) for 3.5 million patients from the CPRD GOLD database with linkage to Hospital Episode Statistics from 1st April 2010 to 31st March 2022. We used multi-level mixed effects logistic regression to compare consultations with locum and permanent GPs for several patient outcomes including general practice revisits; prescribing of antibiotics; strong opioids; hypnotics; A&E visits; emergency hospital admissions; admissions for ambulatory care sensitive conditions; test ordering; referrals; and prescribing safety indicators while controlling for patient and practice characteristics. Results: Consultations with locum GPs were 22% more likely to involve a prescription for an antibiotic (OR = 1.22 (1.21 to 1.22)), 8% more likely to involve a prescription for a strong opioid (OR = 1.08 (1.06 to 1.09)), 4% more likely to be followed by an A&E visit on the same day (OR = 1.04 (1.01 to 1.08)) and 5% more likely to be followed by an A&E visit within 1 to 7 days (OR = 1.05 (1.02 to 1.08)). Consultations with a locum were 12% less likely to lead to a practice revisit within 7 days (OR = 0.88 (0.87 to 0.88)), 4% less likely to involve a prescription for a hypnotic (OR = 0.96 (0.94 to 0.98)), 15% less likely to involve a referral (OR = 0.85 (0.84 to 0.86)) and 19% less likely to involve a test (OR = 0.81 (0.80 to 0.82)). We found no evidence that emergency admissions, ACSC admissions and eight out of the eleven prescribing safety indicators were different if patients were seen by a locum or a permanent GP. Conclusions: Despite existing concerns, the clinical practice and performance of locum GPs did not appear to be systematically different from that of permanent GPs. The practice and performance of both locum and permanent GPs is likely shaped by the organisational setting and systems within which they work. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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8. Understanding the utilisation of a novel interactive electronic medication safety dashboard in general practice: a mixed methods study
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Jeffries, Mark, Gude, Wouter T., Keers, Richard N., Phipps, Denham L., Williams, Richard, Kontopantelis, Evangelos, Brown, Benjamin, Avery, Anthony J., Peek, Niels, and Ashcroft, Darren M.
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- 2020
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9. The effectiveness of frequent antibiotic use in reducing the risk of infection-related hospital admissions: results from two large population-based cohorts
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van Staa, Tjeerd Pieter, Palin, Victoria, Li, Yan, Welfare, William, Felton, Timothy W., Dark, Paul, and Ashcroft, Darren M.
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- 2020
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10. Adverse drug reactions and hospital admissions: Large case‐control study of patients aged 65–100 years using linked English primary care and hospital data.
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van Staa, Tjeerd Pieter, Pirmohamed, Munir, Sharma, Anita, Ashcroft, Darren M., and Buchan, Iain
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Background: Adverse drug reactions (ADRs) are common and a leading cause of injury. However, information on ADR risks of individual medicines is often limited. The aim of this hypothesis‐generating study was to assess the relative importance of ADR‐related and emergency hospital admission for large group of medication classes. Methods: This study was a propensity‐matched case‐control study in English primary care. Data sources were Clinical Practice Research Databank and Aurum with longitudinal, anonymized, patient level electronic health records (EHRs) from English general practices linked to hospital records. Cases aged 65–100 with ADR‐related or emergency hospital admission were matched to up to six controls by age, sex, morbidity and propensity scores for hospital admission risk. Medication groups with systemic administration as listed in the British National Formulary (used by prescribers for medication advice). Prescribing in the 84 days before the index date was assessed. Only medication groups with 50+ cases exposed were analysed. The outcomes of interest were ADR‐related and emergency hospital admissions. Conditional logistic regression estimated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: The overall population included 121 546 cases with an ADR‐related and 849 769 cases with emergency hospital admission. The percentage of hospitalizations with an ADR‐related code for admission diagnosis was 1.83% and 6.58% with an ADR‐related code at any time during hospitalization. A total of 137 medication groups was included in the main ADR analyses. Of these, 13 (9.5%) had statistically non‐significant adjusted ORs, 58 (42.3%) statistically significant ORs between 1.0 and 1.5, 37 (27.0%) between 1.5–2.0, 18 (13.1%) between 2.0–3.0 and 11 (8.0%) 3.0 or higher. Several classes of antibiotics (including penicillins) were among medicines with largest ORs. Evaluating the 14 medications most often associated with ADRs, a strong association was found between the number of these medicines and the risk of ADR‐related hospital admission (adjusted OR of 7.53 (95% CI 7.15–7.93) for those exposed to 6+ of these medicines). Conclusions and Relevance: There is a need for a regular systematic assessment of the harm‐benefit ratio of medicines, harvesting the information in large healthcare databases and combining it with causality assessment of individual case histories. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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11. Maternal mental illness and child atopy: a UK population-based, primary care cohort study.
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Osam, Cemre Su, Hope, Holly, Ashcroft, Darren M, Abel, Kathryn M, and Pierce, Matthias
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CHILD psychopathology ,ATOPY ,MENTAL illness ,PRIMARY care ,GENERAL practitioners ,ABANDONED children ,BIRTH certificates - Abstract
Background: The number of children exposed to maternal mental illness is rapidly increasing and little is known about the effects of maternal mental illness on childhood atopy. Aim: To investigate the association between maternal mental illness and risk of atopy among offspring. Design and setting: Retrospective cohort study using a UK primary care database (674 general practices). Method: In total, 590 778 children (born 1 January 1993 to 30 November 2017) were followed until their 18th birthday, with 359 611 linked to their hospital records. Time-varying exposure was captured for common (depression and anxiety), serious (psychosis), addiction (alcohol and substance misuse), and other (eating and personality disorder) maternal mental illness from 6 months before pregnancy. Using Cox regression models, incidence rates of atopy were calculated and compared for the exposed and unexposed children in primary (asthma, eczema, allergic rhinitis, and food allergies) and secondary (asthma and food allergies) care, adjusted for maternal (age, atopy history, smoking, and antibiotic use), child (sex, ethnicity, and birth year/season), and area covariates (deprivation and region). Results: Children exposed to common maternal mental illness were at highest risk of developing asthma (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.17, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.15 to 1.20) and allergic rhinitis (aHR 1.17, 95% CI = 1.13 to 1.21), as well as a hospital admission for asthma (aHR 1.29, 95% CI = 1.20 to 1.38). Children exposed to addiction disorders were 9% less likely to develop eczema (aHR 0.91, 95% CI = 0.85 to 0.97) and 35% less likely to develop food allergies (aHR 0.65, 95% CI = 0.45 to 0.93). Conclusion: The finding that risk of atopy varies by type of maternal mental illness prompts important aetiological questions. The link between common mental illness and childhood atopy requires GPs and policymakers to act and support vulnerable women to access preventive (for example, smoking cessation) services earlier. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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12. Identifying ‘avoidable harm’ in family practice: a RAND/UCLA Appropriateness Method consensus study
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Carson-Stevens, Andrew, Campbell, Stephen, Bell, Brian G., Cooper, Alison, Armstrong, Sarah, Ashcroft, Darren, Boyd, Matthew, Prosser Evans, Huw, Mehta, Rajnikant, Sheehan, Christina, Sheikh, Aziz, and Avery, Anthony
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- 2019
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13. The comorbidity burden of type 2 diabetes mellitus: patterns, clusters and predictions from a large English primary care cohort
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Nowakowska, Magdalena, Zghebi, Salwa S., Ashcroft, Darren M., Buchan, Iain, Chew-Graham, Carolyn, Holt, Tim, Mallen, Christian, Van Marwijk, Harm, Peek, Niels, Perera-Salazar, Rafael, Reeves, David, Rutter, Martin K., Weng, Stephen F., Qureshi, Nadeem, Mamas, Mamas A., and Kontopantelis, Evangelos
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- 2019
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14. The uncertainty with using risk prediction models for individual decision making: an exemplar cohort study examining the prediction of cardiovascular disease in English primary care
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Pate, Alexander, Emsley, Richard, Ashcroft, Darren M., Brown, Benjamin, and van Staa, Tjeerd
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- 2019
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15. Association of strong opioids and antibiotics prescribing with GP burnout: a retrospective cross-sectional study.
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Hodkinson, Alexander, Zghebi, Salwa S, Kontopantelis, Evangelos, Grigoroglou, Christos, Ashcroft, Darren M, Hann, Mark, Chew-Graham, Carolyn A, Payne, Rupert A, Little, Paul, de Lusignan, Simon, Zhou, Anli, Esmail, Aneez, and Panagioti, Maria
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DRUG prescribing ,MENTAL fatigue ,PSYCHOLOGICAL burnout ,OPIOIDS ,CROSS-sectional method ,DEPERSONALIZATION - Abstract
Background: Prescribing of strong opioids and antibiotics impacts patient safety, yet little is known about the effects GP wellness has on overprescribing of both medications in primary care. Aim: To examine associations between strong opioid and antibiotic prescribing and practice- weighted GP burnout and wellness. Design and setting: A retrospective cross-sectional study was undertaken using prescription data on strong opioids and antibiotics from the Oxford- Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre linking to a GP wellbeing survey overlaying the same 4-month period from December 2019 to April 2020. Method: Patients prescribed strong opioids and antibiotics were the outcomes of interest. Results: Data for 40 227 patients (13 483 strong opioids and 26 744 antibiotics) were linked to 57 practices and 351 GPs. Greater strong opioid prescribing was associated with increased emotional exhaustion (incidence risk ratio [IRR] 1.19, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.10 to 1.24), depersonalisation (IRR 1.10, 95% CI = 1.01 to 1.16), job dissatisfaction (IRR 1.25, 95% CI = 1.19 to 1.32), diagnostic uncertainty (IRR 1.12, 95% CI = 1.08 to 1.19), and turnover intention (IRR 1.32, 95% CI = 1.27 to 1.37) in GPs. Greater antibiotic prescribing was associated with increased emotional exhaustion (IRR 1.19, 95% CI = 1.05 to 1.37), depersonalisation (IRR 1.24, 95% CI = 1.08 to 1.49), job dissatisfaction (IRR 1.11, 95% CI = 1.04 to 1.19), sickness–presenteeism (IRR 1.18, 95% CI = 1.11 to 1.25), and turnover intention (IRR 1.38, 95% CI = 1.31 to 1.45) in GPs. Increased strong opioid and antibiotic prescribing was also found in GPs working longer hours (IRR 3.95, 95% CI = 3.39 to 4.61; IRR 5.02, 95% CI = 4.07 to 6.19, respectively) and in practices in the north of England (1.96, 95% CI = 1.61 to 2.33; 1.56, 95% CI = 1.12 to 3.70, respectively). Conclusion: This study found higher rates of prescribing of strong opioids and antibiotics in practices with GPs with more burnout symptoms, greater job dissatisfaction, and turnover intentions; working longer hours; and in practices in the north of England serving more deprived populations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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16. Frequency and impact of medication reviews for people aged 65 years or above in UK primary care: an observational study using electronic health records.
