Search

ObjectiveTo estimate the annual incidence rate of SLE in the USA.MethodsA meta-analysis used sex/race/ethnicity-specific data spanning 2002–2009 from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention network of four population-based state registries to estimate the incidence rates. SLE was defined as fulfilling the 1997 revised American College of Rheumatology classification criteria. Given heterogeneity across sites, a random effects model was employed. Applying sex/race/ethnicity-stratified rates, including data from the Indian Health Service registry, to the 2018 US Census population generated estimates of newly diagnosed SLE cases.ResultsThe pooled incidence rate per 100 000 person-years was 5.1 (95% CI 4.6 to 5.6), higher in females than in males (8.7 vs 1.2), and highest among black females (15.9), followed by Asian/Pacific Islander (7.6), Hispanic (6.8) and white (5.7) females. Male incidence was highest in black males (2.4), followed by Hispanic (0.9), white (0.8) and Asian/Pacific Islander (0.4) males. The American Indian/Alaska Native population had the second highest race-specific SLE estimates for females (10.4 per 100 000) and highest for males (3.8 per 100 000). In 2018, an estimated 14 263 persons (95% CI 11 563 to 17 735) were newly diagnosed with SLE in the USA.ConclusionsA network of population-based SLE registries provided estimates of SLE incidence rates and numbers diagnosed in the USA.

To estimate and identify factors associated with the incidence of all-cause end-stage renal disease (ESRD) among newly diagnosed systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients.Data from a national registry of treated ESRD were linked to data from a lupus registry of SLE patients who were newly diagnosed and living in Atlanta, Georgia, 2002-2004 (median followup 7.8 years). Cumulative incidence and incidence rates (ESRD treatment initiations per 1,000 patient-years) were calculated, and age- and race-adjusted Poisson models were used to calculate incidence rate ratios (IRRs).Among 344 newly diagnosed SLE patients, 29 initiated ESRD treatment over 2,603.8 years of followup. Incidence rates were 13.8 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 9.4-20.3) among black patients and 3.3 (95% CI 0.8-13.0) among white patients, per 1,000 patient-years; corresponding 5-year cumulative incidence was 6.4% and 2.5% among black and white patients, respectively. Lupus nephritis documented prior to 2005, which occurred in 80% of those who progressed to ESRD, was the strongest risk factor for incident ESRD (IRR 6.7 [95% CI 2.7-16.8]; incidence rate 27.6 per 1,000 patient-years). Results suggested that patients who were black versus white (IRR 3.9 [95% CI 0.9-16.4]) or18 years old (versus ≥30 years old) at diagnosis (IRR 2.1 [95% CI 0.9-5.3]) may be more likely to progress to ESRD, but incidence did not differ by sex or other characteristics.The incidence of all-cause ESRD among patients with a recent diagnosis of SLE is high in Georgia. Interventions to decrease ESRD incidence among newly diagnosed SLE patients should target young and black patients, as well as patients with lupus nephritis.