1. Genetic linkage between the training and selection sets impacts the predictive ability of SNP markers in a cloned population of Pinus taeda L.
- Author
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Shalizi, Mohammad Nasir, Payn, Kitt G., and Isik, Fikret
- Subjects
SINGLE nucleotide polymorphisms ,SEXUAL cycle ,RUST diseases ,DISEASE incidence ,LOBLOLLY pine - Abstract
We investigated the efficiency of genomic selection in a large clonal population (N = 2023) of Pinus taeda L. The study population comprised 58 families that were tested across eight locations in the southern USA. The clones were genotyped with the Pita50K SNP array. Whole-genome regression models were used to obtain genomic estimated breeding values (GEBVs). The predictive ability of SNP markers for commercially important traits were estimated using various cross-validation scenarios that address the family structure in the population. In the random cross-validation scenario (clonal varieties randomly assigned to either training or validation sets), the predictive ability of GEBVs for stem volume, stem straightness, and fusiform rust disease incidence was 0.43, 0.57, and 0.26, respectively. In the family cross-validation scenario (whole families randomly assigned to either training or validation sets), the predictive ability for stem volume dropped to 0.36, but the change for the other two traits was small. In the third scenario, the predictive ability of the GEBVs of clones in a new environment was 0.32 for stem volume, 0.40 for stem straightness, and 0.18 for fusiform rust disease incidence. The predictive ability of the models dropped for all three traits when the GEBVs of untested varieties (varieties excluded from the training population) were predicted across multiple environments (range of 0.06 to 0.40 across traits). This study highlights the importance of genetic relatedness between the model training and validation sets of a cloned population of P. taeda. The expected genetic gain was about twice the expected genetic gain achieved by a traditional breeding strategy, mainly due to a 50% shorter breeding cycle achieved through the implementation of genomic selection. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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