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Joseph, Rebecca M., Knaggs, Roger D., Coupland, Carol A. C., Taylor, Amelia, Vinogradova, Yana, Butler, Debbie, Gerrard, Louisa, Waldram, David, Iyen, Barbara, Akyea, Ralph K., Ashcroft, Darren M., Avery, Anthony J., and Jack, Ruth H.
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MEDICATION reconciliation ,ELECTRONIC health records ,OLDER people ,PRIMARY care ,DEMOGRAPHIC characteristics - Abstract
Background: Medication reviews in primary care provide an opportunity to review and discuss the safety and appropriateness of a person's medicines. However, there is limited evidence about access to and the impact of routine medication reviews for older adults in the general population, particularly in the UK. We aimed to quantify the proportion of people aged 65 years and over with a medication review recorded in 2019 and describe changes in the numbers and types of medicines prescribed following a review. Methods: We used anonymised primary care electronic health records from the UK's Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD GOLD) to define a population of people aged 65 years or over in 2019. We counted people with a medication review record in 2019 and used Cox regression to estimate associations between demographic characteristics, diagnoses, and prescribed medicines and having a medication review. We used linear regression to compare the number of medicines prescribed as repeat prescriptions in the three months before and after a medication review. Specifically, we compared the 'prescription count' - the maximum number of different medicines with overlapping prescriptions people had in each period. Results: Of 591,726 people prescribed one or more medicines at baseline, 305,526 (51.6%) had a recorded medication review in 2019. Living in a care home (hazard ratio 1.51, 95% confidence interval 1.40-1.62), medication review in the previous year (1.83, 1.69-1.98), and baseline prescription count (e.g. 5-9 vs 1 medicine 1.41, 1.37-1.46) were strongly associated with having a medication review in 2019. Overall, the prescription count tended to increase after a review (mean change 0.13 medicines, 95% CI 0.12-0.14). Conclusions: Although medication reviews were commonly recorded for people aged 65 years or over, there was little change overall in the numbers and types of medicines prescribed following a review. This study did not examine whether the prescriptions were appropriate or other metrics, such as dose or medicine changes within the same class. However, by examining the impact of medication reviews before the introduction of structured medication review requirements in England in 2020, it provides a useful benchmark which these new reviews can be compared with. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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17. The impact of COVID-19 on antibiotic prescribing in primary care in England: Evaluation and risk prediction of appropriateness of type and repeat prescribing.
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Zhong, Xiaomin, Pate, Alexander, Yang, Ya-Ting, Fahmi, Ali, Ashcroft, Darren M., Goldacre, Ben, MacKenna, Brian, Mehrkar, Amir, Bacon, Sebastian C.J., Massey, Jon, Fisher, Louis, Inglesby, Peter, Hand, Kieran, van Staa, Tjeerd, and Palin, Victoria
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This study aimed to predict risks of potentially inappropriate antibiotic type and repeat prescribing and assess changes during COVID-19. With the approval of NHS England, we used OpenSAFELY platform to access the TPP SystmOne electronic health record (EHR) system and selected patients prescribed antibiotics from 2019 to 2021. Multinomial logistic regression models predicted patient's probability of receiving inappropriate antibiotic type or repeat antibiotic course for each common infection. The population included 9.1 million patients with 29.2 million antibiotic prescriptions. 29.1% of prescriptions were identified as repeat prescribing. Those with same day incident infection coded in the EHR had considerably lower rates of repeat prescribing (18.0%) and 8.6% had potentially inappropriate type. No major changes in the rates of repeat antibiotic prescribing during COVID-19 were found. In the 10 risk prediction models, good levels of calibration and moderate levels of discrimination were found. Our study found no evidence of changes in level of inappropriate or repeat antibiotic prescribing after the start of COVID-19. Repeat antibiotic prescribing was frequent and varied according to regional and patient characteristics. There is a need for treatment guidelines to be developed around antibiotic failure and clinicians provided with individualised patient information. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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18. Patient safety in prisons: a multi-method analysis of reported incidents in England.
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McFadzean, Isobel J, Davies, Kate, Purchase, Thomas, Edwards, Adrian, Hellard, Stuart, Ashcroft, Darren M, Avery, Anthony J, Flynn, Sandra, Hewson, Tom, Jordan, Melanie, Keers, Richard, Panagioti, Maria, Wainwright, Verity, Walter, Florian, Shaw, Jenny, and Carson-Stevens, Andrew
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Objectives: Prisoners use healthcare services three times more frequently than the general population with poorer health outcomes. Their distinct healthcare needs often pose challenges to safe healthcare provision. This study aimed to characterise patient safety incidents reported in prisons to guide practice improvement and identify health policy priorities. Design: We carried out an exploratory multi-method analysis of anonymised safety incidents from prisons. Setting: Safety incidents had been reported to the National Reporting and Learning System by prisons in England between April 2018 and March 2019. Participants: Reports were reviewed to identify any unintended or unexpected incident(s) which could have, or did, lead to harm for prisoners receiving healthcare. Main outcome measures: Free-text descriptions were examined to identify the type and nature of safety incidents, their outcomes and harm severity. Analysis was contextualised with subject experts through structured workshops to explain relationships between the most common incidents and contributory factors. Results: Of 4112 reports, the most frequently observed incidents were medication-related (n = 1167, 33%), specifically whilst administering medications (n = 626, 54%). Next, were access-related (n = 559,15%), inclusive of delays in patients accessing healthcare professionals (n = 236, 42%) and managing medical appointments (n = 171, 31%). The workshops contextualised incidents involving contributing factors (n = 1529, 28%) into three key themes, namely healthcare access, continuity of care and the balance between prison and healthcare priorities. Conclusions: This study highlights the importance of improving medication safety and access to healthcare services for prisoners. We recommend staffing level reviews to ensure healthcare appointments are attended, and to review procedures for handling missed appointments, communication during patient transfers and medication prescribing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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19. Organizational conditions for engagement in quality and safety improvement: a longitudinal qualitative study of community pharmacies
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Phipps, Denham L., Jones, Christian E. L., Parker, Dianne, and Ashcroft, Darren M.
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- 2018
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20. Consultation patterns and frequent attenders in UK primary care from 2000 to 2019: A retrospective cohort analysis of consultation events across 845 general practices:a retrospective cohort analysis of consultation events across 845 general practices
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Kontopantelis, Evangelos, Panagioti, Maria, Farragher, Tracey, Munford, Luke A, Parisi, Rosa, Planner, Claire, Spooner, Sharon, Tse, Alice, Ashcroft, Darren M, and Esmail, Aneez
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primary care ,health policy ,organisation of health services - Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To describe the distribution of consultations at the practice level and examine whether increases are uniform or driven by people who consult more frequently.DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study.SETTING: UK general practice data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD database.PARTICIPANTS: 1 699 709 314 consultation events from 12 330 545 patients, in 845 general practices (1 April 2000 to 31 March 2019).METHODS: Consultation information was aggregated by financial year into: all consultations/all staff; all consultations/general practitioners (GPs); face-to-face consultations/all staff; face-to-face consultations/GPs. Patients with a number of consultations above the 90th centile, within each year, were classified as frequent attenders. Negative binomial regressions examined the association between available practice characteristics and consultation distribution.RESULTS: Among frequent attenders, all consultations by GPs increased from a median (25th and 75th centile) of 13 (10 and 16) to 21 (18 and 25) and all consultations by all staff increased from 27 (23-30) to 60 (51-69) over the study period. Approximately four out of ten consultations of any type concerned frequent attenders and the proportion of consultations attributed to them increased over time, particularly for face-to-face consultations with GPs, from a median of 38.0% (35.9%-40.3%) in 2000-2001 to 43.0% (40.6%-46.4%) in 2018-2019. Regression analyses indicated decreasing trends over time for face-to-face consultations and increasing trends for all consultation types, for both GPs and all staff. Frequent attenders consulted approximately five times more than the rest of the practice population, on average, with adjusted incidence rate ratios ranging between 4.992 (95% CI 4.917 to 5.068) for face-to-face consultations with all staff and 5.603 (95% CI 5.560 to 5.647) for all consultations with GPs.CONCLUSIONS: Frequent attenders progressively contributed to increased workload in general practices across the UK from 2000 to 2019. Important knowledge gaps remain in terms of the demographic, social and health characteristics of frequent attenders and how UK general practices can be prepared to meet the needs of these patients.
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- 2021
21. Combinations of medicines in patients with polypharmacy aged 65–100 in primary care: Large variability in risks of adverse drug related and emergency hospital admissions.
