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SUMMARYAn earthquake with a magnitude of Ms 6.0 and shallow focal depth of ∼4 km struck the Changning county, Sichuan province, China on 2019 June 17. The hypocentre is located in the fold-and-thrust belt with plentiful shale gas and salt mine resources. One hypothesis is that the shallow fault could be affected by the artificial pressure water injection including the disposal of wastewater, fracking shale gas extraction and salt mining in Changning area. In this study, SAR (Synthetic Aperture Radar) images, historical earthquakes, aftershocks and seismic reflection data were collected to jointly investigate the characteristics of the 2019 Changning earthquake. The source model inferred from the InSAR coseismic deformation observation reveals that the 2019 Changning earthquake is attributed to a blind fault dipping to southwest with dominant thrust and sinistral strike slip. Moreover, a small shallow fault developing within the Changning anticline was triggered by the main shock, which contributed to the surface displacements as observed in the north of the epicentre. The estimated maximum slip of 0.49 m is located at the depth of ∼1.9 km, ∼9 km northwest of the epicentre. The Coulomb failure stress change caused by the previous two large earthquakes, which occurred in the hydraulic fracturing area, suggesting that they have little effect on the initial rupture of the 2019 Changning earthquake. Despite this, they have a positive triggering effect on the fault rupture in the northwest of the seismogenic fault. In addition, the analysis on the relation between the positive Coulomb failure stress change and the aftershocks suggests that the aftershocks may have different motion patterns from the main shock. The analysis also shows the earthquakes occurrence in the seismogenic zone may be affected by the high pore pressure due to the long-term injection of salt mining for more than three decades.

The ascending and descending InSAR deformations derived from ALOS-2 and Sentinel-1 satellite SAR images and GPS displacements are used to estimate the fault model of the 2018 Mw 6.4 Hualien earthquake. The sinistral strike-slip fault dipping to the west with a high dip angle of 89.4° and a rake angle of 201.7° is considered as the seismogenic fault of this event. This seismogenic fault also triggered the ruptures of the Milun fault, which dips to the east with a dip angle of ~72°, and an unknown west-dipping fault with a dip angle of 85.2°. Two predicted faulting models indicate that the InSAR deformation fields include more postseismic slip than those of the GPS data. The north segment of the Milun fault and west-dipping fault have been triggered by the rupture of the seismogenic fault, but the postseismic slip occurred only in the south segment of the Milun fault. The InSAR-derived co-seismic and postseismic faulting model suggests that the significant slip concentrates at depths of 2.4–15.0 km of the main fault, 0.0–14.0 km of the Milun fault. Only minor slip is detected on the west-dipping fault. The maximum fault slip of ca. 2.1 m is located at the depth of ca. 2.4 km under the Meilun Tableland. The Coulomb failure stress (CFS) change calculated by the co-seismic and postseismic faulting model shows that there is a significant CFS increase in the east of the south segment of the Milun fault, but few of the aftershocks occur in this area, which indicates a high risk of future seismic hazard.

The Shanchiao fault, located to the west of the Taipei Basin in northern Taiwan, is a highly active normal fault that has a left-slip component and fault length of over 40 km. We suggest that the Shanchiao fault still has the ability to induce coseismic subsidence in the Taipei Basin under present extensional regime of northern Taiwan. In order to characterize the coseismic ground deformation and assess the potential inundation hazards in Taipei Basin, we estimate surface displacements using elastic dislocation models. The largest slip is assumed to be located underneath the Kuandu area due to the observation of deepest Tertiary basement in this area. Based on the topography changes due to coseismic deformation in a potential magnitude 7 event induced by reactivation of the Shanchiao fault, a 2D inundation model was adopted to simulate several inundation scenarios, including potential flood inundation below high tide condition and under various return-period design rainfall events. The predicted inundation maps based on various return-period flood events can provide information to assess potential earthquake-induced inundation hazards.