1. Spatio-temporal pattern of schistosomiasis in Anhui Province, East China: Potential effect of the Yangtze River - Huaihe River Water Transfer Project
- Author
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Tian-Ping Wang, Zhi-Guo Cao, Si Li, Yi Hu, Ya-E Zhao, Yin-Yin Huang, Fenghua Gao, Robert Bergquist, and Zhijie Zhang
- Subjects
0301 basic medicine ,China ,Marsh ,Scan statistic ,Range (biology) ,Snails ,030231 tropical medicine ,Antibodies, Helminth ,Distribution (economics) ,Schistosomiasis ,River water ,Schistosoma japonicum ,03 medical and health sciences ,Spatio-Temporal Analysis ,0302 clinical medicine ,Rivers ,Seroepidemiologic Studies ,Surveys and Questionnaires ,Prevalence ,medicine ,Animals ,Cluster Analysis ,Humans ,geography ,Conservation of Water Resources ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,business.industry ,medicine.disease ,Cross-Sectional Studies ,030104 developmental biology ,Infectious Diseases ,Schistosomiasis japonica ,Yangtze river ,Parasitology ,Physical geography ,business ,Animal Distribution - Abstract
Anhui Province has been one of typical epidemic areas of schistosomiasis in East China as a wide range of large lake and marshland regions provide an ideal environment for growth and reproduction of the intermediate snail host. With the completion of the Yangtze River-Huaihe River Water Transfer Project (YHWTP), launched by the end of 2016, the epidemic areas are expected to expand and controlling schistosomiasis remains a challenge. Based on annual surveillance data at the county level in Anhui for the period 2006-2015, spatial and temporal cluster analyses were conducted to assess the pattern of risk through spatial (Local Moran's I and flexible scan statistic) and space-time scan statistic (Kulldorff). It was found that schistosomiasis sero-prevalence was dramatically reduced and maintained at a low level. Cluster results showed that spatial extent of schistosomiasis contracted, but snail distribution remained geographically stable across the study area. Clusters, both for schistosomiasis and snail presence, were common along the Yangtze River. Considering the effect of the ongoing YHWTP on the potential spread of schistosomiasis, Zongyang County and Anqing, which will be transected by the new water-transfer route, should be given a priority for strengthened surveillance and control. Attention should also be paid to Guichi since it is close to one of the planned inlets of the YHWTP.
- Published
- 2018
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