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Fahmi, Ali, Wong, David, Walker, Lauren, Buchan, Iain, Pirmohamed, Munir, Sharma, Anita, Cant, Harriet, Ashcroft, Darren M., and van Staa, Tjeerd Pieter
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HOSPITAL admission & discharge ,HOSPITAL emergency services ,DRUG side effects ,PRIMARY care ,POLYPHARMACY ,FUROSEMIDE ,METOCLOPRAMIDE - Abstract
Background: Polypharmacy can be a consequence of overprescribing that is prevalent in older adults with multimorbidity. Polypharmacy can cause adverse reactions and result in hospital admission. This study predicted risks of adverse drug reaction (ADR)-related and emergency hospital admissions by medicine classes. Methods: We used electronic health record data from general practices of Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD GOLD) and Aurum. Older patients who received at least five medicines were included. Medicines were classified using the British National Formulary sections. Hospital admission cases were propensity-matched to controls by age, sex, and propensity for specific diseases. The matched data were used to develop and validate random forest (RF) models to predict the risk of ADR-related and emergency hospital admissions. Shapley Additive eXplanation (SHAP) values were calculated to explain the predictions. Results: In total, 89,235 cases with polypharmacy and hospitalised with an ADR-related admission were matched to 443,497 controls. There were over 112,000 different combinations of the 50 medicine classes most implicated in ADR-related hospital admission in the RF models, with the most important medicine classes being loop diuretics, domperidone and/or metoclopramide, medicines for iron-deficiency anaemias and for hypoplastic/haemolytic/renal anaemias, and sulfonamides and/or trimethoprim. The RF models strongly predicted risks of ADR-related and emergency hospital admission. The observed Odds Ratio in the highest RF decile was 7.16 (95% CI 6.65–7.72) in the validation dataset. The C-statistics for ADR-related hospital admissions were 0.58 for age and sex and 0.66 for RF probabilities. Conclusions: Polypharmacy involves a very large number of different combinations of medicines, with substantial differences in risks of ADR-related and emergency hospital admissions. Although the medicines may not be causally related to increased risks, RF model predictions may be useful in prioritising medication reviews. Simple tools based on few medicine classes may not be effective in identifying high risk patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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22. Clinical Relevance of Drug–Drug Interactions With Antibiotics as Listed in a National Medication Formulary: Results From Two Large Population‐Based Case‐Control Studies in Patients Aged 65–100 Years Using Linked English Primary Care and Hospital Data
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van Staa, Tjeerd Pieter, Pirmohamed, Munir, Sharma, Anita, Buchan, Iain, and Ashcroft, Darren M.
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DRUG side effects ,DRUG interactions ,PRIMARY care ,HOSPITAL care ,CASE-control method ,DRUGS - Abstract
This study evaluated drug–drug interactions (DDIs) between antibiotic and nonantibiotic drugs listed with warnings of severe outcomes in the British National Formulary based on adverse drug reaction (ADR) detectable with routine International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision coding. Data sources were Clinical Practice Research Databank GOLD and Aurum anonymized electronic health records from English general practices linked to hospital admission records. In propensity‐matched case‐control study, outcomes were ADR or emergency admissions. Analyzed were 121,546 ADR‐related admission cases matched to 638,238 controls. For most antibiotics, adjusted odds ratios (aORs) for ADR‐related hospital admission were large (aOR for trimethoprim 4.13; 95% confidence interval (CI), 3.97–4.30). Of the 51 DDIs evaluated for ADR‐related admissions, 38 DDIs (74.5%) had statistically increased aORs of concomitant exposure compared with nonexposure (mean aOR 3.96; range 1.59–11.42); for the 89 DDIs for emergency hospital admission, the results were 75 (84.3%) and mean aOR 2.40; range 1.43–4.17. Changing reference group to single antibiotic exposure reduced aORs for concomitant exposure by 76.5% and 83.0%, respectively. Medicines listed to cause nephrotoxicity substantially increased risks that were related to number of medicines (aOR was 2.55 (95% CI, 2.46–2.64) for current use of 1 and 10.44 (95% CI, 7.36–14.81) for 3 or more medicines). In conclusion, no evidence of substantial risk was found for multiple DDIs with antibiotics despite warnings of severe outcomes in a national formulary and flagging in electronic health record software. It is proposed that the evidence base for inclusion of DDIs in national formularies be strengthened and made publicly accessible and indiscriminate flagging, which compounds alert fatigue, be reduced. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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23. Mapping opportunities for the earlier diagnosis of psoriasis in primary care settings in the UK: results from two matched case–control studies.
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Abo-Tabik, Maha, Parisi, Rosa, Morgan, Catharine, Willis, Sarah, Griffiths, Christopher EM, and Ashcroft, Darren M
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CASE-control method ,PRIMARY care ,PSORIASIS ,PITYRIASIS rosea ,RINGWORM ,ITCHING - Abstract
Background: The diagnosis of psoriasis may be missed or delayed in primary care settings. Aim: To examine trends in healthcare events before a diagnosis of psoriasis. Design and setting: Two matched case–control studies using electronic healthcare records delineated from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD GOLD and Aurum) in the UK. Method: Individuals aged ≥18 years with an incident diagnosis of psoriasis (case group) between 1 January 2010 and 29 December 2017 were identified and matched by age, sex, and general practice with six individuals without psoriasis (control group). Healthcare activities were examined and annual incidence rates and incidence rate ratios (IRRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for 10 years before the index date were compared between case and control groups. Results: There were 17 320 people with psoriasis and 99 320 controls included from CPRD GOLD, and 11 442 people with psoriasis and 65 840 controls extracted from CPRD Aurum. Data from CPRD GOLD showed that people with psoriasis were up to eight times more likely to be diagnosed with pityriasis rosea at 6 months (IRR 7.82, 95% CI = 4.09 to 14.95) before the index date than the control group. The case group were twice as likely to be diagnosed with eczema (IRR 1.90, 95% CI = 1.76 to 2.05) or tinea corporis (IRR 1.99, 95% CI = 1.74 to 2.27) 1 year before the index date. The case group were more likely to report dry skin, rash, skin texture changes, and itching than the control group up to 5 years before the index date. The most frequently reported clinical feature was rash with an IRR of 2.71 (95% CI = 2.53 to 2.92) at 1 year before the index date. The case group were prescribed topical corticosteroids (IRR 1.97, 95% CI = 1.88 to 2.07) or topical antifungals (IRR 1.92, 95% CI = 1.78 to 2.07) in the year before the index date twice as often as those in the control group. Conclusion: Findings suggest that the diagnosis of psoriasis may be missed or delayed in a UK primary care setting for up to 5 years for some individuals, hence leading to a potentially detrimental delay in establishing an appropriate treatment regimen. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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24. Management of anxiety disorders among children and adolescents in UK primary care: A cohort study.
- Author
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Cybulski, Lukasz, Ashcroft, Darren M., Carr, Matthew J., Garg, Shruti, Chew-Graham, Carolyn A., Kapur, Nav, and Webb, Roger T.
- Subjects
- *
ANXIETY disorders , *MENTAL health services , *PRIMARY care , *COHORT analysis , *TEENAGERS , *ANTIDEPRESSANTS , *PRIMARY health care , *TRANQUILIZING drugs , *LONGITUDINAL method - Abstract
Background: Anxiety disorders are common in childhood and adolescence but evidence-based guidance on their management is limited in the UK. In the absence of guidelines, we examined what treatment young people with anxiety disorders receive in primary care in the year following diagnosis.Method: We delineated a cohort of individuals diagnosed with anxiety disorders aged 10-18 using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). We estimated the annual prevalence of antidepressant and anxiolytic prescribing and referrals to mental health services in the year following diagnosis between 2003 and 2019 via Poisson models, adjusted for age, gender, and practice-level deprivation.Results: 34,490 out of 52,358 (66 %) individuals were not prescribed or referred in the year following diagnosis. Those registered to practices in the most deprived compared to the least deprived areas were less likely to be referred (PR 0.80, 95%CI 0.76-0.84) and prescribed antidepressants (PR 0.77, 95%CI 0.72-0.82). Referrals increased 2003-2008 (22-28 %) and then declined until 2019 (28-21 %). Antidepressant prescribing decreased substantially between 2003 and 2005 (18-11 %) and then increased slightly between 2006 and 2019 (11-13 %). Anxiolytic prescribing declined between 2003 and 2019 (10-2 %).Limitations: Prescriptions in the CPRD are not coupled with information about indication. Some prescriptions may therefore have been incorrectly attributed to the treatment of anxiety disorders.Conclusion: The continued use of antidepressants necessitates the development of evidence-based guidance. The lower likelihood of being prescribed medication and/or referred among young people in more deprived practice populations, where incidence of anxiety disorder and other mental illnesses is higher, must also be investigated and rectified. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2022
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25. Remote primary care during the COVID-19 pandemic for people experiencing homelessness: a qualitative study.
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Howells, Kelly, Amp, Mat, Burrows, Martin, Brown, Jo, Brennan, Rachel, Dickinson, Joanne, Jackson, Shaun, Yeung, Wan-Ley, Ashcroft, Darren, Campbell, Stephen, Blakeman, Thomas, and Sanders, Caroline
- Subjects
HOMELESS persons ,COVID-19 pandemic ,PRIMARY care ,HEALTH services accessibility ,MEDICAL triage ,QUALITATIVE research - Abstract
Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has caused unprecedented disruption and change to the organisation of primary care, including for people experiencing homelessness who may not have access to a phone. Little is known about whether the recent changes required to deliver services to people experiencing homelessness will help to address or compound inequality in accessing care. Aim: To explore the experience and impact of organisational and technology changes in response to COVID-19 on access to health care for people experiencing homelessness. Design and setting: An action-led and participatory research methodology was employed in three case study sites made up of primary care services delivering care for people experiencing homelessness. Method: Individual semi-structured interviews were conducted with 21 people experiencing homelessness and 22 clinicians and support workers. Interviews were analysed using a framework approach. Results: The move to remote telephone consultations highlighted the difficulties experienced by participants in accessing health care. These barriers included problems at the practice level associated with remote triage as participants did not always have access to a phone or the means to pay for a phone call. This fostered increased reliance on support workers and clinicians working in the community to provide or facilitate a primary care appointment. Conclusion: The findings have emphasised the importance of addressing practical and technology barriers as well as supporting communication and choice for mode of consultation. The authors argue that consultations should not be remote 'by default' and instead take into consideration both the clinical and social factors underpinning health. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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26. Process Mining in Primary Care:Avoiding Adverse Events Due to Hazardous Prescribing
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Williams, Richard, Ashcroft, Darren, Brown, Benjamin, Rojas, Eric, Peek, Niels, and Johnson, Owen
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primary care ,process mining ,patient safety - Abstract
Process mining helps understand processes within healthcare. While often used in secondary care, there is little work using primary care data. Serious adverse events that result from hazardous prescrib-ing are common and costly. For example, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) and antiplatelets which can cause gastro-intestinal bleeds (GiBs). Prescribing typically occurs within primary care, therefore we used this setting to attempt process mining.Certain patients should be prescribed gastro-protection alongside NSAIDs or antiplatelets. We extracted events (drug started, drug stopped, GiB) for understanding three prescrib-ing pathways, and applied process mining.We found NSAIDs are often short-term prescriptions whereas antiplatelets are often long-term. This perhaps explains our finding that co-prescription of gastro-protection is more prevalent for antiplatelets than NSAIDs. We identified rea-sons why primary care data is harder to process mine and proposed solutions. Process mining primary care data is pos-sible and likely useful for improving patient safety and re-ducing costs.
