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Purpose: To establish an individualized prostate biopsy model that reduces unnecessary biopsy cores based on multiparameter MRI (mpMRI). Materials and Methods: This retrospective, non-inferiority dual-center study retrospectively included 609 patients from the Changhai Hospital from June 2017 to November 2020 and 431 patients from the Fujian Union Hospital between 2014 and 2019. Clinical, radiological, and pathological data were analyzed. Data from the Changhai Hospital were used for modeling by calculating the patients' disease risk scores. Data from the Fujian Union Hospital were used for external verification. Results: Based on the data of 609 patients from the Changhai Hospital, we divided the patients evenly into five layers according to the disease risk score. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) was analyzed. Twelve-core systemic biopsy (12-SBx) was used as the reference standard. The SBx cores from each layer were reduced to 9, 6, 5, 4, and 4. The data of 279 patients with benign pathological results from the Fujian Union Hospital were incorporated into the model. No patients were in the first layer. The accuracies of the models for the other layers were 88, 96.43, 94.87, and 94.59%. The accuracy of each layer would be increased to 96, 100, 100, and 97.30% if the diagnosis of non-clinically significant prostate cancer was excluded. Conclusions: In this study, we established an individualized biopsy model using data from a dual center. The results showed great accuracy of the model, indicating its future clinical application. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: To reduce unnecessary prostate biopsies, we designed a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based nomogram prediction model of prostate maximum sectional area (PA) and investigated its zone area for diagnosing prostate cancer (PCa). Methods: MRI was administered to 691 consecutive patients before prostate biopsies from January 2012 to January 2020. PA, central gland sectional area (CGA), and peripheral zone sectional area (PZA) were measured on axial T2-weighted prostate MRI. Multivariate logistic regression analysis and area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were performed to evaluate and integrate the predictors of PCa. Based on multivariate logistic regression coefficients after excluding combinations of collinear variables, three models and nomograms were generated and intercompared by Delong test, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: The positive rate of PCa was 46.74% (323/691). Multivariate analysis revealed that age, PSA, MRI, transCGA, coroPZA, transPA, and transPAI (transverse PZA-to-CGA ratio) were independent predictors of PCa. Compared with no PCa patients, transCGA (AUC = 0.801) was significantly lower and transPAI (AUC = 0.749) was significantly higher in PCa patients. Both of them have a significantly higher AUC than PSA (AUC = 0.714) and PV (AUC = 0.725). Our best predictive model included the factors age, PSA, MRI, transCGA, and coroPZA with the AUC of 0.918 for predicting PCa status. Based on this predictive model, a novel nomogram for predicting PCa was conducted and internally validated (C-index = 0.913). Conclusions: We found the potential clinical utility of transCGA and transPAI in predicting PCa. Then, we firstly built the nomogram based on PA and its zone area to evaluate its diagnostic efficacy for PCa, which could reduce unnecessary prostate biopsies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Prostate biopsies are frequently performed to screen for prostate cancer (PCa) with complications such as infections and bleeding. To reduce unnecessary biopsies, here we designed an improved predictive model of MRI-based prostate volume and associated zone-adjusted prostate-specific antigen (PSA) concentrations for diagnosing PCa and risk stratification. Multiparametric MRI administered to 422 consecutive patients before initial transrectal ultrasonography-guided 13-core prostate biopsies from January 2012 to March 2018 at Fujian Medical University Union Hospital. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses and determination of the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was performed to evaluate and integrate the predictors of PCa and high-risk prostate cancer (HR-PCa). The detection rates of PCa was 43.84% (185/422). And the detection rates of HR-PCa was 71.35% (132/185) in PCa patients. Multivariate analysis revealed that prostate volume(PV), PSA density(PSAD), transitional zone volume(TZV), PSA density of the transitional zone(PSADTZ), and MR were independent predictors of PCa and HR-PCa. PSA, peripheral zone volume(PZV) and PSA density of the peripheral zone(PSADPZ) were independent predictors of PCa but not HR-PCa. The AUC of our best predictive model including PSA + PV + PSAD + MR + TZV or PSA + PV + PSAD + MR + PZV was 0.906 for PCa. The AUC of the best predictive model of PV + PSAD + MR + TZV was 0.893 for HR-PCa. In conclusion, our results will likely improve the detection rate of prostate cancer, avoiding unnecessary prostate biopsies, and for evaluating risk stratification. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]