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Monitoring data show that many landslides in the Three Gorges region, China, undergo step-like displacements in response to the managed, quasi-sinusoidal annual variations in reservoir level. This behavior is consistent with motion initiating when the reservoir water level falls below a critical level that is intrinsic to each landslide, with the subsequent displacement rate of the landslide being proportional to the water depth below that critical level. Most motion terminates when the water level rises back above the critical level, so the annual step size is the time integral of the instantaneous displacement rate. These responses are incorporated into a differential equation that is easily calibrated with monitoring data, allowing prediction of landslide movement from actual or anticipated reservoir level changes. Model successes include (1) initiation and termination of the annual sliding steps at the critical reservoir level, producing a series of steps; (2) prediction of variable step size, year to year; and (3) approximate prediction of the shape and size of each annual step. Annual rainfall correlates poorly with step size, probably because its effect on groundwater levels is dwarfed by the 30 m annual variations in the level of the Three Gorges Reservoir. Viscous landslide behavior is suggested. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Zigui Basin is a major landslide-prone region in the Three Gorges Reservoir region of China, and the stabilizing pile is an effective and widely employed countermeasure to reinforce landslides in this region. However, stabilizing piles are mostly designed using deterministic and stability-oriented methods, which generally ignore the system performance and cost-effectiveness. Using the Majiagou landslide reinforced with stabilizing piles as a case study, a probabilistic multi-objective optimization framework for the design of stabilizing piles is proposed and illustrated. Specifically, performance objectives related to failure probability, system robustness and life-cycle cost of the landslide-stabilizing pile system with feasible designs are evaluated, then the best compromised design is obtained by means of Pareto optimality. Expert knowledge and professional judgment are required to set necessary restrictions and finally determine the optimal design. The results show that there is a better design of stabilizing piles than the existing one, with which acceptable reinforcement effectiveness, compromised life-cycle cost and robust system performance can be realized. The optimal design will also vary with the concerned performance objectives and knowledge-based judgment. Further relationships and interpretations between design parameters and system responses are discussed through parametric analyses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Natural rock often suffers from cyclic wetting–drying involving different water types, and the resulting deterioration may differ from laboratory tests using distilled water or salt solutions. An inappropriate estimation of this deterioration effect may lead to fatal geological hazards and engineering failures. A multiscale study is conducted to investigate the physical and mechanical features of sandstone in Three Gorges Reservoir region (TGR sandstone) subjected to cyclic wetting–drying of Yangtze River water. During this study, three types of water, i.e., Yangtze River water, ionized water having similar ion compositions as the Yangtze River water, and distilled water, are used for comparison. The results show that the multiscale physical properties including mineral compositions (especially calcite and albite), micro-pore parameters, computed tomography values, and macro-mechanical parameters (i.e., Young's modulus, uniaxial compression strength and tensile strength) are remarkably altered during the cyclic wetting–drying process. Significant correlations are found between these numerous multiscale properties. The results indicate that changes of mineral compositions and microstructure are the primary reasons for the deterioration of sandstone strength. The deterioration effect of distilled water on TGR sandstone is the least, while the effect of ionized water is the greatest, and that of river water being intermediate. These differences are ascribed to different chemical interactions, together with possible microorganism effects for river water, as microorganisms in river water potentially weaken the deterioration of cyclic wetting–drying of river water. In situ water is recommended for studying how rock properties are affected by water–rock interactions in real settings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Variations of reservoir water level and seasonal precipitation have resulted in significant movement and destabilization of landslides in the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) region of China since reservoir impoundment in 2003. An example is the Baijiabao landslide, a large, actively creeping landslide located in the steep lower valley of the Xiangxi River, about 55 km upstream of the TGR dam in the Yangtze River. Twelve years of monthly monitoring at four GPS stations and routine, monthly field observations show cumulative GPS displacements as large as >1.5 m and widely developed ground cracks. GPS monitoring results show that most movement takes place in rapid steps that coincide with the rainy season and the period of annual reservoir drawdown, with particularly large steps in 2009, 2012 and 2015. This step-like pattern of displacement is also shown by daily data from an automatic monitoring system installed in 2017. The total period of acceleration shown by these daily data was about six weeks long, with rapid movement starting during rapid reservoir drawdown, and terminating when the reservoir began to rise again. In particular, most of the 2018 displacement occurred in only two weeks. Different subzones of the landslide move at different rates and exhibit different features of deformation. The neighborhood rough set theory is used to identify the triggering factors