- Published
- 2020
27. The healthcare resource impact of maternal mental illness on children and adolescents: UK retrospective cohort study.
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Hope, Holly, Osam, Cemre Su, Kontopantelis, Evangelos, Hughes, Sian, Munford, Luke, Ashcroft, Darren M., Pierce, Matthias, and Abel, Kathryn M.
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CHILD psychopathology ,CHILDREN of people with mental illness ,TEENAGERS ,MEDICAL research ,PRIMARY care ,BREASTFEEDING promotion - Abstract
Background: The general health of children of parents with mental illness is overlooked.Aims: To quantify the difference in healthcare use of children exposed and unexposed to maternal mental illness (MMI).Method: This was a retrospective cohort study of children aged 0-17 years, from 1 April 2007 to 31 July 2017, using a primary care register (Clinical Practice Research Datalink) linked to Hospital Episodes Statistics. MMI included non-affective/affective psychosis and mood, anxiety, addiction, eating and personality disorders. Healthcare use included prescriptions, primary care and secondary care contacts; inflation adjusted costs were applied. The rate and cost was calculated and compared for children exposed and unexposed to MMI using negative binomial regression models. The total annual cost to NHS England of children with MMI was estimated.Results: The study included 489 255 children: 238 106 (48.7%) girls, 112 741 children (23.0%) exposed to MMI. Compared to unexposed children, exposed children had a higher rate of healthcare use (rate ratio 1.27, 95% CI 1.26-1.28), averaging 2.21 extra contacts per exposed child per year (95% CI 2.14-2.29). Increased healthcare use among exposed children occurred in inpatients (rate ratio 1.37, 95% CI 1.32-1.42), emergency care visits (rate ratio 1.34, 95% CI 1.33-1.36), outpatients (rate ratio 1.30, 95% CI 1.28-1.32), prescriptions (rate ratio 1.28, 95% CI 1.26-1.30) and primary care consultations (rate ratio 1.24, 95% CI 1.23-1.25). This costs NHS England an additional £656 million (95% CI £619-£692 million), annually.Conclusions: Children of mentally ill mothers are a health vulnerable group for whom targeted intervention may create benefit for individuals, families, as well as limited NHS resources. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2021
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28. Concordance and timing in recording cancer events in primary care, hospital and mortality records for patients with and without psoriasis: A population-based cohort study.
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Trafford, Alex M., Parisi, Rosa, Rutter, Martin K., Kontopantelis, Evangelos, Griffiths, Christopher E. M., and Ashcroft, Darren M.
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HOSPITAL mortality ,PRIMARY care ,CANCER-related mortality ,MEDICAL research ,PSORIASIS ,NON-Hodgkin's lymphoma - Abstract
Background: The association between psoriasis and the risk of cancer has been investigated in numerous studies utilising electronic health records (EHRs), with conflicting results in the extent of the association. Objectives: To assess concordance and timing of cancer recording between primary care, hospital and death registration data for people with and without psoriasis. Methods: Cohort studies delineated using primary care EHRs from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD and Aurum databases, with linkage to hospital episode statistics (HES), Office for National Statistics (ONS) mortality data and indices of multiple deprivation (IMD). People with psoriasis were matched to those without psoriasis by age, sex and general practice. Cancer recording between databases was investigated by proportion concordant, that being the presence of cancer record in both source and comparator datasets. Delay in recording cancer diagnoses between CPRD and HES records and predictors of discordance were also assessed. Results: 58,904 people with psoriasis and 350,592 comparison patients were included using CPRD GOLD; whereas 213,400 people with psoriasis and 1,268,998 comparison patients were included in CPRD Aurum. For all cancer records (excluding keratinocyte), concordance between CPRD and HES was greater than 80%. Concordance for same-site cancer records was markedly lower (<68% GOLD-linked data; <72% Aurum-linked data). Concordance of non-Hodgkin lymphoma and liver cancer recording between CPRD and HES was lower for people with psoriasis compared to those without. Conclusions: Concordance between CPRD and HES is poor when restricted to cancers of the same site, with greater discordance in people with psoriasis for some cancers of specific sites. The use of linked patient-level data is an important step in reducing misclassification of cancer outcomes in epidemiological studies using routinely collected electronic health records. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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29. The Safety of Delayed Versus Immediate Antibiotic Prescribing for Upper Respiratory Tract Infections.
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Staa, Tjeerd Pieter van, Palin, Victoria, Brown, Benjamin, Welfare, William, Li, Yan, and Ashcroft, Darren M
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ANTIBIOTICS ,ERYTHROMYCIN ,CLINICAL trials ,CONFIDENCE intervals ,RESPIRATORY infections ,CLARITHROMYCIN ,DOXYCYCLINE ,TREATMENT delay (Medicine) ,SEVERITY of illness index ,MEDICAL protocols ,PENICILLIN ,TREATMENT effectiveness ,DRUG prescribing ,DESCRIPTIVE statistics ,PHYSICIAN practice patterns ,ELECTRONIC health records ,EARLY medical intervention ,PATIENT safety ,LONGITUDINAL method ,AMOXICILLIN - Abstract
Background This study aimed to evaluate the clinical safety of delayed antibiotic prescribing for upper respiratory tract infections (URTIs), which is recommended in treatment guidelines for less severe cases. Methods Two population-based cohort studies used the English Clinical Practice Research Databank and Welsh Secure Anonymized Information Linkage, containing electronic health records from primary care linked to hospital admission records. Patients with URTI and prescriptions of amoxicillin, clarithromycin, doxycycline, erythromycin, or phenoxymethylpenicillin were identified. Patients were stratified according to delayed and immediate prescribing relative to URTI diagnosis. Outcome of interest was infection-related hospital admission after 30 days. Results The population included 1.82 million patients with an URTI and antibiotic prescription; 91.7% had an antibiotic at URTI diagnosis date (immediate) and 8.3% had URTI diagnosis in 1–30 days before (delayed). Delayed antibiotic prescribing was associated with a 52% increased risk of infection-related hospital admissions (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.52; 95% confidence interval, 1.43–1.62). The probability of delayed antibiotic prescribing was unrelated to predicted risks of hospital admission. Analyses of the number needed to harm showed considerable variability across different patient groups (median with delayed antibiotic prescribing, 1357; 2.5% percentile, 295; 97.5% percentile, 3366). Conclusions This is the first large population-based study examining the safety of delayed antibiotic prescribing. Waiting to treat URTI was associated with increased risk of hospital admission, although delayed antibiotic prescribing was used similarly between high- and low-risk patients. There is a need to better target delayed antibiotic prescribing to URTI patients with lower risks of complications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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30. Using electronic health records to quantify and stratify the severity of type 2 diabetes in primary care in England: rationale and cohort study design
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Zghebi, Salwa S., Rutter, Martin K., Ashcroft, Darren M., Salisbury, Chris, Mallen, Christian, Chew-Graham, Carolyn A., Reeves, David, Van marwijk, Harm, Qureshi, Nadeem, Weng, Stephen, Peek, Niels, and Planner, Claire
- Subjects
Electronic health records ,Primary Care ,Type 2 Diabetes - Abstract
Introduction: The increasing prevalence of type 2 diabetes (T2DM) presents a significant burden on affected individuals and health-care systems internationally. There is, however, no agreed validated measure to infer diabetes severity from electronic health records (EHRs). We aim to quantify T2DM severity and validate it using clinical adverse outcomes.Methods and Analysis: Primary care data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD), linked hospitalisation and mortality records between April-2007 and March-2017 for T2DM patients in England will be used to develop a clinical algorithm to grade T2DM severity. The EHR-based algorithm will incorporate main risk factors (severity domains) for adverse outcomes to stratify T2DM cohorts by baseline and longitudinal severity scores. Provisionally, T2DM severity domains, identified through a systematic review and expert opinion are: diabetes duration, HbA1c, microvascular complications, comorbidities, and co-prescribed treatments. Severity scores will be developed by two approaches: i) calculating a count score of severity domains; ii) through hierarchical stratification of complications. Regression models estimates will be used to calculate domains weights. Survival analysis for the association between weighted severity scores and future outcomes: cardiovascular events; hospitalisation (diabetes-related, cardiovascular); and mortality (diabetes-related, cardiovascular, all-cause mortality) will be performed as a statistical validation. The proposed EHR-based approach will quantify the T2DM severity for primary care performance management and inform the methodology for measuring severity of other primary care-managed chronic conditions. We anticipate that the developed algorithm will be a practical tool for practitioners, aid clinical management decision-making, inform stratified medicine, support future clinical trials and contribute to more effective service-planning and policy-making.Ethics and Dissemination: The study protocol was approved by the Independent Scientific Advisory Committee (ISAC). Some data were presented at the NIHR SPCR Showcase, September-2017, Oxford,UK; the Diabetes UK Professional Conference March-2018, London,UK. The study findings will be disseminated in relevant academic conferences and peer-reviewed journals.
- Published
- 2018
31. Evaluation of a pharmacist-led actionable audit and feedback intervention for improving medication safety in UK primary care: An interrupted time series analysis.
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Peek, Niels, Gude, Wouter T., Keers, Richard N., Williams, Richard, Kontopantelis, Evangelos, Jeffries, Mark, Phipps, Denham L., Brown, Benjamin, Avery, Anthony J., and Ashcroft, Darren M.
