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• Deep learning provides efficient and accurate prediction of treatment response. • Transfer learning can be used in radiological task with insufficient image datasets. • Tumor microenvironment and signaling pathways are linked with radiological prediction. Deep learning is promising to predict treatment response. We aimed to evaluate and validate the predictive performance of the CT-based model using deep learning features for predicting pathologic complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Patients were retrospectively enrolled between April 2007 and December 2018 from two institutions. We extracted deep learning features of six pre-trained convolutional neural networks, respectively, from pretreatment CT images in the training cohort (n = 161). Support vector machine was adopted as the classifier. Validation was performed in an external testing cohort (n = 70). We assessed the performance using the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) and selected an optimal model, which was compared with a radiomics model developed from the training cohort. A clinical model consisting of clinical factors only was also built for baseline comparison. We further conducted a radiogenomics analysis using gene expression profiles to reveal underlying biology associated with radiological prediction. The optimal model with features extracted from ResNet50 achieved an AUC and accuracy of 0.805 (95% CI, 0.696–0.913) and 77.1% (65.6%-86.3%) in the testing cohort, compared with 0.725 (0.605–0.846)) and 67.1% (54.9%-77.9%) for the radiomics model. All the radiological models showed better predictive performance than the clinical model. Radiogenomics analysis suggested a potential association mainly with WNT signaling pathway and tumor microenvironment. The novel and noninvasive deep learning approach could provide efficient and accurate prediction of treatment response to nCRT in ESCC, and benefit clinical decision making of therapeutic strategy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: Biomedical data frequently contain imbalance characteristics which make achieving good predictive performance with data-driven machine learning approaches a challenging task. In this study, we investigated the impact of re-sampling techniques for imbalanced datasets in PET radiomics-based prognostication model in head and neck (HNC) cancer patients. Methods: Radiomics analysis was performed in two cohorts of patients, including 166 patients newly diagnosed with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in our centre and 182 HNC patients from open database. Conventional PET parameters and robust radiomics features were extracted for correlation analysis of the overall survival (OS) and disease progression-free survival (DFS). We investigated a cross-combination of 10 re-sampling methods (oversampling, undersampling, and hybrid sampling) with 4 machine learning classifiers for survival prediction. Diagnostic performance was assessed in hold-out test sets. Statistical differences were analysed using Monte Carlo cross-validations by post hoc Nemenyi analysis. Results: Oversampling techniques like ADASYN and SMOTE could improve prediction performance in terms of G-mean and F-measures in minority class, without significant loss of F-measures in majority class. We identified optimal PET radiomics-based prediction model of OS (AUC of 0.82, G-mean of 0.77) for our NPC cohort. Similar findings that oversampling techniques improved the prediction performance were seen when this was tested on an external dataset indicating generalisability. Conclusion: Our study showed a significant positive impact on the prediction performance in imbalanced datasets by applying re-sampling techniques. We have created an open-source solution for automated calculations and comparisons of multiple re-sampling techniques and machine learning classifiers for easy replication in future studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]