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With the increase in the frequency of extreme weather events in recent years, apple growing areas in the Loess Plateau frequently encounter frost during flowering. Accurately assessing the frost loss in orchards during the flowering period is of great significance for optimizing disaster prevention measures, market apple price regulation, agricultural insurance, and government subsidy programs. The previous research on orchard frost disasters is mainly focused on early risk warning. Therefore, to effectively quantify orchard frost loss, this paper proposes a frost loss assessment model constructed using meteorological and remote sensing information and applies this model to the regional-scale assessment of orchard fruit loss after frost. As an example, this article examines a frost event that occurred during the apple flowering period in Luochuan County, Northwestern China, on 17 April 2020. A multivariable linear regression (MLR) model was constructed based on the orchard planting years, the number of flowering days, and the chill accumulation before frost, as well as the minimum temperature and daily temperature difference on the day of frost. Then, the model simulation accuracy was verified using the leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) method, and the coefficient of determination (R2), the root mean square error (RMSE), and the normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) were 0.69, 18.76%, and 18.76%, respectively. Additionally, the extended Fourier amplitude sensitivity test (EFAST) method was used for the sensitivity analysis of the model parameters. The results show that the simulated apple orchard fruit number reduction ratio is highly sensitive to the minimum temperature on the day of frost, and the chill accumulation and planting years before the frost, with sensitivity values of ≥0.74, ≥0.25, and ≥0.15, respectively. This research can not only assist governments in optimizing traditional orchard frost prevention measures and market price regulation but can also provide a reference for agricultural insurance companies to formulate plans for compensation after frost. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Proposed a tea plantation phenological feature index (TPI). • Constructed a mapping algorithm based on multitemporal spectral features. • Tea plantations were accurately distinguished from evergreen vegetation. • The tea plantation mapping algorithm is temporally reusable. Tea is a highly demanded and valuable commodity in both domestic and international markets, with China being the world's largest producer and exporter, resulting in the expansion of tea tree cultivation in China over the past few decades. Accurate mapping of tea plantations is vital for tea markets, food security, poverty alleviation, and ecosystem value assessment. However, research on vegetation plantation monitoring has focused primarily on food crops, and the spatial information for the perennial tea tree is often neglected. Moreover, monitoring tea plantations poses significant challenges in terms of the diverse cultivation management measures, the heterogeneity of tea garden landscapes, and the limited availability of clear imagery due to cloud cover. In this study, we constructed a novel tea plantation mapping algorithm based on multitemporal spectral features. In addition, a Tea Plantation Phenological Feature Index (TPI) is proposed to enable easy and reliable monitoring of tea plantations. The algorithm harmonized the Landsat7/8 and Sentinel-2 satellite images on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, utilizing a semi-automatic decision tree model to identify tea gardens in Yingde City, Guangdong Province. Our results show that the tea plantation phenological feature index (TPI), green band in October (Green Oct) and cumulative band in April (CB Apr) are the most effective multitemporal spectral features for identifying tea gardens. The F1-score, OA, and kappa coefficients (Kappa) of the 2020 tea plantation map generated by the tea plantation mapping algorithm based on multitemporal spectral features are 90.75%, 92.71%, and 0.844, respectively. Furthermore, the algorithm is time-reusable, as evidenced by the F1-score, OA, and kappa coefficients of the generated 2021 tea plantation map, which are 85.99%, 88.86%, and 0.7675, respectively. Our results underscore the exceptional ability of the multitemporal spectral features to separate tea gardens from evergreen forests. The tea plantation mapping algorithm based on multitemporal spectral features is a robust, user-friendly, and effective tool suitable for regional or national annual tea plantation mapping, enabling sustainable production and implementing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Develop a within-growing season yield forecast system with random forest model. • Random forest model performs well in predicting grain yield in China. • We identified the most important stage-specific predictors determining crop yield. • The most important variable influencing yields varied with crop types. Accurate and timely crop yield forecasts can provide essential information to make conclusive agricultural policies and to conduct investments. Recent studies have used different machine learning techniques to develop such yield forecast systems for single crops at regional scales. However, no study has used multiple sources of environmental predictors (climate, soil, and vegetation) to forecast yields for three major crops in China. In this study, we adopted 7-year observed crop yield data (2013–2019) for three major grain crops (wheat, maize, and rice) across China, and three major data sets including climate, vegetation indices, and soil properties were used to develop a dynamic yield forecasting system based on the random forest (RF) model. The RF model showed good performance for estimating yields of all three crops with correlation coefficient (r) higher than 0.75 and normalized root means square errors (nRMSE) lower than 18.0%. Our results also showed that crop yields can be satisfactorily forecasted at one to three months prior to harvest. The optimum lead time for yield forecasting depended on crop types. In addition, we found the major predictors influencing crop yield varied between crops. In general, solar radiation and vegetation indices (especially during jointing to milk development stages) were identified as the main predictor for winter wheat; vegetation indices (throughout the growing season) and drought (especially during emergence to tasseling stages) were the most important predictors for spring maize; soil moisture (throughout the growing season) was the dominant predictor for summer maize, late rice, and mid rice; precipitation (especially during booting to heading stages) was the main predictor for early rice. Our study provides insights into practical crop yield forecasting and the understanding of yield response to environmental conditions at a large scale across China. The methods undertaken in this research can be easily implemented in other countries with available information on climate, soil, and vegetation conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]