- Subjects
TIME series analysis ,MEDICATION safety ,PRIMARY care ,GENERAL practitioners ,STANDARD deviations - Abstract
Background: We evaluated the impact of the pharmacist-led Safety Medication dASHboard (SMASH) intervention on medication safety in primary care.Methods and Findings: SMASH comprised (1) training of clinical pharmacists to deliver the intervention; (2) a web-based dashboard providing actionable, patient-level feedback; and (3) pharmacists reviewing individual at-risk patients, and initiating remedial actions or advising general practitioners on doing so. It was implemented in 43 general practices covering a population of 235,595 people in Salford (Greater Manchester), UK. All practices started receiving the intervention between 18 April 2016 and 26 September 2017. We used an interrupted time series analysis of rates (prevalence) of potentially hazardous prescribing and inadequate blood-test monitoring, comparing observed rates post-intervention to extrapolations from a 24-month pre-intervention trend. The number of people registered to participating practices and having 1 or more risk factors for being exposed to hazardous prescribing or inadequate blood-test monitoring at the start of the intervention was 47,413 (males: 23,073 [48.7%]; mean age: 60 years [standard deviation: 21]). At baseline, 95% of practices had rates of potentially hazardous prescribing (composite of 10 indicators) between 0.88% and 6.19%. The prevalence of potentially hazardous prescribing reduced by 27.9% (95% CI 20.3% to 36.8%, p < 0.001) at 24 weeks and by 40.7% (95% CI 29.1% to 54.2%, p < 0.001) at 12 months after introduction of SMASH. The rate of inadequate blood-test monitoring (composite of 2 indicators) reduced by 22.0% (95% CI 0.2% to 50.7%, p = 0.046) at 24 weeks; the change at 12 months (23.5%) was no longer significant (95% CI -4.5% to 61.6%, p = 0.127). After 12 months, 95% of practices had rates of potentially hazardous prescribing between 0.74% and 3.02%. Study limitations include the fact that practices were not randomised, and therefore unmeasured confounding may have influenced our findings.Conclusions: The SMASH intervention was associated with reduced rates of potentially hazardous prescribing and inadequate blood-test monitoring in general practices. This reduction was sustained over 12 months after the start of the intervention for prescribing but not for monitoring of medication. There was a marked reduction in the variation in rates of hazardous prescribing between practices. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2020
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32. Development and validation of a multivariable prediction model for infection-related complications in patients with common infections in UK primary care and the extent of risk-based prescribing of antibiotics.
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Mistry, Chirag, Palin, Victoria, Li, Yan, Martin, Glen P., Jenkins, David, Welfare, William, Ashcroft, Darren M., and van Staa, Tjeerd
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CLINICAL prediction rules ,RESPIRATORY infections ,URINARY tract infections ,PROPORTIONAL hazards models ,PRIMARY care ,PREDICTION models - Abstract
Background: Antimicrobial resistance is driven by the overuse of antibiotics. This study aimed to develop and validate clinical prediction models for the risk of infection-related hospital admission with upper respiratory infection (URTI), lower respiratory infection (LRTI) and urinary tract infection (UTI). These models were used to investigate whether there is an association between the risk of an infection-related complication and the probability of receiving an antibiotic prescription.Methods: The study used electronic health record data from general practices contributing to the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD GOLD) and Welsh Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL), both linked to hospital records. Patients who visited their general practitioner with an incidental URTI, LRTI or UTI were included and followed for 30 days for hospitalisation due to infection-related complications. Predictors included age, gender, clinical and medication risk factors, ethnicity and socioeconomic status. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used with predicted risks independently validated in SAIL.Results: The derivation and validation cohorts included 8.1 and 2.7 million patients in CPRD and SAIL, respectively. A total of 7125 (0.09%) hospital admissions occurred in CPRD and 7685 (0.28%) in SAIL. Important predictors included age and measures of comorbidity. Initial attempts at validating in SAIL (i.e. transporting the models with no adjustment) indicated the need to recalibrate the models for age and underlying incidence of infections; internal bootstrap validation of these updated models yielded C-statistics of 0.63 (LRTI), 0.69 (URTI) and 0.73 (UTI) indicating good calibration. For all three infection types, the rate of antibiotic prescribing was not associated with patients' risk of infection-related hospital admissions.Conclusion: The risk for infection-related hospital admissions varied substantially between patients, but prescribing of antibiotics in primary care was not associated with risk of hospitalisation due to infection-related complications. Our findings highlight the potential role of clinical prediction models to help inform decisions of prescribing of antibiotics in primary care. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2020
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33. Process Mining in Primary Care: Avoiding Adverse Events Due to Hazardous Prescribing.
- Author
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Williams, Richard, Ashcroft, Darren M., Brown, Benjamin, Rojas, Eric, Peek, Niels, and Johnson, Owen
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PRIMARY care ,PROCESS mining ,DRUG side effects ,NONSTEROIDAL anti-inflammatory agents ,PLATELET aggregation inhibitors - Abstract
Process mining helps healthcare professionals understand processes within healthcare. While often used in secondary care, there is little work in process mining using primary care data. Serious adverse events that result from hazardous prescribing are common and costly. For example, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) and antiplatelets can cause gastro-intestinal bleeds (GiBs). Prescribing typically occurs during primary care; therefore we used this setting to attempt process mining. We extracted events (drug started, drug stopped, GiB) for understanding three prescribing pathways, and applied process mining. We found NSAIDs are often short-term prescriptions whereas antiplatelets are often long-term. This perhaps explains our finding that coprescription of gastro-protection is more prevalent for antiplatelets than NSAIDs. We identified reasons why primary care data is harder to process mine and proposed solutions. Process mining primary care data is possible and likely useful for improving patient safety and reducing costs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
34. Clinical management following self-harm in a UK-wide primary care cohort
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Carr, Matthew J, Ashcroft, Darren M, Kontopantelis, Evangelos, While, David, Awenat, Yvonne, Cooper, Jayne, Chew-Graham, Carolyn, Kapur, Nav, and Webb, Roger T
- Subjects
Diagnoses ,Self-harm ,Medication ,Referrals ,Primary care - Abstract
BACKGROUND: Little is known about the clinical management of patients in primary care following self-harm. METHODS: A descriptive cohort study using data from 684 UK general practices that contributed to the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) during 2001-2013. We identified 49,970 patients with a self-harm episode, 41,500 of whom had one complete year of follow-up. RESULTS: Among those with complete follow-up, 26,065 (62.8%, 62.3-63.3) were prescribed psychotropic medication and 6318 (15.2%, 14.9-15.6) were referred to mental health services; 4105 (9.9%, CI 9.6-10.2) were medicated without an antecedent psychiatric diagnosis or referral, and 4,506 (10.9%, CI 10.6-11.2) had a diagnosis but were not subsequently medicated or referred. Patients registered at practices in the most deprived localities were 27.1% (CI 21.5-32.2) less likely to be referred than those in the least deprived. Despite a specifically flagged NICE 'Do not do' recommendation in 2011 against prescribing tricyclic antidepressants following self-harm because of their potentially lethal toxicity in overdose, 8.8% (CI 7.8-9.8) of individuals were issued a prescription in the subsequent year. The percentage prescribed Citalopram, an SSRI antidepressant with higher toxicity in overdose, fell sharply during 2012/2013 in the aftermath of a Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) safety alert issued in 2011. CONCLUSIONS: A relatively small percentage of these vulnerable patients are referred to mental health services, and reduced likelihood of referral in more deprived localities reflects a marked health inequality. National clinical guidelines have not yet been effective in reducing rates of tricyclic antidepressant prescribing for this high-risk group.
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- 2016
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35. Modelling Conditions and Health Care Processes in Electronic Health Records : An Application to Severe Mental Illness with the Clinical Practice Research Datalink
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Olier, Ivan, Springate, David A, Ashcroft, Darren M, Doran, Timothy, Reeves, David, Planner, Claire, Reilly, Siobhan, and Kontopantelis, Evangelos
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Research Validity ,Databases, Factual ,Electronic Medical Records ,lcsh:Medicine ,Health Informatics ,Research and Analysis Methods ,Database and Informatics Methods ,Chronic Kidney Disease ,Medicine and Health Sciences ,Antipsychotics ,Electronic Health Records ,Humans ,Database Searching ,lcsh:Science ,Primary Care ,Pharmacology ,Models, Statistical ,Primary Health Care ,T1 ,Mental Disorders ,lcsh:R ,Clinical Coding ,Drugs ,Research Assessment ,R1 ,United Kingdom ,Health Care ,Nephrology ,HD28 ,lcsh:Q ,Health Services Research ,Algorithms ,Research Article - Abstract
Background\ud The use of Electronic Health Records databases for medical research has become mainstream. In the UK, increasing use of Primary Care Databases is largely driven by almost complete computerisation and uniform standards within the National Health Service. Electronic Health Records research often begins with the development of a list of clinical codes with which to identify cases with a specific condition. We present a methodology and accompanying Stata and R commands (pcdsearch/Rpcdsearch) to help researchers in this task. We present severe mental illness as an example.\ud \ud Methods\ud We used the Clinical Practice Research Datalink, a UK Primary Care Database in which clinical information is largely organised using Read codes, a hierarchical clinical coding system. Pcdsearch is used to identify potentially relevant clinical codes and/or product codes from word-stubs and code-stubs suggested by clinicians. The returned code-lists are reviewed and codes relevant to the condition of interest are selected. The final code-list is then used to identify patients.\ud \ud Results\ud We identified 270 Read codes linked to SMI and used them to identify cases in the database. We observed that our approach identified cases that would have been missed with a simpler approach using SMI registers defined within the UK Quality and Outcomes Framework.\ud \ud Conclusion\ud We described a framework for researchers of Electronic Health Records databases, for identifying patients with a particular condition or matching certain clinical criteria. The method is invariant to coding system or database and can be used with SNOMED CT, ICD or other medical classification code-lists.