responsible for landslide deformation. The most important triggering factors vary between different sites, data types and the time interval used to define them. The surface deformation and ground crack widening are controlled by the combination of rainfall and variations in the reservoir water levels, whereas the deformation of the sliding zone is most sensitive to the latter. The results show that daily data are needed to capture important, short-term landslide responses. The neighborhood rough set theory for determination of triggering factors is suggested for deformation prediction, stability evaluation, and prevention and control of reservoir landslides in this and other regions. • Spatiotemporal deformation characteristics of Baijiabao landslide over a twelve-year period are analyzed in detail. • Different acceleration periods and threshold hydraulic conditions are observed from daily and monthly monitoring data. • Neighborhood rough set theory is used to identify the triggering factors responsible for landslide deformation. • The most important triggering factors vary between different sites, data types and the time interval used to define them. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Huangtupo landslide, volumetrically the largest, most complex landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir region of China, is a dangerous mass on which the district of Badong has been inadvertently situated. Risk remediation efforts include the construction of a large observational tunnel and monitoring system that are unique in the world. This tunnel and its side branches permit detailed mapping of its 3D structure while providing samples for laboratory analysis. The new investigations validate that the Huangtupo landslide is a composite of several independent landslides and that movement occurs along the major rupture zones as well as on interlayer sliding zones in the underlying Badong Formation. Uranium-thorium disequilibrium dating establishes that the northern part of the landslide, called the Riverside Slump, underwent at least two periods of movement at about 100 and 40 ka (ka stands for a thousand years). These events were induced by the steep slope created by the downcutting of the Yangzte River. The results from in situ displacement monitoring over a 7-year period confirm that the central part of the landslide is creeping at a slow, relatively stable rate of about 15 mm/year rather than being in a stage of acceleration under the protection of anchored concrete beams and other defense structures at its toe. Available data suggest that engineering measures can control the independent landslides that together constitute the huge Huangtupo mass, which will avoid the need for costly relocation of thousands of people. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The construction of the huge Three Gorges reservoir affected a large region, and the resultant geological and environmental impacts have caused global concern. The remarkable, 30-m annual fluctuation in the reservoir water level poses a significant threat to slope stability in this area. Four hundred sixty-two landslides were identified in the Zigui basin using historical records, satellite images, field investigations and unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) observations, enabling the construction of a complete landslide database and distribution map. Three failure modes of landslides in the Zigui basin are used to illustrate the major factors that govern reservoir-induced landslides. The results show that (1) > 99% of identified landslides occur on slopes angle <47°, while >80% occur at elevations below 600 m; (2) Jurassic Niejiashan Formation is highly prone to landslides; (3) Low reservoir levels of 145 m to 155 m greatly reduce slope stability. Based on the information entropy method that use the conditional probability of different influencing factors and principal component analysis as inputs, the relative contributions of various influencing factors are quantified and a landslide susceptibility map was drawn. This susceptibility map helps define the countermeasures that will best reduce fatalities and property losses for areas having different landslide conditions and susceptibilities. • Database of 462 reservoir-induced landslides in Zigui basin, TGR was created. • Identifying failure modes and quantifying contributions of influential factors. • Conditional probability and information entropy model yields landslide susceptibility. • Susceptibility map, failure modes, and strategies suppressing the slope instability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Zigui basin is one of the most landslide-prone areas where thousands of landslides are distributed. Performing the landslide susceptibility mapping is a heated issue in the area. Whereas, whether the random selection of the landslides or non-landslides grid cells are reasonable in research of landslide susceptibility mapping is the existence problem nowadays. Based on the two step cluster (TSC) algorithm and the self-organizing mapping - random forest (SOM-RF) model, a novel hybrid model is proposed to overcome the above drawbacks in this study. Rough set (RS) theory is employed as an attribute reduction tool to identify the significant influencing factors of landslides, and SOM is used to produce a preliminary landslide susceptibility mapping. Two step cluster algorithm is applied in telling apart the most reasonable True-Positive (TP) from landslide grid cells in high-susceptibility zones and the False-Positive (FP) in low-susceptibility zones. Afterwards, the TP and FP are imported into the RF model as samples to produce the improved landslide susceptibility mapping. The proposed method is utilized to develop landslide susceptibility mapping in the Zigui basin. Compared with the susceptibility mapping produced by RF model, which selects landslides and non-landslides grid cells randomly, the results of TSC and SOM-RF model demonstrates to have the superior prediction skill and higher reliability in landslides susceptibility mapping. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]