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Stochastic processes generated by non-stationary distributions are difficult to represent with conventional models such as Gaussian processes. This work presents Recurrent Autoregressive Flows as a method toward general stochastic process modeling with normalizing flows. The proposed method defines a conditional distribution for each variable in a sequential process by conditioning the parameters of a normalizing flow with recurrent neural connections. Complex conditional relationships are learned through the recurrent network parameters. In this work, we present an initial design for a recurrent flow cell and a method to train the model to match observed empirical distributions. We demonstrate the effectiveness of this class of models through a series of experiments in which models are trained on three complex stochastic processes. We highlight the shortcomings of our current formulation and suggest some potential solutions.

Poor sample efficiency is a major limitation of deep reinforcement learning in many domains. This work presents an attention-based method to project neural network inputs into an efficient representation space that is invariant under changes to input ordering. We show that our proposed representation results in an input space that is a factor of $m!$ smaller for inputs of $m$ objects. We also show that our method is able to represent inputs over variable numbers of objects. Our experiments demonstrate improvements in sample efficiency for policy gradient methods on a variety of tasks. We show that our representation allows us to solve problems that are otherwise intractable when using na\"ive approaches., Comment: 6 pages, 7 figures

Although deep reinforcement learning has advanced significantly over the past several years, sample efficiency remains a major challenge. Careful choice of input representations can help improve efficiency depending on the structure present in the problem. In this work, we present an attention-based method to project inputs into an efficient representation space that is invariant under changes to input ordering. We show that our proposed representation results in a search space that is a factor of m! smaller for inputs of m objects. Our experiments demonstrate improvements in sample efficiency for policy gradient methods on a variety of tasks. We show that our representation allows us to solve problems that are otherwise intractable when using naive approaches., Comment: In Proceedings of the 18th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS 2019), Montreal,Canada, May 13 to 17, 2019,IFAAMAS, 3 pages