- Published
- 2016
36. Can analyses of electronic patient records be independently and externally validated? Study 2—the effect of β-adrenoceptor blocker therapy on cancer survival: a retrospective cohort study
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Springate, David A, Ashcroft, Darren M, Kontopantelis, Evangelos, Doran, Tim, Ryan, Ronan, and Reeves, David
- Subjects
Databases, Factual ,Primary Health Care ,Research ,Adrenergic beta-Antagonists ,ONCOLOGY ,STATISTICS & RESEARCH METHODS ,United Kingdom ,PRIMARY CARE ,Neoplasms ,Electronic Health Records ,Humans ,General practice / Family practice ,Antihypertensive Agents ,Retrospective Studies - Abstract
Objectives To conduct a fully independent, external validation of a research study based on one electronic health record database using a different database sampling from the same population. Design Retrospective cohort analysis of β-blocker therapy and all-cause mortality in patients with cancer. Setting Two UK national primary care databases (PCDs): the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) and Doctors’ Independent Network (DIN). Participants CPRD data for 11 302 patients with cancer compared with published results from DIN for 3462 patients; study period January 1997 to December 2006. Primary and secondary outcome measures All-cause mortality: overall; by treatment subgroup (β-blockers only, β-blockers plus other blood pressure lowering medicines (BPLM), other BPLMs only); and by cancer site. Results Using CPRD, β-blocker use was not associated with mortality (HR=1.03, 95% CI 0.93 to 1.14, vs patients prescribed other BPLMs only), but DIN β-blocker users had significantly higher mortality (HR=1.18, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.33). However, these HRs were not statistically different (p=0.063), but did differ for patients on β-blockers alone (CPRD=0.94, 95% CI 0.82 to 1.07; DIN=1.37, 95% CI 1.16 to 1.61; p
- Published
- 2015
37. Antibiotic prescribing for common infections in UK general practice: variability and drivers.
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Palin, Victoria, Mölter, Anna, Belmonte, Miguel, Ashcroft, Darren M, White, Andrew, Welfare, William, Staa, Tjeerd van, and van Staa, Tjeerd
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ANTIBIOTICS ,RESPIRATORY infections ,INFLUENZA vaccines ,ELECTRONIC health records ,PRIMARY care - Abstract
Objectives: To examine variations across general practices and factors associated with antibiotic prescribing for common infections in UK primary care to identify potential targets for improvement and optimization of prescribing.Methods: Oral antibiotic prescribing for common infections was analysed using anonymized UK primary care electronic health records between 2000 and 2015 using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). The rate of prescribing for each condition was observed over time and mean change points were compared with national guideline updates. Any correlation between the rate of prescribing for each infectious condition was estimated within a practice. Predictors of prescribing were estimated using logistic regression in a matched patient cohort (1:1 by age, sex and calendar time).Results: Over 8 million patient records were examined in 587 UK general practices. Practices varied considerably in their propensity to prescribe antibiotics and this variance increased over time. Change points in prescribing did not reflect updates to national guidelines. Prescribing levels within practices were not consistent for different infectious conditions. A history of antibiotic use significantly increased the risk of receiving a subsequent antibiotic (by 22%-48% for patients with three or more antibiotic prescriptions in the past 12 months), as did higher BMI, history of smoking and flu vaccinations. Other drivers for receiving an antibiotic varied considerably for each condition.Conclusions: Large variability in antibiotic prescribing between practices and within practices was observed. Prescribing guidelines alone do not positively influence a change in prescribing, suggesting more targeted interventions are required to optimize antibiotic prescribing in the UK. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2019
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38. Mindful organizing in patients' contributions to primary care medication safety.
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Phipps, Denham L., Giles, Sally, Lewis, Penny J., Marsden, Kate S., Salema, Ndeshi, Jeffries, Mark, Avery, Anthony J., and Ashcroft, Darren M.
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MEDICATION error prevention ,COMMUNICATION ,FOCUS groups ,INTERVIEWING ,MEDICAL quality control ,PATIENT safety ,PHYSICIAN-patient relations ,PRIMARY health care ,RESEARCH funding ,PATIENT participation ,QUALITATIVE research ,THEMATIC analysis ,HEALTH literacy ,DATA analysis software ,PATIENTS' attitudes - Abstract
Background: There is a need to ensure that the risks associated with medication usage in primary health care are controlled. To maintain an understanding of the risks, health‐care organizations may engage in a process known as "mindful organizing." While this is typically conceived of as involving organizational members, it may in the health‐care context also include patients. Our study aimed to examine ways in which patients might contribute to mindful organizing with respect to primary care medication safety. Method: Qualitative focus groups and interviews were carried out with 126 members of the public in North West England and the East Midlands. Participants were taking medicines for a long‐term health condition, were taking several medicines, had previously encountered problems with their medication or were caring for another person in any of these categories. Participants described their experiences of dealing with medication‐related concerns. The transcripts were analysed using a thematic method. Results: We identified 4 themes to explain patient behaviour associated with mindful organizing: knowledge about clinical or system issues; artefacts that facilitate control of medication risks; communication with health‐care professionals; and the relationship between patients and the health‐care system (in particular, mutual trust). Conclusions: Mindful organizing is potentially useful for framing patient involvement in safety, although there are some conceptual and practical issues to be addressed before it can be fully exploited in this setting. We have identified factors that influence (and are strengthened by) patients' engagement in mindful organizing, and as such would be a useful focus of efforts to support patient involvement. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
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- View/download PDF
39. Evaluating a large-scale rollout of a pharmacist-led information technology intervention (PINCER) in English general practice.
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Taylor, Amelia, Roberts, Steve, Ashcroft, Darren, Avery, Anthony, Rodgers, Sarah, and Allen, Thomas
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INFORMATION technology ,PRESCRIPTION writing ,PRIMARY care ,EXPERIMENTAL design - Abstract
Context:We previously reported the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a pharmacist-led information technology intervention (PINCER) at reducing hazardous prescribing. The PINCER intervention searches GP clinical systems to identify patients at risk of hazardous prescribing, identified by 11 prescribing safety indicators, and with pharmacist support the practice acts to correct the prescribing to minimise future risk. Objective:To evaluate the effectiveness of PINCER when widely implemented in general practices on the prevalence of patient exposure to hazardous prescribing and also on the incidence of serious harm in patients at risk of hazardous prescribing. Study design and Analysis:The PINCER intervention was rolled out in 370 general practices using a non-randomised multicentre incomplete stepped-wedge study design whereby the intervention was introduced to successive groups of general practices between Sept 2015 and Apr 2017. Data was extracted from 115 of these practices between Feb 2013 and Aug 2019. We used the indicators to identify potentially hazardous prescribing and collected data over a maximum of 16 quarterly time periods around the times of implementation. Modelling of each hazardous prescribing indicator and serious harm outcome, and composite indicators utilised a mixed model approach, with logistic mixed models for the quarterly event numbers with the appropriate denominator. Setting or Dataset:Data extracted directly from GP systems. Population Studied:Practices who had implemented PINCER in the East Midlands, England. Intervention/Instrument:PINCER. Outcome Measures:The proportion of patients in each practice and quarter exposed to at least one type of hazardous prescribing, identified using the prescribing safety indicators, and the proportion of patients with serious harm. Results:The PINCER intervention was associated with a decrease in the rate of hazardous prescribing at 6 months, 12 months and 24 months post-intervention. A reduction in deaths and all cause hospitalisation were observed post intervention. However, a less clear association between the PINCER intervention and serious harm outcomes (identified within primary care data) were observed. Detailed results will be presented. Conclusions: We demonstrate the real-world effectiveness of the PINCER intervention in reducing exposure to potentially hazardous medication when rolled out at scale in UK general practices, where the reductions were sustained for up to 24 months. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
40. Developing a learning health system: Insights from a qualitative process evaluation of a pharmacist-led electronic audit and feedback intervention to improve medication safety in primary care.
- Author
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Jeffries, Mark, Keers, Richard N., Phipps, Denham L., Williams, Richard, Brown, Benjamin, Avery, Anthony J., Peek, Niels, and Ashcroft, Darren M.
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MEDICAL care ,PRIMARY care ,FAMILY medicine ,PHARMACISTS ,ELECTRONIC health records ,MEDICAL records - Abstract
Introduction: Developments in information technology offer opportunities to enhance medication safety in primary care. We evaluated the implementation and adoption of a complex pharmacist-led intervention involving the use of an electronic audit and feedback surveillance dashboard to identify patients potentially at risk of hazardous prescribing or monitoring of medicines in general practices. The intervention aimed to create a rapid learning health system for medication safety in primary care. This study aimed to explore how the intervention was implemented, adopted and embedded into practice using a qualitative process evaluation. Methods: Twenty two participants were purposively recruited from eighteen out of forty-three general practices receiving the intervention as well as clinical commissioning group staff across Salford UK, which reflected the range of contexts in which the intervention was implemented. Interviews explored how pharmacists and GP staff implemented the intervention and how this affected care practice. Data analysis was thematic with emerging themes developed into coding frameworks based on Normalisation Process Theory (NPT). Results: Engagement with the dashboard involved a process of sense-making in which pharmacists considered it added value to their work. The intervention helped to build respect, improve trust and develop relationships between pharmacists and GPs. Collaboration and communication between pharmacists and clinicians was primarily initiated by pharmacists and was important for establishing the intervention. The intervention operated as a rapid learning health system as it allowed for the evidence in the dashboard to be translated into changes in work practices and into transformations in care. Conclusions: Our study highlighted the importance of the combined use of information technology and the role of pharmacists working in general practice settings. Medicine optimisation activities in primary care may be enhanced by the implementation of a pharmacist-led electronic audit and feedback system. This intervention established a rapid learning health system that swiftly translated data from electronic health records into changes in practice to improve patient care. Using NPT provided valuable insights into the ways in which developing relationships, collaborations and communication between health professionals could lead to the implementation, adoption and sustainability of the intervention. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
41. Association between a national primary care pay-for-performance scheme and suicide rates in England: spatial cohort study.
