1. Asset Price Bubbles: Invariance Theorems*
- Author
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Robert Jarrow, Philip Protter, Jaime San Martin, and Johnson School Working Paper Series
- Subjects
Computer Science::Computer Science and Game Theory ,Frequentist probability ,Stochastic volatility ,Markov chain ,Local martingale ,Econometrics ,Asset (economics) ,Measure (mathematics) ,Quadratic variation ,Economic bubble ,Mathematics - Abstract
This paper provides invariance theorems that facilitate testing for the existence of an asset price bubble in a market where the price evolves as a Markov diffusion process. The test involves only the properties of the price process’ quadratic variation under the statistical probability. It does not require an estimate of either the equivalent local martingale measure or the asset’s drift. To augment its use, a new family of stochastic volatility price processes is also provided where the processes’ strict local martingale behavior can be characterized.
- Published
- 2020
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