- Author
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Grigoroglou, Christos, Munford, Luke, Webb, Roger T., Kapur, Nav, Doran, Tim, Ashcroft, Darren M., and Kontopantelis, Evangelos
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PRIMARY care ,PAY for performance ,SUICIDE statistics ,POPULATION health ,MENTAL illness - Abstract
Background: Pay-for-performance policies aim to improve population health by incentivising improvements in quality of care.AimsTo assess the relationship between general practice performance on severe mental illness (SMI) and depression indicators under a national incentivisation scheme and suicide risk in England for the period 2006-2014.Method: Longitudinal spatial analysis for 32 844 small-area geographical units (lower super output areas, LSOAs), using population-structure adjusted numbers of suicide as the outcome variable. Negative binomial models were fitted to investigate the relationship between spatially estimated recorded quality of care and suicide risk at the LSOA level. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were adjusted for deprivation, social fragmentation, prevalence of depression and SMI as well as other 2011 Census variables.Results: No association was found between practice performance on the mental health indicators and suicide incidence in practice localities (IRR=1.000, 95% CI 0.998-1.002). IRRs indicated elevated suicide risks linked with area-level social fragmentation (1.030; 95% CI 1.027-1.034), deprivation (1.013, 95% CI 1.012-1.014) and rurality (1.059, 95% CI 1.027-1.092).Conclusions: Primary care has an important role to play in suicide prevention, but we did not observe a link between practices' higher reported quality of care on incentivised mental health activities and lower suicide rates in the local population. It is likely that effective suicide prevention needs a more concerted, multiagency approach. Better training in suicide prevention for general practitioners is also essential. These findings pertain to the UK but have relevance to other countries considering similar programmes.Declaration of interestNone. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
42. Negotiating inter‐professional interaction: playing the general practitioner‐pharmacist game.
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Bradley, Fay, Ashcroft, Darren M., and Crossley, Nick
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- *
INTERPERSONAL relations , *INTERVIEWING , *HEALTH policy , *NEGOTIATION , *PHARMACISTS , *GENERAL practitioners , *POPULATION geography , *PROFESSIONALISM , *PSYCHOLOGY - Abstract
Abstract: Despite a mutual interest in optimising the benefits of medication for patients, the general practitioner (GP) and community pharmacist (CP) often work in isolation from one another, both physically and figuratively. Sources of tension include pharmacy's ‘shopkeeper’ image, traditional medical hierarchies and potential encroachment on professional boundaries. This article examines GP and CP perceptions of their interactions and negotiations and, drawing on the works of Stein and Goffman, identifies a set of ‘unwritten’ rules, termed the ‘GP‐pharmacist game’, which involves the concept of ‘face‐work’. Qualitative interviews with 20 GPs and 23 CPs located in four geographically and demographically different areas in England were conducted during 2010–11. Key rules of the game include the pharmacist avoiding blaming the GP, using discretion in front of patients, and balancing the necessity and frequency of the communication. This article argues that whilst adhering to the ‘GP‐pharmacist game’ may avoid conflict and ‘get the job done’, it may also constrain efforts to meet wider health care policy aims of a more collaborative relationship. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
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43. A formative evaluation of the implementation of a medication safety data collection tool in English healthcare settings: A qualitative interview study using normalisation process theory.
- Author
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Rostami, Paryaneh, Ashcroft, Darren M., and Tully, Mary P.
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- *
MEDICATION safety , *MEDICAL care , *NATIONAL health services , *PRIMARY care , *PHARMACISTS - Abstract
Background: Reducing medication-related harm is a global priority; however, impetus for improvement is impeded as routine medication safety data are seldom available. Therefore, the Medication Safety Thermometer was developed within England’s National Health Service. This study aimed to explore the implementation of the tool into routine practice from users’ perspectives. Method: Fifteen semi-structured interviews were conducted with purposely sampled National Health Service staff from primary and secondary care settings. Interview data were analysed using an initial thematic analysis, and subsequent analysis using Normalisation Process Theory. Results: Secondary care staff understood that the Medication Safety Thermometer’s purpose was to measure medication safety and improvement. However, other uses were reported, such as pinpointing poor practice. Confusion about its purpose existed in primary care, despite further training, suggesting unsuitability of the tool. Decreased engagement was displayed by staff less involved with medication use, who displayed less ownership. Nonetheless, these advocates often lacked support from management and frontline levels, leading to an overall lack of engagement. Many participants reported efforts to drive scale-up of the use of the tool, for example, by securing funding, despite uncertainty around how to use data. Successful improvement was often at ward-level and went unrecognised within the wider organisation. There was mixed feedback regarding the value of the tool, often due to a perceived lack of “capacity”. However, participants demonstrated interest in learning how to use their data and unexpected applications of data were reported. Conclusion: Routine medication safety data collection is complex, but achievable and facilitates improvements. However, collected data must be analysed, understood and used for further work to achieve improvement, which often does not happen. The national roll-out of the tool has accelerated shared learning; however, a number of difficulties still exist, particularly in primary care settings, where a different approach is likely to be required. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
44. Premature Death Among Primary Care Patients With a History of Self-Harm.
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Carr, Matthew J., Ashcroft, Darren M., Kontopantelis, Evangelos, While, David, Awenat, Yvonne, Cooper, Jayne, Chew-Graham, Carolyn, Kapur, Nav, and Webb, Roger T.
- Subjects
- *
SELF-mutilation , *PUBLIC health & society , *SELF-mutilation in adolescence , *DEATH rate , *DEMOGRAPHIC transition , *CAUSES of death , *LONGITUDINAL method , *MORTALITY , *PRIMARY health care , *RESEARCH funding , *SELF-injurious behavior , *SUICIDE , *TIME , *DISEASE incidence , *PROPORTIONAL hazards models , *CASE-control method , *PSYCHOLOGICAL factors ,RISK factors of self-injurious behavior - Abstract
Purpose: Self-harm is a public health problem that requires a better understanding of mortality risk. We undertook a study to examine premature mortality in a nationally representative cohort of primary care patients who had harmed themselves.Methods: During 2001-2013, a total of 385 general practices in England contributed data to the Clinical Practice Research Datalink with linkage to Office for National Statistics mortality records. We identified 30,017 persons aged 15 to 64 years with a recorded episode of self-harm. We estimated the relative risks of all-cause and cause-specific natural and unnatural mortality using a comparison cohort of 600,258 individuals matched on age, sex, and general practice.Results: We found an elevated risk of dying prematurely from any cause among the self-harm cohort, especially in the first year of follow-up (adjusted hazard ratio for that year, 3.6; 95% CI, 3.1-4.2). In particular, suicide risk was especially high during the first year (adjusted hazard ratio, 54.4; 95% CI, 34.3-86.3); although it declined sharply, it remained much higher than that in the comparison cohort. Large elevations of risk throughout the follow-up period were also observed for accidental, alcohol-related, and drug poisoning deaths. At 10 years of follow-up, cumulative incidence values were 6.5% (95% CI, 6.0%-7.1%) for all-cause mortality and 1.3% (95% CI, 1.2%-1.5%) for suicide.Conclusions: Primary care patients who have harmed themselves are at greatly increased risk of dying prematurely by natural and unnatural causes, and especially within a year of a first episode. These individuals visit clinicians at a relatively high frequency, which presents a clear opportunity for preventive action. Primary care patients with myriad comorbidities, including self-harming behavior, mental disorder, addictions, and physical illnesses, will require concerted, multipronged, multidisciplinary collaborative care approaches. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
45. Epidemiology of alcohol dependence in UK primary care: Results from a large observational study using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink.
- Author
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Thompson, Andrew, Wright, Alison K., Ashcroft, Darren M., van Staa, Tjeerd P., and Pirmohamed, Munir
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ALCOHOLISM treatment ,EPIDEMIOLOGY ,PRIMARY care ,DISEASE incidence ,MEDICAL practice ,SCIENTIFIC observation - Abstract
This study aims to investigate the incidence and annual presentation rates of alcohol dependence in general practice in the UK, and examine age-, gender-, socioeconomic-, and region-specific variation. We conducted a retrospective 'open' cohort study using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD), an anonymised primary care database. Prior to data extraction, a case definition for alcohol dependence in CPRD was established using 47 Read codes, which included primary alcohol dependence and consequences of alcohol dependence. Directly standardised rates for incidence and annual presentation were calculated for each year between 1990 and 2013. Rates were compared by gender, age, UK home nation, and practice-level Index of Multiple Deprivation. The directly standardised annual incidence rates were 8.3 and 3.7 per 10,000 male and female patients, respectively. The estimated annual rates of presentation per 10,000 were 17.1 for males and 7.6 for females. Female to male rate ratios were: 0.40 (95% CI: 0.39–0.41) for incident cases; and 0.37 (95% CI: 0.36–0.39) for annual presentation. Rates were highest in those aged 35–54 for both measures and across genders, and lowest in those aged over 75 years. With England as the reference nation, Northern Ireland and Scotland had significantly higher rates for both measures. Patients from the most deprived areas had the highest incidence and annual presentation rates. There is unequal distribution of patients with severe alcohol dependence across population subgroups in general practice. Given the health and economic burden associated with dependent drinking, these data will be useful in informing future public health initiatives. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
46. Drug therapy for alcohol dependence in primary care in the UK: A Clinical Practice Research Datalink study.
- Author
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Thompson, Andrew, Ashcroft, Darren M., Owens, Lynn, van Staa, Tjeerd P., and Pirmohamed, Munir
- Subjects
- *
ALCOHOL Dependence Scale , *DRUG therapy , *PRIMARY care , *PSYCHOSOCIAL factors , *CLINICAL trials - Abstract
Aim: To evaluate drug therapy for alcohol dependence in the 12 months after first diagnosis in UK primary care. Design: Open cohort study. Setting: General practices contributing data to the UK Clinical Practice Research Database. Participants: 39,980 people with an incident diagnosis of alcohol dependence aged 16 years or older between 1 January 1990 and 31 December 2013. Main outcome measure: Use of pharmacotherapy (acamprosate, disulfiram, naltrexone, baclofen and topiramate) to promote abstinence from alcohol or reduce drinking to safe levels in the first 12 months after a recorded diagnosis of alcohol dependence. Findings: Only 4,677 (11.7%) of the cohort received relevant pharmacotherapy in the 12 months following diagnosis. Of the 35,303 that did not receive pharmacotherapy, 3,255 (9.2%) received psychosocial support. The remaining 32,048 (80.2%) did not receive either mode of treatment in the first 12 months. Factors that independently reduced the likelihood of receiving pharmacotherapy included: being male (Odds Ratio [OR] 0.74; 95% CI 0.69 to 0.78); older (65-74 years: OR 0.61; 95% CI 0.49 to 0.77); being from a practice based in the most deprived quintile (OR 0.58; 95% CI 0.53 to 0.64); and being located in Northern Ireland (OR 0.78; 95% CI 0.67 to 0.91). The median duration to initiation of pharmacotherapy was 0.80 months (95% CI 0.70 to 1.00) for acamprosate and 0.60 months (95% CI 0.43 to 0.73) for disulfiram. Persistence analysis for those receiving acamprosate and disulfiram revealed that many patients never received a repeat prescription; persistence at 6 months was 27.7% for acomprosate and 33.2% for disulfiram. The median duration of therapy was 2.10 months (95% CI 1.87 to 2.53) for acamprosate and 3.13 months (95% CI 2.77 to 3.36) for disulfiram. Conclusion: Drug therapy to promote abstinence in alcohol dependent patients was low, with the majority of patients receiving no therapy, either psychological or pharmacological. When drug therapy was prescribed, persistence was low with most patients receiving only one prescription. Our data show that treatment for alcohol dependence is haphazard, and there is an urgent need to explore strategies for improving clinical management of this patient group. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. Understanding the implementation and adoption of a technological intervention to improve medication safety in primary care: a realist evaluation.
- Author
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Jeffries, Mark, Phipps, Denham L., Howard, Rachel L., Avery, Anthony J., Rodgers, Sarah, and Ashcroft, Darren M.
- Subjects
MEDICATION safety ,MEDICAL innovations ,PRIMARY care ,DRUG side effects ,MEDICAL informatics ,ELECTRONIC health records ,PREVENTION of drug side effects ,AUDITING ,FAMILY medicine ,MEDICAL personnel ,PATIENT safety ,PRIMARY health care ,QUALITY assurance ,RESEARCH funding ,EVALUATION research - Abstract
Background: Monitoring for potentially hazardous prescribing is increasingly important to improve medication safety. Healthcare information technology can be used to achieve this aim, for example by providing access to prescribing data through surveillance of patients' electronic health records. The aim of our study was to examine the implementation and adoption of an electronic medicines optimisation system that was intended to facilitate clinical audit in primary care by identifying patients at risk of an adverse drug event. We adopted a sociotechnical approach that focuses on how complex social, organisational and institutional factors may impact upon the use of technology within work settings.Methods: We undertook a qualitative realist evaluation of the use of an electronic medicines optimisation system in one Clinical Commissioning Group in England. Five semi-structured interviews, four focus groups and one observation were conducted with a range of stakeholders. Consistent with a realist evaluation methodology, the analysis focused on exploring the links between context, mechanism and outcome to explain the ways the intervention might work, for whom and in what circumstances.Results: Using the electronic medicines optimisation system could lead to a number of improved patient safety outcomes including pre-emptively reviewing patients at risk of adverse drug events. The effective use of the system depended upon engagement with the system, the flow of information between different health professionals centrally placed at the Clinical Commissioning Group and those locally placed at individual general practices, and upon variably adapting work practices to facilitate the use of the system. The use of the system was undermined by perceptions of ownership, lack of access, and lack of knowledge and awareness.Conclusions: The use of an electronic medicines optimisation system may improve medication safety in primary care settings by identifying those patients at risk of an adverse drug event. To fully realise the potential benefits for medication safety there needs to be better utilisation across primary care and with a wider range of stakeholders. Engaging with all potential stakeholders and users prior to implementation of such systems might allay perceptions that the system is owned centrally and increase knowledge of the potential benefits. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
48. Suicide risk in primary care patients diagnosed with a personality disorder: a nested case control study.
- Author
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Doyle, Michael, While, David, Mok, Pearl L. H., Windfuhr, Kirsten, Ashcroft, Darren M., Kontopantelis, Evangelos, Chew-Graham, Carolyn A., Appleby, Louis, Shaw, Jenny, and Webb, Roger T.
- Subjects
SUICIDE risk factors ,AGE distribution ,ALCOHOLISM ,CONFIDENCE intervals ,PERSONALITY disorders ,PRIMARY health care ,PROBABILITY theory ,RESEARCH funding ,SEX distribution ,COMORBIDITY ,LOGISTIC regression analysis ,RELATIVE medical risk ,CONTENT mining ,CASE-control method ,DATA analysis software ,DESCRIPTIVE statistics ,ODDS ratio - Abstract
Background: Personality disorder (PD) is associated with elevated suicide risk, but the level of risk in primary care settings is unknown. We assessed whether PD among primary care patients is linked with a greater elevation in risk as compared with other psychiatric diagnoses, and whether the association is modified by gender, age, type of PD, and comorbid alcohol misuse. Methods: Using data from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink, 2384 suicides were matched to 46,899 living controls by gender, age, and registered practice. Prevalence of PD, other mental disorders, and alcohol misuse was calculated for cases and controls separately and conditional logistic regression models were used to estimate exposure odds ratios. We also fitted gender interaction terms and formally tested their significance, and estimated gender age-specific effects. Results: We found a 20-fold increase in suicide risk for patients with PD versus no recorded psychiatric disorder, and a four-fold increase versus all other psychiatric illnesses combined. Borderline PD and PD with comorbid alcohol misuse were associated with a 37- and 45-fold increased risk, respectively, compared with those with no psychiatric disorders. Relative risks were higher for female than for male patients with PD. Significant risks associated with PD diagnosis were identified across all age ranges, although the greatest elevations were in the younger age ranges, 16-39 years. Conclusions: The large elevation in suicide risk among patients diagnosed with PD and comorbid alcohol misuse is a particular concern. GPs have a potentially key role to play in intervening with patients diagnosed with PD, particularly in the presence of comorbid alcohol misuse, which may help reduce suicide risk. This would mean working with specialist care, agreed clinical pathways and availability of services for comorbidities such as alcohol misuse, as well as opportunities for GPs to develop specific clinical skills. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
49. Preventing Acute Kidney Injury: a qualitative study exploring 'sick day rules' implementation in primary care.
- Author
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Morris, Rebecca L., Ashcroft, Darren, Phipps, Denham, Bower, Peter, O'Donoghue, Donal, Roderick, Paul, Harding, Sarah, Lewington, Andrew, and Blakeman, Thomas
- Subjects
- *
ACUTE kidney failure prevention , *ATTITUDE (Psychology) , *CHRONIC kidney failure , *INTERVIEWING , *RESEARCH methodology , *MEDICAL office nursing , *MEDICAL personnel , *PATIENT safety , *PHARMACISTS , *GENERAL practitioners , *PRIMARY health care , *RESEARCH funding , *STATISTICAL sampling , *HEALTH self-care , *EMPLOYEES' workload , *COMORBIDITY , *QUALITATIVE research , *JUDGMENT sampling , *THEMATIC analysis , *ACUTE diseases , *TREATMENT duration - Abstract
Background: In response to growing demand for urgent care services there is a need to implement more effective strategies in primary care to support patients with complex care needs. Improving primary care management of kidney health through the implementation of 'sick day rules' (i.e. temporary cessation of medicines) to prevent Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) has the potential to address a major patient safety issue and reduce unplanned hospital admissions. The aim of this study is to examine processes that may enable or constrain the implementation of 'sick day rules' for AKI prevention into routine care delivery in primary care. Methods: Forty semi-structured interviews were conducted with patients with stage 3 chronic kidney disease and purposefully sampled, general practitioners, practice nurses and community pharmacists who either had, or had not, implemented a 'sick day rule'. Normalisation Process Theory was used as a framework for data collection and analysis. Results: Participants tended to express initial enthusiasm for sick day rules to prevent AKI, which fitted with the delivery of comprehensive care. However, interest tended to diminish with consideration of factors influencing their implementation. These included engagement within and across services; consistency of clinical message; and resources available for implementation. Participants identified that supporting patients with multiple conditions, particularly with chronic heart failure, made tailoring initiatives complex. Conclusions: Implementation of AKI initiatives into routine practice requires appropriate resourcing as well as training support for both patients and clinicians tailored at a local level to support system redesign. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
50. The potential for using a Universal Medication Schedule (UMS) to improve adherence in patients taking multiple medications in the UK: a qualitative evaluation.
- Author
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Kenning, Cassandra, Protheroe, Joanne, Gray, Nicola, Ashcroft, Darren, and Bower, Peter
- Subjects
PATIENT compliance ,MEDICATION errors ,PATIENTS' attitudes ,QUALITATIVE research ,GENERAL practitioners ,MEDICAL communication - Abstract
Background: Poor adherence to prescribed medication has major consequences. Managing multiple long-term conditions often involves polypharmacy, potentially increasing complexity and the possibility of poor adherence. As a result of the globally recognised problems in supporting adherence to medication, some researchers have proposed the use of reminder charts. The main aim of the research was to explore the need for and perceptions around the 'Universal Medication Schedule' (UMS). Looking at ways in which pharmacists and General Practitioners (GPs) could use the UMS in NHS settings. Methods: Semi-structured interviews were carried out with 10 GPs, 10 community pharmacists and 15 patients. Patients were aged 65 years and over, had multiple long-term conditions and were prescribed at least 5 medications. Interviews were recorded and transcribed and thematic analysis was conducted, using a framework approach to manage the data. Results: Attitudes towards the UMS were mixed with stakeholders seeing benefits and limitations to the chart. Practitioners proposed a number of existing services where they thought the UMS could easily be integrated but there was evidence of role conflict with GPs feeling it may be best placed with pharmacists and vice versa. The potential for the UMS to be used as a tool to aid communication between the different services involved in a patient's care was a key theme. Conclusions: The UMS chart provides consolidated medicines information that might help to improve patients' knowledge and health literacy, which may or may not improve adherence but could help patients in making informed decisions about their treatment. One of the key benefits of using the UMS in practice is that it could be introduced across services. In this way it may aid in medicines reconciliation between healthcare settings to ensure continuity of message, improve patient experience and create more joined up working between services. Further research is needed to test implementation in different services and to assess outcomes on patient understanding and adherence. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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